Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference September 5, 2012

Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference September 5, 2012 1 Discussion Topics GNC’s Major Assets Provide for a & Competitive Advantage for Succ...
Author: Ami Parrish
2 downloads 0 Views 4MB Size
Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference September 5, 2012

1

Discussion Topics GNC’s Major Assets Provide for a &

Competitive Advantage

for Success & Growth −

brand in health & wellness

− −

demographic & loyal customer base Brand

through product development and

innovation −

Retail

driven by consistently strong execution



Expanding

footprint

Growing the Driving Long-Term Total Shareholder Return 2

Why GNC – our major assets Strong Global Brand Awareness  Leading, highly regarded brand in Health & Wellness

 Brand

 57% proprietary product sales Aided Awareness 82%

GNC

87%

Wal-Mart

80%

Target V. Shoppe

 Customers shop GNC for premium brands, quality,

49%

trust and integrity  Dominance in fastest growing categories  More than 80% of our business in key segments, including Vitamins and Sports  Exceeding market growth rates  >25% market share in Sports, and growing  Multi-channel reach – PetSmart, Sam’s Club, Rite Aid  Global presence – highly recognized in 50+ countries

3

Why GNC – our major assets Unique Customer Base  Unique Customer − Younger − Higher income &

education − Fitness focused − Digital age

 Regimented, consistent shopper with fitness as key element of lifestyle  Growing spend and “Customer for Life” opportunity

 More products, trading up  Propensity for frequent visits and cross shopping  Nearly 50% Sports customers buy Vitamins  ~25% Vitamin customers buy Sports products  Loyal – Gold Card program

4

Why GNC – our major assets Leading Product Development and Innovation Capabilities  CPG-like business capabilities

 Proprietary flagship brands in each category

 Vertically integrated

 Innovate

 Strong infrastructure developed

 Anticipate customer needs

over many years

 Accelerated pipeline

We build powerful sub-brands that drive the business!! Pro Performance

$275mil franchise

Vitapak

Diet

YTD 2012 40+%

YTD 2012 75+% (Total Lean)

5

Why GNC – our major assets Retail Excellence  The premier in-store

experience in our space

 Unique product assortment  Knowledgeable, trained associates  Targeted and effective promotions  In-store programs drive add-on sales

 Multi-faceted real estate

portfolio, with substantial future growth  Attractive store

economics

 Diversification against macro and consumer trends

 Highly successful in all types of locations

 20% return, < 3-year payback

34% 62%

Malls

Strip Centers

Downtown

 2011 stores exceeding target sales  4-wall EBITDA 20%+  Only 25 negative EBITDA stores  Huge productivity upside

 e-commerce matches

store experience

 GNC.com – consistent profitable growth @ 20%+

 Site enhancements – consultative, content, community  LuckyVitamin.com – top and bottom line growth opportunity

6

Growing the customer base

GNC.com

7

Growing the customer base

Active Members

Unique Visitors

(in mil)

Email Addresses

(per month, in mil)

(in mil)

5.8

3.1

10.4

2.3 4.9

2010

6.1

Today

2010

Today

2010

Today

GNC.com

8

Driving Results – Domestic Retail 2-year

Same Store Sales (YTD Q2 ’12)

23%

Company Owned

30%

22%

Franchise - Domestic

3-year

25%

24%

Franchise - Int'l *

36%

* International Comps are franchise reported, in local currency

254

Company Owned

New Stores (cumulative: 2010-2012F)

Franchise - Domestic

36

303

Franchise - Int'l

Revenue

e-commerce Revenue

LuckyVitamin.com (Proforma)

$150+

2012E 2011 2010

$ in mil

$128 $59

9

Driving Results (cont.) Segment Revenue Growth (YTD 2012)

21%

Retail

Franchise Manu. / Wholesale (Petsmart & Sam's Club)

28%

14%

19.3%

2012 Outlook (implied)

Adjusted EBITDA Margin

16.7%

2011

14.5%

2010

Share Repurchase

Shareholder Distributions

$360

2012E

2011

$ in mil

Dividend $46

$62

10

Long-term Growth – Domestic Retail Stores

e-commerce

600 – 700 stores of growth

Our e-commerce spectrum

Value & Breadth

States with highest potential net market gain and states with less than 50 total existing GNC stores

Premium & Specialized

The Opportunity (LTM Segment Revenue $1.7bil) 



Long-term organic growth driven by:



Industry Growth



Brand differentiation via product innovation



Marketing to an expanded, loyal customer base



Excellence in customer service



Growing share in a $2bil market



GNC.com: premium assortment, content and community



LuckyVitamin.com (and other banners): price competitive space

4,500+ store potential - 150 / new year

11

Long-term Growth – International GNC International – 2012  1,600+ stores  50+ countries  1,000+ products

Existing Geographies Targeted New Geographies

The Opportunity (LTM Revenue $149mil) Existing Geographies 

Franchise stores - double existing footprint



Expand & diversify distribution channels



e-commerce



Customized / localized GNC product assortment 

Most countries carry less than half the SKU’s offered domestically

New Markets 

Exploring distribution, franchise and company-owned strategies



Major Markets (nutritional market size) Europe: $22bil

Russia: $3bil

China:

Brazil: $3bil

$16bil

S. Africa: $1bil



Limited premium players in most markets

12

Long-term Growth – Channel diversification The Opportunity (LTM Segment Revenue $232mil) Channel

Category

Opportunity

Examples

Channel Market Size

Mass Channel

Vitamins

$2.5B+

− GNC Brands − Distinct offering

Sports / Diet

$2B+

− Unique Brands − GNC credibility in space

Pets (specialty)

Sources: Nutrition Business Journal, Packaged Facts

Supplements

$650M+

− Brand extension − “Own the category”

13

Shareholder Return Focused Revenue Growth

Retail

Operating Profit & Margin Growth

$ Growth, Leverage Capital Structure & Operating Leverage

Earnings & Free Cash Flow EPS

Share Price Growth Value Proposition for Investor

Manufacturing / Wholesale

Franchise

Earnings & P/E Driven

Free Cash Flow

Dividend

Share Repurchase

Total Yield on Shares

14

GNC – 2012 & Beyond Our customers are loyal to our

and the

products in the market We offer a

and

product

assortment We are a leader in store

and providing product

information We are

the customer base

We deliver We are gaining We have

performance , profitably , capital efficient growth opportunities,

domestically and internationally We seek to maximize 15