Extra Space Medium Term Curve Security
Entry
Stop
Target
Short Term Curve Bias
Entry
Stop
Target
Bias
Euribor
FinCurve STIR EURIBOR-EURODOLLAR-STERLING Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
ERZ4 Comdty
99.644
99.609
Bullish
99.735
99.675
ERZ5 Comdty
99.315
99.375
Neutral
99.515
99.375
ERZ6 Comdty
98.755
98.755
Balanced
99.015
98.795
99.534
Bullish
EDZ4 Comdty
99.574
99.615
Neutral
99.655
99.615
99.775
Bullish
EDZ5 Comdty
98.945
98.945
Balanced
98.945
98.925
99.150
Bullish
EDZ6 Comdty
98.025
97.815
Neutral
98.025
97.815
L Z4 Comdty
99.169
99.149
99.400
Bullish
99.239
99.199
L Z5 Comdty
98.520
98.560
98.010
Bearish
98.380
98.370
L Z6 Comdty
97.690
97.760
97.090
Bearish
97.590
97.530
99.835
Neutral Neutral
Eurodollar
Neutral
Sterling 99.380
Bullish Balanced
97.940
Bullish
Euribor Dec 2014: 24/02 Short term changes to neutral with a bullish bias but no position taken until we close above 99.735. 03/02 Only 9 Bp to our medium term long position exit !! We now see the short term as neutral with a bearish bias , but nothing cooking unless we close below 99.645. 30/01 Granularity takes the short term effectively balanced so we exit our long from 99.655 MOO at 99.70 for a 4.5 Bp profit. It's not much, but it's lunch.
WhiteSpace1 Euribor Dec 2015: 20/02 Medium term still not sure which way is up as our long from 53 cut MOO at 54 on a change in granularity. EMA's looking to finally diverge, but looks can be deceiving as we know. 19/02 Medium term joins the party with a long position from 53 looking for 88.5. Stop on this is the same as the short term at 35.5. With this sideways market move EMA's are still not giving a definitive signal as yet. 14/02 Short term neutralised but not stopped on yesterdays trading session. A close above 52.5 today will see us resume our hunt for 88.
WhiteSpace1 Euribor Dec 2016: 19/02 Short term returns bullish on yesterdays session and resumes the hunt for a new higher target of 55. 04/02 A new higher target in the short term up at 99.495 now due to volume traded creating a new higher trigger entry. With EMA's backed up by swing and momentum our long from 98.89 is looking ok. 03/02 Medium term target acquired and and a decent 24.5 Bp thrown in the kitty. Next stop, 99.295 ?
WhiteSpace1 EuroDollar Dec 2014: 20/02 Short term granularity changes once more and takes the curve bullish but we hold no position unless we trade below and subsequently close above 65.5. Marked for consistency. 19/02 Granularity forces us to close both longs prematurely MOO at 68.5 for a combined 4 Bp profit. Both curves now neutral with a bearish bias and short on a close below 60. 10/02 Double long we are then. Entry at 99.665 from the 66 trigger looking for 79 with a 60.5 stop. Worth noting that EMA's are diverging nicely at the moment.
WhiteSpace1 EuroDollar Dec 2015: 31/01 Short term curve turns bullish on yesterdays trading session and we await a trade below and subsequent close above 98.945 to get involved. Marked for consistency. 24/01 Medium term shorts stopped at 98.945 for a 6.5 Bp loss. So neutral we remain now until we close below 98.845.
WhiteSpace1 EuroDollar Dec 2016: 20/02 With new higher entry triggers we were neutralised in both curves on yesterdays sell off. A close above 98.025 today will see us back in the zone. 04/02 Medium term upside target gets bumped higher to 98.155. Longs still sitting pretty!
WhiteSpace1 Short Sterling Dec 2014: 24/02 Short term pushed long at 99.24 with a 38 target. Stop comes in at 20 on this and with EMA's still faffing about we could see that sooner than we want. 18/02 New start date for the short term curve at the 22nd Jan and we only have two ticks between Mid and Mode which leaves us with an effectively balanced curve. Interesting to see that considering all that has happened it has taken almost a month for accounts to square up. 28/01 Still holding longs on the medium term having bounced off our stop level level of 99.15 in both of the previous two sessions. Short term neutralised, looking to initiate shorts through 99.13.
WhiteSpace1 Short Sterling Dec 2015: 18/02 Another balanced short term contract, this is very important and we will cover this separately as it means the strip is ripe for a major move on fresh positions. 13/02 That's more like it. Medium term pushed short again, this time at 98.50 from a 52 trigger. Target is 01 with a 56 stop. 10/02 In and out on the same day is rather tedious and annoying. Another 5 Bp loss posted and the curve once again returns neutral. Yawn....
WhiteSpace1 Short Sterling Dec 2015: 24/02 Short term curve is marked for consistency only, no position held unless we trade below 59 and close above. 18/02 Out here as well, this is an absolute first and please contact us if you are not on the Bloomberg list as this is a very special condition. 13/02 Yesterdays sell off neutralised the short term and took us that much closer to our medium term target of 13.
WhiteSpace1 WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace WhiteSpace
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
3MO EURO EURIBOR Dec14 ERZ4 Comdty
7 Oct 2013
12 Dec 2013
Bias
Bullish
Target
99.835
Entry Trigger
99.644
99.735
Last
99.720
99.720
Stop
99.609
99.675
Balance Point
99.644
99.664
Skew
Neutral
0.757
0.740
Period Open
99.495
99.590
Period Close
99.720
99.720
Absolute Max
99.765
99.765
Absolute Min Act Balance
99.445
99.575
8062/5726
866/5161
Euribor Dec 2014: 24/02 Short term changes to neutral with a bullish bias but no position taken until we close above 99.735. 03/02 Only 9 Bp to our medium term long position exit !! We now see the short term as neutral with a bearish bias , but nothing cooking unless we close below 99.645. 30/01 Granularity takes the short term effectively balanced so we exit our long from 99.655 MOO at 99.70 for a 4.5 Bp profit. It's not much, but it's lunch.
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
3MO EURO EURIBOR Dec15 ERZ5 Comdty Bias
7 Nov 2013
31 Dec 2013
Neutral
Neutral
Entry Trigger
99.315
99.515
Last
99.510
99.510
Stop
99.375
99.375
Balance Point
99.355
99.435
Target
Skew
0.390
1.905
Period Open
99.275
99.265
Period Close
99.510
99.510
Absolute Max
99.575
99.575
Absolute Min
99.150
99.150
4259/925
406/2272
Act Balance
Euribor Dec 2015: 20/02 Medium term still not sure which way is up as our long from 53 cut MOO at 54 on a change in granularity. EMA's looking to finally diverge, but looks can be deceiving as we know. 19/02 Medium term joins the party with a long position from 53 looking for 88.5. Stop on this is the same as the short term at 35.5. With this sideways market move EMA's are still not giving a definitive signal as yet. 14/02 Short term neutralised but not stopped on yesterdays trading session. A close above 52.5 today will see us resume our hunt for 88.
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
3MO EURO EURIBOR Dec16 ERZ6 Comdty Bias
6 Dec 2013 Balanced
Target
31 Dec 2013 Bullish 99.534
Entry Trigger
98.755
99.015
Last
99.020
99.020
Stop
98.755
98.795
Balance Point
98.695
98.875
Skew
0.810
1.503
Period Open
98.705
98.615
Period Close
99.020
99.020
Absolute Max
99.020
99.095
Absolute Min
98.480
98.480
Act Balance
295/886
403/1340
Euribor Dec 2016: 19/02 Short term returns bullish on yesterdays session and resumes the hunt for a new higher target of 55. 04/02 A new higher target in the short term up at 99.495 now due to volume traded creating a new higher trigger entry. With EMA's backed up by swing and momentum our long from 98.89 is looking ok. 03/02 Medium term target acquired and and a decent 24.5 Bp thrown in the kitty. Next stop, 99.295 ?
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY EURO$ FUTR Dec14 EDZ4 Comdty Bias
18 Dec 2013 Neutral
Target
9 Jan 2014 Bullish 99.775
Entry Trigger
99.574
99.655
Last
99.675
99.675
Stop
99.615
99.615
Balance Point
99.594
99.604
Skew
0.429
0.181
Period Open
99.640
99.530
Period Close
99.675
99.675
Absolute Max
99.695
99.695
Absolute Min
99.520
99.520
2495/533
661/1517
Act Balance
EuroDollar Dec 2014: 20/02 Short term granularity changes once more and takes the curve bullish but we hold no position unless we trade below and subsequently close above 65.5. Marked for consistency. 19/02 Granularity forces us to close both longs prematurely MOO at 68.5 for a combined 4 Bp profit. Both curves now neutral with a bearish bias and short on a close below 60. 10/02 Double long we are then. Entry at 99.665 from the 66 trigger looking for 79 with a 60.5 stop. Worth noting that EMA's are diverging nicely at the moment.
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY EURO$ FUTR Dec15 EDZ5 Comdty Bias
18 Dec 2013 Balanced
Target
22 Jan 2014 Bullish 99.150
Entry Trigger
98.945
98.945
Last
99.025
99.025
Stop
98.945
98.925
Balance Point
98.945
98.985
Skew
-0.513
0.046
Period Open
99.085
98.815
Period Close
99.025
99.025
Absolute Max
99.145
99.110
Absolute Min
98.725
98.745
2162/1697
1616/437
Act Balance
EuroDollar Dec 2015: 31/01 Short term curve turns bullish on yesterdays trading session and we await a trade below and subsequent close above 98.945 to get involved. Marked for consistency. 24/01 Medium term shorts stopped at 98.945 for a 6.5 Bp loss. So neutral we remain now until we close below 98.845.
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY EURO$ FUTR Dec16 EDZ6 Comdty Bias
13 Dec 2013
9 Jan 2014
Neutral
Neutral
Entry Trigger
98.025
98.025
Last
97.955
97.955
Stop
97.815
97.815
Balance Point
97.845
97.885
Target
Skew
0.010
0.591
Period Open
97.835
97.580
Period Close
97.955
97.955
Absolute Max
98.065
98.065
Absolute Min
97.540
97.540
208/4293
208/3043
Act Balance
EuroDollar Dec 2016: 20/02 With new higher entry triggers we were neutralised in both curves on yesterdays sell off. A close above 98.025 today will see us back in the zone. 04/02 Medium term upside target gets bumped higher to 98.155. Longs still sitting pretty!
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY STERLING FU Dec14 L Z4 Comdty
1 Aug 2013
22 Jan 2014
Bias
Bullish
Bullish
Target
99.400
99.380
Entry Trigger
99.169
99.239
Last
99.240
99.240
Stop
99.149
99.199
Balance Point
99.179
99.199
Skew
0.807
1.047
Period Open
99.330
99.160
Period Close
99.240
99.240
Absolute Max
99.360
99.300
Absolute Min
98.930
99.090
18276/11385
2007/4381
Act Balance
Short Sterling Dec 2014: 24/02 Short term pushed long at 99.24 with a 38 target. Stop comes in at 20 on this and with EMA's still faffing about we could see that sooner than we want. 18/02 New start date for the short term curve at the 22nd Jan and we only have two ticks between Mid and Mode which leaves us with an effectively balanced curve. Interesting to see that considering all that has happened it has taken almost a month for accounts to square up. 28/01 Still holding longs on the medium term having bounced off our stop level level of 99.15 in both of the previous two sessions. Short term neutralised, looking to initiate shorts through 99.13.
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY STERLING FU Dec15 L Z5 Comdty Bias
1 Aug 2013 Bearish
22 Jan 2014 Balanced
Target
98.010
Entry Trigger
98.520
98.380
Last
98.430
98.430
Stop
98.560
98.370
Balance Point
98.440
98.360
Skew
0.406
0.699
Period Open
98.940
98.320
Period Close
98.430
98.430
Absolute Max
99.000
98.600
Absolute Min
98.090
98.160
5248/9159
1545/1679
Act Balance
Short Sterling Dec 2015: 18/02 Another balanced short term contract, this is very important and we will cover this separately as it means the strip is ripe for a major move on fresh positions. 13/02 That's more like it. Medium term pushed short again, this time at 98.50 from a 52 trigger. Target is 01 with a 56 stop. 10/02 In and out on the same day is rather tedious and annoying. Another 5 Bp loss posted and the curve once again returns neutral. Yawn....
Tuesday, 25th Feb 2014
90DAY STERLING FU Dec16 L Z6 Comdty Bias
1 Aug 2013
27 Dec 2013
Bearish
Bullish
Target
97.090
97.940
Entry Trigger
97.690
97.590
Last
97.610
97.610
Stop
97.760
97.530
Balance Point
97.590
97.550
Skew
0.796
0.801
Period Open
98.220
97.310
Period Close
97.610
97.610
Absolute Max
98.270
97.820
Absolute Min
97.230
97.230
1851/4385
1151/2013
Act Balance
Short Sterling Dec 2015: 24/02 Short term curve is marked for consistency only, no position held unless we trade below 59 and close above. 18/02 Out here as well, this is an absolute first and please contact us if you are not on the Bloomberg list as this is a very special condition. 13/02 Yesterdays sell off neutralised the short term and took us that much closer to our medium term target of 13.