2015 Half-Yearly Results 20 August 2015
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
August 2015 | P1
Agenda
August 2015 | P2
Introduction
Tony Durrant
UK
Stuart Wheaton
Sea Lion
Neil Hawkings
Exploration
Robin Allan / Dean Griffin
Finance
Richard Rose
Outlook
Tony Durrant
2015 1H performance Operating cash flow of $513 million
Increased cash flows: strong production, lower costs and hedging benefits (which continue into 2H and 2016)
Production of 60.4 kboepd
Above budget and guidance year-to-date driven by 94% operating efficiency
Opex per barrel reduction
Many initiatives on-going; 1 bn boe August 2015 | P19
Balance of wells targeting Mature verses Emerging plays 2012 well campaign 2015 well campaign
100% Mature
100% Emerging
2015 North Falklands Basin campaign Aim • Demonstrate exploitation potential of F2 • Explore upside potential of F3 2015 1H highlights
Two discoveries from two wells
• Zebedee oil & gas discovery (36% op interest) – adds c. 50 mmbbls to Phase 2 • Isobel Deep oil discovery (36% op interest) – de-risks the Isobel/Elaine fan complex (unrisked Pmean resource of 400 mmbbls) – opens up potential Phase 3 development
PL032 prospects
Chatham Pmean
47 mmbbls
Jayne East Pmean
Zebedee
50 mmbls
2015 2H look ahead
Phase 2 prospects
• Jayne East (36% op interest) – would add resource to Phase 2 • Chatham (40% op interest) – would add resource to Phase 1b
Beyond 2015 • Additional exploration/appraisal prospects identified for drilling in 2017/2018 August 2015 | P20
39 mmbbls
Southern exploration leads
Isobel / Elaine Pmean
400 mmbbls
Jayne East and Isobel Deep Full stack amplitude at F3G horizon
Jayne East
• Jayne East targets northern end of F3 fan sequence and shallower F2 horizons • Further drilling at Isobel / Elaine complex to confirm significant resource potential of southern F3 fan system (unrisked Pmean 400 mmbbls)
Zebedee
Jayne East
North Falkland Graben Isobel / Elaine Re-drill
Isobel Deep
Isobel Deep Isobel / Elaine
10Km
August 2015 | P21
Brazil – high quality address • Limited drilling in the deeper water parts of the northern Brazil basins
• Recent significant discoveries in the Ceará, Potiguar and Sergipe Basins • Success of West African Transform Margin (WATM) not yet fully tested in Brazilian basin equivalents
Foz do Amazonas Basin Para-Maranhao Basin Harpia discovery?
WATM Basins Jubilee – 771 MMboe Baobab – 356 MMboe Enyenra – 200 MMboe
Barreirinhas Basin 1-MAS-036 gas discovery?
Keta-Togo-Benin Basin Ojo oil discovery
Ceará Basin Pecem & 1-CES-161
Douala Basin
Offshore Potiguar Basin Pitu discovery
Rio Muni Basin Ceiba – 264 MMboe Okume – 107 MMboe
Pernambuco Paraíba Basin Sergipe-Alagoas Basin Sergipe discoveries (x5) 795 MMboe total
• Regional play work to identify sweet spots within high graded basins with proven active petroleum systems Source IHS/Petroview
August 2015 | P22
Brazil Ceará Basin – expanding acreage footprint Brazil Focus Basin Outline of new 3D survey being acquired 3Q15
• Strong analogies with West African Tano basin discoveries
Cretaceous sand channel systems
• Proven light oil petroleum system
• Multiple play types Mean gross unrisked resource > 2 bn bbls Pecem discovery • Flowed light oil to surface when tested in 2014 • De-risks key play elements
• Attracted supermajors to make significant operational commitments Opportunity • Dominant position in basin • Low cost farm-in to 661 • 3 wells drilling late 2017/18
• Premier coordinating rigshare
August 2015 | P23
Mexico – low cost entry Low cost entry to high quality acreage • Awarded 10% in Blocks 2 & 7, shallow water Sureste Basin • Option to increase interest to 25% prior to drilling • Numerous leads in established and emerging plays • Fully carried to first well on each block Block 2 Salt stock
Closure
Miocene Depth Structure Map – Poblano Prospect August 2015 | P24
Block 2 • Primary target – 100 mmbbls • 3 follow on prospects of c. 80-100 mmbbls each Block 7 • Primary target – 130 mmbbls • 4 follow on prospects of c. 40-150 mmbbls each
Strong partnership
Proven but under-explored hydrocarbon basin Low cost entry
Finance Richard Rose Finance Director
Strong cash flows in 2015 1H 6 months to 30 June 2015
6 months to 30 June 2014
Working Interest production (kboepd)
60.4
64.9
Entitlement production (kboepd)
55.7
59.7
Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - post hedge
83.7
107.9
7.2
9.1
$m
$m
Cash flow from operations
570
609
Taxation
(57)
(110)
Operating cash flow
513
499
Capital expenditure
(518)
(506)
83
-
(49)
(49)
Dividends
-
(44)
Share buy back
-
(33)
29
(236)
Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - post hedge
Disposals Finance and other charges, net
Net cash in (out) flow
August 2015 | P26
Capital expenditure ($m) 2015 1H
FY 2015 E
Exploration
$115
$240
Development
$403
$900
Total
$518
$1,140
Comprises $49m from the Block A Aceh sale and ~$34m positive adjustment from Scott area disposal Liquids hedging 1H 2015
2H 2015
2016
Barrels hedged
2.7 m
2.85 m
3.5 m
Average price ($/bbl)
$103
$92
$69
Significantly reduced costs Committed capex ($m)
Gross G&A ($m)
P&D Capex
1500
350
Exploration
Significantly reduced capex commitments from 2016
1000
500
Forecast Actual
300 250 200 150 100 50
0
0 2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Opex ($m)
Forecast
500
Actual
2019
FY 2014 (actual)
2015 initial 2015 final budget budget (Oct 14) (Feb 15)
2015 forecast (Aug 15)
30% reduction in opex • Sale of Scott area
400
• Renegotiation of contracts
300
2015 1H: $14/bbl opex
200
• Operating efficiencies • Lower insurance & fuel costs
100
• Reduced headcount
0 FY 2014 (actual)
August 2015 | P27
2015 initial 2015 final 2015 forecast budget (Oct 14) budget (Feb 15) (Aug 15)
• Contractor rate cuts
Income statement Operating costs ($/boe) 6 months to 30 June 2015 $m
6 months to 30 June 2014 $m
577
885
Cost of sales
(684)
(646)
Gross profit/(loss)
(107)
239
(52)
(50)
(8)
(13)
-
(84)
(167)
92
(48)
(41)
Profit/(loss) before taxation
(215)
51
Tax credit/(charge)
(160)
122
Profit/(loss) after taxation
(375)
173
Sales and other operating revenues
Exploration/New Business General and administration costs Disposals Operating profit/(loss) Financial items
2015 1H
2014 1H
UK
$28.8
$34.9
Indonesia
$8.9
$10.1
Pakistan
$3.2
$2.7
Vietnam
$10.1*
$15.5
Group
$13.7
$18.5
* excludes insurance receipts of $4.7m Cost of sales breakdown 750
500
250
Profit before tax and impairments
171
195 Non-cash items
0 Operating Stock Royalties costs underlift
DD&A
Impairment
Cost of sales
$3.3 bn of UK tax losses and allowances August 2015 | P28
Liquidity and balance sheet position At 30 June 2015 $m
At 31 Dec 2014 $m
372
292
Drawn debt maturities ($m) 1400
1238
1200 1000
Cash Bank debt
(1,482)
(1,230)
Bonds
(753)
(955)
Convertibles1
(230)
(229)
(2,093)
(2,122)
Covenant headroom
$417
$700
Gearing2
59%
53%
1,446
1,940
Net debt position
Cash and undrawn facilities 1 Maturity 2 Net
value of US$245 million debt/net debt plus equity
800
558
600
400
307
362
2017
2018
200 0 2015
2016
2019 20202024
Average debt costs of 4.7% (fixed) and 2.2% (floating)
Old covenants Amended covenants
Net debt/ EBITDAX 5 4 3 2 1 0 2015 1H
August 2015 | P29
2015 FY
2016 1H
2016 FY
2017 1H
2017 FY
Summary Tony Durrant CEO
Outlook Opex ($/boe) 20 20
1.
• Robust, low cost production generates good cash flow
19
15
17
16
14 10 5 0
2013
2014
2015 budget
2015 1H
2015 forecast
Committed capex $m 1500
2.
• Growing production profile – Intense focus on execution – Reducing level of spend
P&D Capex
1000
Exploration
500
0
2014
2015F
2016
2017
2018
Illustrative capital allocation @ $60/bbl
3. August 2015 | P31
• Free cash flow will be directed at debt reduction
P&D committed capex Cash available for debt reduction Exploration commitments
2019
August 2015
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