WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
West Virginia’s Power Generating Landscape
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
West Virginia Net Electric Generation, 2015
Coal 95.3%
Wind 2.3% Other 4.7%
Hydro 1.9%
Natural Gas 0.3%
Other 0.2%
(solar, petroleum, etc.)
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
West Virginia Coal for Foreign Distribution, 2002-2014 50000 45000
Thousand Short Tons
40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Consensus Forecast for WV Coal Production (million short tons), 2014 120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
EIA
EVA
CBER
WVU
Consensus Forecast
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Coal Distribution to West Virginia’s Electric Power Sector, 2006-2014 45,000,000 40,000,000 35,000,000
Tons
30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 2006
2007
2008
Total Coal to WV Power
2009
2010
WV Coal to WV Power
2011
2012
2013
2014
Imported Coal to WV Power Source: EIA
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
U.S. Coal Production and Exports 1990 - 2040
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Weekly Spot Prices: Appalachian Coal vs. Natural Gas 7 6
$/MMBTU
5 4 3 2 1 0
Natural Gas
Northern Appalachia
Central Appalachia Source: EIA
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
West Virginia Natural Gas Production 800
Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Natural Gas Production (in Mcf) 202,130,029 202,061,508 210,513,371 216,934,506 223,149,384 233,970,534 257,301,632 265,315,404 297,876,644 400,791,090 538,759,150 742,375,637
From Marcellus Shale (in Mcf) -* -* -* 853,565 4,555,266 10,065,002 19,325,834 33,640,837 74,439,147 149,915,861 301,700,000 541,300,000
*West Virginia did not independently record Marcellus production before 2005.
700 600 500
400 300 200 100
Natural Gas Production in billion
0
Source: WV Geological and Economic Survey
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Levelized Cost of Electricity for New Generation Resources, Projected for 2019 140 120
2012 $/MWh
100
80 60 40 20 0 Conventional Coal Integrated Coal- Natural Gas-fired Natural Gas-fired Advanced Nuclear Gasification Conventional Conventional Combined Cycle Combined Cycle Combustion (IGCC) Turbine
Wind
Solar PV
Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2014
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
World Energy Consumption
Source: EIA International Energy Outlook
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Coal: China vs. US • China is building about one coal-fired plant every two days (155 permitted in 2015) • China has 820 GW of coal capacity, almost 3 times the coal capacity of the U.S.
• U.S. coal capacity retired in 2015 was 5% of nation’s coal capacity • Half of the retired capacity is in three states: Ohio, Georgia, and Kentucky China
U.S.
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
PJM Territory Served
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Evolving Generation Mix in PJM
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Generation Deactivations
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Hydro Power Licensed WV Hydro Facilities Name
Capacity (MW) Licensee Belleville 42.0 American Minicipal Power, Inc Dam No. 4 1.9 PE Hydro Generation LLC Dam No. 5 1.2 PE Hydro Generation LLC Hawks Nest & Glen Ferris 108.2 Hawks Nest Hydro, LLC Jennings Randolph 14.0 Fairlawn Hydroelectric Co., LLC Lake Lynn 51.2 Lake Lynn Generation, LLC London/Marmet 28.8 Appalachian Power Co. (VA) Millville 2.8 PE Hydro Generation LLC New Martinsville 35.7 City of New Martinsville (WV) Racine 47.5 AEP Generation Resources, Inc. Summersville 80.0 City of Summersville (WV) Willow Island L&D 35.0 American Minicipal Power, Inc Winfield 14.8 Appalachian Power Co. (VA)
Waterway Ohio River Potomac River Potomac River New River Potomac River Monongahela River Kanawha River Shenandoah River Ohio River Ohio River Gauley River Ohio River Kanawha River
Hawks Nest Hydro Facility
Total Capacity: 463.1 MW WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Hydro Power, Continued Preliminary Permitted WV Hydro Facilities Name Hildebrand Lock & Dam New Cumberland Locks & Dam Stonewall Jackson Sutton Jennings Randolph Tygart
Capacity (MW) 7.5 49.8 0.3 9.2 14 30
Licensee Lock+Hydro Friends Fund XLVI FFP Project 121 LLC Mahoning Hydropower, LLC James R. Robertson Fairlawn Hydroelectric Co. Tygart LLC
Waterway Monongahela River Ohio River West Fork River Elk River North Branch Potomac Tygart River
Total Preliminary Permit Capacity: 110.8 MW Opekiska Lock and Dam
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Wind Power WV Wind Farms Name Beech Ridge Energy, LLC Laurel Mountain Mountaineer Wind Energy Center NedPower Mount Storm Pinnacle Wind Force, LLC
Name New Creek*
Operating Capacity (MW) 100.5 97.6 66.0 264.0 55.0
Operator Invenergy Services, LLC AES Wind Generation, Inc. FPL Energy, LLC Shell Wind Energy, Inc. Edison Mission Energy
Under Construction Capacity (MW) Operator 103.0 Enbridge
County Greenbrier Randolph Tucker Grant Mineral
County Grant
*A construction extension was granted by the PSC in September 2014. AES Wind Generation, Inc. sold New Creek project to Enbridge in 2016.
Operating Capacity: 583.1 MW
NedPower Mount Storm
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Solar Generation West Virginia Solar Capacity Growth October 2006 – February 2016 3
2.80729 MW 2.5
MW
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
Oct-06
Feb-08
Jul-09
Nov-10
Apr-12
Aug-13
Dec-14
Aug-15
Feb-16 Source: PJM GATS Database
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Solar Thin Films Solar Parks Project • Solar Thin Films to construct three photovoltaic (PV) installations totaling 35 MW • 15MW in Fayette County • 10 MW in Sam Black Church • 10 MW in Nicholas County
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
New Opportunities
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
Thank you.
WEST VIRGINIA DIVISION OF ENERGY
