CHAPTER V CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS

57 CHAPTER V CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS 5.1 Research Conclusions The objective of this research is to test whether companies engage in income decr...
Author: Harvey Walsh
2 downloads 1 Views 3MB Size
57

CHAPTER V CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTIONS

5.1

Research Conclusions The objective of this research is to test whether companies engage in income decreasing earnings management during global financial crisis or not. This study uses data on a sample of 154 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2008-2009 period and meets the criteria. This research used Modified Jones model to determine earnings management and one sample t-test (one-tailed test) to test the hypothesis. Results of analysis of the study show that hypothesis null is accepted. It means that companies do not engage in income decreasing earnings management during global financial crisis 2008-2009. It could happen because companies have several motivations and considerations in earnings management.

5.2

Research Limitations This research has limitation, which is short period of observations and limited samples. This research only observed earnings management in 20082009 due to the crisis only occurred in that period. So, the period of observations can not be extended. Besides that, Modified Jones model, which is being used in this research, is best used for manufacturing companies. 57ii 44

58 45

Therefore, this research only used the samples from manufacturing companies.

5.3

Suggestion for Future Research Suggestion that could be given for future research is to combine with the other crises events. Here, the meaning of combine is by using several crises events as sample, for instance Asian financial crisis in 1998 and Persian Gulf crisis. So, a research about earnings management can be conducted by comparing earnings management during Asian financial crisis, Persian Gulf crisis, and global financial crisis 2008-2009. As long as the data is available and freely accessible, future research about the other crises can be conducted. Therefore, in the future, researcher can use several crises events together and combine them in his/her research for better understanding of earnings management during financial crisis (but it depends on the availability of the data).

58ii

59

No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39

Symbol SMCB INTP SMGR ARNA MLIA TOTO BTON CTBN INAI JKSW JPRS LION LMSH PICO BUDI DPNS EKAD ETWA SRSN AKPI APLI BRNA DYNA IGAR TRST JPFA SIPD SULI FASW SPMA SAIP AUTO GJTL GDYR INDS LPIN MASA PRAS SMSM

Appendix 1: Lists of Samples Name Holcim Indonesia Tbk Indocement Tunggal Prakasa Tbk Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk Arwana Citramulia Tbk Mulia Industrindo Tbk Surya Toto Indonesia Tbk Betonjaya Manunggal Tbk Citra Tubindo Tbk Indal Aluminium Industry Tbk Jakarta Kyoei Steel Works Tbk Jaya Pari Steel Tbk Lion Metal Works Tbk Lionmesh Prima Tbk Pelangi Indah Canindo Tbk Budi Acid Jaya Tbk Duta Pertiwi Nusantara Tbk Ekadharma International Tbk Eterindo Wahanatama Tbk Indo Acidatama Tbk Argha Karya Prima Ind. Tbk Asiaplast Industries Tbk Berlina Tbk Dynaplast Tbk Kageo Igar Jaya Tbk Trias Sentosa Tbk JAPFA Comfeed Indonesia Tbk Sierad Produce Tbk Sumalindo Lestari Jaya Tbk Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk Suparma Tbk Surabaya Agung Industry Pulp Tbk Astra Otoparts Tbk Gajah Tunggal Tbk Goodyear Indonesia Tbk Indospring Tbk Multi Prima Sejahtera Tbk Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk Prima Alloy Steel Tbk Selamat Sempurna Tbk 59ii

60

40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80

MYTX ARGO ESTI MYRX KARW PBRX PAFI RICY BIMA BATA SIMM KBLM IKBI PTSN ADES AISA AQUA CEKA HMSP INAF INDF KAEF KDSI KICI KLBF LMPI MERK MLBI MRAT MYOR PSDN PYFA RMBA SCPI SKLT SQBI STTP TCID TSPC ULTJ UNVR

Apac Citra Centertex Tbk Argo Pantes Tbk Ever Shine Textile Industry Tbk Hanson International Tbk Karwell Indonesia Tbk Pan Brothers Tex Tbk Panasia Filament Inti Tbk Ricky Putra Globalindo Tbk Primarindo Asia Infrastructur Tbk Sepatu Bata Tbk Surya Intrindo Makmur Tbk Kabelindo Murni Tbk Sumi Indo Kabel Tbk Sat Nusapersada Tbk Akasha Wira International Tbk Tiga Pilar Sejahtera Food Tbk Aqua Golden Mississippi Tbk Cahaya Kalbar Tbk HM Sampoerna Tbk Indofarma Tbk Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk Kimia Farma Tbk Kedawung Setia Industrial Tbk Kedaung Indah Can Tbk Kalbe Farma Tbk Langgeng Makmur Industri Tbk Merck Tbk Multi Bintang Indonesia Tbk Mustika Ratu Tbk Mayor Indah Tbk Prasidha Aneka Niaga Tbk Pyridam Farma Tbk Bentoel International Investama Tbk Schering-Plough Indonesia Tbk Sekar Laut Tbk Taisho Pharmaceutical Indonesia (PS) Tbk Siantar Top Tbk Mandom Indonesia Tbk Tempo Scan Pacific Tbk Ultra Jaya Milk Tbk Unilever Indonesia Tbk 60ii

61

61ii

62

62ii

63

63ii

64

64ii

65

65ii

66

66ii

67

67ii

68

Appendix 3: Descriptive Statistics

One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test

N Normal Parameters a,b Most Extreme Dif f erences

Mean Std. Dev iat ion Absolute Positiv e Negativ e

Kolmogorov -Smirnov Z Asy mp. Sig. (2-tailed) a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated f rom data.

68ii

DAitdurin gcrisis 154 .0509 .13977 .109 .109 -.078 1.353 .051

69

Appendix 4: Normality Test Normality Test Result of Discretionary Accruals One-Sample Kolmo gorov-Smirnov Test N Normal Parameters a,b Most Extrem e Dif f erences

Mean Std. Dev iat ion Absolute Positiv e Negativ e

Kolmogorov -Smirnov Z Asy mp. Sig. (2-tailed)

DAit0809 160 .1016 .54692 .331 .331 -.262 4.192 .000

a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated f rom data.

Normality Test of Discretionary Accruals after Trimming One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test N Normal Parameters a,b Most Extrem e Dif f erences

Mean Std. Dev iat ion Absolute Positiv e Negativ e

Kolmogorov -Smirnov Z Asy mp. Sig. (2-tailed) a. Test distribution is Normal. b. Calculated f rom data.

69ii

DAit0809 154 .0509 .13977 .109 .109 -.078 1.353 .051

70

Appendix 5: One Sample T-Test

One-Sample Statistics

N DAit0809

154

Mean .0509

St d. Dev iation .13977

St d. Error Mean .01126

One-Sample Test Test Value = 0

DAit0809

t 4.517

df 153

Sig. (2-tailed) .000

70ii

Mean Dif f erence .05088

95% Conf idence Interv al of the Dif f erence Lower Upper .0286 .0731