Universitas Islam Indonesia Faculty of Economics INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM
Syllabus Inductive Statistics (3 cps) By the end of this course, the students are expected to: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11.
Understand the essence of this course and basic concept of statistic Understand the basic concept of probability Understand the Discrete Probability Distribution Understand the Normal Probability Distribution Understand the Sampling Method and Its Distribution Understanding the Concept of Statistical Estimation Understanding the Concept of Hypothesis Testing with Big Sample Understanding the Concept of Hypothesis Testing with Small Sample Understanding Regression and Simple Correlation Understanding the Concept of Regression and Multiple Regression Understanding Function in Regression
Meeti Basic ng competence 1 I
2 Understanding the learning process and basic concept of statistic
Topic and subtopic of discussion 3 a. Learning objectives and desirable target b. Explanation on the reading materials and learning contract
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
4 The students are expected to be able to explain the learning plan of this semester
5 Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Finding References
II
Understanding the basic concept of probability
The definition and benefit of probability Probability approach
The students are expected to be able to explain the basic concept of probability The students are expected to be able to
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment :
Time Allocation 6 3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering course outline
Learning Tools 7 LCD, Whiteboard
Assessm ent
8
References
9
10 a. The essence of this course is successfully delivered b. The students are giving positive response toward the learning materials
Suharyadi dan Purwanto (2003), Statistika : Untuk Ekonomi dan Keuangan Modern, Salemba Empat. (SP). Bab 7
a. Topic of discussion is comprehensi vely delivered
Making Learning plan
50% for explanation 25% for question and answer session
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials 50% for explanation
LCD, Whiteboard
PR
Teaching Plan Realization
b. Exercise is conducted to assess student’s
Meeti Basic ng competence
Topic and subtopic of discussion
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
understand the probability approach
Completing 25% for Exercise number question and 3 and 4 answer session
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
Teaching Plan Realization understandin g
Group Assignment:
III
Understanding the basic concept of probability
Basic rule of probability Bayes Theorem
The students are expected to be able to understand the rule of probability The students are expected to understand the Bayes theorem concept
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 2
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work Quiz
Suharyadi a. Topic of dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensi Statistika : vely Untuk delivered Ekonomi dan b. Exercise is Keuangan conducted to Modern, assess Salemba student’s Empat. (SP). understandin Bab 7 g
LCD,
PR
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: IV
Understanding
The definition
The students
Method:
3 x 50 minutes
Meeti Basic ng competence discrete probability distribution
Topic and subtopic of discussion of probability distribution Binomial probability distribution Poison probability distribution
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
are expected to be able to understand and construct both binomial and poison probability distribution
Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1-4
25% of total time for delivering learning materials
Whiteboard
Quiz
(2003), Statistika : Untuk Ekonomi dan Keuangan Modern, Salemba Empat. (SP). Bab 8
50% for case study
Teaching Plan Realization discussion is comprehensiv ely delivered
b. Exercise is conducted to assess student’s understandin g
25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: V Understanding normal probability distribution
The characteristics of normal distribution Types of normal distribution Standard probability distribution
The students are expected to be able to understand and construct normal probability distribution
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
50% for case study
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk Ekonomi dan b. Exercise is Keuangan conducted to Modern, assess Salemba student’s Empat. (SP). understandin Bab 9 g
Meeti Basic ng competence
Topic and subtopic of discussion
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work, Quiz
a) Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b) Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 11
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work, Quiz
Suharyadi dan Purwanto (2003), Statistika :
Teaching Plan Realization
Exercise number 25% for 2 and 3 question and answer session Group Assignment: VI
Understanding sampling method and distribution techniques
The definition of sample, population and sampling method
The students are expected to be able to understand the concept of population and sample The students are expected to be able to understand the sampling techniques
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1 and 2
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: VII
Understanding sampling method and distribution
Error in sampling method Sample’s
The students are expected to be able to understand
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering
a. Topic of discussio n is compreh
Meeti Basic ng competence
Topic and subtopic of discussion average distribution and proportion
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
error happening in sampling
Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 3 and 4
learning materials
The students are expected to be bale to construct sample’s average distribution and proportion mahasiswa Mid Exam
VIII
Understanding the concept and statistic prediction
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
Untuk Ekonomi dan Keuangan Modern, Salemba Empat. (SP). Bab 11
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment:
Type of exam : Open Book Time : 120 Minutes Type of question : Essay and case study Prediction theory Prediction point Interval prediction
The students are expected to be able to understand the concept of statistic prediction
References
Teaching Plan Realization ensively delivered b. Exercise is conducte d to assess student’s understa nding
The designed questions are able to be well implemented as an assessment tool Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work, Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba
Meeti Basic ng competence
IX
Understanding the concept of statistic prediction
Topic and subtopic of discussion
Standard error and sample’s average Constructing confidence interval Confidence interval for proportion
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
The students are expected to be able to understand points and interval prediction
Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1 and 2
50% for case study
The students are expected to understand standard error and sample’s average
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class assignment: Completing Exercise number 3 and 4
The students are expected to be able to construct confidence interval and proportion
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
Empat. (SP). Bab 12
Teaching Plan Realization understanding
25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: 3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work, Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 12
LCD,
Home
Suharyadi
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: X
Understaning the
The definition
The students
Method:
3 x 50 minutes
a. Topic of
Meeti Basic ng competence concept of hypothesis testing with big amount of sample
Topic and subtopic of discussion of hypthesis testing Procedure in hypthesis testing One tailed and two tailed test Average and proportion hypothesis testing Average difference and proportion hypothesis testing
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
are expected to be able to understand the concept of hypthesis
Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1-4
25% of total time for delivering learning materials
Whiteboard
work Quiz
discussion is dan Purwanto (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 13
The students are expected to be able to understand the hypothesis testing procedure The students are expected to be able to conduct average, proportion, average difference and proportion hypothesis testing
Group Assignment:
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Teaching Plan Realization
Meeti Basic ng competence XI
XII
Topic and subtopic of discussion Understanding Small sample hypothesis and testing concept characteristics with small sample od t distribution Testing calculated average Testing calculated acerage difference Testing proportion Testing proportion difference Understanding regression and simple correlation
Simple correlation analysis Simple correlation significance test Simple regression
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
The students are expected to be able to understand t distribution and small sample The students are expected to be able to conduct hypothesis testing in a research with a small sample
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1 and 3
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 14
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba Empat. (SP).
50% for case study
Teaching Plan Realization
25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment:
The students are expected to be able to understand the concept of simple correlation The students are expected to
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
50% for case
Meeti Basic ng competence
XIII
XIV
Understanding the concept of multiple regression and correlation
Understanding
Topic and subtopic of discussion analysis
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
be able to calculate coefficient refression and simple correlation
Assignment: study Completing Exercise number 25% for 4 question and answer session Group Assignment:
Multiple regression analysis Coefficient determination, total correlation and partial correlation Multiple regression hypothesis testing Assumptions in multiple regression
The students are expected to be able to understand multiple regression, coefficent determination, as well as total and partial correlation The students are expected to be able to interpret multiple regression analysis result The students
Method: Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1 and 2
Non linier
Time Allocation
3 x 50 minutes 25% of total time for delivering learning materials
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
Bab 15
Teaching Plan Realization understanding
LCD, Whiteboard
Home work, Quiz
a. Topic of Suharyadi dan Purwanto discussion is (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 16
LCD,
Home
Suharyadi
50% for case study 25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment:
Method:
3 x 50 minutes
a. Topic of
Meeti Basic ng competence funcition in regression
Topic and subtopic of discussion regression
Achievement indicator
Learning strategies
Time Allocation
Learning Tools
Assessm ent
References
are expected to understand the function available in regression
Explanation , Question and Answer Session Aprroach: Active Learning100%, SCL/PBL Class Assignment: Completing Exercise number 1 and 2
25% of total time for delivering learning materials
Whiteboard
work, Quiz
discussion is dan Purwanto (2003), comprehensiv Statistika : ely delivered Untuk b. Exercise is Ekonomi dan conducted to Keuangan assess Modern, student’s Salemba understanding Empat. (SP). Bab 17
50% for case study
Teaching Plan Realization
25% for question and answer session
Group Assignment: Final Exam
References : Main references:
Type of exam : closed book Time : 100 Minutes Type of question : Essay and case study
The designed questions are able to be well implemented as an assessment tool
1. Suharyadi dan Purwanto (2003), Statistika Untuk Ekonomi & Keuangan Modern Buku I dan Buku II, Salemba Empat, Jakarta (SP) 2. Noegroho, Pengantar Statistik (2005), UPP-AMP YKPN Edisi 4 3. Thomas Wonacot, introduction to Statistik, edisi 5 Mc.Graw-Hill
