Overview of Steel Industry in Thailand

Overview of Steel Industry in Thailand Mr. Hin Navawongse Iron and Steel Institute of Thailand November 2006 0 Contents ƒ Thailand steel situatio...
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Overview of Steel Industry in Thailand

Mr. Hin Navawongse Iron and Steel Institute of Thailand November 2006

0

Contents

ƒ Thailand steel situation ƒ Specific Energy Consumption (SEC) in 1999 - 2004

1

Integrated steel production process Iron ore + Coke

Ironmaking

or

Iron ore + Natural gas Pig iron Sponge iron

Hot metal

Scrap Steelmaking & casting

Basic oxygen Furnace

Electric Arc Furnace

Billet Bloom Steel forming

Slab

Heavy Section Round bar, Deformed bar

Hot rolled plate

Hot rolled coil Cold rolled coil

Cold formed section

HDG

Wire rod

EG Light section

Tin plate, tin free Pipe

Downstream industry

Construction

Auto parts

Appliance

Furniture

Packaging

HDG Pipe

2

The decline since second half of 2005 was mainly derived from a slowdown in consumer expenditure and investment.

Thailand Apparent Steel Consumption (million MT)

16

13.88, 9.6%

14 12.66, 16%

12

8.31, -15.7%

10 8 6 4 2 0 1997

1998

Production

1999

2000

Import

2001

2002

2003

Export

2004

2005

2005 JanAug

2006 JanAug

Apparent Consumption 3

Source : ISIT

Long Products

Consumption (000(000 MT) MT) BarBar Consumption 450 400 350 300 250 200

Thailand Long Product Apparent Consumption (million MT) 5.56, 22%

150 100 50

5.61, 1%

6

3.50, -15.6%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

0

5

2004

2005

2006

4 Production

Import

Export

Consumption

3 2 1

Consumption (000 MT) WireWire rodrod Consumption (000 MT) 180

0 1997

1998

1999

2000

Production

2001

Import

2002

2003

Export

2004

2005

2005 JanAug

2006 JanAug

Apparent Consumption

160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

Long Product Production Import Export Apparent Consumption

Unit : 000 MT 2005 Jan-Aug 2006 Jan-Aug %Change 3,664 3,134 -14.5% 674 618 -8.4% 194 252 30.3% 4,145 3,500 -15.6%

2004

Production

2005

Import

Export

2006

Consumption

4 Source : ISIT

Bar Bar production Producers Unit : 000 MT

Production

3,235

3,293

2,700

2,712

- Millineum Steel

- Bangsaphan Bar mill

- Bangkok Steel Industry

- Chonviriya Steel

- Burapa Steel Industries

- Thai Steel Profile

- Other

2003

2004

2005

2006E

Bar import - export Import Export

232

230 182

158

88 47

2003 Source : ISIT

45

2004

35 2005

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

-S.Korea

- USA

- Taiwan

- Cambodia

- Japan

- Lao Republic

- China

- Australia 5

Wire rod Wire rod supply

Producers - Siam Iron and Steel (2001)

Unit : 000 MT

- Bangkok Industrial Steel Work - Tycoons Worldwide

Production

1,120

891

1,024

844

- Other

2003

2004

2005

Wire rod import - export

2006E

Import Export

365

- Thai Special Steel Industry

407

358

398

4

6

7

7

2003

2004

2005

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

-China

- Vietnam

- Taiwan

- Cambodia

- Japan

- Lao Republic

- India

- India 6

Source : ISIT

HR Sheet consumption (000 (000 MT) HR Consumption MT) 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

Flat Products

2004

Thailand Flat Product Apparent Consumption (million MT)

2005

2006

8.27, 16.5%

9

Production

7.1, 11%

8

Import

Export

Consumption

7

CR Stainless & CR stainless consumption (000(000 MT) MT) CR&CR Consumption

4.81, -15.8%

6

300

5

250

4

200

3

150

2

100

1

50

1997

1998

1999

2000

Production

2001

Import

2002

2003

Export

2004

2005

2005 JanAug

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

0

0 2006 JanAug

2004

Production

Apparent Consumption

2005

Import

Export

2006

Consumption

Coated consumption (000 MT) MT) Coated Consumption (000 250

Flat Product Production Import Export Apparent Consumption

2005 Jan-Aug 2006 Jan-Aug %Change 2,788 2,767 -0.7% 3,807 3,020 -20.7% 889 982 10.5% 5,706 4,805 -15.8%

200 150 100 50 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

Unit : 000 MT

2004

Production

Source : ISIT

2005

Import

Export

2006

7

Consumption

Hot Rolled Products HR supply Producers Unit : 000 MT - Sahaviriya Steel Industry - G Steel

4,418

Production

4,090

3,905 3,328

- NSM - Sahaviriya Plate Mill - LPN

2003

2004

2005

2006E

HR Import - export

Import Export

2,348

2,638

2,354 275

613

1,896 914

946

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

- Japan

- USA

- China

- Europe

- S.Korea

2003

2004

2005

2006E

- Vietnam - Indonesia

- Taiwan 8

Source : ISIT

Cold Rolled Products CR supply

Producers

Unit : 000 MT

- TCRSS - Siam United Steel

Production 2,115

- Bluescope Steel (Thailand)

2,120

2003

2004

1,595

1,407

2005

2006E

- Thainox Stainless

CR Import - export Import

644 545

Export

714

655

622 517 375

274

2003 Source : ISIT

2004

2005

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

- Japan

- Malaysia

- China

- Vietnam

- S.Korea

- China

- Taiwan

- Hong Kong 9

Coated Products - GI Producers

GI supply Unit : 000 MT

- Bangkok Steel Industry - Thai Coated Steel - Sangasri Thai

Production

- Thailand Iron Work

443

437

2003

2004

333

310

2005

2006E

GI Import - export

Import Export

1,018

941

687

593

76 2003 Source : ISIT

- Ratchasima Steel

87 2004

38 2005

69

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

-Japan

- Myanmar

- China

- USA

- S.Korea

- Malaysia

- Taiwan

- Lao Republic 10

Coated Products – TP&TF TP&TF supply Unit : 000 MT

Producers - Siam tinplate

Production 407

466

2003

2004

- Thai tinplate 360

372

2005

2006E

TP&TF Import - export Import Export

138

120

135

112

5

7

6

8

2003

2004

2005

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

- S.Korea

- Lao Republic

- Taiwan

- Indonesia

- Japan

- Cambodia

- China

- Vietnam 11

Source : ISIT

Coated Products – Other coated (Zn-Al, color, other metallic coated) Other coated supply Producer

Unit : 000 MT

- Bluescope steel (Thailand) 233

Production

148

176

177

2003

2004

2005

2006E

Other coated import - export Import

248

289

239

Export

148

72

2003 Source : ISIT

42 2004

61

2005

90

2006E

Major sources (import)

Main destination (export)

-Japan

- Lao Republic

- China

- Indonesia

- S.Korea

- Cambodia

- Taiwan

- Vietnam 12

Thailand still relies on imports of both semi-finished and finished steel products, specially for flat steel product group. Thailand steel Import – Export in 2005 (Unit : ‘000 tonnes) Export

Import

-1,825

Billet

39

-3,476

Slab

-230 -407 -17

35

Bar

7

Wire rod

247 577

-1,695 -147 -613 -1,368 -364 -115 Source : ISIT

149 290

Section HRC HRP CRC

105

Coated sheet

36

Seamless pipe

165

Welded pipe

13

Construction is a major consuming sector, most of its application requires commercial steel grade. ƒ Total consumption in 2005 = 13.88 million tonnes ƒ Consumption per capita in 2005 = 212 kg ƒ Ratio of long : flat steel consumption = 40 : 60 ƒ Consumption by downstream sector - Construction

60%

- Automotive

12%

- Industrial

11%

- Appliance

8%

- Packaging

5%

- Other

4%

Other, 4% Packaging, 5%

Appliance, 8%

Industrial, 11% Construction, 60% Automotive, 12%

14 Source : ISIT

Contents

ƒ Thailand steel situation ƒ Specific Energy Consumption (SEC) in 1999 - 2004

15

Specific Energy Consumption for bar products BAR with EAF Raw material : Scrap Product : Round bar/deformed bar

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 5,09 5

BAR without EAF Raw material : Billet Product : Round bar/deformed bar

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 2,07 5

Ratio (%) Fuel Elec. 38% 51 oxy % gen 10 %

Ratio (%) Elec. 19 % Fuel 81% 16

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for wire rod products Wire rod with EAF Raw material : Scrap Product : Wire rod

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 6,44 2

Ratio (%) Fuel 36% oxy gen 18 %

Wire rod without EAF Raw material : Billet Product : Wire rod

Average SEC (MJ/ton 3,21 ) 2

Elec. 46 %

Ratio (%) Elec. 33 % Fuel 67%

17 Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for hot rolled section products Hot rolled section with EAF Raw material : Scrap Product : Hot rolled section

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 6,05 1

Hot rolled section without EAF Raw material : Billet Product : Hot rolled section

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 2,88 6

Ratio (%) Elec. Fuel 40 47% % oxy gen 13 %

Ratio (%) Elec. 11 % Fuel 89% 18

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for hot rolled sheet products HR with EAF Raw material : Scrap Product : Hot rolled coil

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 4,71 0

HR without EAF Raw material : Slab Product : Hot rolled coil / Hot rolled plate

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 2,24 6

Ratio (%) Fuel 28% Elec. 58 oxy % gen 14 %

Ratio (%) Elec. 25 % Fuel 75% 19

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for cold rolled sheet products CRC Raw material : Hot rolled coil Product : Cold rolled coil

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 1,78 7

Ratio (%)

Fuel 58%

Elec. 42 %

Specific Energy Consumption for hot dip galvanized sheet products HDG Raw material : Cold rolled coil Product : Hot dip galvanized sheet

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 1,43 9

Ratio (%) Elec. 18 % Fuel 82% 20

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for electro-galvanized sheet products EG Raw material : Cold rolled coil Product : Electrogalvanized sheet

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 1,30 0

Ratio (%) Fuel 37%

Elec. 63 %

Specific Energy Consumption for tin-plate & tin-free sheet products TP&TF Raw material : Cold rolled coil - TMBP Product : Tin plate & tin free sheet

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 876

Ratio (%)

Fuel 40% Elec. 60 % 21

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for cold-formed section products Cold formed section Raw material : Hot rolled coil Product : Coldformed section

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 21

Ratio (%)

Elec. 100 %

Specific Energy Consumption for ERW pipe products ERW pipe Raw material : HRC, CRC Product : ERW pipe

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 235

Ratio (%)

Elec. 100 % 22

Source: team analysis

Specific Energy Consumption for galvanized steel pipe products HDG pipe Raw material : Hot rolled coil Product : Hot dip galvanized steel pipe

Average SEC (MJ/ton ) 1,67 0

Ratio (%) Elec. 28 %

Fuel 72%

23 Source: team analysis

Thailand specific energy consumption in 1999 2004 MJ/ton

3,500

2,900

2,869

3,000

2,512

2,553

2,487

2001

2002

3,014

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0 1999

2000

2004

2004

24 Source: team analysis

Total energy equivalent demand for Thai steel industry is estimated Est. 939 ktoe. Energy total Bar_EAF EAF – Hot rolling mill

WR_EAF

550

Section_EAF

600

HR_EAF

WR_no EAF

consumption (ktoe)

5,095

195 6,442

85

6,051

87

4,710

1,607

Bar_no EAF Hot rolling mill

SEC (MJ/ton)

production in 2004 (‘000 1,600 tons)

1,350

181 67

2,075 3,212

570

Section_no EAF 430

44

2,886

HR_no EAF

2,300

CRC

2,100

X

2,246

30

=

123 90

1,787

HDG

260

1439

9

EG

180

1,300

6

Tin plate

467

876

10

Cold-formed

450

21

0.22

ERW pipe Gal. steel pipe Source: team analysis

810 252

235

5

1,670

10

25

Energy consumption for Thai steel industry Steel sectors

Est. total Energy production in consumption 2004 ('000 (ktoe) tons)

Production ratio (%)

Energy consumption ratio (%)

1 Bar_EAF

1,600

195

12%

21%

2 Bar_no EAF

1,350

67

10%

7%

3 Wire rod_EAF

550

85

4%

9%

4 Wire rod_no EAF

570

44

4%

5%

5 Hot rolled section_EAF

600

87

4%

9%

6 Hot rolled section_no EAF

430

30

3%

3%

7 HR_EAF

1,607

181

12%

19%

8 HR_no EAF

2,300

123

17%

13%

9 Cold rolled steel sheet

2,100

90

16%

10%

10 Hot dip galvanized

260

9

2%

1%

11 Electro-galvanized

180

6

1%

1%

12 Tin plate & tin free steel

467

10

3%

1%

13 Cold formed section

450

0.22

3%

0.02%

14 ERW pipe

810

5

6%

0.48%

15 Hot dip galvanized steel pipe

252

10

2%

1%

13,526

939

100%

100%

Total

26

Conversion factor MJ

Unit ƒ Electricity

kWh

3.6

NM3 (kWh/NM3) x 3.6 (MJ/kWh)] ƒ Oxygen

18.72 [ = 5.2

(EAF)*

ƒ Natural gas

MMBTU

1,055.87

ƒ LPG

kg

50.23

ƒ Bunker oil

litre

39.77

ƒ Diesel

litre

36.42

ƒRemark: Kerosene litre oxygen is one source34.53 In steelmaking process, of energy to melt steel scrap. Chemical reaction between oxygen and carbon evolves heat as exothermic reaction.

27