Antonio Achille, Partner & Managing Director Milan, February 10th, 2016
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight
10.000+ Consumers
21K€+ Average spend • Top 30% spending 40K€
Note: Markets included: Italy, France, Germany, UK, US, China, Brazil, South Korea, Japan, Russia and Middle East
11 Markets
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight
1
Luxury Barometer®: consumer confidence positive trend
SHORT TERM
"Do you expect to spend more or less on luxury products in the next 12 months?"
More (+20%)
33%
23%
37%
38%
Same
43%
48%
39%
41%
Less (-20%)
24%
29%
24%
21%
2013
2014
2015
2016
9pp
-5pp
13pp
17pp
Luxury Barometer®1
1. Index calculated as percentage of customers who see growth in spend less the percentage who foresee a decrease in spend (Positive – Negative). The index represents a proxy of the expected growth of spend in Luxury by Top Luxury consumes Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents
2
400M Luxury Consumers in 2015 to become 480M in 2022
20 k€ 10 k€
5 k€
2015 # (M) Bn(€)1
2022 # (M) Bn(€)1
Beyond money
2
2
Ultra
4
6
Very high
10
12
Total Top Luxury
16
20 +4
2 k€
Top Aspirational
20
26
Aspirational
365
435 +76
Total Luxury Consumers1
~400
~480 +80
1. Including Experiential and Personal luxury, excluding cars and Yachts Note: rounded numbers Source: BCG Analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
CLUSTER
MID TERM
3
Personal and Experiential luxury market to grow from today 845Bn€ to 1135Bn€ in 2022
20 k€ 10 k€
5 k€
2015 # (M) Bn(€)1
2022 # (M) Bn(€)1
Beyond money
2
50
2
90
Ultra
4
92
6
135
Very high
10
103
12
140
Total Top Luxury
16
245
20
365
+120 2 k€
Top Aspirational
20
61
26
86
Aspirational
365
538
435
684
+170 Total Luxury Consumers1
~400
~845
~480 +290
1. Including Experiential and Personal luxury, excluding cars and Yachts Note: rounded numbers Source: BCG Analysis
~1135
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
CLUSTER
MID TERM
4
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Evolving consumer values
Relevance of Intro values confirmed "What is luxury to you?"
34%
66%
26%
74%
28%
72%
28%
72%
29%
71%
29%
71%
34%
66%
34%
66%
38%
62%
39%
61%
47%
63% 71% 60% 72%
68% 58% 54% 67%
1. Respondents were asked to rank the top 3 values: the graph represent the value ranked as the most important Source: BCG 2014 and 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
• • • • •
LUXURY 'FOR YOURSELF' - INTRO Quality Exclusivity Craftsmanship Timeless Sustainability
53%
Total
LAST 62% YEAR
• • • • •
LUXURY 'FOR OTHERS' - EXTRO Adorned aesthetics Brand visibility Customization Being Cool/Sexy Iconic Pattern
58% 54%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents1
6
How to stay relevant on Intro values? Relevance
% on respondents who have selected intro values 14% (Other)
QUALITY EXCLUSIVITY
86%
=
+ CRAFTSMANSHIP
+ SUSTAINABILITY Total 2015
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
+
7
EXCLUSIVITY
Losing exclusivity = material risk especially for mature generations
"How do you react when you perceive that a Brand is losing or has lost part of its exclusivity?"
Millennials (18-35 yr.)
Total
Gen. X (36-50 yr.)
Baby B. & Silver (51+ yr.)
Continue buying
27%
32%
24%
16%
Buy less frequently
29%
31%
29%
21%
73%
Stop buying
44%
68% 37%
1. % of the respondents indicating at least one brand losing / risking to lose its exclusivity Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
76% 47%
84% 63%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents1
8
EXCLUSIVITY
30% of brands at risk of losing Exclusivity "Is there any brand you think is losing or has lost part of its exclusivity?" 100%
17%
% of top brands analyzed 11%
28%
Total brands1
Brands already losing exclusivity2
Brands risking to lose exclusivity3
1. Analysis on top brands included in the survey with at least 200 respondents purchasing their products : ~100 brands 2.Brands losing exclusivity: brands with at least 100 respondents declaring that the brand is losing exclusivity 3. Brands with 50 to 100 respondents declaring that the brand is losing exclusivity Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries))
Brands not at risk
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
72%
9
EXCLUSIVITY
Possible to grow without losing exclusivity? "Is there any brand you think is losing or has lost part of its exclusivity?" Risk of losing exclusivity1 (%)
40%
20%
0%
Luxury brand
1. Brands that have already lost or are expected to lose exclusivity from a consumer point of view Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries), company's annual reports
Size (Revenues 2015) – €Bn
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
60%
10
EXCLUSIVITY
Work on disaffection triggers to prevent exclusivity loss "Which of the following situations would stop you from buying a brand?" % of respondents Total
29%
24%
26%
19%
36%
Poor distribution
27%
25%
28%
23%
37%
Inadequate communication
23%
25%
28%
22%
Unethical Production process
23%
23%
Note: Multiple answer possible Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
21%
11%
19%
14%
39%
21%
20%
31%
39%
28%
19%
22%
31%
35%
19%
31%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Fake copies
11
SUSTAINABILITY
Sustainability a growing value, especially for Millennials "What is luxury to you?" % of respondents who have selected Sustainability as a value
+4pp 19% 17%
+5pp
15% 13%
8%
2013
2014
2015
Note:1. Sustainability ranked among top 3 values (multiple answer possible) Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Millennials
Gen. X
Baby B. & Silver
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
17%
12
SUSTAINABILITY
Sustainability an articulated meaning for Consumers; facade initiatives not accepted “What is more important to you about sustainability?" Total
Millennials
Baby B. & Silver
Gen. X
% of respondents1 48%
44%
Usage of safe products
Animal friendliness
Safeguard of the workers
Social initiatives
48%
50%
42%
44%
30%
29%
31%
29%
27%
30%
26%
30%
Note:1. Sustainability ranked among top 3 values (multiple answer possible) Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
48%
24%
54%
29%
33%
17%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Respect of Environment
13
SUSTAINABILITY
Sustainability becoming a Purchase Booster; Might become also a Purchase Breaker? "Would you be willing to pay more for a sustainable product?"
Yes
1
Safer for my health
2
Higher quality
3
Positive consideration of my acquaintances
16%
Purchase Booster No
IF...
1%
"Would you be ready to leave a Brand if not sustainable?" Yes
10%
Purchase Breaker No
1. Only respondents for which sustainability is a value considered Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
7%
1
Non sustainable products
2
Unethical production process
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents1
14
CRAFTSMANSHIP + SUSTAINABILITY
Italy clear leader on Made-in; not yet a clear leader on sustainable manufacturing "Which country of manufacturing do you consider the best for luxury products?"
x2
"Which country do you think could become the leader in manufacturing sustainable products?"
% of respondents for Made-In
% of respondents for Sustainability
20%
17%
17%
16% 11%
12%
9%
10%
6%
... Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
2%
3%
...
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
40%
15
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Millennials: the 6th continent
16
Age
Total # 2015 (M)1
Millennials
Gen. X
Baby Boomers
Silver
18 - 34
35 - 50
51 - 65
65+
2.300 M (~32%)
1.500 M
1.000 M
600 M
1. Total world population 7,2 Bn; 1,8 Bn people under 18 years old not included Source: Economist intelligence unit 2015, BCG 2014-2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries), BCG analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Millennials the 6th continent: 2.3bn people
17
1
Different values and myths
2
New language
3
Optimistic
4
True and personal
5
Active advocates
6
Always connected
7
Diverse
1. Total world population 7,2 Bn; 1,8 Bn people under 18 years old not included Source: Economist intelligence unit 2015, BCG 2014-2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries), BCG analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
How Millennials are changing luxury?
18
1
VALUES
Millennials different values "Are these values / activities more or less important to you than they were 2 years ago?" 10% Spirituality
Religion
Patriotism
5%
Family Craftsmanship Education
Ethics
0%
NON-MILLENNIALS VIEW MORE IMPORTANT
Working Out / Fitness Fun
Optimism Sustainability
Change
-5% Conviviality/Festivity
Travel Excitement Multi-Tasking Wealth Beauty Adventure Consuming
-10%
Luxury
Status
-20% MILLENNIALS VIEW MORE IMPORTANT -25%
Professional Success
-15%
-10%
Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
-5%
0%
5%
Glamour
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Wellness
15% 19
2
LANGUAGE
Words/slang frequently used by Millennials
Female Millennials Favorite Slang
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Male Millennials Favorite Slang
Note: Respondents answered the question: "What are the most characteristic, defining or frequently used words, exclamations, jargon, slang or sayings of your generation?" Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
20
2
LANGUAGE
Top 10 abbreviations/text-speak frequently used by Millennials Female Millennials Favorite Text-Speak
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Male Millennials Favorite Text-Speak
Note: Respondents answered the question: "What are your favorite or frequently used abbreviations or so-called "text speak" (e.g. LOL, OMG)?" Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
21
4
TRUE & PERSONAL
Millennials identify themselves with the brand "I feel an emotional connection with the brands I buy" % of respondents that agree 1.3x 66%
Millennials
Baby Boomers & Silver
Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
51%
22
5
Millennials expect a two-ways dialogue with brands
ACTIVE ADVOCATES
"Thinking to the communication opportunities offered by digital, which ones do you value the most?" % of respondents
• Gather product info • Access brand content • Price & Product comparison Avg. 42%
Two-ways • • • • Millennials
Gen. X
Baby B. & Silver
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10.000 core luxury Consumers in 10 countries)
Opinion sharing Feedback sharing Dialogue with brands Influence trends
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
One way
23
5
ACTIVE ADVOCATES
8 out of 10 Millennials are active advocates “Have you recommended a Brand in the last 12 months?" % of respondents Non Advocates
Advocates spontaneously
Millennials
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10.000 core luxury Consumers in 10 countries)
Gen. X
Baby B. & Silver
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Avg. 76%
Advocates when prompted
24
5
ACTIVE ADVOCATES
Millennials actively broadcast their thoughts Rate products and services on the web
Upload content to the web
Have their own website / blog
% of respondents 2.1x
1.8x 60% 46%
1.7x 29%
29% 12%
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
60%
25
6
ALWAYS CONNECTED
Millennials always connected also when in store Check prices via mobile when in store
Look at the product information in store
Look for coupons or promotions online when in store
% of respondents 1.8x
45%
1.7x
44%
43%
24%
22%
25%
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Millennials
Non-Millennials
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2.1x
26
7
DIVERSE
Millennials: an heterogeneous continent
"I can make the world a better place"
Millennial Nurturer "I love to work out, travel, and pamper my baby"
Anti-Millennial "I'm too busy taking care of my business and my family to worry about much else"
Source: BCG Millennials research overview, BCG analysis
Gadget Guru "It's a great day to be me"
Clean & Green Millennial "I take care of myself, and the world around me"
Old School Millennial "Connecting on Facebook is too impersonal, let's meet up for coffee instead!"
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Hip-ennial
27
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Personal luxury saturation
30% of consumers at saturation point on personal luxury "Do you plan to buy more items in the near future1?" % of respondents
15%
100%
No, at all conditions
Total
13%
28%
Yes
No, but I might be tempted
1. Question focused on handbags, shoes, dresses & suits and watches only Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
72%
29
Saturation growing from shoes to watches and with seniority "Do you plan to buy more items in the near future1?" % of respondents declaring to be at saturation
Baby B. & Silver
60
Gen. X
40
30 Millennials 20 Shoes
Handbags
1. Question focused on handbags, shoes, dresses & suits and watches only Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Dresses and suits
Watches
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
50
30
1/4 of saturated consumers willing to swap, mainly Millennials and on Shoes and Dresses "You told us you are NOT planning to buy more items. Would you be willing to swap your luxury items1?" CONSUMERS AT SATURATION ONLY2
No
Yes
Who are the swappers?
On which category?
77%
23% Total
26%
23%
Millennials Gen. X
15% Baby B. & Silver
28%
26%
Shoes Dresses Handbags Watches & Suits
1. Question focused on handbags, shoes, dresses & suits and watches only 2. 2. Includes respondents who answered both "No” and "No but I might be tempted" Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents
31
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From owning to being: ~50% of Consumers shifting toward Experiences "Do you have the feeling you are buying less products and more experiences in last years?" % of respondents 7%
Keeping same mix
45%
6%
Avg.
Yes
48%
53%
Total
Millennials
% of spend in Experiential luxury last year Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
36%
Gen. X
34%
Baby B. & Silver
41%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
No
33
Store Storewars wars Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
MM 05.feb.16:
Rent exploding Trend 2009-2015 of rent / mq cost in high luxury streets (Index 100 = 2009)
Rent/ mq (K€) 2009
2015
Hong Kong London New York Paris
12.2 5.5 12.6 7.7
23.3 10.4 23.0 13.3
Tokyo
5.4
8.1
Milan
6.7
8.5
200 180 160 140 120 100 80 2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Note: Hong Kong: Causeway Bay; London: New Bond Street; New York: 5th Avenue; Paris: Champs Elizée; Tokyo: Ginza; Milan: Montenapoleone Source: Cushman and Wakefield Main Global Street; BCG analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
220
From retail rush to portfolio rationalization Luxury Stores closures as % of openings by geography
2015
57%
49%
CLOSURES = OPENINGS IN 2014
100%
61% 47%
61% 47%
52% 42%
50%
50% 48%
Total
Europe
APAC
Americas
Japan
RoW
% of stores by region
23%
39%
21%
12%
5%
How to stay relevant to consumer? How to maximize store returns? Note: Analysis based on a database of more than 6.500 luxury stores in the world Source: Bernstein / BCG analysis
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2014 +8pp
36
>50% of Luxury Consumers are frequent visitors; "Newness" key to keep interest alive "How often do you visit a store of your favorite Brand?"
"What are the key reasons for you to visit your favorite Brand in a store?" % of respondents1
Once per year
6%
Twice per year
12%
43%
New product Reward myself
Once every two or three months
30%
42%
New VM / Experience
36%
Need for specific item
35%
Buy more from brand
Once a month
29% Services
52% A few times a month
33%
Invited to special event
25%
New commercials
25%
23%
Total
28%
Peers recommendations
1. Multiple answer possible Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
18%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
% of respondents
37
More frequent product releases expected "Typically new collections are released twice a year (spring-summer and fall-winter). Would you like brands to release items on a more continuous base?" % of respondents
38%
33%
39% 51%
Yes
62%
67%
Total
Millennials
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
42%
31% Avg. 62%
61%
49%
58%
Gen. X
Baby B. & Silver
Mature Markets
69%
Emerging Markets
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
No
38
From a boring box to an intriguing experience: free tips from consumers... "Which innovative services should your ideal store offer?" Interest ratio (# of supporters vs. opponents)
Digital in store
Possibility to buy luxury experiences
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
1.3x
1.2x
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
1.8x
Art & Culture
39
Millennials more interested in experimenting new store realities "Which innovative services should your ideal store offer?" Interest ratio1: Art display & Cultural events
Interest ratio1: Digital In-store
1.9x 1.7x 1.5x
1.4x 1.3x
1.2x 0.7x
Total
Millennials Gen. X Baby B. & Silver
1. Number of supporters divided the number of opponents Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Total
Millennials Gen. X Baby B. & Silver
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
1.8x
40
~70% of Consumers would follow their Brands in new up & coming trendy locations "Would you follow your favorite luxury Brands if they open a store in a new up and coming trendy location?
% of respondents Reasons why... No 34%
Yes
68%
Total
71%
67%
56%
Millennials Gen. X Baby B. & Silver
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
I’m curious I trust It’s cool and about the Brand innovative new locations
Luxury streets became boring / crowded
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I don’t know
41
Department Stores & Wholesale rebirth? "What was the first channel for you luxury purchases in the past 12 months?"
"Do you have the feeling that you are purchasing more or less frequently in Multibrand?" CONSUMERS BUYING FROM MULTI-BRAND
% of respondents
% of respondents
High end department store
25% 17%
No shift Shopping malls
13%
Multi-brand
12%
Online websites Travel Retail duty free Downtown duty free Off-price and factory outlet
11% 9%
Avg. 50%
More 50% frequently
58%
SHIFTING FROM MONO BRAND
8% 7%
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Total
Millennials Gen.X
BB & Silver
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Mono-brand
Less frequently
42
Why Department Stores & Wholesale are winning? "What are the main reasons for you for shifting from mono-brand stores to..." % of respondents
Brands choice
...Multi-brand stores?
45%
Brands choice
Additional services1
34%
Product assortment
Product assortment
34%
Convenient location
Peers recommendations
19%
1. E.g. food court, hair stylist, beauty spa,.. Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Saving of time
41%
33%
26%
25%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
...High end Department stores?
43
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Digital: always connected
44
6 out of 10 luxury sales digitally influenced "Where have you bought the last item purchased? Where have you researched it?"
58%
% of respondents on last purchase
100 100
Store solo
Researched Online Purchased Offline
Showrooming (viewed in store, purchased on line)
Omnichannel
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Online solo
Total
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
88
45
Brand websites 1st choice; navigability key driver "From which online store did you buy from?" % of respondents
29%
Online marketplace
25%
Dept. store website
21%
Luxury-specialized retailers
17%
9%
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
-9pp
1
Navigability of website
+5pp
2
Price discount
+3pp
3
Free return
4
Payments accepted
5
Quality of customer care
+2pp
-1pp
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Δ 2015-2014
Brands website
Flash sales sites
" Which factors would you consider more important when buying online?"
46
~80% of consumers asking for Omnichannel especially the youngest generations "How important is it for you that a brand can be reached through different channels?" % of respondents
"What do you expect when dealing with multiple channels?" % of respondents
Somehow important
Same promotions & rewards Avg. 44%
Not negotiable / Very Important
Omnichannel index1
86%
Gen. X
84%
Baby B. & Silver
24%
Consistent brand image Intregrated CRM
Millennials
31%
Same product assortment
75%
1. % of respondents for which it is somehow important / very important / not negotiable that a brand can be reached through different channels Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
22%
13%
10%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Not important
Integrated delivery service
47
Integrated customer journey Customer journey: Designer dress purchase
Physical In store
Digital In Store
Gets fashion advice from store personnel
Sell
Support
Uses iPhone to complete purchase
Checks loyalty balance online
Checks Dressfinder App on iPhone
Physical Out of store
At home, tries on dress & prints return label
Sees dress in magazine advertisement
Scans QR code for details online
Reward loyalty
Posts review on Twitter
Uses iPad App to find matching accessories
Digital Out of Store
Source: BCG analysis
Help decide
Ships dress and receives preferred size
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Make aware
Inspire
48
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Price transparency
84% of Consumers check prices in advance of purchasing; 33% always do it "Do you usually get informed about the prices before going to the store for a purchase?" % of respondents 16%
Yes sometimes
51%
Avg. 84%
84%
Yes always
33%
Total
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Millennials
Gen. X
Baby B. & Silver
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
No
50
Strong price differentials might put at risk ~50% of purchases "How would you react if you were to realize a price difference between your Country and another one?" % of respondents Total
30%
I buy it online at a better price
22%
Wait to buy it abroad
31%
25%
22%
20%
27%
17%
33%
29%
38%
55%
48%
35%
51%
32%
26%
28%
21%
27%
27%
19%
28%
30%
34%
29%
49%
48%
46%
37%
43%
46%
Might switch brand
11%
12%
9%
14%
12%
12%
9%
6%
Don't buy the product
6%
5%
9%
6%
8%
4%
3%
8%
Note: EU includes respondents from Italy, France, Germany, UK Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Still buy it in home country
51
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What's happening to Chinese
52
From China to Chinese Personal Luxury market by Country and Nationality (€B, retail value @current) Chinese
x4.3 ~100
x3.5 ~70
23
20
2012 CAGR '12-'15
Source: BCG Analysis
2015
+5.5%
+12.6%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Mainland China
53
Where are Chinese purchasing? Chinese Personal Luxury market by location of purchases (€B, 2015 retail value @current) ~13
~100
RoW1
Total Chinese
~14
~13
~2
23
Mainland China
Hong-Kong
1. Russia, Middle East, Other APAC, Other Americas Source: BCG analysis
Macau
Europe
US
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
~35
54
New York / Milan the new Macau? "In which cities have you bought / plan to buy luxury products in the past / next 12 months?"
2016F
Hong-Kong
1
Paris
1
Paris
2
Hong-Kong
2
Tokyo
3
Tokyo
3
Seoul
4
New-York
4
Exiting Macau
5
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Entering Milan
5
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2015
55
How to capture Chinese consumers abroad? "What is your main reason for buying outside your home country?" Chinese buying in EU
Broader selection
36%
Buy in the country of origin of the brand
31%
Part of travelling experience
31%
Superior customer experience
Chinese buying in US
39%
Lower prices
∆ EU vs. US
30%
Note: Consumer buying both in Europe and US are excluded from the analysis 1. Includes Chinese respondents that spend abroad at least 25% of their personal luxury expenditure Source: BCG 2015 specific survey (10.000 core luxury Consumers in 10 countries)
33%
+6pp
37%
-1pp
22%
+9pp
31%
20%
+10pp
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% of Chinese respondents1
56
Which category they look for? "Which luxury products have you bought in the last 12 months and how much have you spent?" % of total P&E Luxury spending
Millennials
Non-Millennials 25%
20%
18%
15% 24%
18% 9% 4%
11% 3%
4%
3%
3%
3%
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
22%
19%
57
Chinese closing the Digital gap "Where have you bought the last item purchased? Where have you researched it?" % of respondents
Online solo Showrooming
4%
Online sales 15%
Online sales 12%
ROPO
China 2014
China 2015
Online sales
17%
18%
ROPO
46%
41%
Worldwide average1
Note: 1. China excluded Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Store solo
58
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Milan rebirth
Milan is rising back "In which cities have you bought / plan to buy luxury products in the past / next 12 months?"
2015
2016F
Paris
1
Paris
1
Paris
1
New York
2
New York
2
New York
2
London
3
London
3
Milan
3
4
London
4
5
Hong-Kong
5
Expo effect?
Hong-Kong
4
Milan
Milan
5
Hong-Kong
Note: The calculations excludes consumers in their home country Source: BCG 2014 and 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
2014
60
Milan becoming cooler and more trendy, especially for emerging markets consumers "Based on your experience in Milan, do you feel that the city is:" % of respondents They prefer: 18%
22%
16%
10%
Doubters
30% Neutral
Becoming more cool / trendy
32%
49%
32%
1
New-York
2
London
3
Paris
33%
45%
52%
60%
Total Mature markets Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
Supporters
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Losing grip
Emerging markets 61
Milan: strong potential on Art and Culture still not fully leveraged “What are the first associations coming to your mind when thinking to the city of Milan?" % of respondents
Total
Art and culture
61% 36%
57% 25%
57% 30%
Music and theatre
19%
18%
Food
16%
18%
Nightlife
13%
16%
15%
Business
12%
18%
Sport
10%
11%
Source: BCG 2015 ad hoc study (10'000 respondents in 10 countries)
18%
70%
53% 49%
47%
64% 52%
70%
63% 31%
40%
20%
15%
25%
7%
7%
4%
5%
9%
15%
3%
9%
6%
14%
7%
15%
8%
6%
11%
11%
8%
26%
22%
23% 14% 20%
20% 5% 14%
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
Shopping / Fashion
62
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
True-Luxury Global Consumer segmentation
63
The CONSUMER era: key takeaways Growth to continue
New • • • • • • • •
Short term (2016): confirmed consumer confidence positive trend Mid term (2022): 400M consumers to become 480; market to increase by 290€Bn
Consumer realities Evolving values: Exclusivity not granted, Sustainability growing Millennials the 6th continent Personal luxury saturation happening The "Store War" has begun: newness key to capture the Consumer Digital influence era continuing Price transparency under the spotlight From China to Chinese Milan rising back
12 unique segments entering your stores with different expectations • •
Absolute Luxurer, Megacitier and Experiencer representing 50%+ of the market Social Wearer the fastest growing segment
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
• •
64
Antonio Achille Partner and Managing Director - Milan Antonio Achille is a Partner and Managing Director in the Milan office. He is a senior leader of the Consumer & Retail team and he leads globally the Luxury practice for the firm.
He has developed an extensive knowledge on the Global Luxury Consumer and he is responsible for the database that includes a comprehensive view on over 40.000 consumers from 20 countries, developed in cooperation with Altagamma, the trade association for the Italian luxury industry. The actionable insights of the study are presented at the yearly event “True-Luxury Global Consumer Insight”. In addition he contributes to the annual Luxury Summit, one of the most valued discussion forum for the sector. He is also member of the Scientific Committee of one the first Italian master on Luxury. He is author and co-author of most of the recent BCG publication on Luxury such as "Luxury ecosystem advantage" , "Shock of the New chic",.. Antonio is extensively quoted, as Luxury and Consumer expert, in Italian and International media, such as NYT, FT, The Economist, WWAD, Bloomberg, CNBC, Il sole 24 ore, Il Corriere della Sera,...
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
For 20 years, he has been advising National and International Groups on issues that include corporate strategy, organization, digital, supply chain, merchandising, growth acceleration and operational improvement. Within the luxury sector his experience includes apparel, leather goods, eyewear, selective fragrances, jewelry/hard luxury in department stores, franchising and duty free. The geographical scope of his work includes most of the Europe markets, North America, China, Turkey and Korea.
About BCG and its Luxury practice
Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of companies and markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with 81 offices in 45 countries.
Within the Firm, The Luxury practice, with more than 200 experts worldwide, advises Brands and Retail companies bringing together the experience of its centers of competence located in all key must-be geographies for the sector: Milan, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Hong Kong and Tokyo. BCG Luxury team has a deep and relevant experience driving profitable growth with leading Brands and Retail companies, from strategy to marketing and operations, and a unique point of view on consumer segmentation.
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advisor on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform their enterprises.
BCG contacts
INTERNATIONAL PRESS: • Gloria Galimberti
email:
[email protected]
or +39.02.65599444
email:
[email protected] email:
[email protected]
or +39.02.65599704 or +39.02.65599328
ITALIAN PRESS: • Francesco Guidara • Francesca Prosperi
Copyright © 2015 by The Boston Consulting Group, Inc. All rights reserved.
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