AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
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AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
AEROSPACE VALUATION AND M&A TRANSACTION DATA STOCK PERFORMANCE AND TRADING MULTIPLES ( $ in millions)
CY2016E
Aircraft OEMs
Rev enue
Bombardier Boeing Airbus Embraer
CY2016E
CY2016E
Current
Market
EBITDA EBITDA Margin Stock Price
$17,013 94,092 74,182 5,992
$712 7,666 7,107 763
4.2% 8.1% 9.6% 12.7%
Cap
$1.56 132.75 60.44 5.29
% of 52-Wk High
Stock Price
EV / CY 2016E EBITDA
YoY Change
$3,481 83,867 43,628 3,333
85.6% 88.2% 81.3% 64.9%
67.2% (5.4%) (19.2%) (39.2%)
$4,425 15,202 3,798 1,836 392 5,028 1,364 11,056 1,941 1,270 4,672 4,177 2,232 1,107 1,211 2,200 99 2,235 28,997 251 767 1,587 829 5,874 6,928 3,455 6,341
88.5% 90.3% 94.5% 84.0% 94.3% 96.5% 92.3% 91.2% 80.1% 70.3% 75.4% 79.5% 65.4% 63.9% 95.2% 79.3% 70.0% 80.7% 82.1% 85.7% 91.5% 74.4% 86.3% 80.2% 91.0% 90.7% 76.8%
36.3% 18.4% 30.1% 17.2% 20.9% (2.7%) (5.9%) (2.7%) (2.9%) (22.5%) (5.3%) (16.0%) (10.8%) (10.1%) 13.5% (8.2%) (39.2%) 1.3% (12.7%) (5.2%) (1.3%) (39.1%) (7.7%) (17.7%) 7.3% 19.5% (31.1%)
$11,454 88,345 30,765 3,985 16,750 91,342 19,012 3,807 10,956 280,039
82.2% 97.5% 91.6% 94.3% 91.1% 92.6% 77.0% 90.1% 88.4% 93.4%
(13.0%) 11.0% 15.4% 32.3% 11.5% 10.5% 5.5% 19.4% (6.0%) 21.7%
15.1x
Bombardie r, Inc.
11.7x
TheBoeingC o.
7.1x 6.5x
Air bus GroupS E
Embra re SA
Median: 9.4x
Aerospace Equipment and Structural Components HEICO TransDigm Group Woodward RBC Bearings Heroux-Dev tek B/E Aerospace Wesco Aircraft Rockwell Collins KLX Aerospace Senior Meggitt Hexcel Esterline Technologies Astronics Kaman Moog LMI Aerospace Barnes Group Safran Ducommun Magellan Aerospace Triumph Group AAR Spirit AeroSystems GKN BBA Av iation Zodiac Aerospace
$1,386 3,189 2,006 631 326 2,873 1,505 5,299 1,571 1,162 2,509 2,018 1,971 667 1,855 2,422 349 1,227 20,289 558 788 3,625 1,761 6,745 11,233 2,741 5,852
$325 1,494 323 154 54 611 202 1,259 230 164 603 460 262 114 170 305 41 278 3,848 54 134 445 139 980 1,300 413 506
23.4% 46.9% 16.1% 24.4% 16.7% 21.3% 13.4% 23.8% 14.6% 14.2% 24.0% 22.8% 13.3% 17.1% 9.2% 12.6% 11.7% 22.7% 19.0% 9.7% 16.9% 12.3% 7.9% 14.5% 11.6% 15.1% 8.7%
$65.79 261.47 58.49 73.74 11.62 49.12 13.92 86.74 32.86 3.31 5.78 42.26 63.05 35.46 42.75 53.86 8.57 33.62 67.17 20.61 14.38 38.95 23.24 45.08 4.23 3.13 25.16
Tra nsDigmGr oup,I nc.
Woodward, Inc.
RBCBea r ings,I nc.
$3,864 40,280 19,963 2,155 11,361 57,279 17,507 2,713 14,160 126,180
$1,003 8,460 3,321 411 1,592 10,765 1,978 456 1,666 20,953
26.0% 21.0% 16.6% 19.1% 14.0% 18.8% 11.3% 16.8% 11.8% 16.6%
$46.84 117.06 62.29 85.18 113.78 101.70 9.32 59.21 38.85 30.83
BEAerospac e,I nc.
Wesc oAir rc fa t H ol idgns, I cn. Wesc oAir cr af t H ol dings, I nc.
Rockwel lColl ins, Inc.
KLX,I nc.
Senior Plc
Meggit t P lc
Hexcel Corp.
Est er line Tec hnologie s Corp. Est er lineTec hnologie s Corp.
Ast ronic sCorp.
KamanCorp.
Moog,Inc.
LMI Aer ospac e, I nc.
Bar nes Group,I nc.
Saf ra nSA
Ducommun,Inc.
Magel anAeros pace Corp.
Magel anAeros pace Corp.
Tri umphGroup,I nc.
AARCorp.
Spiri A t eroSyset ms Hlodigns I, cn. Spiri tAeroSyste ms Holdings ,I nc.
GKNPlc
BBAAvia tionPlc
Zodi ac Aerospac e SA
Number of Deals
8.5x
9.9x 9.8x 26
15 10 10
12
11
9
12.0x 10.0x
21
20 15
11.5x 11.5x
9.7x 17
18
8.0x
12
10
6.0x 4.0x
5
2.0x
0
Median EBITDA Multiple
25
14.0x
12.5x
9.8x 23 9.0x 9.3x 9.2x
Eat onCorp. Plc
Curti s -Wr ightCorp.
Par ker- Hannif inCorp.
Unite dTec hnologie sCorp. Unite dTec hnologie sCorp.
Rolsl -RoyceHoldinsgPlc Rolls -Royce HoldingsPlc
Cra ne C o.
Textr on,Inc.
Date
Target
Aug-16
Axiom Materials
Aug-16
ZTM, Inc.
NM
Jul-16
CTS Engines
Jul-16
Univ ersal Turbine Parts
Jul-16 Jul-16
200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8 200 9 201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4 201 5 201 6
Financial
SR Technics North Coast Composites & North Coast Tool and Mold
Jul-16
Moeller Aerospace
Jul-16
Vac Aero (Poland)
-
Strategic
12.9x 11.9x 11.1x 10.9x 10.5x 9.5x 8.8x 8.7x 8.3x
AMETEK,I nc.
Median: 10.5x
Announced
35
10.4x
Median: 9.7x
SELECT RECENT AEROSPACE M&A ACTIVITY
Enterprise Value > $100 million 30
NM NM
Honeywel I nter nati onal, Inc.Honeywel I nter nati onal, Inc.
Genera l E l ec tr ic Co.
AEROSPACE M&A ACTIVITY
11.5x 11.3x 11.0x 10.9x 10.6x 10.3x 10.2x 10.2x 9.7x 9.6x 9.5x 9.0x 8.8x 8.1x 7.7x 7.6x 7.5x 7.4x 6.6x 6.4x 6.3x
HEROUX-DEVTE K INC
HEROUXD - EVTE K INC
Diversified Industrial – Heavy Aerospace Exposure Ametek Honeywell Eaton Curtiss-Wright Parker-Hannifin United Technologies Rolls Royce Crane Textron General Electric
16.0x 15.0x 13.4x 13.4x
HEICOCorp.
Jul-16
Subsegment Airframe and Engine Structural Components (Composites) Airframe and Engine Structural Components Maintenance, Repair and Ov erhaul Supply Chain Management and Distribution Maintenance, Repair and Ov erhaul Airframe and Engine Structural Components (Composites) Airframe and Engine Structural Components Airframe and Engine Structural Components
Acquirer Sorenson Capital Accurus (Liberty Hall Capital Partners) Platte Riv er Equity ICV Partners HNA Av iation ACG AeroComposites AE Industrial Partners MB Aerospace
Pratt & W hitney (Two Polish
Airframe and Engine Structural
Consolidated Precision
Casting Facilities)
Components
Products (W arburg Pincus)
PAGE | 1
AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
DEFENSE VALUATION AND M&A TRANSACTION DATA STOCK PERFORMANCE AND TRADING MULTIPLES ( $ in millions)
Defense Prime Contractors
CY 2016E
CY 2016E
Rev enue
EBITDA
Northrop Grumman
CY 2016E
Current
EBITDA Margin Stock Price
Market Cap
% of
Stock Price
EV / CY 2016E EBITDA
52-Wk High YoY Change
$23,776
$3,428
14.4%
$215.16
$38,826
96.0%
24.3%
Northr opGr ummanCorp.
Lockheed Martin
50,900
7,038
13.8%
238.64
76,974
89.4%
20.3%
LockheedMar ti nC or p.
Boeing
94,092
7,666
8.1%
132.75
83,867
88.2%
(5.4%)
Raytheon
24,428
3,731
15.3%
134.80
42,051
94.0%
30.2%
General Dynamics
31,495
4,787
15.2%
140.92
46,518
91.6%
(0.3%)
BAE Systems
24,148
2,807
11.6%
7.27
21,921
92.6%
15.0%
7,048
982
13.9%
160.63
7,850
90.7%
42.4%
Thales
16,706
1,978
11.8%
84.39
19,510
90.5%
29.7%
Airbus
74,182
7,107
9.6%
60.44
43,628
81.3%
(19.2%)
Huntington Ingalls
13.0x
Northr opGr ummanCorp.
12.4x
LockheedMra ti nC or .p
11.7x
TheBoeingC o. TheBoeingC o.
11.7x
Rayt heonCo. Rayt heonCo.
9.5x
Genera l Dynami cs Corp. Genera l Dynami cs Corp.
8.9x
BAESyste ms Plc BAESyste ms Plc
8.2x
HuntingtonI ngal sI ndust ri es ,I nc. Huntni tgnoI ngal Is ndust ri se I, cn.
8.0x
Thale sSA Thale s SA
Air bus GroupS E
7.1x
Air bus GroupS E
Median: 9.5x
Defense Technologies Kratos
$659
$42
6.4%
$4.05
$415
59.0%
55.0%
Harris
7,467
1,153
15.4%
83.17
11,343
91.0%
11.3%
Harri s Corp.
Harri s Corp.
270
57
21.2%
23.79
935
90.2%
49.5%
Merc ruySyset ms, I cn.
Merc urySyste ms, I nc.
10,252
1,222
11.9%
143.37
11,496
92.8%
30.9%
Ultra Electronics Holdings
1,041
188
18.1%
25.38
1,574
82.6%
(2.1%)
11.8x
Teledyne Technologies
2,195
352
16.0%
100.19
3,744
91.6%
4.2%
11.8x
425
44
10.4%
13.86
299
50.3%
(53.0%)
FLIR Systems
1,642
366
22.3%
30.76
4,239
90.2%
2.2%
Orbital ATK
4,463
663
14.9%
88.58
4,280
93.3%
(6.1%)
Elbit Systems Holdings
3,263
424
13.0%
92.34
4,384
89.9%
26.5%
Cobham
2,574
481
18.7%
2.19
3,621
54.3%
(35.1%)
Cubic
1,520
138
9.1%
41.71
1,256
83.8%
9.3%
Chemring
577
92
16.0%
2.05
513
64.2%
(29.7%)
AeroVironment
270
20
7.3%
30.87
686
95.2%
14.7%
Mercury Systems L-3 Communications
Comtech Telecommunications
DEFENSE M&A ACTIVITY
16.0x
Number of Deals
20
29 12.0x 10.5x 10.5x
30 11.9x
20
19
lc Ult ra Ele ct ronic sHoldingsUP lltcra Ele ct ronic sHoldings P
Tel edyneTechnologie s, I ncTe . l edyneTechnologie s, I nc.
11.5x
terchp.Tele communica ti ons Corp. Comte chTele communica tiCom ons Co
FLIRSyst ems ,I nc.
Obr it la ATK, In.c
Elbit Syste ms Ltd.
11.2x
FLIRSyst m e s I, cn.
10.2x
Orbti al ATK, Inc.
9.8x
Elbit Syste ms Ltd.
9.7x
Cobham Plc
Cobham Plc
9.6x
Cubic C or p.
CubicC or p.
7.2x
Median: 11.5x
NM
9.0x
9.9x 8.6x 8.4x
18 8.5x
16
10.2x
10.0x 16
8.0x
15 11
12.0x
10
10
6.0x
4.0x
5
2.0x
0
Date
Target
Aug-16
5.11 Tactical
Aug-16
Aero Precision Industries
Jun-16
14.0x 25
Median EBITDA Multiple
25
27
12.6x 11.9x
L-3Communica ti ons HoldiLng3sCom ,I nc. munica ti ons Holdings ,I nc.
Announced
35 13.4x
12.9x
SELECT RECENT DEFENSE M&A ACTIVITY
Enterprise Value > $50 million
30 30 12.4x
15.8x
Kra tos Def ens e &Sec urit yKSo raltoutsioDnsef,Iennc s. e &Sec urit ySolutions,I nc.
Armasight
Subsegment Tactical Products & Accessories Supply Chain Management and Distribution Tactical and Protection Equipment and Systems Air, Land, and Sea Platforms
Acquirer Compass Group Oydessy Inv estment Partners FLIR Systems
May-16
Doosan DST
May-16
Thales Raytheon Systems SAS
C4ISR Systems and Sensors
Thales
May-16
QRC Technologies
C4ISR Systems and Sensors
DC Capital Partners
May-16
Data Dev ice Corporation
Defense Electronics
TransDigm
Herndon
Supply Chain Management
Aerospace and Defense
and Distribution
May-16 May-16
Vanguard Space Technologies
and Subsystems
Satellite Equipment
Hanwha
KLX SolAero Technologies
200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8 200 9 201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4 201 5 201 6
Strategic
Financial
PAGE | 2
AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
GOVERNMENT SERVICES VALUATION AND M&A TRANSACTION DATA STOCK PERFORMANCE AND TRADING MULTIPLES ( $ in millions)
Government Services
CY2016E
CY2016E
Rev enue
EBITDA
CY2016E
Current
Market
EBITDA Margin Stock Price
% of
Cap
Stock Price
52-Wk High
YoY Change
KEYW
$298
$35
11.7%
$9.52
$417
84.5%
28.8%
CACI International
3,744
330
8.8%
100.61
2,375
90.5%
18.2%
ManTech International
1,611
124
7.7%
36.34
1,541
88.5%
43.8%
SAIC
4,571
340
7.4%
57.63
2,775
92.0%
20.9%
Booz Allen Hamilton
5,630
549
9.8%
28.91
4,428
91.8%
10.2%
Engility
2,117
188
8.9%
22.35
1,111
62.2%
3.5%
Leidos
5,183
416
8.0%
47.69
2,875
80.1%
(10.1%)
CSRA
5,041
874
17.3%
22.89
4,223
68.5%
NA
Vectrus
1,205
48
4.0%
26.54
350
79.8%
21.9%
326
29
8.9%
12.62
161
73.5%
(8.1%)
NCI, Inc
EV / CY 2016E EBITDA 13.7x 11.9x
10.6x 10.6x
10.5x 10.0x 9.6x
7.5x 7.4x 6.7x
Median: 10.2x
Diversified Services – Heavy Government Exposure Babcock International
6,735
870
12.9%
14.71
6,799
89.4%
7.1%
Serco
$3,910
$166
4.2%
$1.63
$1,857
87.8%
10.8%
10.5x
CGI
8,333
1,530
18.4%
46.03
14,856
92.6%
29.1%
10.4x
ICF
1,185
115
9.7%
40.85
765
95.1%
13.0%
9.7x
Jacobs
11,126
662
5.9%
52.39
6,524
93.7%
25.7%
9.6x
AECOM
17,739
1,061
6.0%
32.84
4,995
90.7%
10.8%
Fluor
19,156
1,033
5.4%
51.57
7,317
92.6%
10.1%
KBR
4,221
310
7.4%
13.90
2,191
69.7%
(16.6%)
GOVERNMENT SERVICES M&A ACTIVITY
18.0x 15.3x
Number of Deals
15
14
15
7.6x 18
9.4x
10.0x 10.0x 19
14
10.0x
12
8.0x 6.0x
10
7
5
4.0x 2.0x
0
Target Vistronix
Aug-16
Constellis Holdings
Jul-16
Median EBITDA Multiple
20
14.0x 12.0x
Date Aug-16
Aug-16
16.0x 26
12.2x 11.9x 24 23 10.5x 10.0x 11.1x 9.9x 22 18
7.0x
3.8x
Median: 9.7x
Announced
35
25
8.6x
SELECT RECENT GOVERNMENT SERVICES M&A ACTIVITY
Enterprise Value > $50 million
30
10.8x
Jun-16 Jul-16 Jun-16
Subsegment Software and Information Serv ices Technical and Security Serv ices
Honeywell Technology
Systems Engineering and
Solutions, Inc.
Technical Assistance
Intercom Consulting & Federal Systems Oceans Edge Cyber Unit Armed Forces Serv ices Corporation EOIR Technologies
May-16
W yle
May-16
Prime Solutions
Acquirer ASRC Federal Apollo Global Management KBR
Cybersecurity
Belcan (AE Industrial Partners)
Cybersecurity
ManTech
IT Serv ices and Consulting
Magellan Health
Systems Engineering and Technical Assistance Systems Engineering and Technical Assistance Cybersecurity
Arlington Capital Partners KBR Altamira Technologies
200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8 200 9 201 0 201 1 201 2 201 3 201 4 201 5 201 6
Strategic
Financial
PAGE | 3
AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
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AEROSPACE, DEFENSE & GOVERNMENT SERVICES INDUSTRY UPDATE │ AUGUST 2016
HARRIS WILLIAMS & CO. SOURCES Fact Set , Harris Williams & Co. Proprietary Information
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PAGE | 5