Transportation Fuels & Plug-in Electric Vehicles Utility Collaboration

Transportation Fuels & Plug-in Electric Vehicles Utility Collaboration Dan Bowermaster Program Manager, Electric Transportation MGA Webinar January 20...
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Transportation Fuels & Plug-in Electric Vehicles Utility Collaboration Dan Bowermaster Program Manager, Electric Transportation MGA Webinar January 20, 2015

© 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Contents  State of the Plug-in Electric Vehicle Industry  What Is Around the Corner  Utility Actions  Closing Thoughts

2 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Cumulative PEV Sales In USA Exceed 290k 119k Sold in 2014 (Versus 97k in 2013) 300,000 275,000 250,000 225,000

Total Sales

200,000 175,000 150,000 125,000 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000

Nissan

GM

Tesla

Toyota

Ford

Other

3 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

PHEV/EREV

BEV

Dec-14

Oct-14

Aug-14

Jun-14

Apr-14

Feb-14

Dec-13

Oct-13

Aug-13

Jun-13

Apr-13

Feb-13

Dec-12

Oct-12

Aug-12

Jun-12

Apr-12

Feb-12

Dec-11

Oct-11

Aug-11

Jun-11

Apr-11

Feb-11

Dec-10

-

Regulatory Push – California has Mandated 1.5M ZEVs by 2025 (3.3M including seven other states)

We Are Here

4 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Plug-In Electric Vehicles Fuel Cell Vehicles

Auto Industry Investing $ Billions In New PEVs 6 PEVs Arrived In 2014 and More On The Way Make

Model

Type

Body Style

Battery (kWh)

AER (miles)

Launch

BMW

i3

BEV; REx

5 door hatchback

22

84/72

Q2 2014

Mercedes

B-Class

BEV

5 door hatchback

36

104

Q3 2014

BMW

i8

PHEV

Sports car

7.1

15

Q3 2014

KIA

Soul

BEV

5 door hatchback

27

95

Q4 2014

Porsche

Cayenne

PHEV

SUV

10.8

22

Q4 2014

VW

eGolf

BEV

5 door hatchback

24

83

Q4 2014

5 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Auto Industry Investing $ Billions In New PEVs 15+ Models Are On The Way Make

Model

Type

Body Style

Battery (kWh)

AER (miles)

Launch

Hyundai

Sonata

PHEV

Sedan

9.8

22

Q1 2015

Chevrolet

Volt

PHEV

Hatchback

18.4

50

Q3 2015

BMW

X5

PHEV

SUV

9

20

Q3 2015

Audi

A3 etron

PHEV

Wagon

8.8

30

Q3 2015

Mercedes

C350

PHEV

Luxury sedan

6.2

20

Q4 2015

Tesla

Model X

BEV

SUV/Crossover

TBD

250

Q4 2015

Mercedes

S-Class

PHEV

Luxury sedan

TBD

TBD

Q4 2015

Volvo

XC90 T8

PHEV

SUV

9.2

20

Q4 2015

Mitsubishi

Outlander

PHEV

SUV/Crossover

TBD

TBD

2016

Chrysler

Town & Country

PHEV

Minivan

TBD

TBD

2016

Volvo

V60

PHEV

Wagon

TBD

TBD

2016

Audi

Q7 etron

PHEV

SUV

TBD

25

Q4 2016

Nissan

Leaf

BEV

Hatchback

TBD

TBD

Q4 2016

Chevrolet

Bolt

BEV

Hatchback

TBD

200

Q4 2017

VW

Cross Coupe

PHEV

SUV

14.1

20

Q4 2017

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2016 Chevrolet Volt 50 Mile All-Electric Range Arrives Q3 2015

7 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

2018 Chevrolet Bolt 200 Miles All-Electric Range Arrives Q4 2017

8 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

PEV ‘State of the Nation’ and Looking Ahead  Market – Sales strong through Q4 2014 – over 290,000 in the USA (+20% YOY)  Leaf sold 30k in 2014; PHEVs lower  Major launches 2014-2015 by BMW, Mercedes, VW, Mitsubishi, Audi, Porsche, and Tesla – Mercedes will offer 10 plug-in models by 2017 – Honda announced BEV and PHEV by 2018 – Next-gen Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf, Toyota Prius (2016/2017 model year) – Oil/gas prices expected to stay low – what does this mean for PEV sales?  New PEV buyer – mainstream  New PEV buyer – Tesla buyer  PEV drivers finishing up with Gen 1 Volt/LEAF/etc.

 Charging infrastructure – More focus on workplace and MUDs and less on public – Proprietary networks versus OCPP – Utility role  Georgia Power now offering businesses $500 rebate for L2 install  CA IOU proposals (see next page) 9 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

CA CPUC Now Considering Utility Infrastructure Proposals

Note: Should be 5,000 for SDG&E and 30,000 for SCE

Source: Slide presented by Adam Langton, CPUC, Silicon Valley Leadership Group/PG&E PEV Workshop, Palo Alto, CA, December 16, 2014

10 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

What About Impact on the Grid? Open Standards-based Vehicle-Grid-Integration Gives Flexibility • OEMs Evaluating Direct Path • Chrysler • Mercedes • Toyota

• OEMs Evaluating B2B Path • BMW • GM • Ford • Honda • Toyota Goal: Evaluate system-level cost and performance trade-offs among various information paths while enabling all approaches 11 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

What About Smart Charging? Vehicle-to-Grid? Does Anyone Know? One Viewpoint: Open VGI Platform Overview

12 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

Phase 1: Proof Of Concept for Open VGI Platform “The Big Demo” Sacramento • Status: completed 10/16/2014 at SMUD • Action: sent single signal to stop and start charging of seven PEVs

Charge Status Display

Result: Success! Plugged In

The Line Up: 7 OEM PEVs Plugged In 13 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.

A Few Closing Thoughts From the Mainstream Automotive Press

 “Most Tesla Model S owners will be happy with 240V charging at home. Plug it in at night, sleep, and wake to a car ready for another 200-mile day. Beats pumping gas.” – “Tesla Model S P85D.” Car and Driver, Feb 2015: 52. Print.

 “Audi, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Porsche are about to invest a combined $7.5B in new high-end electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids due out between 2018 and 2021. Their target: the American upstart from Silicon Valley.” – Kacher, Georg. “Germany’s Plan to Shock Tesla.” Automobile, Feb 2015: 52. Print.

14 © 2015 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.