INDONESIA’S LNG SUPPLY AND FUTURE DEVELOPMENT LNG Producer-Consumer Conference 2015 Japan, September 16th 2015 Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral | Energi Untuk Kesejahteraan Rakyat
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
AGENDA I. INDONESIA GAS RESERVE & PRODUCTION
II. FUTURE GAS & LNG PROJECT
III. Domestic Demand (Virtual Pipeline, Investment)
IV. CLOSING REMARKS
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
2
I. Indonesia Gas Reserve & Production
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
3
INDONESIA’S UPSTREAM OIL & GAS Lack of
Aging Production Fasility
Gas Infrastructure
Declining Reserved
Main Sources of Domestic Energy
Declining Production
Reserves Replacement Ratio ~50%
Decreasing Exploration Success Ratio
*) source: WoodMackenzie
Lenghty Exploration Process
Sumber : SKK Migas, DJMG
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Indonesia’s Gas Reserve ACEH (NAD)
7,51
NATUNA
NORTH SUMATRA
1.15
50.84 CENTRAL SUMATRA
7,06
13,99 PAPUA
EAST BORNEO SOUTH SUMATRA
23.42
2,56
17,9
CELEBES WEST JAVA
3,22 6,44
MOLUCCAS
15.21
EAST JAVA
(Advance Resources Interational, Inc., 2003 processed)
CBM RESOURCES = 453.30 TCF
GAS RESERVE PROVEN POTENTIAL TOTAL
= = =
As of January 1st 2014
100,26 TSCF 49,04 TSCF 149,30 TSCF
Total CBM Basin = 11 (Advance Resources International, Inc., 2003)
Contracts Signed up to Aug 2015 : 54CBM PSCs
SHALE GAS POTENTIAL= 574 TCF
Total Shale Gas Basin = 14 (Geology Agency, 2010)
1st Unconventional PSC was signed on May 2013, Currently 5 PSC
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
5
INDONESIA’S OIL AND GAS WORKING ACREAGES Produksi Eksplorasi
54 CBM PSC
5 SHLE GAS PSC
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
II. Future GAS & LNG Project
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
7
ONGOING FUTURE Gas Projects IDD
Natuna D-Alpha Production (YTD): Reserved 4,6TCF
Production: Bangka: 120 MMscfd (2016) Gehem Hub: 420 MMscfd (2020) Gendalo Hub: 700 MMscfd (2020)
JANGKRIK
DONGGI SENORO
Production (2017): 450 MMscfd, 4100 bopd RIAU ISLANDS
NORTH SUMATERA
KEPODANG
EAST KALIMANTAN
BUKIT TUA Production (2016): 20000 bopd 50 MMscfd SOUTH SUMATERA
Production : Senoro: 310 MMscfd (2015), 6000 bopd Donggi: 60 MMscfd (2016), Matindok : 65 MMscfd (2017), 500 bopd
PAPUA SOUTH SOUTHSULAWESI MAHAKAM 3
WEST
Production (2015): 120 MMscfd,
JTB-CJAVA
Production (2019)CENTRAL JAVA 330 MMscfd
EAST JAVA
Production (2019): 3,8 MTPA LNG , 3200 bopd
CENTRAL SULAWESI
Production CENTRAL(2015): 116 SUMATERA MMscfd LAMPUNG
TANGGUH TRAIN-3
ABADI MASELA
Production (2025): 990 MMscfd
MADURA BD Production (2016): 110 MMscfd, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Pengembangan Lapangan Gas Secara Lebih Optimal Akan Membutuhkan Dukungan Infrastruktur Yang Memadai Sebaran Cadangan Gas di Indonesia, (source: Indonesian Annual Reserve Report as of 1-1-2014)
Sebaran Permintaan Gas (Contracted) di Indonesia, (source: Indonesian Gas Balance Report as of Q1 2015) 8.2%
Indonesia (19%)
100% 90%
80%
80%
70%
70%
60%
60%
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
30%
DONE
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
0%
World’s Reserves
Asia Pacific’s Reserves
MASELA
Demands until 2030 (in TCF)
90%
Donggi Senoro
Legends : Proven Reserves (in TCF)
100%
IDD
Natuna D-Alpha
(source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2014)
Tangguh Train 3
Indonesia contributes 19% of total Asia Pacific gas reserves
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
III. Domestic Demand
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
10
GAS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES 2015 – 2025
INVESTMENT Pipeline USD 8.5 billion
Liquefaction & Regasification USD 8 billion
LPG USD 0.42 billion
Gas Station USD 13 billion
City Gas USD 2.5 billion
TOTAL USD 32.42 billion
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
11
35.000 MW ELECTRICITY PROJECT à Opportunity as an Anchor Buyer 86 MMSCFD 267 MMSCFD
147 MMSCFD
1.091 MW
2.867 MW
1.83 0 MW 423 MMSCFD 6.754 MW
450 MW
48 MMSCFD 440 MW
38 MMSCFD
TOTAL GAS NEEDED: 1.009 MMSCFD TOTAL POWER: 13.432 MW (38%) Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
12
VIRTUAL PIPELINE FOR GAS POWER PLANT IN PAPUA & MALUKU
Gas Salawati
1.524 NM 144.4 MMSCFD PLTMG Biak 15 MW
MPP Papua Barat (Manokwari) 20 MW PLTMG Bintuni 10 MW
862 NM 78.6 MMSCFD
PLTMG Serui 10 MW
Gas Bintuni
MPP Papua (Jayapura) 50 MW PLTMG Jayapura Peaker 40 MW
PLTMG Fak-Fak 10 MW
PLTMG Seram Peaker 20 MW PLTMG Namlea 10 MW
PLTMG Nabire 20 MW MPP Maluku (Ambon) 70 MW PLTMG Ambon Peaker 30 MW
PLTMG Timika Peaker 10 MW
PLTMG Langgur 20 MW
PLTMG Saumlaki 10 MW
HUBPLTMG
Dobo 10 MW
1.494 NM 15 MMSCFD PLTMG Merauke 20 MW
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
V. Closing Remarks
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
14
INDONESIA GAS BALANCE YEAR 2015 - 2030 STARTING GAS IMPORT
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
Closing Remarks Prospective of Indonesia Gas Supply Development from Conventionalmand Unconvetional encourage with some Attracrive Incentive Challenging
1 2
Gas Demand for the next 5 years: 8,679 MMSCFD (1.2x from current demand)
3
4
INVESTMENT NEEDED
Virtual Pipeline for Eastern Part of Indonesia To initiate this, the anchor buyer will be for electricity sector and develop the area surrounds it. ASEAN LNG Hub (Hub for LNG price reference in ASEAN territory) Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
16
www.esdm.go.id
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Republic of Indonesia
17
