North American Tuna Market
U.S. Market Overview
Total Retail Seafood dollars have grown from $9.8 to $11.4 billion in the past five years. Fresh and Frozen account for a combined 80% of the sales while shelf stable seafood sales account for the balance
Total Seafood Dollar Sales ($ in Millions) $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000
TTL $9.B
TTL $10.3B
TTL $10.8B
TTL $11.1B
TTL $11.4B
$2,289
$2,239
$2,308
$2,319
$3,859
$4,340
$4,575
$3,659
$4,147
$3,940
$4,100
$4,295
$4,482
$4,546
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
$2,240
$4,000 $2,000 $0
Source: IRI Multi Outlets
Frozen/Packaged
Fresh Seafood Counter
Shelf Stable
Note: Fresh does not reflect Food Service/restaurants - $9.4B market in N. America
3
Fresh seafood generates $4.6 billion in sales annually. Salmon, Shrimp and Crab are the top three species
Total Fresh Seafood Dollar Share By Species - $4.6B
Source: IRI
4
Of the total fresh sales, Tuna accounts for $76 million which has steadily increased over the last four year period
Total Fresh Tuna Dollar Sales ($ in Millions) $80.0
$75.0
$73.3
$70.0
$76.4
$65.3
$60.0
$57.0
$50.0
$40.0 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Total Fresh Tuna Source: IRI
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Total frozen seafood sales delivered $4.5 billion during 2015. Shrimp represents almost one-half of the total category
Total Frozen Seafood Dollar Share By Species - $4.5B
Source: IRI
6
Sales of Frozen tuna have also increased over the last four years, generating $31.9 million last year
Total Frozen Tuna Dollar Sales ($ in Millions) $35.0
$31.9
$30.0
$27.8
$25.0
$20.0
$19.4
$17.9 $14.9
$15.0
$10.0 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Total Frozen Tuna Source: IRI
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Frozen Tuna represents a growth opportunity as only 1.5% or U.S. households are currently purchasing
Frozen Tuna Household Purchasing Dynamics
% Households Buying Dollars Per Trip Unit Sales Per Trip Price Per Unit
Source: IRI
1.5% $10.44 1.3 $8.26
Tuna In Basket Dollars Per Trip
$113.92
Tuna Not In Basket Dollars Per Trip
$50.88 8
Shelf Stable seafood accounted for $2.2 billion in sales during 2015. Tuna purchases represent three-quarters of the total category sales
Total Shelf Stable Seafood Dollar Share By Species - $2.2B
Source: IRI
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Shelf Stable Tuna dollar sales, down 2.7% versus the prior year period, are flat compared to five years ago.
Total Shelf Stable Tuna Dollar Sales ($ in Millions) $1,900
$1,800
$1,700
$1,699
$1,714
$1,692
$1,635
$1,645
$1,600
$1,500
$1,400 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Shelf Stable Tuna Source: IRI
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A total of 27.6 million EQ cases of shelf stable tuna were sold in 2015, down just 1% versus the prior year, but down 10% from 2011
Total Shelf Stable Tuna Volume (EQ Case Volume in Millions) 30.7 30.0
28.4 27.3
27.9
27.6
25.0
20.0 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Shelf Stable Tuna Source: IRI
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StarKist is the leading brand of Tuna in the U.S. market, accounting for 43.3% and 40.5% of category dollars and volume, respectively. Bumble Bee ranks #2 with 28% of dollar sales and 25.6% of the volume
Shelf Stable Tuna Dollar and Volume Share By Brand Dollar Share Private Label 12.6% Chicken of the Sea 13.3%
Other 2.8% Bumble Bee 28.0%
Private Label 17.0%
Other 1.5%
Bumble Bee 25.6%
Chicken of the Sea 15.4%
StarKist 43.3% Source: IRI
Volume Share
StarKist 40.5% 12
Light tuna is the largest segment within shelf stable tuna, contributing 44.3% of the dollars sold and almost 60% of the tonnage. Albacore, follows with 35.2% of dollar sales and almost 29% of volume sales. Bumble Bee is the leading brand of Albacore, while StarKist is the leading brand of Light tuna.
Shelf Stable Tuna Dollar and Volume Share By Type
Dollar Share
Volume Share
Value Add 5.1% Pouch 15.5%
Light 44.3% Source: IRI
Value Add 17.0% Albacore 35.2%
Albacore 28.6%
Pouch 7.8%
Light 59.8% 13
Almost two-thirds of shelf stable tuna is sold in the traditional retail channel (62%). Walmart represents a quarter of the sales (24%), followed by Club stores (6%)
Shelf Stable Tuna Dollar Sales By Channel Drug Military Other 5.0% 2.0% 1.0% Club 6.0%
Walmart 24.0%
Source: IRI
Retail 62.0%
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The total number of households that are purchasing canned tuna declined over the last 5 years. At the end of 2015, 67.8% of U.S. households were tuna purchasers
Total Shelf Stable Tuna Household Penetration 75.0
72.3
71.2 68.9
70.0
68.6
67.8
65.0
60.0
2011
Source: IRI
2012
2013
2014
2015
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The average consumers spends $4.23 for 3 cans during each buying trip, paying an average of $1.43 per unit
Shelf Stable Tuna Household Purchasing Dynamics
% Households Buying
67.8%
Dollars Per Trip
$4.23
Unit Sales Per Trip
Source: IRI
3.0
Price Per Unit
$1.43
Tuna In Basket Dollars Per Trip
$89.98
Tuna Not In Basket Dollars Per Trip
$40.84 16
Despite the household declines, canned and pouch Tuna is positioned for growth
Consumer Trends Favorable For Tuna • Demographic trends support long term growth opportunities – Aging population focused on health – Convenience is a critical factor in product offerings – Health awareness on the rise and greater interests in “better for you” products – Increasing ethnic diversity with “fish forward” attitudes and behaviors • Shelf Stable Tuna fits consumer needs – Protein is “hot” today – Healthy, nutritious and convenient – Low in fat, calories and cholesterol – High in Omega-3 EPA/DHA and excellent source of protein – Linked to reduction in heart disease, Alzheimer’s, strokes – Easy to prepare – Affordable “go to source” of lean protein 17
The leading U.S. brands continue to invest in efforts to drive their brand platform and engage consumers. A key push is also underway through the National Fisheries Institute, to capitalize on the latest Dietary Guidelines that highlight the importance of eating 2-3 servings of Seafood per week Situation Overview • 2015-2020 Dietary Guidelines for Americans were released in January 2016; positive with respect to fish, especially tuna • New aspects of socioeconomic considerations, such as access and affordability, provide opportunity for continued engagement for 6 months • Six month window to promote while DGA is still considered “new” • Timing and content of FDA final advice continues to be uncertain
Communications Objectives • Educate HCPs and allied professionals about the DGA to encourage consumption of fish, especially tuna
Strategic Approach • Amplify DGA as most current recommendation for pregnant and nursing women, supported by Net Effect Report • Arm HCPs and influencers with tools for discussion with patients
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There are targeted initiatives underway to disseminate the new dietary guidelines and also increase awareness of a comprehensive report released by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration validating the incredible health benefits of seafood
Leverage The Positive Science And Reach Key Targets Key Opinion Leaders
Stakeholders
RDs, MDs, Scientists
Engagement & Accountability
Consumers
Medical
Pregnant/Nursing Moms
Institutions & Associations
Net Effects Report Health Care Providers
Media
OBGYN, Peds, Nurses
Traditional and Non-Traditional 19
Canada Market Overview
The Canadian shelf stable seafood market delivered $414 million in sales in 2015 representing a 10.6% increase versus 2010
Total Seafood Dollar Sales ($ in Thousands) $450,000
TTL $414.1M
TTL $374.4M
$35,633 $48,285
$400,000 $350,000 $300,000
$33,203 $46,546
$250,000 $200,000
$178,482
$158,946
$150,000 $100,000
$39,539
$50,854
$50,000
$96,206
$100,832
$0 2010 Salmon Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
Value Add Tuna
2015 Non Value Add Tuna
Specialty
Sardines 21
While total dollar sales have increased, volume is down 8.8% during the same time frame. Volume declines were posted in each segment with the exception of Value Added Tuna
Total Seafood Volume Sales (EQ Cases in Thousands) $6,000 $5,000 $4,000 $3,000
TTL 4,770
TTL 4,356
403 294
364 260
2,573
2,415
346
362 955
$2,000 $1,000
1,154 $0 2010 Salmon
Value Add Tuna
2015 Non Value Add Tuna
Specialty
Sardines
Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
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Clover Leaf is the brand leader in the Canadian marketplace generating almost 48% of the total dollar sales. Private Label ranks #2 followed by Oceans Fisheries
Shelf Stable Seafood Dollar Share By Brand Other 13.0%
Private Label 16.2%
Clover Leaf 47.6%
Oceans Fisheries 13.0% Canfisco 10.2% Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
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Tuna is the largest canned seafood segment driving 61.2% of the category volume, followed by Salmon (24%) and Sardines/Herring (9.4%). Among canned seafood buyers, more than 3 out of 4 consumers purchased tuna last year, while 45% purchased canned salmon
Total Canned Seafood Development – By Species
Share of Requirements 61.2
24.0 5.4
Salmon % Seafood 45 Buyers Purchasing…
Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
Tuna 77
Specialties 29
9.4
Sardines & Herring 27
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Within the Tuna segment, Skipjack represents two thirds of volume sales, followed by Albacore at 19% and value added tuna at 13%
Shelf Stable Tuna Volume Share By Type Value Added Tuna 13.0% Yellowfin 2.5%
Albacore 18.8%
Skipjack 65.7% Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
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The Grocery channel delivers 66% of sales, followed by Club Stores (15.5%) and Mass Merchandisers (10.5%)
Shelf Stable Tuna Volume Sales By Channel Drug/All Other 7.9% Mass Merch 10.5%
Club 15.5%
Grocery 66.1%
Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
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The typical Canadian tuna buyers are likely to be older empty nesters, with above average income
The Canadian Tuna Consumer THE TOTAL TUNA BUYER IS LIKELY TO BE:
AVG DISTRIBUTION OF BUYERS
Age 45+
62%
1-2 member household
58%
Couples (established/empty nest/seniors)
41%
High Income $70k - $100k+
45%
No Kids
68%
Source: ACNielsen Homescan52 Weeks Ending Nov 14, 2015
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Thank You And Enjoy The Conference!