4G Network Evolution Chris Pearson President 4G Americas www.4gamericas.org
4G Americas 4G Americas will advocate for and foster the advancement and full capabilities of 3GPP mobile broadband technologies, including LTE-Advanced, throughout the ecosystem’s networks, services, applications and wirelessly connected devices in the Americas.
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Ecosystem Evolution Value Circle Regulators
Vendors
Subscribers Things Machines Spectrum Application Providers
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Growth of Mobile Broadband Mobile Data Traffic in 2013 was nearly 18 times the entire global Internet in 2000
2000 Source: CISCO VNI, February 2014
2013 www.4gamericas.org
Growth of Mobile Broadband Mobile broadband leads the world in innovation and development for computing, networking, and applications. 2.4 Billion Global Mobile Broadband Subscriptions in 2Q 2014 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report Interim Update August 2014
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Growth of Mobile Data
Source: CISCO VNI, February 2014
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Network Evolution “Mobile Broadband at the Center of the Universe of the Connected Society”
Phases
1
Voice
2 3
Voice Capacity Mobile Broadband
4 Fast Mobile Broadband over simplified all IP network 5? Efficient delivery of services to humans, things and machines www.4gamericas.org
Technology Evolution To LTE-Advanced | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 |
2016 | 2017 | 2018
HSPA, HSPA+
LTE, LTE-Advanced
Flexibility
Efficiency and Capacity
Experience
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Throughputs rates are peak theoretical network rates for that technology release. Dates refer to expected initial commercial network deployment except 2011, which shows technologies that year. There are no public announcements of deployment of WiMAX Rel 1.5 nor IEEE 802.16m. X/Y MHz indicates X MHz used on the downlink and Y MHz used on the uplink. Source: Rysavy Research/4G Americas, 2013 www.4gamericas.org
3GPP Mobile Broadband Deployments 20 Networks 15 Countries
321 Networks 111 Countries
North America 49 Networks 2 Countries
LTE Networks & Countries
Latin America & Caribbean 45 Networks 18 Countries
556 Networks 203 Countries
Western Europe 73 Networks 24 Countries Africa 25 Networks 13 Countries
365 Networks 157 Countries
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Eastern Europe 53 Networks 23 Countries Asia Pacific 58 Networks 24 Countries
Middle East 19 Networks 8 Countries
Data as of 5 Sept 2014
LTE-Advanced Global Deployments
20 Commercial Networks 15 Countries 30+ Trials 50+ Commitments www.4gamericas.org
USA Global leader of LTE 280 Million LTE Connections Worldwide 127 Million Connections in the U.S.
USA / Canada
45%
Africa Middle East
Latin America
June 2014
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
14% Asia Pacific
36% 100 Million Connections APAC
US Data Traffic more than doubled in 2013 Source: Ovum, WCIS+, June 2014
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REGULATORY INNOVATION
A New Way Of Licensing Spectrum Authorized Shared Access - ASA
Mainstream, Preferred Approach Auctions of Cleared Spectrum
Complementary License Model Authorized Shared Access - ASA
Unlicensed Approach Wi-Fi example
Exclusive Use
Shared Use
Ensures Quality of Service
Unpredictable Quality of Service
Exclusive Shared Use Exclusive use on a shared and binary basis in Time, Location, and/or Frequency domains with Incumbent (government, etc.) Ensures Quality of Service
Harmonization and Global Standards Drive Economies of Scale www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum Like water to a fish……
One of life’s essentials www.4gamericas.org
Maximize Spectrum For Connectivity Dynamic combination of fragmented spectrum Carrier Aggregation
New bands
ASA
Additional spectrum for LTE by refarming & re-assignment Cleared spectrum prioritized! When needed, unlock spectrum by Authorized Shared Access (ASA)* with predictable QoS
Carrier aggregation
AWS Extension Bands PCS 1900 MHz Extension Bands TV Bands Incentive Auction 3.5 GHz 5 GHz
3.5 GHz Other underutilized bands? * Also referred to as Licensed Shared Access (LSA)
Source: 4G Americas Member Company
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LOOKING AHEAD
Looming on the Horizon….
Millions of Subscriptions
2014-2019 – Era of HSPA/LTE 4,500
GSM
HSPA
4,000 3,500 3,000
LTE
2,500
2,000
GSM
1,500 1,000
500
CDMA TD-SCDMA
0
Dec 14
Dec 15
Dec 16
Dec 17
Dec 18
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Dec 19
2020: The Internet of Things There were 13 billion Internet-connected devices in 2013, and there will be 50 billion in 2020.
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50.9 Billion in 2020 Active wireless connected devices
will exceed 16 billion in 2014 50.9 billion are forecast for 2020 50 40 30 20
10 0 2014
2020
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Next Generation Networks 2020
What Will Be The Wireless World of 2020?
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THANK YOU Chris Pearson President 4G Americas WWW.4GAMERICAS.ORG
