PROF ANDRÉ ROUX. Jan 1991 May 1995, Faculty of Military Science, South African National Defence Force, Senior Lecturer and Head of Department

PROF ANDRÉ ROUX Last name First name Title Position Area of Speciality Contact Details Tertiary Education Career (Academic) (Period, Employer, Job t...
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PROF ANDRÉ ROUX

Last name First name Title Position Area of Speciality Contact Details Tertiary Education

Career (Academic) (Period, Employer, Job title)

Roux André Associate Professor Director Institute for Futures Research Economics, Labour Economics, Futures Research, Scenario Planning Tel: (021) 918 4145 e-mail: [email protected] PhD (Stellenbosch) MComm (Stellenbosch) Hons BComm (Economics) (Stellenbosch) BComm (Stellenbosch) July1996 – present, Institute for Futures Research, USB, Director June 1995 – June 1996, Institute for Futures Research, USB, Deputy Director June 1995 – present, USB, Part-time lecturer 1985 – present, USB-ED, Guest lecturer (Economics, Scenarios, including courses presented in Namibia, Swaziland, Tanzania, Ghana and Nigeria) 1995 – present, Dept of Economics (Stell), Dept of Industrial Psychology (Stell), School of Public Management (Stell) and Post-graduate diploma in Managing HIV/AIDS in the work-place, Guest lecturer on post-graduate programmes 1998 – present, Initiator of and academic manager of M Phil (Futures Studies) programme Jan 1991 – May 1995, Faculty of Military Science, South African National Defence Force, Senior Lecturer and Head of Department February 1982 – November 1988, Faculty of Military Science, South African Defence Force, Junior Lecturer, Lecturer, Senior Lecturer

Career (Other) (Period, Employer, Job title) Areas of Expertise/ Responsibilities

January 1981 – December 1981, University of Stellenbosch, Junior Lecturer December 1988 – January 1991, Old Mutual, Economist

Director, Institute for Futures Research Co-ordination and management of the entire ambit of research activities of the IFR. Includes editing and monitoring of IFR research documents. Run various lectures, workshops and other context sessions with leaders and strategists in business and government. Particular interest in global and South African economic trends and developments. The IFR focuses on issues of a structural and long-term nature (political, economic, technological, social, demographic, natural resources), and bases its investigations on a systems/holistic approach. Approximately 115 corporate and government department clients.

Teaching and research supervision Membership and other Professional Activities

Research Interests

Publications and Research

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Member Management Committee of Bureau of Economic Research Member Management Committee of Institute for Futures Research Member Faculty Research Committee Editorial Board: Scientiae Militaria Panel adjudicator for National Budget Speech competition

Macro-economics Socio-economic development in Africa The economics of peace and defence Principles of Futures Research Scenario planning The socio-economic and demographic consequences of HIV/AIDS African country risk analysis Popular Publications Roux, A. Stuck in the middle of an income trap (II). Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(1). Roux, A. Budget Speech 2013: A structural overview. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(2). Roux, A. The state of the SA economy: On the one hand…. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(3). Roux, A. The world in 2030: Megatrends, game-changers and scenarios. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(4). Roux, A. Scoping the world economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(5). Roux, A. The volatile rand exchange rate: Business as usual. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(6). Roux, A. Africa’s economy: A statistical overview. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(7). Roux, A. South Africa's global competitiveness: The good, the bad, and the indifferent. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(8). Roux, A. The case for labour market reform in South Africa. Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(10). Roux, A. Economic prospects for 2014: Fair to middling? Strategy Insights: Economics 2013; 21(11). Roux, A. Budget speech 2012: Orthodoxy at all costs? Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(2). Roux, A. Economic growth in South Africa: An alternative perspective. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(3). Roux, A. Why is job creation so slow in South Africa? Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(4). Roux, A. The world economy: Facts, shifts and realities. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(5). Roux, A. Toward a comprehensive measure of wealth and sustainability. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(6). Roux, A. The IMF’s latest evaluation of the South African economy: Fair enough, but structural constraints becoming more compelling. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(7). Roux, A. The emergence of a new order in the wake of the global economic slowdown. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(8). Roux, A. Income and expenditure in South Africa, 2010/2011. Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(9). Roux, A. Stuck in the middle of an income trap (I). Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(10). Roux, A. Final consumption expenditure by households: Too much of a good thing? Strategy Insights: Economics 2012; 20(1). Roux, A. A socio-economic profile of South African households in 2010.

Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(8):1-5. Roux, A. Do current account imbalances matter? Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(3):1-3. Roux, A. Financial and economic crisis Version 2.0. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(9):1-4. Roux, A. Growing wealth means nothing without social cohesion. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(11):1-4. Roux, A. New risks and challenges on the path to global recovery. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(4):1-5. Roux, A. The new world of economics. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(1):1-3. Roux, A. The size, shape and feel of the world economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(5):1-5. Roux, A. The 2011 Budget Speech: Balancing cyclical recovery with long-term sustainability and development. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(2):1-5. Roux, A. Towards a long-term plan: The National Planning Commission's diagnosis of the broad challenges facing South Africa, with specific emphasis on the economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(6):1-5. Roux, A. Trade can make everyone better off - as long as you don't specialise in natural resources. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(7):1-4. Roux, A. Vision 2030: The economy and development. Strategy Insights: Economics 2011; 19(10):1-4. Roux, A. Brazil and South Africa: Unequal partners. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(4):1-5. Roux, A. Human development: New insights, new measurements, new policy considerations. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(10):1-5. Roux, A. Post-recession blues? Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(1):1-3. Roux, A. Poverty and income distribution in South Africa: Business as usual. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(3):1-4. Roux, A. Rediscovering Africa’s strategic importance. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(8):1-4. Roux, A. The OECD’s view of the South African economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(6):1-4. Roux, A. Turkey: A phoenix rising from the ashes? Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(9):1-3. Roux, A. Update on the size and shape of the world economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(5):1-5. Roux, A. Vietnam: Is this one of the next big stories? Strategy Insights: Economics 2010; 18(7):1-6. Roux, A. Revitalising the world economy: the case for fiscal stimulus. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(3):1-4. Roux, A. Saving (sacrificing) for better growth and development in SA. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(4):1-3. Roux, A. South Africa Vision 2025: Not a moment too soon. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(8):1-6. Roux, A. South Africa’s GDP: Update and provincial analysis. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(10):1-9. Roux, A. The 2009 budget speck: New rules, new ideas? Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(2):1-5. Roux, A. The end of recession? Managing a sustainable recovery. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(7):1-3. Roux, A. The world economy: Size, structure and realities. Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(6):1-6. Roux, A. To incentivise (internal) trade or not to incentivise: What is the real question? Strategy Insights: Economics 2009; 17(5):1-4. Roux, A. Further reflections on the conditions for growth in South Africa. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(6):1-4.

Roux, A. Household income in South Africa: Levels, sources and distribution. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(3):1-4. Roux, A. Household spending patterns in South Africa. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(4):1-5. Roux, A. Keeping the ship steady: Budget speech 2008. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(2):1-4. Roux, A. Measuring economic output: An international comparison Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(1):1-4. Roux, A. Raising potential output in the south African economy: The Harvard Group’s proposals. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(5):1-3. Roux, A. Reflections on the global financial Tsunami and its aftermath. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(9):1-2. Roux, A. The global crisis: The saga continues. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(10):1-3. Roux, A. The state and structure of the world economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(7):1-5. Roux, A. Unemployment in South Africa: New figures, same old story. Strategy Insights: Economics 2008; 16(8):1-8. Roux, A. A bird’s eye view of the world, sub-Saharan Africa, and South African economies. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 16(6):1-5. Roux, A. A note on South Africa’s GDP by province and sector. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(9):1-5. Roux, A. Africa and South Africa’s global competitiveness. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 16(7):1-4. Roux, A. Global risks over the next 10 years. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(1):1-4. Roux, A. Is a third Rand crisis imminent? Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(3):1-4. Roux, A. Is South Africa’s balance of payments still the ‘Achilles heel’ of the economy? Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(10):1-5. Roux, A. Long-term consumption trends in South Africa. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 16(8):1-4. Roux, A. Productivity improvements in the South African economy. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(11):1-4. Roux, A. South Africa’s economy 2008 and beyond: Risks and challenges. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(12):1-4. Roux, A. Spotlight on Indonesia. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 16(5):1-4. Roux, A. The longer term world economic outlook as an extension of current realities. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 15(2):1-4. Roux, A. Unemployment in South Africa: The good news continues, but the structural imbalances persist. Strategy Insights: Economics 2007; 16(4):1-6. Books Roux, A. 2008. Everyone’s guide to the South African economy (9th edition). Zebra: Cape Town. ISBN 1-86872-217-1. Other publications Roux, A (Ed). Business Futures 2013. [email protected], 10(1-12) Jan-Dec 2013. Roux, A (Ed). Business Futures 2012. [email protected], 9(1-12) Jan-Dec 2012. Roux, A (Ed). Business Futures 2011. Roux, A (Ed). Business Futures 2010. Roux, A (Ed). Business Futures 2009.

Roux, A. (Ed). Business Futures 2008. Roux, A. (Ed). 2007. Business Futures 2007. Research reports Roux, A. and Du Toit, J. 2008. Environmental scan for the energy industry. 324 pp.

Other Achievements

Roux, A. and Haldenwang, B. 2008. South Africa’s demographic and households income and expenditure trends. 41 pp. More than 60 speeches and radio/television interviews Approximately 180 presentations to senior management of top South African companies and government departments Facilitated a number of scenario exercises for leading SA organisations Visiting Fellow, 2–9 April: Curtin University Business School (Perth, Australia) Guest editor (with Paul Dunne): Special issue of Defence and Peace Economics, Vol 11, No 6 (2000) Awarded Rector’s Award for Teaching Excellence

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