€
HUPX Day-Ahead Market Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010
HUPX Annual report (20 July – 31 December 2010)
Since the successful beginning of HUPX Day-Ahead Market the monthly increase of the daily volume was 515,75 MWh on average, and in December the average traded volume reached 3 655 MWh. The total traded volume from the launch (20th July) was 418 293 MWh, which corresponds to approximately 2,5 % of the total Hungarian gross electricity usage of the given period and 3,2% in December.
The Hungarian power exchange provided transparency and brought the domestic prices closer to the regional prices. The difference between HUPX prices compared to neighbouring exchanges and the OTC market is decreasing, thanks to the activity of cross-border trading.
By the end of the year the number of HUPX Members reached 22. Majority of the market players currently active on the Hungarian and regional electricity market are already well represented among the HUPX members. Besides the German, Czech, English, Danish, Serbian, Romanian, Slovenian and naturally Hungarian members already presented on the HUPX market, there are prospective British, Hungarian, Italian and German participants.
page 1
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
I.
Membership
List of the Members
.
Members Alpiq Energy SE CEZ, a.s. Danske Commodities A/S E.ON Energy Trading SE EDF DÉMÁSZ Zrt. Energy Financing Team (Switzerland) AG GDF SUEZ Energia Magyaroszág Zrt. GEN-I d.o.o. Holding Slovenske Elektrarne d.o.o. JAS Budapest Zrt. Magyar Áramszolgáltató Kft. Mátrai Erőmű Zrt. MVM Partner Zrt. Statkraft Markets GmbH
page 2
EDF Trading Limited Ezpada s.r.o. Gazprom Marketing & Trading Ltd MAVIR Zrt. Mercuria Enegy Trading S.A ÓAM Ózdi Acélművek Kft. Repower Trading Ceska republika s.r.o S.C. Tinmar S.A
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Growth in the number of members
Number of Admitted Members 23
21 19
HUPX launched the Day-Ahead Market with 10 members in 21st of July 2010. Thanks to successful start and the improving liquidity more and more company applied for admission to the HUPX DayAhead Market. The average accession was 2 admitted members per month, which resulted in 22 participants on the HUPX Day-Ahead Market by the end of the year. The distribution between the admitted members represents a wide range of nationalities next to the 36,36 % part of Hungarian companies.
17 15 13 11 9
page 3
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
II.
HUPX Day-Ahead Market results
Description
2010
Description
2010
HUPX Base Average Price (EUR/MWh)*
53,20
Total Volume (MWh)
HUPX Peak Average Price (EUR/MWh)*
68,33
Average Daily Traded Volume (MWh)
2 550,6
HUPX Base Trimmed Mean Price (EUR/MWh)**
46,66
Highest Daily Traded Volume (MWh)
6 541,1
HUPX Peak Trimmed Mean Price (EUR/MWh)**
55,04
Lowest Daily Traded Volume(MWh)
231,0
OTC Base Trimmed Mean Price (EUR/MWh)**
46,70
Highest Hourly Traded Volume (MWh)
469,0
OTC Peak Trimmed Mean Price (EUR/MWh)** Diff. BL. HUPX↔OTC
59,47
Lowest Hourly Traded Volume(MWh)
Diff. PL.
HUPX↔OTC
0,16
418 293,2
Average Hourly Traded Volume (MWh)
2 999,26
Lowest Traded Price (EUR/MWh)
0,01
DAM - Weekdays
01-24 (Baseload)
Average Daily Traded Volume (MWh) DAM - Weekend
Average Daily Turnover (EUR)
106,2
1,15
Highest Traded Price (EUR/MWh)
Total Turnover (EUR)
0,0
22 336 507,45
2 743,4 01-24 (Baseload)
Average Daily Traded Volume (MWh)
2 056,0
136 198,22
Max. Daily Turnover (EUR)
2 671 657,01
Min. Daily Turnover (EUR)
8 785,73
DAM - Weekdays
09-20 (Peakload)
Average Daily Traded Volume (MWh) DAM - Weekend
1 460,1 09-20 (Peakload)
Average Daily Traded Volume (MWh)
1 017,9
Note: *The average price contains all the hourly prices in the examined periods. **Trimmed Mean is a special average which shows monthly mean prices considering all prices except for the two lowest and the two highest. We applied this indicator to avoid from distortion of the results. Mean is very sensitive to extreme values.
page 4
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Performance of HUPX DAM from launch (Delivery Day: 21.07.2010-31.12.2010)
HUPX's prices and volumes 7 000
100
90 6 000 80 5 000
70
MWh
50
3 000
40 30
2 000
20 1 000 10 0
0
DATE
INDEX VOLUME
page 5
INDEX PRICE
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
EUR/MWh
60
4 000
Analysis of Prices HUPX prices are compared to relevant neighbouring exchanges’ prices
HUPX vs. Neighbouring Exchanges (BASE Prices) 80
70
EUR/MWh
60
50
40
30
20
10 2010.07.21
2010.08.04
2010.08.18
2010.09.01
2010.09.15
HUPX
page 6
2010.09.29
2010.10.13
Germany/Austria EPEXSPOT
EXAA
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
2010.10.27
OPCOM
2010.11.10
2010.11.24
2010.12.08
2010.12.22
ISOT
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Spread between HUPX and relevant power exchanges Hourly spread – 21st July – 31st December Hourly spread - HUPX to EPEX DE/AT (21/07-31/12)
Hourly spread - HUPX to EXAA (21/07-31/12)
4,00
4,00
2,00
2,00
0,00
0,00 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
EUR
-2,00
EUR
-2,00
-4,00
-4,00
-6,00
-6,00
-8,00
-8,00
-10,00
-10,00
Hours
Hours
Hourly spread - HUPX to OPCOM* (21/07-31/12)
Hourly spread - HUPX to ISOT (21/07-31/12)
16,00
3,00
14,00
2,00
12,00
1,00
10,00
0,00
8,00
-1,00
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
EUR
EUR
1
6,00
-2,00
4,00
-3,00
2,00
-4,00
0,00
-5,00 1
-2,00
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Hours
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24 -6,00
Hours
*Export and import fees are not included.
page 7
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Hourly trimmed mean prices on HUPX (Delivery Day: 21.07.2010-31.12.2010)
Hourly trimmed mean prices on HUPX 65 59,45
58,29
60 55,32
56,19
59,70
57,17 56,43
53,72
55
56,18
51,52 51,27
EUR
50
48,67
50,77
49,62
48,99 47,65
45 41,54
40 35
40,05
AVG Trimmed
34,28 32,57
29,11
30
27,42
25
26,81
25,50
20 H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H6
H7
H8
H9 H10 H11 H12 H13 H14 H15 H16 H17 H18 H19 H20 H21 H22 H23 H24
Hours
page 8
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Analysis of Volumes Increase of total traded volumes on HUPX DAM month by month
Monthly Volumes 140 000
113 297,1
120 000
91 401,9
100 000
MWh
Monthly volumes Increase MWh July* 11 281,6 August 49 341,8 38 060,2 September 69 637,8 20 296,0 October 83 333,0 13 695,2 November 91 401,9 8 068,9 December 113 297,1 21 895,2 Average 69 715,5 20 403,1
83 333,0 69 637,8
80 000
49 341,8
60 000
40 000 20 000
11 281,6
0 July*
August
337 %
September
41 %
October
19 %
November
9%
December
24 %
*HUPX DAM was launched on 20th July 2010.
page 9
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Increase of total average daily traded volumes on HUPX DAM month by month
July August September October November December Average
MWh 1 025,6 1 591,7 2 321,3 2 688,2 3 046,7 3 654,7 2 388,0
Average Daily Volumes
Increase 4 000
566,1 729,6 366,9 358,5 608 525,8
3 654,7
3 500
3 046,7 3 000
2 688,2 2 321,3
2 500
MWh
Average daily volumes
2 000
1 591,7 1 500
1 025,6 1 000 500 0
July
August
55 %
page 10
September
46 %
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
October
16 %
November
13 %
December
20 %
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Hourly total volumes on HUPX (Delivery Day: 21.07.2010-31.12.2010)
HUPX hourly total volumes 25 000
20 000
MWh
15 000
10 000
5 000
0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H6
H7
H8
H9
H10
H11
H12
H13
H14
H15
H16
H17
H18
H19
H20
H21
H22
H23
H24
AGR 16 169 15 875 15 956 16 437 16 717 17 725 17 690 16 618 15 556 14 889 16 871 18 880 20 163 18 574 19 411 19 582 20 536 18 531 17 820 18 352 17 029 16 240 16 332 16 275
page 11
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Hourly average volumes on HUPX (Delivery Day: 21.07.2010-31.12.2010)
HUPX hourly average volumes 140,0
120,0
100,0
MWh
80,0
60,0
40,0
20,0
0,0
AVG
page 12
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H6
H7
H8
H9
H10
H11
H12
H13
H14
H15
H16
H17
H18
H19
H20
H21
H22
H23
H24
98,6
96,8
97,3
100,2
101,9
108,1
107,9
101,3
94,9
90,8
102,9
115,1
123,0
113,3
118,4
119,4
125,2
113,0
108,7
111,9
103,8
99,0
99,6
99,2
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045
Volumes in single hours (MW) 60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0-50
50-100
100-150
150-200
200-250
250+
July
38,39%
51,97%
9,65%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
August
22,39%
32,93%
17,06%
9,76%
10,31%
7,55%
September
8,29%
19,52%
23,26%
23,94%
18,20%
6,79%
October
6,55%
20,08%
20,56%
19,25%
16,76%
16,79%
November
3,41%
17,05%
23,56%
27,35%
16,38%
12,25%
December
0,30%
12,55%
27,67%
22,69%
14,39%
22,40%
Note: The bar chart shows the traded volumes in single hours in the examined period. (21.07.2010.-31.12.2010.) We categorized the results according to the traded volume of each hour. The distribution between the categories moved to the direction of higher volumes. This trend was already shown by the last monthly results. The monthly reports and this yearly chart shows an increasing liquidity on the HUPX Day-Ahead Market due to the higher traded volumes in each hour. We expect that this trend will continue, which based on the thriving number of admitted members. page 13
For information purposes only HUPX Day-Ahead Market
Delivery date: 21/07/2010-31/12/2010 HUPX-PEL-2011-0045