Rome – 29th September
Business Aviation in Italy National Forum
Date
Rome – 29th September
Business Aviation in Italy – National Forum
State of Industry
Date
A sector of its own…
WHAT IS BUSINESS AVIATION ?
Definition is a mix of tech & ops considerations It transcends a concept: tailor-made • Business Aviation is : > on demand – non scheduled > aircraft with 19 seats and less
• Business Aviation is : > the aviation for business
Business Aviation in Italy – Rome, 29th September
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Multiple aircraft types offer multiple solutions to customer
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A multi-faceted, do-it-all, resourceful sector spanning many different highly-skilled jobs
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State Of The Industry A Bumpy Ride From 2008 On Will 2015 be the start of renewed and long-term growth?
Business Aviation in Italy – Rome, 29th of September
Business Aviation in Italy – Rome, 29th September 7
Some macro-economic KPIs seem to imply this… EU-28 GDP Variations
15%
15%
11,3%
10% 5%
-10% -15% -20%
10,4%
10%
5,0% 2,5%
0% -5%
EU-28 BusAv Traffic Variations
5%
0%
2004 -5%
2,0% 2005 1
3,4%
3,1% 0,1%
2006 2
2007 3
2008 4 -3,6%
3,3% 2,1% 2009 5 -4,4%
2010 6
1,7% 1,8% 2011 7
-0,4%
0,0%
2012 8
2013 9 -2,9%
-5,0%
1,3% 1,0%
1,5% 0,5%
2014 10
2015 11
-10%
-15%
-14,0%
-20%
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… Whilst some others are more worrying EUR/USD Exchange rate Cost of maintenance
Cost of fuel
Cost of A/C acquisition
Value of the asset
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Pressure is relieved on 20% of BusAv’s operating costs, boosting margins… Fuel price evolution
€ 2,80 € 2,60
Price per Gallon
€ 2,40 € 2,20 € 2,00 € 1,80 € 1,60 € 1,40 € 1,20 € 1,00
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
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… Whilst despite SES hopes, ATC charges, (8% of operating costs), continue to creep upwards Route charges € 148.000.000 € 146.000.000
+ 8.4% since 2010
€ 144.000.000 € 142.000.000 € 140.000.000 € 138.000.000 € 136.000.000 € 134.000.000 € 132.000.000 € 130.000.000 € 128.000.000
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
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So There’s No Crystal Ball But are the fundamentals of the sector sound?
Business Aviation 12 in Italy – Rome, 29th September
Business Aviation is an essential part of air transport It boasts a fleet of 3,500 aircraft Market Share in Europe (in movements)
European Business Aviation Fleet
3,5% 7,0%
All-Cargo Business Aviation Charter
Bizliners 4,0%
2,4%
Heavy Jets
23,7%
53,4%
Lowcost
Midsize Jets
Other
11,9%
28,2%
Traditional Sched.
Light Jets 3,9%
Turboprop
31,4%
30,5%
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BusAv is mostly composed of complex aircraft profiled for long international journeys
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For hire and corporate are on equal footing Leisure is just a small fraction Business Aviation Mission Profile 100% 90% 80%
70%
48,7% AOC flights
60%
Non commercial flights
50% 40% 30%
40,5%
Other flights (Emergency, State,) Leasure)
20% 10% 0%
10,8%
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BusAv is mostly present in the biggest economies, with Italy No. 4 300000
250000
Biggest Business Aviation Markets (2013 vs 2014)
4,0%
+1,1%
3,0%
Number of departures
2,0%
200000
-1,7% 1,0%
150000
+2,1% +0,1% -0,1%
100000
50000
0
0,0%
-2,4%
+3,3%
-1,0%
-2,0%
-3,0%
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After decades of double-digit growth, BusAv is facing stagnation Yearly variations on BusAv traffic (EU 28)
2005-2015 variation on BusAv traffic (EU 28)
70.000
80.000 75.000 70.000
Number of flights
60.000 55.000 50.000
65.000 60.000 55.000 50.000 45.000
45.000
40.000
2013
2014
Dec
Nov
Oct
Sep
Aug
Jul
Jun
May
Apr
Mar
Feb
40.000
Jan
Number of flights
65.000
35.000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2015
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2015 so far seems to be no exception… Total departures EU28 (internal and international) 310000
+0,5%
290000
-0,2%
270000 250000 230000
299.018
300.393
299.690
Jan - July 2013
Jan - July 2014
Jan - July 2015
210000 190000 170000 150000
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Same causes and consequences at the major European airports. Italian airports are lagging behind
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The Italian Job A snapshot of the Italian market
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The double dip recession has been longer and more pronounced in Italy… GDP Evolution in Italy 1,5%
1,1%
1,0%
0,7%
0,4%
0,5% 0,0% -0,5% -1,0% -1,5% -2,0% -2,5% -3,0%
-3,0% -3,5% 2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
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And so has its adverse impact on the sector Flows per month
Average Daily Departure Business Aviation Italy
2014 Average 3.000
2,00% 1,60%
120,0
15,0%
100,0
10,0%
80,0
5,0%
60,0
0,0%
40,0
-5,0% -10,0%
-3,98% 2.000
0,00% -1,00%
1.500 -2,00% 1.000
-3,00%
500
-4,00%
20,0
0
-5,00%
0,0
Arrivals
Departures 2013
Internals
GROWTH
1,00%
2.500
AVERAGE DAILY DEPARTURE
1,56%
-15,0% 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2014
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Despite lull in Italian economy, effects are not to be seen on BusAv movements Yearly variations on BusAv traffic (Italy) 20.000 18.000
Number of flights
16.000 14.000 12.000 10.000 8.000
6.000 Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
2013
2014
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2015 Business Aviation in Italy – Rome, 29th September
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Contrary to other EU countries, the Italian BusAv sector is subject to artificial barriers Business Aviation Flights YoY growth 15,0% 10,0% 5,0% 0,0% -5,0% -10,0% -15,0%
Luxury Tax announced Business Aviation in Italy – Rome, 29th September
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BusAv market share is higher in Italy than elsewhere
Market Share in Italy (in movements) 3%
8%
48% All-Cargo
4%
Business Aviation Charter
Business Aviation Fleet in Italy - 157 aircraft Bizliners
1
Heavy Jets
Midsize Jets
34
16
Lowcost Other
Light jets
Traditional Sched.
35% 2%
Turboprop
60
46
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BusAv is key to the country, socially, economically, and business-wise
1 bn € Impact on GVA
500 m € Impact on wages and salaries
12.000 highly-skilled workers Impact on local employment
~80 Italian companies own a BusAv fleet
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Italy relies on BusAv connection to other markets
Daily flights from and to Italy 2014 Average 80
6,0%
-4,1%
70
4,0%
60 50
2,0%
0,8%
40 30 20
0,0%
5,4%
0,0%
-2,0%
-2,0%
10 0
-4,0%
-6,0%
Germany
UK
Switzerland 2013
France
Italy
2014
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Major BusAv airports have low seasonnality
July 2015
January 2015
Low seasonality factor
1
LIML
Milano Linate
19,4
1
LIEO
Olbia Costa Smeralda
32,6
2
LIRA
Rome Ciampino
15,7
2
LIML
Milano Linate
32,2
3
LIPZ
Venezia Tessera
4,4
3
LIRA
Rome Ciampino
27,5
4
LIPE
Bologna
4,1
4
LIRN
Napoli Capodichino
16,5
5
LIMF
Torino/Caselle
3,8
5
LIPZ
Venezia Tessera
9,9
6
LIRE
Pratica di Mare
3,1
6
LIRP
Pisa San Giusto
9,8
7
LIMJ
Genova Sestri
2,7
7
LIMJ
Genova Sestri
9,0
8
LIPH
Treviso San Angelo
2,7
8
LIRQ
Firenze/Peretola
8,4
9
LIPX
Verona Villafranca
2,6
9
LIPE
Bologna
6,2
10
LIRP
Pisa san Giusto
2,6
10
LIMF
Torino/Caselle
6,1
11
LIRQ
Firenze/Peretola
2,5
11
LIMC
Milano Malpensa
6,1
12
LIRN
Napoli Capodichino
2,3
12
LIPX
Verona Villafranca
6,0
13
LIMC
Milano Malpensa
2,2
13
LIEE
Cagliari Elmas
5,9
14
LIPB
Bolzano
2,1
14
LICJ
Palermo Punta Raisi
5,5
15
LIPY
Ancona Falconara
1,7
15
LICC
Catania Fontanarossa
5,3
High seasonality factor
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Business Aviation connects Italy, thereby contributing to internal cohesion •
Business aviation allows trips that could not be reasonably done with others transportation means > example MILAN
Main Italian city pairs connected by Business Aviation
PERUGIA
Milan – Perugia by highway= ~ 5 hours Milan – Florence >> Florence – Perugia = ~ 4-6 hours no direct connection Milan – Perugia = ~ 45 minutes
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These brands are unique. They fly the colours of Italy across the globe
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Thank you for your attention Grazie per la vostra attenzione