Energy Tools for Analysing the Integration of Renewable Energy David Connolly Assistant Professor Aalborg University Denmark
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
2 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Terminology: Tool vs. Model • An energy systems analysis tool is a piece of software used to evaluate energy systems • These tools are used to create different models • The EnergyPLAN tool was used in the CEESA project to create a 100% renewable energy model for Denmark
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Learning Objectives • To learn about the characteristics of the energy tools identified during a review • To understand the variety of metrics used to compare the tools • To take home a useful guide for choosing a suitable tool in the future
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The Review Paper • Aim “A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems” • Methodology
Send a survey to tool developers (Jan-July 2009) Prepare a short overview of each tool Compare tools
• Result
“A Signpost Paper” for renewable energy analysis
5 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Included in the Final Paper • 69 Energy Tools Considered • 37 Included in Final Analysis i.e. Survey • Identified the following for each tool: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
General Information Typical Applications Technologies Considered Type of Tool (Definitions Created) Renewable Energy Simulated
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Part 1 General Information Tools Contacts Number of Downloads/Sales Costs Versions to Date Training
7
Energy Tools Tool
Contact
Tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012 Contact
1
Aeolius
Dominik Möst
20
MARKAL/TIMES
Gary Goldstein
2
Balmorel
Hans Ravn
21
Mesap PlaNet
Fiona Baumhögger
3
BCHP Screening Tool
Mike MacDonald
22
MESSAGE
Volker Krey
4
COMPOSE
Morten Boje Blarke
23
NEMS
Paul Kondis
5
E4cast
Dr Arif Syed
24
ORCED
Stanton Hadley
6
EMCAS
Guenter Conzelmann
25
ObjECTS-MiniCAM
Son H. Kim
7
EMINENT
Raquel Segurado
26
PERSEUS
Dominik Möst
8
EMPS
Nils Flataboe
27
PRIMES
P. Capros
9
EnergyPLAN
Henrik Lund
28
ProdRisk
Birger Mo
10
energyPRO
Anders N. Andersen
29
RAMSES
Sigurd Lauge Pedersen
11
ENPEP-BALANCE
Guenter Conzelmann
30
RETScreen
Kevin Bourque
12
GTMax
Guenter Conzelmann
31
SimREN
H.Lehmann
13
H2RES
Neven Duic
32
SIVAEL
Jens Pedersen
14
HOMER
Tom Lambert
33
STREAM
Alexandros Filippidis
15
HYDROGEMS
Øystein Ulleberg
34
TRNSYS
Matt Duffy
16
IKARUS
Dag Martinsen
35
UniSyD
Dr Jonathan Leaver
17
INFORSE
Gunnar Boye Olesen
36
WASP
Ahmed Irej Jalal
18
Invert
Michael Stadler
37
Wilmar Planning tool
Peter Meibom
19
LEAP
Charles Heaps
8 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Cost Not Available
Not For Sale
Free
Free With Conditions
Cost
Aeolius
EMINENT
Balmorel
LEAP
SimREN
EMCAS
INFORSE
BCHP Screening Tool
MESSAGE
IKARUS
$250
GTMax
RAMSES
COMPOSE
SIVAEL
E4cast
$1500 per day
H2RES
EnergyPLAN
WASP
energyPRO
PERSEUS
ENPEP-BALANCE
PRIMES
HOMER
ProdRisk
Invert
UniSyD
NEMS
Wilmar Planning tool
ObjECTS-MiniCAM
E3database
$20,000
ORCED
EMPS
$78,000
RETScreen STREAM
TRNSYS HYDROGEM S MARKAL/ TIMES Mesap PlaNet
Amount (US$) Depends on projects
$2700 to $5600 $4200 Comm. $2100 Edu. $5500 $5000 to $20,000 $11,500
9 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Number of Downloads/Sales Not Available
0
1-20
20-100
100-1000
1000+
Amount
Balmorel
EMINENT
Aeolius
EMCAS
EnergyPLAN
BCHP Screening Tool
2,000
E4cast
PRIMES
COMPOSE
EMPS
energyPRO
LEAP
5,000
H2RES
IKARUS
ENPEPBALANCE
Invert
HOMER
28,000
HYDROGEMS
INFORSE
GTMax
MARKAL/ TIMES
RETScreen
187,320
ORCED
Mesap PlaNet
MESSAGE
SimREN
NEMS
ObjECTSMiniCAM
STREAM
PERSEUS
TRNSYS
UniSyD
ProdRisk
WASP
Wilmar Planning tool
RAMSES SIVAEL
10
Versions Released Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast model EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ObjECTS-MiniCAM ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
0
10
20 30 Number of Versions
40
50
Training Time
11
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast model EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ObjECTS-MiniCAM ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
0
2
4
6 Number of Weeks
8
10
12
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See Tables 1 & 2 in the Journal Paper
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Part 2 Typical Application Feasible Regions Typical Regions Time Step Longest Time-Duration
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Part 2 Typical Application Feasible Regions Typical Regions Time Step Longest Time-Duration
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Feasible Vs. Typical • Feasible Regions: The regions that the tool is CAPABLE of modelling ▫ This is not discussed here due to the level of detail that is required.
• Typical Regions: The regions that the tool is most COMMONLY used for
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Typical Regions
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Tool
Typical Region
Tool
Typical Region
MESSAGE
Global
Mesap PlaNet
National/State/Regional
ObjECTS-MiniCAM
Global and Regional
NEMS
National/State/Regional
BALMOREL
International
ORCED
National/State/Regional
EMPS
International
PRIMES
National/State/Regional
PERSEUS
International
ProdRisk
National/State/Regional
RAMSES
International
SimREN
National/State/Regional
Wilmar Planning tool
International
SIVAEL
National/State/Regional
AEOLIUS
National/State/Regional
STREAM
National/State/Regional
E4cast
National/State/Regional
UniSyD
National/State/Regional
EMCAS
National/State/Regional
WASP
National/State/Regional
EMINENT
National/State/Regional
H2RES
Island
EnergyPLAN
National/State/Regional
HOMER
Local/Community
ENPEP-BALANCE
National/State/Regional
BCHP Screening Tool
Single-Project Investigation
GTMax
National/State/Regional
COMPOSE
Single-Project Investigation
IKARUS
National/State/Regional
energyPRO
Single-Project Investigation
INFORSE
National/State/Regional
HYDROGEMS
Single-Project Investigation
Invert
National/State/Regional
TRNSYS
Single-Project Investigation
LEAP
National/State/Regional
RETScreen
User Defined
MARKAL/TIMES
National/State/Regional
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Time Step vs. Duration • The Duration is the length of time that the tool can simulate • The Time-Step is the steps used • Example: EnergyPLAN uses a 1 hour timestep over a 1 year duration
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Time Step Tool
Time-Step
Tool
Time-Step
Mesap PlaNet
Any
COMPOSE
Hourly
TRNSYS16
Seconds
MARKAL/TIMES
Hourly, Daily, Monthly using user-defined time slices
HOMER
Minutes
PERSEUS
Based on Typical Days with 36 to 72 slots for one year
SimREN
Minutes
EMPS
Weekly (With a LDC representing fluctuations within the week)
AEOLIUS
Minutes
UniSyD3.0
Bi-weekly
HYDROGEMS
Minutes
RETScreen
Monthly
energyPRO
Minutes
WASP
12 Load Duration Curves for a year
EnergyPLAN
Hourly
E4cast
Yearly
SIVAEL
Hourly
EMINENT
Yearly
STREAM
Hourly
IKARUS
Yearly
Wilmar Planning Tool
Hourly
PRIMES
Years
RAMSES
Hourly
INFORSE
Yearly
BALMOREL
Hourly
ENPEP-BALANCE
Yearly
GTMax
Hourly
LEAP
Yearly
H2RES
Hourly
Invert
Yearly
BCHP Screening Tool
Hourly
NEMS
Yearly
ORCED
Hourly
MESSAGE
5 Years
EMCAS
Hourly
MiniCAM
15 Years
ProdRisk
Hourly
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Longest Time Duration 1 Year
Multiple Years
20-50 Years
2050
50+ Years
No Limit
AEOLIUS
EMPS
BALMOREL
IKARUS
ENPEP-BALANCE
COMPOSE
BCHP Screening Tool
ProdRisk
E4cast
PRIMES
INFORSE
EMCAS
EMINENT
TRNSYS
energyPRO
MESSAGE
GTMax
EnergyPLAN
Invert
ObjECTSMiniCAM
H2RES
HOMER
MARKAL/TIMES
LEAP
HYDROGEMS
NEMS
Mesap PlaNet
ORCED
PERSEUS
SimREN
SIVAEL
RAMSES
STREAM
RETScreen
Wilmar Planning tool
UniSyD WASP
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See Table 4 in the Journal Paper
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Part 3 Technologies Considered Energy System Sectors Generation Technologies Renewable Energy Technologies Storage and Conversion Technologies Transport Technologies Focus on Specific Technology?
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Tools that Focus on Specific Technologies Energy Tool
Focus
Aeolius
Focus on the impact of fluctuating energy carriers (wind, PV) on the conventional electricity system.
BCHP Screening Tool
Combined Heat & Power
COMPOSE
Cogeneration with electric boiler or compression heat pump
E4cast
Wind power
EMPS
Hydro power
HYDROGEMS
RE/H2-based stand-alone power systems
Invert
Heat pumps, conventional heating-systems, solar thermal, etc.
ProdRisk
Hydro power
23 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Energy Sectors Considered Energy Sector
% of Tools
Electricity Generation
97.4%
District Heating
71.8%
Transport
61.5%
Industry
59%
Individual House Heating
51.3%
Other
51.3%
24 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Generation Technologies Considered Generation Technology
% of Tools
Thermal Power Plants
94.9%
Combined Heat & Power
92.3%
Biomass Power Plants
92.3%
Nuclear Power Plants
74.4%
Other
61.5%
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Renewable Technologies Considered Renewable Technology
% of Tools
Wind
94.9%
Photovoltaic
84.6%
Hydro
84.6%
Geothermal
74.4%
Solar Thermal
69.2%
Wave
51.3%
Tidal
43.6%
Other
35.9%
26 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Storage and Conversion Technologies Considered Storage & Conversion Technology
% of Tools
Pumped Hydroelectric Energy Storage
64.1%
Battery Energy Storage
56.4%
Hydrogen Production
51.3%
Hydrogen Consumption
43.6%
Hydrogen Storage
41.0%
Compressed-Air Energy Storage
35.9%
Other
28.2%
None
7.7%
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Transport Technologies Considered Transport Technology
% of Tools
Battery Electric Vehicles
48.7%
Internal Combustion Vehicles
41.0%
Hydrogen Vehicles
38.5%
Vehicle to Grid (V2G)
35.9%
Rail
35.9%
Aviation
35.9%
Intelligent Battery Electric Vehicles
28.2%
Hybrid Vehicles
25.6%
Other
38.5%
None
35.9%
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Part 4 Type of Energy Tool Definitions Results
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Definitions (1 of 2) 1. Simulation tool: Typically a simulation tool is operated in hourly time-steps over a one-year time-period. 2. Scenario tool: Typically scenario tools function in time-steps of 1 year and combine such annual results into a scenario of typically 20-50 years. 3. Equilibrium tool: It is often assumed that agents are price takers and that equilibrium can be identified.
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Definitions (2 of 2) 4. A top-down tool is a macroeconomic tool using general macroeconomic data. 5. A bottom-up tool identifies and analyses the specific energy technologies. 6. Operation optimisation tools optimise the operation of a given energy-system. 7. Investment optimisation tools optimise the investments in an energy-system.
Tool AEOLIUS BALMOREL BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE MiniCAM NEMS ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS16 UniSyD3.0 WASP WILMAR Planning Tool
Type Simulation Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Scenario Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -
Equilibrium Partial Yes Yes Yes Partial Partial Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -
Top-Down Yes Yes Partly Yes -
Bottom-Up Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -
Operation Optimisation Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
31
Investment Optimisation Yes Aalborg, -Denmark 18 Yes April 2012 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes -
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Example of Definitions
Tool
HOMER
Type Top- BottomOperation Simulation Scenario Equilibrium Down Up Optimisation
Yes
-
-
-
Yes
Yes
Investment Optimisation
Yes
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Part 5 Renewable Energy (RE) Ability to Simulate 100% RE RE penetrations to date
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Can the Tool Simulate a 100% RE System? Tool
100% RES
Tool
100% RES
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E3database E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE
Yes Yes No No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE
Yes Yes No No No Yes Yes No Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Invert
Yes
LEAP
Yes
NEMS
ORCED ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
35 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Can the Tool Simulate a 100% RE System? Tool
100% RES
Tool
100% RES
Aeolius Balmorel
Yes Yes
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet
Yes Yes
E3database E4cast EMCAS
Yes Yes Yes
ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS
Yes Yes
EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
ProdRisk
Yes
RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Invert
Yes
LEAP
Yes
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% of Electricity from RE
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Tool
% Electricity
Tool
% Electricity
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert
60 50 25 100 20 60 100 100 100 20 20 100 100 50 30 100 100
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ORCED ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
80 100 70 32 50 100 100 50 100 60 100 100 100 50
LEAP
100
95 20 50
37
% of Heat from RE Tool
% Heat
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert
80 100 50 15 100 100
LEAP
100
50
100 40 100 100 20
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Tool
% Heat
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ORCED ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
80 100 60 5 20 50 100 60 100 100 80 80 90 50
38
% of Transport from RE Tool
% Transport
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert
100 100 100 20
LEAP
100
10
100
100 10 20 100 100
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Tool
% Transport
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ORCED ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
60 100 55 12 50 20
100 20 55 50
39
% Electricity Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast model EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ObjECTS-MiniCAM ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
0
20
40 60 % Renewable Energy Simulated
80
100
40
% Heat Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast model EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ObjECTS-MiniCAM ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
0
20
40 60 % Renewable Energy Simulated
80
100
% Transport
41
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast model EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert LEAP MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ObjECTS-MiniCAM ORCED PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
0
20
40 60 % Renewable Energy Simulated
80
100
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Final Energy Consumption: Ireland
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See Table 5 in the Journal Paper
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How Can You Use these Results?
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100% RES To Date 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.
E4cast EnergyPLAN energyPRO INFORSE Invert LEAP Mesap PlaNet SimREN
46 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Typical Regions for these Tools Tool
Typical Region
Tool
Typical Region
Aeolius Balmorel BCHP Screening Tool COMPOSE E4cast EMCAS EMINENT EMPS EnergyPLAN energyPRO ENPEP-BALANCE GTMax H2RES HOMER HYDROGEMS IKARUS INFORSE Invert
National/State/Regional International Single-Project Investigation Single-Project Investigation National/State/Regional National/State/Regional National/State/Regional International National/State/Regional Single-Project Investigation National/State/Regional National/State/Regional Island Local/Community Single-Project Investigation National/State/Regional National/State/Regional National/State/Regional
MARKAL/TIMES Mesap PlaNet MESSAGE NEMS ORCED ObjECTS-MiniCAM PERSEUS PRIMES ProdRisk RAMSES RETScreen SimREN SIVAEL STREAM TRNSYS UniSyD WASP Wilmar Planning tool
National/State/Regional National/State/Regional Global National/State/Regional National/State/Regional Global and Regional International National/State/Regional National/State/Regional International User Defined National/State/Regional National/State/Regional National/State/Regional Global National/State/Regional National/State/Regional International
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Typical Regions for these Tools Tool
Typical Region
E4cast
National/State/Regional
EnergyPLAN energyPRO
National/State/Regional Single-Project Investigation
INFORSE Invert
National/State/Regional National/State/Regional
Tool
Typical Region
Mesap PlaNet
National/State/Regional
SimREN
National/State/Regional
48 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Typical Regions for these Tools Tool
Typical Region
E4cast
National/State/Regional
EnergyPLAN
National/State/Regional
INFORSE Invert
National/State/Regional National/State/Regional
Tool
Typical Region
Mesap PlaNet
National/State/Regional
SimREN
National/State/Regional
49 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Time Step Tool
Time-Step
Mesap PlaNet
Any
SimREN
Minutes
EnergyPLAN
Hourly
Tool
Time-Step
E4cast
Yearly
INFORSE
Yearly
LEAP
Yearly
Invert
Yearly
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Time Step Tool
Time-Step
Mesap PlaNet
Any
SimREN
Minutes
EnergyPLAN
Hourly
Tool
Time-Step
51 Aalborg, Denmark 18 April 2012
Conclusions • There is a large variety of tools available with many different perspectives and technologies • The ‘best’ energy tool will be defined by the problem you wish to solve (i.e. your perspective) more than the abilities of the tool
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Recap on Learning Objectives • To learn about the characteristics of the energy tools identified during a review • To understand the variety of metrics used to compare the tools • To take home a useful guide for choosing a suitable tool in the future
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Questions or Feedback? www.dconnolly.net Connolly D, Lund H, Mathiesen BV, Leahy M. A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems. Applied Energy 2010;87(4):1059-1082.