FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Results
Toyota Motor Corporation November 5, 2015
All-new Prius (U.S.model)
Cautionary Statement with Respect to Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect Toyota’s plans and expectations. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause Toyota’s actual results, performance, achievements or financial position to be materially different from any future results, performance, achievements or financial position expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: (i) changes in economic conditions, market demand, and the competitive environment affecting the automotive markets in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia and other markets in which Toyota operates; (ii) fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly with respect to the value of the Japanese yen, the U.S. dollar, the euro, the Australian dollar, the Russian ruble, the Canadian dollar and the British pound, and interest rates fluctuations; (iii) changes in funding environment in financial markets and increased competition in the financial services industry; (iv) Toyota’s ability to market and distribute effectively; (v) Toyota’s ability to realize production efficiencies and to implement capital expenditures at the levels and times planned by management; (vi) changes in the laws, regulations and government policies in the markets in which Toyota operates that affect Toyota’s automotive operations, particularly laws, regulations and government policies relating to vehicle safety including remedial measures such as recalls, trade, environmental protection, vehicle emissions and vehicle fuel economy, as well as changes in laws, regulations and government policies that affect Toyota’s other operations, including the outcome of current and future litigation and other legal proceedings, government proceedings and investigations; (vii) political and economic instability in the markets in which Toyota operates; (viii) Toyota’s ability to timely develop and achieve market acceptance of new products that meet customer demand; (ix) any damage to Toyota’s brand image; (x) Toyota’s reliance on various suppliers for the provision of supplies; (xi) increases in prices of raw materials; (xii) Toyota’s reliance on various digital and information technologies; (xiii) fuel shortages or interruptions in electricity, transportation systems, labor strikes, work stoppages or other interruptions to, or difficulties in, the employment of labor in the major markets where Toyota purchases materials, components and supplies for the production of its products or where its products are produced, distributed or sold; and (xiv) the impact of natural calamities including the negative effect on Toyota’s vehicle production and sales. A discussion of these and other factors which may affect Toyota’s actual results, performance, achievements or financial position is contained in Toyota’s annual report on Form 20-F, which is on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
2
Caution concerning Insider Trading Under Japanese securities laws and regulations (the "Regulations"), subject to certain exceptions, any person who receives certain material information relating to the business, etc. of Toyota which may be contained in this document is prohibited from trading in Toyota's shares or certain other transactions related to such shares (as set forth in the Regulations) until such material information is deemed to be made public. Under the Regulations, material information is deemed to be made public when (i) such material information is notified to a stock exchange and is disclosed by ways of electromagnetic means as prescribed by the ordinance of the Cabinet Office (posting on the TDnet (Timely Disclosure Network) information service ) or (ii) twelve (12) hours have elapsed since a listed company, such as Toyota, disclosed such material information to at least two (2) media sources as prescribed by the Regulations.
3
FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Results FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Performance (FY2016 First Half)
FY2016 Financial Forecasts
4
Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) FY2016 1H 5,000
4,000
4,477 1,030
FY2016 2Q
4,278 984
3,000
(-199)
2,235
(-46) 2,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1,395 414
1,413
(+18)
2,164
(-71)
N. America
524
514
(-10)
685
684
(-1)
207
201
407
(-7)
755
654
(-101)
369
325
(-6) (-44)
883
820
(-63)
450
440
(-10)
’14/7-9
’15/7-9
Change
2,519
2,477
-42
’14/4-9
’15/4-9
Change
1,000
0
Japan
Europe Asia Other Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, The Middle East, etc.
Total retail vehicle sales in thousands
5,032
4,979
-53
5
Consolidated Financial Summary (FY2016 First Half) (billions of yen)
Net Revenues Operating Income
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
(’14/4-9)
(’15/4-9)
12,945.5 1,351.9
14,091.4 1,583.4
10.4%
11.2%
Operating margin
Change +1,145.8 +231.4
+8.9% +17.1%
-
-
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliated companies
1,509.1
1,675.1
+165.9
+11.0%
Net Income*1
1,126.8
1,258.1
+131.2
+11.6%
8.7%
8.9%
-
-
355.91 yen
397.75 yen
+41.84 yen
-
103 yen 139 yen
122 yen 135 yen
+19 yen -4 yen
-
Net margin* 1
Net income per share* 2 (diluted)
FOREX Rates
US$ €
*1 Net Income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation *2 Net Income attributable to common shareholders
6
Analysis of Consolidated Operating Income (FY2016 First Half) (billions of yen) -60.0
+140.0
Effects of Marketing Activities *2
Cost Reduction Efforts
+305.0
-170.0
Increase in Expenses, etc. *3
1,351.9 Effects of FOREX Rates *1
’14/4-9
1,583.4
-35.5
Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc.
+51.9 Other *4
’15/4-9
Operating Income (+231.4)
*1. Details by currency
*2. Details
US$
Volume, M odel M ix
+360.0
€
-10.0
Financial Services
Other
-45.0
Other
*3. Details -115.0 ±0
+55.0
*4. Details
Labor Costs
-60.0
R&D Expenses
-40.0
Depreciation and CAPEX-related Expenses
-15.0
Translational FOREX impact concerning overseas subsidiaries
Expenses, etc.
-55.0
Other
+55.0
-3.1
7
Consolidated Financial Summary (FY2016 Second Quarter) (billions of yen)
Net Revenues Operating Income
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
(’14/7-9)
(’15/7-9)
6,554.9 659.2
7,103.8 827.4
10.1%
11.6%
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliated companies
737.3
Net Income*1
+548.9 +168.1
+25.5%
-
-
829.8
+92.5
+12.6%
539.0
611.7
+72.6
+13.5%
8.2%
8.6%
-
-
170.54 yen
192.51 yen
+21.97 yen
-
104 yen 138 yen
122 yen 136 yen
+18 yen -2 yen
-
Operating margin
Net margin* 1
Net income per share* 2 (diluted)
FOREX Rates
US$ €
Change
*1 Net Income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation *2 Net Income attributable to common shareholders
+8.4%
8
Analysis of Consolidated Operating Income (FY2016 Second Quarter) (billions of yen) -30.0 +80.0
Effects of Marketing Activities *2
Cost Reduction Efforts
+160.0
-75.0
Increase in Expenses, etc. *3
659.2
827.4 +7.2
Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc.
+25.9 Other *4
Effects of FOREX Rates *1
’14/7-9 *1. Details by currency
*2. Details
US$
Volume, Model M ix Financial Services
-50.0
Other
+25.0
€ Other
’15/7-9
Operating Income (+168.1) +185.0 -5.0 -20.0
*3. Details -5.0
*4. Details
Labor Costs
-30.0
R&D Expenses
-20.0
Depreciation and CAPEX-related Expenses
-10.0
Translational FOREX impact concerning overseas subsidiaries
Expenses, etc.
-15.0
Other
+25.0
+0.9
9
Geographic Operating Income:Japan ●
Operating Income (billions of yen) Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles)
FY2016 1H
1,030
984
FY2016 First Half Increased as a result of favourable foreign exchange rates and cost reduction efforts.
FY2016 2Q
(-46)
524
514
(-10)
958.2 718.7
482.3 352.8 +129.5
+239.4
Operating Income Margin
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
10.5%
13.3%
9.9%
13.0%
Sienta
10
Geographic Operating Income:North America Operating Income (billions of yen)
Excluding Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. ●
FY2016 First Half Decreased mainly due to the impact of foreign exchange rates and an increase in expenses.
Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles)
FY2016 1H
1,413
1,395
289.1
FY2016 2Q
(+18)
685
684
139.3
134.6
285.7
-3.3
Operating Income Margin
(-1)
-4.7
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
6.4%
5.2%
6.2%
5.0%
Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. 23.5 billion yen -10.4 billion yen
7.7 billion yen
LEXUS ES Lexus NX
13.9 billion yen
11
Geographic Operating Income:Europe ●
Operating Income (billions of yen) Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles)
FY2016 2Q
FY2016 1H
414
407
33.2
(-7)
207
201
22.3
22.3
(-6)
30.2
-2.9
Operating Income Margin
FY2016 First Half Decreased mainly as a result of fewer vehicle sales.
±0
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
2.4%
2.3%
3.1%
3.4%
AURIS
12
Geographic Operating Income:Asia ●
Operating Income (billions of yen) Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles)
FY2016 First Half Increased mainly due to cost reduction efforts and favourable exchange rates.
FY2016 2Q
FY2016 1H
755 654 (-101)
369 325 144.0
244.1
212.9
102.5 +41.4
+31.2
Operating Income Margin
(-44)
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
8.9%
10.0%
8.7%
11.1%
FORTUNER
13
Central & South America, Oceania, Africa and The Middle East
Geographic Operating Income : ●
Operating Income (billions of yen) Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles)
FY2016 1H
883
820
FY2016 2Q
(-63)
450
77.9
FY2016 First Half Decreased primarily due to the impact of foreign exchange rates and increased expenses.
66.8
440
(-10)
43.9 28.8 -15.0
-11.0
Operating Income Margin
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
6.5%
5.6%
7.1%
4.9%
CAMRY
14
Financial Services Operating Income (billions of yen) FY2016 1H
163.2
FY2016 2Q
180.0
Change
81.1
83.2
FY2015 2Q
FY2016 2Q
Change
FY2015 1H
FY2016 1H
184.5
165.8
-18.6
86.3
95.6
+9.3
Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc.
21.2
-14.2
-35.5
5.1
12.4
+7.2
Operating Income Excluding Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc.
163.2
180.0
+16.8
81.1
83.2
+2.0
Operating Income
Improved mainly due to an increase in both lending balance and lending margins.
15
Equity in Earnings of Affiliated Companies (billions of yen) FY2016 1H
FY2016 2Q 100 1,000
200 2,000
165.8
161.6
(-4.2)
150 1,500
60.5 101.1
100 1,000
50 500
0
105.2
(+4.0)
49.0
39.5
(-9.4)
15.6
16.8
(+1.1)
’14/4-9
’15/4-9
Change
50 500
32.4
24.5
(+0.1) (-7.8)
Japan China Other
27.1
(+6.1)
7.0
8.9
(+1.9)
’14/7-9
’15/7-9
’14/4-6
’15/4-6
238
285
21.0 0
60.7
Change
Retail Sales Results in China (thousands of vehicles)
’14/1-6
’15/1-6
466
513
+47
+47 16
Shareholder Return Interim Dividend : 100 yen per common share (Total Amount of Payout:311.3 billion yen, Payout Ratio 25.0%)
Repurchase (max) : 150.0 billion yen 23 million shares Dividend per Share
1株当たり配当金と当期純利益の推移 Dividend per share and Net Income
(yen)
250 250
Net Income (Right axis)
Interim Dividend
Year- End Dividend
100 100
120 70
50 50 50
00 -50
’07/3
140
65
’08/3
2,500 25,000
200
35 65
’09/3
2,000 20,000 1,500 15,000
125
100 75
(billions of yen)
165
200 200 150 150
Net Income
90 45
50
50
25 20
30
30
20
20
’10/3
’11/3
’12/3
100
1,000 10,000
60 30
’13/3
65
’14/3
75
’15/3
100
’16/3
500 5,000 0 -500 -5,000
17
Shareholder Return Improving the balance between the Interim and the Year-End dividends Improving flexibility through a resolution to repurchase shares in interim period <Resolved matters> Interim Dividend Interim Period
Year-End
FY2016 (plan)
75 yen per share
100 yen per share
21.1%
25.0%
Repurchase (max)
-
150 billion yen 23 million shares
Year-End Dividend
125 yen per share
Payout Ratio
Payout Ratio Repurchase (max)
Full-year
FY2015
Payout Ratio
Will be considered 37.6% based on full-year return 300 billion yen/ level * 40 million shares 29.0%
around 30%*
(The above shows resolved matters regarding common stock)
18
Shareholder Return <Repurchase schedule> 1. Resolved at the Meeting of the Board of Directors on May 8, 2015 Period
Total number of shares
Total purchase price
from November 16, 2015 to January 29, 2016
40 million shares (max)
300 billion yen (max)
2. Resolved at today’s(November 5, 2015) Meeting of the Board of Directors Period
Total number of shares
Total purchase price
from February 1, 2016 to March 31, 2016
23 million shares (max)
150 billion yen (max)
◇ Repurchase plan for fiscal year ending March 2016 (1+2) Period
Total number of shares
Total purchase price
from November 16, 2015 to March 31, 2016
63 million shares (max)
450 billion yen (max)
In addition to the above, we have already repurchased 47.1 million shares of 348.2 billion yen to avoid dilution of the common shares from the issuance of First Series Model AA Class shares.
19
Shareholder Return Cancellation of shares of treasury stock : 80 million shares (The cancellation is expected to take place on November 30, 2015.) (billions of shares)
Balance of shares of treasury stock
Repurchase for the purpose of shareholder return
+0.06
0.38 +0.05
0.27
-0.08
Cancellation
0.30
Repurchase in connection with issuance of First Series Model AA Class shares
End of March 2015 Actual Results
End of March 2016 As is
End of March 2016 Planned
20
FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Results FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Performance (FY2016 First Half)
FY2016 Financial Forecasts
21
FY2016 Forecasts: Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) 10,000
8,950
8,750
8,000
2,170
2,120
(-50)
2,850
2,850
(±0)
(-200)
6,000
4,000
8,972 2,154
2,715
859
840
840
(±0)
1,420
1,320
(-100)
1,489
1,670
1,620
(-50)
1,755
Previous Forecasts (’15/4-’16/3)
New Forecasts (’15/4-’16/3)
2,000
Japan N. America Europe Asia Other Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, The Middle East, etc.
0
Total retail vehicle sales in thousands
10,150
10,000
Change
-150
FY2015 Results (’14/4-’15/3)
10,168
22
FY2016 Forecasts: Consolidated Financial Summary (billions of yen)
Previous Forecasts
New Forecasts
(’15/4-’16/3)
(’15/4-’16/3)
Change
Net Revenues 27,800.0 Operating Income 2,800.0
27,500.0 2,800.0
-300.0 ±0
10.1%
10.2%
2,980.0
2,980.0
±0
2,892.8
330.0
310.0
-20.0
308.5
2,250.0
2,250.0
±0
2,173.3
8.1%
8.2%
Operating margin Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of affiliated companies Equity in earnings of affiliated companies *1
Net Income Net margin*1
FOREX Rates
US$ €
117 yen 127 yen
118 yen*2 133 yen*2
-
FY2015 Results (’14/4-’15/3)
27,234.5 2,750.5 10.1%
-
+1 yen +6 yen
8.0%
110 yen 139 yen
*1 Net Income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation *2 FOREX Rate assumptions: 115 yen against the U.S. dollar and 130 yen against the Euro from October 2015 to March 2016
23
Analysis of FY2016 Forecasts: Consolidated Operating Income (vs. Previous Forecasts) (billions of yen)
+45.0
2,800.0
+65.0 Effects of FOREX Rates
Cost Reduction Efforts
-65.0 Volume/ Model Mix
±0
Other Marketing Efforts
Effects of Marketing Activities -65.0
Previous Forecasts (’15/4-’16/3)
Operating Income (±0)
-45.0
2,800.0
Increase in Expenses, etc.
New Forecasts (’15/4-’16/3)
24
25
◇
Toyota Environmental Challenge 2050
26
◇ Development of Automated Driving
Safety
Efficiency
Freedom
Reducing congestion
Driving Intelligence
Connected Intelligence
Interactive Intelligence
27
◇ Artificial Intelligence Research •
Establishment of a collaborative research centers with MIT and Stanford
•
Total investment of USD $50 million to accelerate AI research
•
AI industry expert Dr. Gill A. Pratt invited to reinforce research into artificial intelligence
Professor Daniela Rus, Dr. Gill A.Pratt Professor Fei-Fei Li, Kiyotaka Ise, Senior Managing Officer MIT Stanford
MIT
28
FY2016 Consolidated Forecasts: R&D, CAPEX, Depreciation (billions of yen)
Capital Expenditures
R&D Expenses ●
Depreciation Expenses
12,000 1,200 732.9
1,100 11,000
727.3
880.0 806.2
775.9
1,000 10,000 900 9,000 800 8,000
1,004.5
700 7,000
807.4
1,060.0
910.5
852.7
779.8 00
FY2012
1,177.4
1,210.0
FY2015
FY2016 Forecast
1,000.7
706.7 FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016 Forecast
FY2012
Change from Previous Forecasts: R&D Expenses +10.0 billion yen Capital Expenditures ±0 billion yen
FY2013
FY2014
Depreciation Expenses ±0 billion yen
29
FY2016 Second Quarter Financial Results
Toyota Motor Corporation November 5, 2015
LEXUS RX
(Reference) FY2016 Forecasts: Vehicle Production and Retail Sales (thousands of vehicles)
T o y o t a
Vehicle 1 Production*
& L e x u s
Vehicle 2 Retail Sales*
Previous Forecasts
New Forecasts
(’15/4-’16/3)
(’15/4-’16/3)
Japan
3,250
3,250
±0
Overseas
5,850
5,750
-100
Total
9,100
9,000
-100
Japan
1,450
1,500
+50
Overseas
7,700
7,600
-100
Total
9,150
9,100
-50
1,800
1,800
±0
10,150
10,000
-150
Exports
Total Vehicle Retail Sales*2 (Including Daihatsu- & Hino- brand)
*1 Including vehicle production by Toyota’s affiliates outside consolidation *2 Including vehicle sales by Toyota’s affiliates outside consolidation
Change
31
(Reference) Definitions of Consolidated and Retail Vehicle Sales
*There are a limited number of exceptional cases where sales are made other than in accordance with the flowchart above.
Customers
Number of vehicles produced for wholesale by Toyota’s affiliates outside consolidation (e.g. JV affiliates in China, etc)
Total Retail Vehicle Sales
P5,22
Toyota and Lexus Vehicle Sales
Number of vehicles produced for wholesale by Toyota Motor Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries
Distributors or Dealers outside consolidation
Toyota- and Lexus- brand vehicles
Consolidated Vehicle Sales
Daihatsu- and Hino- brand vehicles
P5 P22 P31 (in bottom part)
P22
32