Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
CHAPTER 5 5.1
November 2010
TRAFFIC SURVEY AND TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST
TRAFFIC SURVEY The Study Team conducted a traffic survey in January 2010 to identify the current traffic condition and to forecast the future traffic demand. A supplemental traffic survey was also conducted on major junctions in June 2010 to study the current intersection condition and problems. The objective, method and coverage of six types of traffic survey are summarized as below: Table 5.1.1 Survey
Outline of Traffic Survey Objectives
Method
Coverage
Traffic Count Survey
To obtain traffic volumes on major roads
Vehicular Traffic Count
12 locations (12hr) 2 locations (24hr)
Origin-Destination (O-D) Survey
To capture trip information of vehicles
Interview with drivers at roadsides
9 locations
Vehicular Traffic Count
2 locations
Interview with taxi drivers and users
5 major taxi parks
Interview with boda-boda drivers and users
6 areas on major roads
Intersection Traffic Count Survey Taxi (Minibus) Passenger and Driver Interview Survey Boda-Boda (Bike Taxi) Passenger and Driver Interview Survey Travel Speed Survey
To obtain traffic volumes and movement at major intersections To collect information about public transport driver and users, and their opinions To collect information about boda-boda drivers and users, and their opinions To collect information on present traffic situation on major roads
Actual driving survey by passenger car
Source: JICA Study Team
Actual traffic survey was conducted from January to February 2010. Each type of survey schedule is shown in below figure: 2009 Dec.
Survey
2010 Jan.
Preparation of Survey Training and Trial Traffic Count Survey (12hr and 24hr) Origin-Destination (O-D) Survey Intersection Traffic Count Survey Taxi Passenger & Driver Interview Boda-Boda Passenger & Driver Interview Data Entry and Reporting Travel Speed Survey Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.1.1
Schedule of Traffic Surveys
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
The locations of the traffic surveys are shown below. Two groups of intersections consisting five intersections were selected in consideration of existing traffic problems. One group is Jinja and Africana junction and the other group is Shoprite and Clock tower junction. The contents of the traffic count survey are as follows.
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.1.2 (1)
Location of Traffic Survey (Traffic Count and O-D Survey)
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.1.2 (2)
Location of Traffic Survey (Interview Survey)
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
5.2 (1)
November 2010
PRESENT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS Traffic Volume and Vehicle Composition The traffic count results were analyzed from various views such as vehicle type, hourly or daily variation and large vehicle rate to figure out the traffic trend in the study area. The 12-hour flows obtained by this study are converted to Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) volumes using the conversion factor of 1.39 which was obtained from 24 hour traffic count survey. Figure 5.2.1 shows the 12 hour traffic volume at each location, by vehicle type. The highest traffic volumes are observed at Entebbe Road (1-11), followed by Jinja Road (No.1-2). Both Entebbe Road and Jinja Road are major accesses to the CBD from the southern and eastern areas of Kampala, respectively. The third highest is observed on Gaba Road that has the capacity problem because of the dual carriageway. 8597 BWAISE2 12096BWAISE1
KYEBANDO KYAMBOGO UPP
9768 9832
1-4
1-5
BWAISE3
10987
NTINDA
13779 KAMWOKYA
1-3
MULAGO2 MULAGO1
7992
NAGURU2
KYAMBOGO
14217
1-2
12389
1-6MULUKA
NAKAWA
NAGURU1
KOLOLO3
1-8
MBUYA
1-1
10491 NAKULABYE BUKESA KAGUGUBE
17499
KOLOLO
WANDEGEYA
LUBYA
BA KYAMBOGO UPK KYAMBOGO I
MULAGO3
MAKERERE
8085
KASUBI
BUKOTO1
NAKASERO
KOLOLO4
6800
8563
INDUSTRIAL AREA BUGOLOBI
10497 NAMIREMBE Old Kampala CIVIC CENTRE
LUNGUJJA GA
Nsambya Railway NAKIVUBO KISENYI1 Nsambya Central 13702 MENGO KIBULI KISENYI2NSAMBYA POLICE
1-9
1-12
8067
NATEETE
WABIGALO
10024
RUBAGA
NDEEBA
10311
KATWE1 14916 KATWE2
1-10 KIBUYE1 1-11KIBUYE2
KABALAGALA
NSAMBYA
KANSANGA
19628 MUTUNDWE
Source: JICA Study Team
21697 KABOWA
MAKINDYE1
NAJJANANKUMB MAKINDYE2
Figure 5.2.1
Traffic Volume (veh/12h) 20,000 Veh/12h 10,000 Veh/12h 5,000 Veh/12h KISUGU
500m
0
Passenger Car LUZ Small Cargo Taxi (MiniBus) BUKASA L-Size Bus M-Size Goods Vehcle L-Size Goods Vehcle Motorcycle 500
1000
1500
Distribution of Traffic Volume
In the view of vehicle composition, the proportion of motorcycle including bike taxi (boda-boda) is highest (36.7%) followed by passenger car (35.1%). This is because boda-boda is the current major transportation mean in the city. The share of minibus is at 18.5%. Figure 5.2.2 shows the hourly profiles over the 12-hour period at Nakawa Road (No.1-2). The weekday peak hour traffic volume to the CBD occurs in the morning between 8.00 a.m. and 9.00 a.m. And evening peak hour to outside direction appears between 17:00 and 18:00. Other data displays relatively flat profiles and do not have the specific features.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Average Number of Vehicles / hour
2,500 To Outside weekday
To Outside Sat&Sun
To CBD weekday
To CBD Sat&Sun
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0 7:00
8:00
9:00
10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00
Traffic Count Survey Point : At Nakawa on Jinja Road Survey Data : 12th to 18th of January 2010
Source : JICA Study 2010
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.2.2
Hourly Variation by Directions
The traffic survey for seven days from Sunday to Saturday is also carried out at Nakawa Road to obtain data of daily variation. The traffic volume on Monday was greater than other days on both inflow and outflow directions. Meanwhile, the lowest volume is on Sunday. Compared to Sunday, traffic on Saturday is not low. Therefore all the traffic surveys were conducted on the days excluding Monday and Sunday. (2)
Traffic Growth on Major Arterial Roads Table 5.2.1 shows the traffic increase trend of major road by utilizing traffic data of past studies. The average annual growth is at 13.3%. The highest growth rate is observed on Hoima Road along which land development is proceeding rapidly. Since the traffic volume has already reached the capacity, Jinja Road shows the lowest growth rate. Table 5.2.1
Daily Traffic Volume on Major Roads from 1992 – 2010 (unit: vehicle/day)
Road
1992
1997
2001
Jinja Road 8,692 18,260 Entebbe Road 11,322 8,627 Masaka Road 4,188 8,027 Hoima Road 3,728 Bombo Road 7,175 Gayaza Road 7,329 Ggaba Road 9,226 TOTAL 62,372 1992: Kampala City Council in KUTIP, 2003 1997: JICA Study in KUTIP, 2003 2001, 2008: Traffic Census 2010: JICA Study 2010, BRT Pre-FS, 2010
(3)
21,844 19,579 19,162 14,290 10,582 15,892 -
2008
2010
42,718 33,395 23,836 26,637 19,522 17,544 23,401 187,053
44,809 39,347 24,953 30,761 28,982 21,485 41,300 231,637
Annual Growth (1997-2010) 7.8% 13.5% 9.9% 19.2% 12.3% 9.4% 13.3% 11.6%
Junction Traffic
1) Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions The traffic count survey for Shoprite-Clock Tower Intersection was conducted at four roads (Ben Kiwanuka St, Mengo Hill Rd, Nsambya Rd and Entebbe Rd). All survey points were located at inflow side of the intersection. The peak hour in this intersection occurs in the morning between 7.00 a.m. and 8.00 a.m. The inflow traffic from Mengo Hill Rd is largest, followed by Entebbe
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November 2010
Rd. In view of vehicle type, minibus shows the highest share. In the evening, inflow traffic from Mengo Hill Rd and Entebbe Rd is almost same in number. The peak traffic volume of 11,000 veh/hr far exceeds the capacity of the intersection. In addition, traffic flows at this intersection are often disturbed by irregular vehicle movements which further worsen traffic congestion. Serious traffic congestion is observed throughout the day. 2)
Jinja-Africana Intersection The traffic count survey for Jinja-Africana Intersection was conducted at six roads (Jinja Rd, Kampala Rd, Yusufu Lule Rd, Old Port Bell Rd, Access Rd and Wampewo Rd). All survey points were located at the inflow side of the intersection. The peak hour traffic flow at this intersection occurs in the morning between 8.00 a.m. and 9.00 a.m. Traffic flow from Jinja Road to Kampala Road is distinguished in the morning. Comparing morning peak and evening peak, principal direction of traffic flow does not change in spite of reversing traffic from inflow to outflow. The peak traffic volume of 7,000 – 8,000 veh/hr far exceeded the intersection capacity and serious traffic congestion is seen, especially during morning and evening peak hours. Results of Origin-Destination (O-D) Survey The O-D survey was conducted at nine locations to grasp the origin, destination, number of passengers, frequency of journey, type of cargo and weight of cargo. The location of origin or destination of almost 97% of vehicles is in Kampala City, and 53% of trips are inside trips of Kampala City. The remaining 3% is through traffic which originates and travels outside of Kampala City. Inner trip of motorcycle shows a large share because travel distance for motorcycles is not so long. On the contrary, large-size bus, medium goods vehicle and heavy goods vehicle show a small share because of their long trip distance. The Kampala City center (inner side of Masaka Rd., Entebbe Rd., Jinja Rd. and Northern B.P.) and outer side have a strong link through Entebbe Road, Bombo Road and Jinja Road as illustrated in Figure 5.2.3.
OD Distribution in GKMA BomboRd
GayazaRd
17 5
HoimaRd 11 1
4
378KiraRd
2850
71
16
18 6
36 6
JinjaRd
230
489
1634
3 70
PortBellRd
14
211
112
35
71
2
3
35
1400
90
100 5 29 16
Road Network National Road
Inner Dist Trip
12 57
2 80
224
4978
MasakaRd
7
26326
Kampala
331
55 53
5
278
36 3
7 101
18
31
0
1078
2078 13 8
2 49
11
14
MityanaRd
16 77
7
13
86 129
Wakiso
553
17
(4)
EntebbeRd
30,000 Veh/Day
0
3985 GabbaRd
M u k o n o
Over Dist Trip Less than 100 Veh/day 100 ～ 1,000 Veh/Day 1,000 ～ 2,000 Veh/Day 2,000 ～ 5,000 Veh/Day 5,000 ～ 10,000 Veh/Day Over 10,000 Veh/Day (All type of Vehicles exclude bike)
Source : JICA STUDY, 2010 (Total Volume : 203,936Veh/Day)
Figure 5.2.3
Estimated Inter-Area Traffic Volume excluding Motorcycle
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Figure 5.2.4 illustrates the trip desire line diagram at Parish level. In this figure, characteristics of strong relationship between the city center and other areas are presented. Besides, although places with markets or taxi parks such as Nakawa, Bwaise and Natete also have a relationship with other areas, such relationship is not much strong. Relation to the area within 4 km is not strong and major destinations are outside of 4km radius. Outside the Kampala city area, connection with Nabweru area followed by Kira, Entebbe and Busiro is strong. Except for GKMA and adjacent districts, connection with Masaka district is strong.
Kawempe Bwaise Ntinda Kyambogo Nakawa
Nsambya R=2km Nateete Luzira R=4km Najjanankumbi Ggaba 1,000Veh/Day 2,000Veh/Day 3,000Veh/Day Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.2.4
(5)
Diagram for Trip Desire Line (Parish Level of Kampala)
Travel Speeds on Major Roads Travel speeds survey was conducted on 19 main roads around CBD in the morning and evening peak hours. The congested sections appear around Clock Tower, Shoprite, Jinja Junction and Africana Roundabout. Travel speeds between current situation and previous records, which were provided by NTMP/GKMA in 2003 to 2004, were compared. Throughout the compared period, e travel speed is generally slow along the surveyed routes. In addition, the sections with less than 15 km/h travel speed are increasing in the access roads to the CBD. Queen’s Way has been operated as one-way traffic since the end of 2004. Consequently, based on the result of evening survey, travel speed largely surpassed the previous record.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
(6)
November 2010
Taxi (Minibus) and Boda-Boda (Bike taxi) At five major taxi parks and major boda-boda stages on major road sides in Kampala, the interview survey for public transport drivers and passengers was conducted to understand the present situation of public transport service. Table 5.2.2 shows the distribution of sampled origin and destination of passengers. About 82% of the boda-boda passengers have both their origins and destinations in Kampala City. In contrast, only 39% of the minibus passengers have their origins and destinations in Kampala City. Origins and destinations of passengers of minibus are distributed in wider area. Table 5.2.2
O-D Distribution of Boda-Boda and Mini-bus Passenger
Kampala Samples Rate Kampala Wakiso Origin
Mukono Other Total
BodaBoda MiniBus BodaBoda MiniBus BodaBoda MiniBus BodaBoda MiniBus BodaBoda MiniBus
731 1,626 56 190 16 29 3 136 806 1,981
Destination Mukono Samples Rate
Wakiso Samples Rate
82.3% 39.2% 6.3% 4.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 3.3% 90.8% 47.7%
67 661 5 144 14 62 72 881
7.5% 15.9% 0.6% 3.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 1.5% 8.1% 21.2%
7 105 1 6 2 4 8 117
Other Samples Rate
0.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.9% 2.8%
819 192 1 32 1 129 2 1,172
Total Samples Rate
0.0% 19.7% 0.0% 4.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 3.1% 0.2% 28.2%
805 3,211 62 532 17 77 4 331 888 4,151
90.7% 77.4% 7.0% 12.8% 1.9% 1.9% 0.5% 8.0% 100% 100%
Source: JICA Study Team
For the travel purpose with time restrictions like business, office or hospital, the use rate of a boda-boda is higher than that of minibus (Figure 5.2.5). For the purpose with less time restrictions like home, the use rate of minibus is overwhelmingly higher than boda-boda. It is noted that boda-boda is used more frequently and reaches destination at less travel time than minibus.
Taxi(MiniBus)
43.4%
BodaBoda
20.9%
19.3%
0% Go Home Shopping
10%
33.6%
20% Business Tourism
30%
18.5%
40%
50%
Social Others
60%
Office
7.6% 5.1% 2.1% 3.6%
12.6% 5.4% 5.6%4.3%
70%
80%
School
90%
100%
Hospital
Source : JICA Study 2010
Survey Data : 15th and 18th of January 2010
Figure 5.2.5
15.9%
Comparison of Purpose of Trip
Approximately 30% of boda-boda drivers own the units that they drive. This share is almost double than that of minibuses. Other drivers belong to the companies of operators.
5.3 (1)
TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST Basic Condition for Traffic Demand Forecast There are two basic transport plans for GKMA to be considered for the traffic demand forecast in this Study. One is the NTMP/GKMA (May 2009), with some modifications recommended by the Study Team in Section 4.3, and the other is the BRT plan stated in its Pre-FS Final Report (May
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
2010). The Study Team has assumed two development scenarios for the future traffic demand forecast in 2018 and 2023, which shall be the basis for road network planning, public transport planning and economic analysis. Scenario 1 is a standard development scenario for which investment cost is approximately 17% higher than that in NTMP/GKMA in May 2009, taking limited budget availability into consideration. This investment involves a rather affordable approach through planning implementation of some programs after 2023. Instead of the dual carriageway with railway viaduct in NKMP/GKMA, the Study Team included Jinja Junction Flyovers and Clock Tower Flyover. The Study Team also included the Kampala – Entebbe Airport Expressway (US$ 350 million for 35 km long). Scenario 2 is an aggressive development plan for which investment cost is approximately 38% higher than that in NTMP/GKMA in May 2009. All roads and approximately 70% of the BRT development planned in the NKMP/GKMA will be implemented by 2023, including Jinja Junction Flyovers, Clock Tower Flyover and the Kampala – Entebbe Airport Expressway. The Study Team adopted Scenario 1 since it is a more realistic plan as compared with Scenario 2 which requires large cost and considerable time for land acquisition and resettlement for road network development and BRT introduction. This Main Report of the Study is therefore based on Scenario 1. A future road network in GKMA (refer to Annex 6) was developed by the Study Team as shown in the following figure assuming the introduction of BRT based on the future traffic demand forecast in 2023.
5
Radial Roads No.
o rd. Bomb
4 d a R o) im kis Ho Wa o (T
6
s By pa s
Rd.
CENTRAL
Que en's Way
MENGO Hill
Kev
a Rd Mutes
FO1 Yusufu Lule Mukwano Rds Flyover Ta
ina Rd
Gaba Rd
Kibuye Jct
National Roads (MoWT)
Entebbe Rd
4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway)
KCC Administration UC-I : 4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) UC-I : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway)
bbe A (30 km irport )
WAKIS
To En te
1
UC-II : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway)
UC-III, IV, V : 2-lane Road (Single
2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, 1.8 km, including Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement
FO3 Clock Tower Flyover
Nammasuba
UC-II : 6-lane Roads (Dual Carriageway) UC-II : 4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) UC-III : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway) UC-III, IV, V : 4-lane Road (Single
Na
Kibuli
LEGEND-2
Rd
WAKIS
NAKAWA Old Port Bel
Rd
Clock Tower Jct
Ka bu su
Rd
b teb En
eka
Mbuya l Rd
Industrial Area
d eR
Kir
Port Bell Jct
Entebbe Jct
CBD
Shoprite Jct
E
Jinja Jct
Nakasero
Namirembe Rd
Mengo
r
rrido Rd t Co Jinja ast-Wes
Ntinda Jct
Lugogo Bypass Jct
an oR d
Nakulabye Jct Se nte ma Rd
Hi ll erere Mak
Ben
saka
bi
. Rd
Kasu
Jinja Rd ja) ono/Jin (To Muk
Banda
s as y-p
ule fL su Yu
Rd
. Rd ala mp ka St Ka Kiw anu
r
ak
7 Kireka
KYAMBOGO
Kololo
MAKERERE
d. aR im Ho
d lR rta na) Po a rt ity Fo To M ( To
as
BRT up to Mukono
Bukoto
d. aR Ki r
B go go Lu
. bo rd Bom
Kawaala
e RUBAGA ebb Ent ay d a – ressw l te R a p p Ex Nate Eastm a t K por Wes Rubaga t Co Air rrido Ma a M
s
Ntinda
Mulago
3.7 Shoprite / Clock Tower Jcts Traffic Safety Improvement
n Bypas
WAKISO
KAWEMPE
Wandegeya Jct
2
Norther
Makerere Jct
iro Mas
3
N
9
Bwaise
No rth ern
WAKISO
Kira
Mu kw
1
r orrido
Roundabout Non-signalized Junction
outh C
Signalized Junction (Grant Aids of GOJ) Signalized Junction (KIIDP)
North-S
Northern Bypass (Grade-separate Junction)
Gayaza Rd (To Mpererwe)
Bombo Rd / Gulu) (To Masinde
LEGEND-1
nk
Hil l
k iv
ub o
Port
Bell
Butabika
Rd
8 Ch FO2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds an& Mukwano - Jinja Rds ne Flyover l (Right-turn)
Rd
Muyenga
Port Bell
"With Project" for JICA Pre-FS
LEGEND-3
MAKINDYE
BRT operated by 2018 BRT operated by 2023 Dual Carriageway ( 4 lanes road) constructed / used by 2018
10
Dual Carriageway ( 4 lanes road) constructed / used by 2023
Gaba
Flyovers constructed / opened by 2018 Flyovers constructed / opened by 2023
BRT up to Kajansi
Kampala - Entebbe Airport Expressway constructed / opened by 2023
0
1
Source: The Study Team based on NTMP/GKMA, MoWT, May 2009
Figure 5.3.1 Road Network Development Plan 2023 in NTMP/GKMA
5-8
2
3
4
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Introduction of the BRT on the major arterial roads is one of the core projects in the NDP. A Pre-FS for the BRT was completed by the WB assistance in May 2010. The Final report of Pre-FS is stating that the introduction of BRT to nine arterial roads will be completed in 2030. (Figure 5.3.2), but implementation schedule of the BRT routes was not clarified in this stage. The total lengths of BRT operation route and segregated lanes are estimated at 118.6 km and 103.5 km, respectively. The introduction of the BRT with this scale will give a significant impact on traffic flow and volume of the future GKMA road network. Therefore for the traffic demand forecast, the Study Team presumed the implementation schedule of BRT as shown in Figure 5.3.2. No
Sub
BRT Route Name
No A1
Facility
2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/
2023/2030
Length (km) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
A1.1 Bombo Rd - Kampala Rd
14.0
(Jan.2015)
- Jinja Road (Pilot) A1.2 Kireka/Northern Bypass -
13.5
Mukono Terminal A1.3 Northern Bypass -
1.6
Kawempe Terminal A2
Makerere Rbt - Northern
2.4
Bypass - Kanyama A3
Kira Rd (Mulago Rbt -
2.5
Bukoto/Lugogo Bypass A4
Wandegeya Jct -
7.1
Nabweru Terminal B1
B1.1 Entebbe Rd (Kampala Rd
13.1
- Kibuye Jct - Kajansi) B1.2 Entebbe Rd (Kajansi -
24.0
Airport) B2 B3
Kibuye Jct - Busega Rbt
6.5
Clock Tower - Nsambya
9.3
Road - Gaba B4
Africana Rbt - Old Port
8.3
Bell Rd - Port Bell CBD
City Center Triangle (On
1.2
Ben Kiwanuka St) Notes:
Procurement (9 months)
Design
Operation on Dedicated BRT Lanes
Construction Operation on existing highways ( BRT shared lanes)
Source: Assumed by the Study Team based on BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report / Presentation, April 2010
Figure 5.3.2
(2)
Anticipated BRT Implementation Schedule
Method of Traffic Demand Forecast User Equilibrium Assignment Model is adopted to the distribution of the O-D table to road network since it is the most common modeling for traffic demand forecast. The software named JICA-STRADA is used for actual traffic assignment.
(3)
Present traffic flow patten The present O-D matrices in 2010 were processed from O-D survey conducted by the Study Team. As the next step, it is necessary to adjust estimated O-D matrices to observed traffic volume at each survey site. Moreover, seasonal factor should be also considered. As a result of the analysis of adjustment factor, average expansion factor was derived as 22.4, while the seasonal factors were 1.1 for passenger cars and 1.08 for motorcycles. These results were derived from the traveler interview survey (February 2010, BRT Pre-FS Interim Report). In addition, trips to and from the inner city obtained from the results of minibus (taxi) drivers interview survey and boda-boda interview survey were added to the present O-D table. As a result, a total trip in the study area is estimated as approximately 733,000 trips per day.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010 Present OD table For Assignment
Result of O-D Survey (13,341trip/12h) Expansion Factor (average=22.4)
Result of Traffic count Survey
Present Vehicle OD Table without inner trip (297,168trip/day) Inner side Trip of O-D survey points (30,602trip/day)
Result of Minibus driver Interview (4,151trip/12h)
Inner side Trip of O-D survey points (208,001trip/day) Inner side Trip of O-D survey points (197,120trip/day)
Result of BodaBoda Interview (888trip/12h)
(Passenger-car Trip)
Present(2010)O-D Table for Assignment (732,891trip/day)
Unit : vehicle
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.3
Estimation flow of Present O-D Distribution
Figure 5.3.4 illustrates the present traffic volume reproduced through assignment model. It shows that Jinja, Kampala, Entebbe and Bombo road have high demands.
10,000PCU/day 20,000PCU/day 40,000PCU/day 60,000PCU/day
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.4
(4)
Result of Present Traffic Volume estimated by Assignment Model
Examination of Future Traffic Demand The target year of the Study is decided as 2018 and 2023, in coordination with the NTMP/GKMA. Traffic demand forecast is prepared for 2013, 2018 and 2023. Future traffic demand is forecasted in the following six cases including 2010.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
Table 5.3.1
November 2010
Cases of Traffic Demand Forecast
Scenario Year Case1 2010 Case2 2013 Case3 2018 Case4 Case5 2023 Case6 Source: JICA Study Team
Pre-FS Projects without without with without with without
In the above table, “With Project Case” means implementation of the Pre-FS projects (Jinja Jct Flyovers, Mukwano Road Widening and Shoprite and Clock Tower Jcts Road safety Improvement) by 2018 and construction of Clock Tower Flyover by 2023. “Without Project Case” means the Pre-FS Projects are not implemented. The Study Team presumed implementation schedule for BRT project as shown in Figure 5.3.3. The conditions regarding BRT are based on the presumption. The following figure illustrates the relation between “With Project Case” and “Without Project Case” in this Study. Short-Term Up to 2013
(Investment Cost 1,611 Mill US$)
(16.7% more to the NTMP /GKMA Plan) Year 2013 Traffic
(ADT) and Road Network
Year 2010 Traffic (ADT) and Road Network (existing)
Without Projects
Medium-Term 2013 - 2018 Year 2018 Traffic (ADT) and Road Network, including BRT and Dual Carriageways Without Projects
Year 2018 Traffic (ADT) and Road Network , with the following flyovers With Projects 1) Yusufu Lule Mukwano Rds FO 2) Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds & Mukwano - Jinja 3). Mukwano Rd Widening 4). Shoprite Jct Safety Improvement
Long-Term 2018 - 2023 Year 2023 Traffic (ADT) and Road Network, including BRT, Dual Carriageways & Kampala-Entebbe Expressway Without Projects
Year 2023 Traffic (ADT) and Road Network , with the following flyovers
With Projects 5) Clock Tower FO
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.5
With and Without Project Cases for Traffic Demand Forecast
In this study, forecast of future traffic generation was divided into passenger transport (Passenger car, Minibus, Large size bus, Motorcycle) and cargo transport (Small size cargo, Medium goods vehicle, Heavy goods vehicle). Passenger transport generation within the GKMA area was estimated by the equation model formulated by the NTMP/GKMA IR-4. Applying future population and workforce by zone to the equation model, future traffic generation by zone were estimated. Passenger demand outside the GKMA was estimated using the growth factor for passenger travel in the NTMP/GKMA. Cargo transport generation was forecasted based on the growth rate in each district employed in NTMP/GKMA. The total number of trips in 2023 was estimated to be approximately 1.1 million per day as shown in Figure 5.3.6.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
GKMA Future population projection Population & Employee(unit parish)
Present(2010)O-D Table for Assignment (732,891trip/day) Average Growth Factor 1.51 From 2010 to 2023. (passenger-car, minibus, large-bus, motorcycle) Average Growth Factor 2.35 From 2010 to 2023 (Small-Cargo, MGV,LGV)
Future O-D Table based on socioeconomic conditions
November 2010
Trend type
Growth rate by PT demand model. (PT trips generated and attracted are estimated with above factors) Estimated Future Daily truck Trips among Regions in Uganda National Transport Master Plan for GKMA
2013 O-D Table (Trend type : 788,369trip/day) 2018 O-D Table (Trend type : 946,656trip/day) 2023 O-D Table (Trend type : 1,136,840trip/day)
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.6
(5)
Flow of Future Trip Number Estimation
Outline of Future O-D Distribution Pattern Figure 5.3.7 is a graph comparing the trip distributions of all purposes in 2010 and 2023. These distribution patterns were derived from the O-D table calculated for traffic assignment model. The major trip flows are limited within Kampala City in 2010. Distribution pattern in 2023 is basically the same pattern as that in 2010. Only the share of external trips (through trips) will slightly expand because future population and employment outside Kampala City will increase more.
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.7
Estimated O-D Distribution (2023)
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Major impacts to the future road network by the introduction of the BRT will be the decrease in number of lanes for some trunk roads. Especially by the BRT proposals, Entebbe Junction will be closed and Entebbe Road will be narrowed to general traffic. The main traffic flow will shift from Jinja-Kampala roads direction (east-west) to Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Roads direction (north-south) as shown in Figure 5.3.8.
(UNIT : 100PCU/day)
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.8
Main Traffic Flow Change after Introduction of the BRT
Figures 5.3.9 and 5.3.10 show the results of traffic assignments in 2023. The road network in the forecast consists of proposed road improvement project and the BRT project.
5-13
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010 24
7
15
19 2 58
4 13
20 8
15 8
30
4
68 6
24
34 3
23
11 0
66
49 31 5730088
49 3
18 6
22 5
112
7 66
2475 22
55
41
23
43
71 6
118
14 911 8
111
4 55
24
66
50
270
16 0
3
3
52 55 7 5 247 8972 383 0 2 2100 0 225 42 23131 402 0 2 9 9 219 314 113
12 6
118 118
22 8
73 53
186 174 32
64
36
34
9
59
273
3
82
51
17
24 7
10
68 6 686
18 1 8
34 4 156 24 1 7 55
137
12 1
61
4
28 0
74
5
33 1
113
70
9 15
67
73 15
30 6
5
5
26 26
10,000PCU/day 20,000PCU/day 40,000PCU/day 60,000PCU/day
2 18
67
9
10 9
15
3
11 2
32 2
7 11
20 9
34
17 2
56
16 4
34
34 4
8
34
8 64
5 26
25 5
14 1
31 4
1
2 69
91 67 6
258 3 4510 9580
24
6
36
0432 31 21 8
1
63
49
19
28 2
7 67 6
3
43 7
52 2
26 2
67
1 742 3532
479 585
5
10 1
24
402
27
11 1
14 9
5 76267 6 9 332562 27 3 7 76 11 51 164 88 107 7 10 99 89 10 7
65
146 14 6
69
224137
42
8 64 7 6 1 1 245 137 0 904 3 4 2 9 3 9 1 6 1 51 3 19 10 36 2 104 86 63 120 200 126 2155 21 14 97 11 181 65 33 0 23 1178266 316 4 237 563 31 3 1645 17 120 111 355 934129 1131011 3861383 181 183 7 1 1 3 146 14 52813109 13 6 41853907582 89 692 39336 2716 7 65 7 16 15 1 18 3 2 407 45 0 195 116 26 9 10 257 343 171 135 32 135 2 66 610 688 23 1 4 7 169 2052 3 20 16 19 163 4 2
10 0
58
22 2
221
221
498
33
94
16 6 145 184133
18
13 3
38 9
8 37
24 2
20 8
288
18
37
61 4
144
30 2
11 1
33 5
3 71
16216 2
54 6
546
635
249
4 85 63 8
534
7 53
1
4 19 235
6 27
26 483 3 16 2
483
1
29
166 5 69
144
8
21
66
11 0
2
14 9
206
4
23
19 4
49
4
12
382
42
7 43
194
656
14 393
22 1
46 94 25 47 2 8
393
42
19 0
65 4
78
14
21
7
194
4
17 4
10
17
7 21
74
19 4
4
54
15 3153
65 4
88
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.9
Result of Future Traffic Assignment in Kampala (2023)
7 35 23
118
200
30 8
113
30 8
219 23 91 29
49 1
13 1
200
383 247
14 1
146
49 3
2
897
3 11
853
907
146
89
582
42 0
107
65
52 5
1 13
692 364 161
181
3 18
57
149
118 111
26 5
70
37 7
65
1 18
121
267
39 2
183
104
103 8 55
12 6
2 54
89
3 13
113
109
5 36 3 18
54
528
11 3
129
7 49
16
51
2 11
80
25
34
179 563
33 5
88
355
7 13
2 61
2 14
3 11
314
266 316 237
178
200
31 4
267
231
63 3
9 42
9 76
0 20
164
111
3 10
4 36
99
118
215 215
7 45
1 26
0 19
86
3 10
193
8
19 3
14 9
2 76
107
7 10
90 4 10
126
8 64
3 21
100
23
41
3 21
1 11
686
118
4 32
94
8 64
8 49
7 51
420
65 195
345
280
10,000PCU/day 20,000PCU/day 40,000PCU/day 60,000PCU/day
269
01
12
225
1 10
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.3.10
Result of Future Traffic Assignment at City Center (2023)
5-14
247
180 1 47
557
167
152
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
5.4
November 2010
SUPPLEMENTAL TRAFFIC SURVEY A supplemental traffic survey was carried out in June 2010 to identify the problems at nine major junctions, including six intersections signalized through the ODA of the GOJ. The outline of the traffic survey is summarized in the following: Survey Objectives Traffic Count To obtain traffic condition on major junction Survey Source: JICA Study Team
Method
Coverage
Vehicular Traffic Count
9 locations (12 hr)
Figure 5.4.1 shows the hourly profile of observed traffic volume at survey points where 12-hr counts were undertaken. From the results obtained at Garden City roundabout, pattern of the peak hour of weekday and holiday was different. The peak hour on holiday is around 13:00 hrs while that on weekday was 7:00 to 9:00 hrs and 15:00 to 17:00 hrs.
Inflow Traffic Volume (PCU)
8,000
Peak Time on Weekday
7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000
Peak Time on Holiday
0 7:00
8:00
9:00
10:00
11:00
12:00
GardenCity(W) GardenCity(H) Wandegeya PortBell Natete Kampala/Entebbe Survey Date : 15th to 22nd June, 2010
Figure 5.4.1
5.5
13:00
14:00
Mukuwano Bakuli
15:00
16:00
17:00
18:00
Kibuye Kibuli Source : JICA Study, 2010
Hourly Traffic Variation at Major Nine Junctions
PEDESTRIAN TRAFFIC SURVEY The Study Team conducted pedestrian and boda-boda traffic count survey between Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions (on Entebbe Road) to identify volume of the latest non-motorized traffic (NMT) around these junctions. The survey was conducted on 4th August for each peak three hours in the morning and evening, i.e., 6.00 – 9.00 a.m. and 4.00 – 7.00 p.m. The average morning peak hour pedestrian traffic passing along Nakivubo Channel is 2,180 persons/hr from Clock Tower to Shoprite direction (inflow to the city center). The average evening peak hour pedestrian traffic is 2,600 persons/hr from Shoprite to Clock Tower direction (outflow from the city center). The total three-hour pedestrian traffic is 9,670 persons in the morning and that for the evening three hours is 10,745 persons, passing on Entebbe Road on Nakivubo Channel. The pedestrian traffic has increased to 3.5 times as compared with the data 2001 KUTIP survey (Table 5.5.1). The Study Team has estimated that approximately 48,000 persons pass at this point daily and over 10 million pass per year. According to the observation, approximately 70% are from Katwe and Nsambya areas, where many poor people stay and travel to the city center to work in the morning and return to their homes in the evening. Most of these pedestrians would be the users
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
of the pedestrian bridges planned on Shoprite and Clock Tower junctions, which is intended to promote road safety by segregating the pedestrians and vehicles. Table 5.5.1 Date: Time: Direction
Pedestrian Traffic Count Survey Results on Entebbe Road
4th August 2010 (Wednesday) 6.00 - 9.00 am and 4.00 - 7.00 pm Morning Peak Hours (6.00 - 9.00)
Station Classification
Evening Peak Hours (16.00-19.00)
6.00-6.30 6.30-7.00 7.00-7.30 7.30-8.00 8.00-8.30 8.30-9.00
Clock T. to Shoprite (South to North) Shoprite to Clock T. (North to South)
P1 (West) P2 (East) Sub-Total P1 (West) P2 (East) Sub-Total Total
Man Woman Man Woman Man Woman Man Woman
153 50 289 208 700 81 16 153 38 288 988
326 137 418 259 1,140 130 40 253 67 490 1,630
390 228 335 197 1,150 212 37 266 36 551 1,701
289 279 297 411 1,276 116 50 43 80 289 1,565
497 175 330 240 1,242 326 59 329 94 808 2,050
366 126 342 201 1,035 267 58 293 80 698 1,733
Total
2,021 995 2,011 1,516 6,543 1,132 260 1,337 395 3,124 9,667
4.00-4.30 4.30-5.00 5.00-5.30 5.30-6.00 6.00-6.30 6.30-7.00
133 61 198 56 448 248 83 271 85 687 1,135
105 70 238 58 471 386 135 395 187 1,103 1,574
140 87 158 72 457 346 117 541 160 1,164 1,621
111 89 235 93 528 302 151 655 285 1,393 1,921
245 64 145 108 562 464 160 725 200 1,549 2,111
141 77 160 101 479 710 263 715 216 1,904 2,383
Total
875 448 1,134 488 2,945 2,456 909 3,302 1,133 7,800 10,745
Estimated for 24 Hrs
22,000
25,000 48,000
Note: Comparison of Pedestrian Survey with KUTIP in 2001 Direction: From Shoprite to Clock Tower Ave. Pedestrian Traffic Morning Peak Hour Evening Peak Hour Total
Unit: No. of Pedestrian JICA (2010) Increase 1,041 225% 2,600 436% 3,641 344%
KUTIP (2001) 464 597 1,060
Source: JICA Survey on 4th August 2010
The Study Team observed that pedestrians are not given appropriate signal period to cross on these very busy junctions. The existing walkway widths are also not sufficient and are not well maintained. The Study Team also identified that a large number of boda-bodas are passing on this point to transport passengers. Since boda-bodas are weaving their way more frequently than cars and motor cycles, they are more subject to very high accident risks.
City Center
Overview of Entebbe Road on Nakivubo Channel
Mixed Traffic (Car, Boda Boda & Pedestrian) on Shoprite Jct
Kibuye
Overview of Queen's Way from Clock Tower
Commuters from Katwe and Nsambya Areas
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 5.5.1
Photographs of Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
CHAPTER 6 6.1
November 2010
LONG LIST AND SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY
PREPARATION OF LONG LIST AND SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY The objective of the long listing is to identify the candidate projects which may be subjected to official development assistance of the GOJ for road network improvement addressing serious traffic congestion in GKMA to support the NTMP/GKMA as well as the NDP. The objective of the short listing is to select priority projects for Pre-FS and preliminary design to evaluate them on technical, economical and other aspects. Figure 6.1.1 shows the flow of selection of the long and short list of projects for Pre-FS. Interim Report I
Interview Survey on Worst Traffic Jam Junctions
Transport Master Plan for GKMA, 2009 (NTMP/GKMA)
Review of NTMP/GKMA by the JICA Study Team
Strategy for the Improvement of Traffic Flow in Kampala (MoWT)
Interim Report II / Draft Final Report
Long-List for Pre-FS Candidate
Coordination with BRT Pre-FS Final Report (May 2010)
Component 1 (JKQ Flyover Projects) Component 2 (Dual Carriageway, including Junction Improvement)
Evaluation and Discussion by JICA and GOU (MoWT, etc)
Component 3 (Individual Junction Improvement)
Recommendations on Short-List by the JICA Study Team, based on Multi Criteria Analysis (National Plan,
Component 4 (Other Flyovers for reference)
Engineering, Economic and Environmental Aspects) and Other
Factors
Policy of GOJ on ODA
Short-List for Pre-FS (Preliminary Design)
Project 1.1 Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Rds Flyover Project 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover and Mukwano - Jinja Rds Flyover (Right-Turn Ramps) Project 1.3 Queen's Way - Mukwano Rd Flyover (Over Clock Tower Jct) Project 2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, incl. Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement Project 3.7 Shoprite Traffic Jct Safety Improvement
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 6.1.1
6.2
Flow of Selection of Long and Short List Projects for Pre-FS
LONG LISTING OF CANDIDATE PROJECTS The Study Team considered the interview results on the worst traffic jam junctions at the Steering Committee and stakeholder meetings for the long and short listing of Pre-FS projects. Of the worst ten junctions, six junctions were those improved with the grant aid of GOJ in 1998-2007. This means that conventional method of standalone junction improvement, either by signalization or roundabout, could not cope with the recent rapid traffic growth for the major junctions near/around the city center without substantial capacity increase or an introduction of area-controlled signalization system. As the traffic at all these junctions has far exceeded the traffic capacity, flyover construction and/or road and junction widening are required to improve the current severe traffic congestion. The Study Team reviewed priority junctions (high priority, medium priority and special flyover projects) in NTMP/GKMA and selected many junctions from that for the Pre-FS long list. The junctions located in the suburbs of Kampala City were not selected as their traffic congestion is less serious compared with these located in or near the city center. The Study Team reviewed and considered the “Strategy for the Improvement of Traffic Flow in Kampala, MoWT, December 2009” for selection of the long list projects. Of the 21 long-listed projects by the Study Team, 14 projects are consistent with the strategic junctions of MoWT.
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Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
The Study Team selected the “Mukwano Road Widening Project including Mukwano Roundabout Improvement” and “Makerere Hill Road Widening Project” from the priority projects of KUTIP for the long list.
6.3
LONG LIST OF CANDIDATE PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY Considering the objectives, existing plans, interview results and site conditions, the Study Team prepared the long list of projects from which the Pre-FS short list projects were recommended. The long list was comprised of the following four components and projects as in Table 6.3.1 and Figure 6.3.1. Table 6.3.1 Project
Project No.
Long List of Candidate Projects for Pre-FS Project Name
Component
NTMP/ GKMA
Origination of Project KUTIP MoWT SC & Strategy Stakeholder Interview*
Special Consideration by Study Team
Yes (No.4) Yes (No.4)
Yes (Flyover) Yes (Flyover)
Yes (No.1&4)
Yes (Flyover)
1.1 Phase 1 1. Jinja Kampala Rds - 1.2 Phase 2 Queen's Way Flyover (JKQ)# 1.3 Phase 3
Jinja - Kampala Rds Flyover Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover (Right-turn Ramp Flyover ) Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Flyover
Part Part
2. Combination 2.1 (Phase 1) of Dual Carriageway, 2.1a (Phase 2) Flyover and Junction 2.2 Improvement
Jinja Road (Port Bell Jct - Banda/Northern Bypass Section), including Ntinda/Spear Motor Jinja Road (Banda - Northern Bypass Section), including Kireka Jct Bombo Road (Makerere Rbt - Northern Bypass Section), including Makerere Rbt Flyover Makerere Hill Road, including Sir Apollo Kaggwa Rd Jct Mukwano Rd, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement Mutesa Rd - Kaweesa Rd - Kabasu Rd (South Inner Ring Road) - Single Carriageway Paving Hoima Rd - Kimera/ Masiro/ Kawala Rd Jct (Kasubi Jct) Kira Road - Acacia/ Babiha Av/ Kayunga Rd Kira Rd - Ntinda Rd Port Bell (Nakawa) - Old Port Bell Rd Jinja Rd - Lugogo Bypass Ben Kiwanuka Rd - Luwum St Shoprite & Clock Tower Traffic Safety Queen's Way - Kevina/Mutebi Rd Yusufu Lule - Mulago Rbts Kira/Haji Kasule Yusufu Lule - Fairway Rbt.Sezibwa/Kafu Babiha Kibuye Rbt - Masaka Rd Flyover Wandegeya Jct Flyover Equatoria & Pioneer Mall Jcts Flyover (Kampala Rd - Ben Kiwanuka St / Kampala Rd - Burton GKMA Inner Ring Viaduct (Motorway)
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
2.3 2.4 2.5 3. Individual Junction Improvement
4. Other Flyovers (For Reference)
3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7
Yes Yes
Yes (No.2)
Yes (No.10) Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Part
Yes (Part)
Yes
Yes
Yes (Flyover)
Yes (South Inner Ring Road)
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Yes Yes (Safety) Yes
Yes Yes
Yes (No.3) Yes (No.1)
Yes (Safety)
Yes
Yes (No.7) Yes (No.6) Yes (No.5)
Yes (Flyover) Yes (Flyover) Yes (Flyover)
Yes Yes Yes
KIIDP (Signalization)
Yes (Long-long Term Plan)
#
Notes: 1. Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Flyover crossing over the railway station was planned to divert part of the traffic on Entebbe Rd and Shoprite Jct. 2. * The worst ten (10) traffic jam junctions. Rank No.8 (Bwaise Jct) and No.10 (Pride Theater Jct) are not in this list as these are improved by KIIDP.
Source: JICA Study Team
6-2
M
M
ak
na
as
ity a
a
ampa KKam palalaRRd. d.
1.2 Jinja-Yusufu Lule Rds FO (Right-turn Ramp), 1 6 km
4.5 Wandegeya FO
Way FO (2.0 km)
Queen's Way Queen's Way 1.3 Kampala Rd - Queen's
l Rd.
MENGO
3.6 Ben Kiwanuka Luwum Rds Jct.
Figure 6.3.1
d
MAKINDYE
l Rd
Location Map of Long List Projects
4.4 Kibuye FO
Rd
Old Port Bel
Rd
Por t Be ll R d
J i nj a
Port Bell
ja
1
2
3
4
5km
Single Carriageway (2-lanes) Improvement (Temporally Inner Ring Road)
Dual Carriageway (4-lanes) Plan
Junctions Improvement (Signalization or Large Roundabout)
Standalone Flyover Junction
JKQ Flyover/Viaduct
LEGEND-2 JICA Pre-FS Long List
0
T o Jin
2.1a Jinja Rd Widening (Dual), 2.0 km (Banda Northern Bypass Section), including Kireka Jct
WAKISO
2.1 Jinja Rd Widening (Dual), 3.0 km (Port Bell Jct Banda/Northern Bypass Section), including Ntinda/Spear Motor Jct
Jinja-Kireka Jct
3.4 Port Bell-Old Port Bell Jct
NAKAW
KYAMBOGO
3.3 Kira-Ntinda Jct
Northern Bypass
Jinja-Ntinda Jct
2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening (Dual), 1.8 km, including Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya T an Jct Capacity Improvement k Hill
Mukwano Rbt.
4.3 Fairway Hotel FO
Kev ina Rd 4.1 Kevina/ Mutebi FO
Nsambya Jct
R be teb En
Kampa la Rd.
JKQ Flyover
Pioneer Mall FO
Namirembe Rd
d. aR Ki r 3.2 Kira-Babina Av Jct
4.2 Yusuf Lule\Kira FO
Makerere FO
3.5 Jinja- Lugogo Bypass Jct
KAWEMPE 2.2 Bombo Rd (Makerere Rbt-Northern Bypass) Widening (Dual), 1.6 km including Makerere Rbt Flyover
CENTRAL 4.6 Equatoria /
Hil erere Mak
MAKERERE
Hoima Jct.
1.1 Jinja-Kampala Rds FO (1.4 km)
Rd d j aR a n j i JiJn
Jinja Jct
2.5 Mutesa Kaweesa - Kabasu Rds (South Inner
RUBAGA
d e dR bebR e b t b Eten En
Rd
Se nte ma Rd
iro Mas
3.1 Kasubi Jct.
Northern Bypass
2.3 Makerere Hill Rd Widening (Dual), 1.7 km, including S.A.Kaggwa Jct
Source: JICA Study Team
3.7 Shoprite / Clock Tower JctsTraffic Safety I t
To
To
WAKISO
4-lane Roads 2-lane Roads
Northern Bypass (Grade-separated Junction)
KIIDP Phase 1 Jct Improvement (2009-2011 ), Signalized Junction
JICA Road Improvement (2002-2005)
JICA Jct Improvement (1998-2005), Signalized Junction JICA Rbt Improvement (1998-2005)
LEGEND-1
. a Rd Hoim
bo T o Bom i / M asind o Rd Bomb d. aR im Ho Kam pala /Ente bbe Rd
6-3 a St
e
Rd
a Rd Gay az w anuk
Mu Mkuw k a w n aonR odR d
Ben Ki
d
tebb
. Rd
Ka bu su
. bo rd Bom an oR d
ule fL su Yu
Mu kw
. o rd mb Bo s as y-p
Que en's Way
B go go Lu
Gaba R
To E n
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
6.4 (1)
November 2010
EVALUATION OF LONG LIST PROJECTS AND RECOMMENDED SHORTLIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY Evaluation Methods and Criteria The multi-criteria analysis (MCA) methodology was adopted in the prioritization of the 15 projects in the long list for Components 1, 2 and 3. Component 4, which would be implemented in the long-term or long long-term, was not subjected to the evaluation. The weights and 5-Grade scoring criteria for each evaluation factor are as shown in Table 6.4.1. An equal weight of 25% was given to consistency with overall plans and engineering factors. Socio-economic factors and environmental negative impacts were given 30% and 20%, respectively. Table 6.4.1
Evaluation Factor and Weight for MCA
Grade Consistency with Superior Plans (25%) Engineering Factors (25%) Consistency with Policy of Function of Technical NTMP/GKMA Government of Road Effectiveness to Traffic Uganda a) Jam Weight 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 5 Yes (in NTMP/ Superior Priority East-West Very-very GKMA) (Flyovers if budget Corridor / High is available) North-South Corridor 4 Not Applicable High Priority Inner Ring Very High Road/ Middle Ring Road 3 No (in Priority Major Radial Medium NTMP/GKMA but Roads very important) 2 Not Applicable Not Applicable Other Arterial Low Roads 1 No in Not Applicable Local Roads Very Low NTMP/GKMA and not much urgent Notes:
Socio-Economic Factors (30%) Environmental Impacts (20%) Contribution to Interview Traffic Project Land Resettlement CBD/C.Center Ranking by Volume Cost Acquisition Requirements Development Stakeholders on (Current) (Households) c) Sustainability b) Traffic Jam 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% Very Small Very High The 1st - 3rd None None Large
Large
Medium
High
The 4 th - 6th
Small
Very Small (Less than 10)
Medium
Large
Medium
The 7th - 10th
Medium
Small (10-20)
Small
Low Very Large Very-very None Large
The 11th - 15th
Large
Medium (20 - 50) Large (More than 50)
Very Small
Over 15th or not Very Large listed
a) "Superior Priority" for Jinja-Kampala Rds Flyover, "High Priority" for the junctions/roads listed in "Strategy for the Improvement of Traffic Flow in Kampala", MoWT, Dec.2009
and "Priority" for others. b) Based on the result of Interview Surveys at Steering Committee Meeting on 20th November 2009 and Stakeholder Meeting on 8th December 2009. c) If possibility of the number of resettlement is over 20 families, the project will be listed for the medium term implementation candidates.
Source: JICA Study Team
The final score per project was calculated using the weight allocated for each factor and normalized process. (2)
Evaluation Results The Study Team had a series of meetings with key-stakeholders (MoWT, UNRA and KCC) and JICA on the long and short listing of Pre-FS projects. Table 6.4.2 shows the evaluation result on the long list. The Study Team recommended to MoWT the short-listed projects for the Pre-FS as presented in Table 6.4.3 based on the evaluation result while giving priority on strengthening and bottleneck improvement of the east-west corridor (international trunk road network of A109). On March 4, 2010, the Steering Committee agreed that preliminary design should be conducted for the Jinja Rd–Kampala Road–Queen’s Way Flyover Project, for which a soft loan of the GOJ or other sources would be applied in the future. The Pre-FS at the basic design level was proposed for the remaining four projects, envisaging application of the Japanese Grant Aid for implementation.
6-4
6-5
Port Bell - Old Port Bell Rd
Jinja Rd - Lugogo Bypass
Ben Kiwanuka Rd - Luwum St Shoprite & Clock Tower Traffic Safety Improvement
3.4
3.5
3.6
13.9
8.3
8.3
13.9
12.9
12.9
9.7
9.7
12.9
9.7
13.9
13.9
12.9
13.9
9.7
12.9
8.3
8.3
12.9
9.7
13.9
13.9
12.9
12.9
16.1
The projects recommended for implementation in the short term (by 2013)
Source: JICA Study Team
Notes:
3.7
3.3
Individual 3.1 Junction Improvement 3.2
2.5
2.4
2.3
Bombo Road (Makerere Rbt Northern Bypass Section), including Makerere Rbt Flyover Makerere Hill Road, including Sir Apollo Kaggwa Rd Jct Mukwano Rd, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement Mutesa Rd - Kaweesa Rd Kabasu Rd (South Inner Ring Road) - Single Carriageway Paving Hoima Rd - Kimera/ MasiroKawala Rd Jct (Kasubi Jct) Kira Road - Acacia/ Babiha Av/ Kayunga Rd Kira Rd - Ntinda Rd
2.2
13.9
13.9
Jinja Road (Banda - Northern Bypass Section), including Kireka Jct, Length 2.0 km
Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Flyover (Right Turn)
1.3 Phase 3
13.9
Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover (Right-turn Ramp Flyover )
1.2 Phase 2
Table 6.4.2
Scores and Ranking of Long List Projects
14.3
8.6
14.3
8.6
11.4
11.4
8.6
11.4
14.3
11.4
14.3
14.3
14.3
14.3
11.1
4.4
8.9
4.4
6.7
6.7
6.7
2.2
6.7
8.9
6.7
6.7
8.9
11.1
8.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.0
8.0
8.0
2.0
12.2
12.2
7.3
4.9
2.4
4.9
2.4
4.9
9.8
7.3
9.8
4.9
4.9
9.8
14.3
14.3
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
2.9
8.6
11.4
5.7
2.9
14.3
14.3
12.5
12.5
15.7
12.5
12.5
12.5
12.5
12.5
9.4
3.1
6.3
3.1
3.1
9.4
11.4
5.7
14.3
11.4
11.4
11.4
8.6
14.3
11.4
5.7
2.9
2.9
8.6
11.4
117.8
95.4
112.8
91.0
96.9
96.1
88.0
83.8
102.1
95.4
89.0
82.2
101.6
115.0
2
11
4
12
8
9
14
15
6
10
13
16
7
3
Resettlement (10-20)
Resettlement (20-50) Resettlement (less than 10)
Medium Term (2018) Medium Term (2018) Medium Term (2018) Short Term (2013) Medium Term (2018) Short Term (2013)
Resettlement (20-50) Resettlement (less than 10)
Resettlement (less than 10) Resettlement (less than 10) Resettlement (less than 10) No Resettlement
Medium Term Resettlement (2018) (10-20)
Medium Term No Resettlement (2018)
Medium Term (2018) Short Term (2013)
Medium Term Resettlement (2018) (over 50)
Medium Term Resettlement (2018) (over 50)
Short Term (2013)
Medium Term Resettlement (2018) or Long (less than 10) Term (2023)
The projects for which resettlement is estimated more than 20 households are not appropriate for implementation in the short term under Grant Aid of the GOJ.
12.7
6.3
15.9
12.7
12.7
12.7
9.5
9.5
12.7
12.7
15.9
12.7
12.7
12.7
Socio-Economic Factors Total Order of Implementation Remarks (Estimated Consistency with Superior Plans Engineering Factors Environmental Impacts 25% 25% 30% 20% (evaluated Priority Timing based number of households Traffic Project Contribution to Interview Land Resettlement score with by MCA Function Technical Consistency with Policy of required resettlement) on Budget CBD/C.Center Ranking by Acquisition Requirements weight) TMP-GKMA Government of of Road Effectiveness Volume Cost Availability and Development Stakeholders on (Current) to Traffic Uganda on Land Sustainability Traffic Jam* Jam Priority Acquisition 100.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.9 16.1 14.3 15.9 11.1 2.0 12.2 8.6 12.5 14.3 120.9 1 Short Term No Resettlement (2013) or Medium Term (2018) 13.9 16.1 14.3 12.7 8.9 4.0 9.8 8.6 9.4 14.3 112.0 5 Medium Term No Resettlement (2018) or Long Term (2023)
Jinja Road (Port Bell Jct Banda/Northern Bypass Section), including Ntinda/Spear Motor Jct, Length 3.0 km
Jinja - Kampala Rds Flyover
Sub-Component Name
1.1 Phase 1
SubComponent No.
Combination 2.1 (Phase 1) of Dual Carriageway, Flyover and Junction Improvement 2.1a (Phase 2)
Weight JKQ Flyover
Project Component
Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) Results with Weighted Index
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
Table 6.4.3
Dual Carriageway Construction, Junction Improvement and Traffic Safety Improvement (Basic Design Level)
Jinja - Kampala Roads - Queen's Way Flyover (Preliminary Design)
Component
Proejct No
November 2010
Recommended Short List Projects for Pre-FS
Project Name
Priority by Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA)
Basic Project Concept Carriageway & Viaduct/ Flyover Length Number of Lanes & (km) Junction Improvement 1.1 Dual Carriageway (two-ways 2 lanes), crossing over Africana, Jinja & Siad Baree Ave Jcts 1.3 Single Carriageway (one-way 1 lane) and reversible lane for the evening traffic
Implementation Period
1.1 Jinja - Kampala Rds (Phase 1) Flyover
1
Project Length (km) 1.4
1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds (Phase 2) Flyover (Right-turn)
5
1.6
1.3 Kampala Rd - Queen's (Phase 3) Way Flyover
3
2.0
1.9
2.1 Jinja Rd Widening (Phase 1) (Port Bell Jct Banda/Northern Bypass Section), including Ntinda/Spear Motors 2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement 3.5 Jinja Rd - Lugogo Bypass Jct
7
3.0
-
Dual Carriageway (Add. 2 lanes) & Ntinda Jct improvement
Short (2013)
6
1.8
-
Dual Carriageway (Add. 2 lanes) & Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct
Short (2013)
4
-
-
Signalization and Pedestrian Bridges
Short (2013)
2
-
-
Pedestrian Bridges, Separated Left-turn Lanes and Traffic Management
Short (2013)
3.7
Shoprite & Clock Tower Jcts Traffic Safety Improvement
Medium Term (2018)
Medium Term (2018) or Long Term (2023)
Single Carriageway or Medium Term Dual Carriageway (2018) or Long Term (2023)
Source: JICA Study Team
6.5 (1)
INFLUENCE OF BRT PRE-FS ON THE SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS Outline of BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report The BRT consultants submitted to MoWT the Interim Report of the BRT Pre-FS in February, the Draft Final Report in April and the Final Report in May 2010. The World Bank has financed the feasibility study and detailed design of the BRT pilot project under TSDP. It included review of the BRT Pre-FS, feasibility study, the preparation of design and bidding documents, EIA/PC and a Resettlement Action Plan and the necessary institutional set-up for the implementation and management of the system of the BRT Pilot Project. The BRT route length and its configuration, including location of bus stations, implementation schedule and costs, are unclear in the BRT Pre-FS Final Report, except for the pilot project. The Study Team assumed two implementation scenarios of the BRT development to estimate the traffic flow and volume on the GKMA trunk road network, flyovers, short-listed road projects and junctions for the Pre-FS projects in 2013, 2018 and 2023 as shown in the following figures. The Study Team assumed that BRT Route B2, Kibuye Jct–Busega Rbt, on Masaka Road should be operated by 2023 since its passenger demand is the third largest, according to the BRT Pre-FS.
6-6
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda No
Sub
BRT Route Name
Facility
No A1
November 2010
2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/
2023/2030
Length (km) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
A1.1 Bombo Rd - Kampala Rd
14.0
(Jan.2015)
- Jinja Road (Pilot) A1.2 Kireka/Northern Bypass -
13.5
Mukono Terminal A1.3 Northern Bypass -
1.6
Kawempe Terminal A2
Makerere Rbt - Northern
2.4
Bypass - Kanyama A3
Kira Rd (Mulago Rbt -
2.5
Bukoto/Lugogo Bypass A4
Wandegeya Jct -
7.1
Nabweru Terminal B1
B1.1 Entebbe Rd (Kampala Rd
13.1
- Kibuye Jct - Kajansi) B1.2 Entebbe Rd (Kajansi -
24.0
Airport) B2
Kibuye Jct - Busega Rbt
6.5
B3
Clock Tower - Nsambya
9.3
Road - Gaba B4
Africana Rbt - Old Port
8.3
Bell Rd - Port Bell CBD
City Center Triangle (On
1.2
Ben Kiwanuka St) Notes:
Procurement (9 months)
Design
Operation on Dedicated BRT Lanes
Construction Operation on existing highways ( BRT shared lanes)
Source: Assumed by the Study Team based on BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report / Presentation, April 2010
Figure 6.5.1
(2)
Anticipated BRT Plan Implementation Schedule (Scenario 1)
Closure of Kampala Road/Entebbe Road Junction to General Traffic In the Final Report of the BRT Pre-FS, it was confirmed that the Kampala Road/Entebbe Road Junction will be opened for only BRT (Figure 6.5.2) and closed to the general traffic. The current traffic flow direction to/from the city center (CBD and Commercial Center) would change drastically. In addition, as three BRT stations and one BRT City Center Interchange are located between Entebbe Jct and Equatoria Jct, it would be difficult for the general traffic to pass through Kampala Road except to just access the buildings along it.
N
Kam pala Rd
BRT S tation 200 m
BRT Flows Only
Par
liam
ue ven A t en
26.5 27.0 mm
En te bb e
Rd
Luwum St
Rd
Nkrumah
Nasser R
d
Source: The Study Team based on interpretation of BRT Pre-FS Final Report
Figure 6.5.2
(3)
Closure of Kampala/Entebbe Roads Junction to General Traffic
BRT Routes and Stations in the Draft Final Report and Effects on Short List Projects Three of the five Pre-FS short-listed projects, namely the Jinja – Kampala Rds Flyover, Lugogo Bypass Jct Traffic Safety Improvement and Jinja Road Widening (Port Bell – Banda), are located on the BRT pilot project as shown in Figure 6.5.3. Other two Pre-FS short-listed projects,
6-7
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Shoprite/Clock Tower Traffic Safety and Mukwano Rd Widening are also located on the planned BRT routes of B1, B2 and B3. The BRT Pre-FS did not show several important configurations/dimensions of the BRT plan, which are required for the basic design level Pre-FS of the JICA short-listed projects. Those are left to the feasibility study and detailed design consultant of BRT Pilot Project to be commended. Nonetheless, the basic concepts of BRT in the Pre-FS might be changed during the BRT FS and DD stage as a result of technical and financial reviews or public consultations. BRT Pilot Project 2.1 Jinja Rd Widening (Port Bell - Banda), 3 km
3.5 Jinja Rd- Lugogo Bypass Jct Trafic Safety Improvement
3.7 Shoprite / Clock Tower JctsTraffic Safety
1.Jinja-Kampala RdsQueen's Way Flyovers
2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, includ. Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya Jct Improvement, 1.8 km
Source: The Study Team based on BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report, April 2010, MoWT
Figure 6.5.3
Shortlisted Projects on the BRT Pilot Project Route
The BRT Pre-FS suggested rerouting the traffic flows from Entebbe Road to Nsambya/Mukwano/Yusufu Lule Roads and Jinja Road in line with the closing of Entebbe Junction to general traffic. The main traffic flow on Jinja Jct would be changed from the east-west direction to the north-south direction. As a flyover should be constructed on the direction of the traffic main flow, the Study Team recommended the Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Rds Flyover instead of Jinja – Kampala Rds Flyover. (4)
Coordination of Short List Projects with BRT plans Introduction of BRT is a given condition for this JICA Pre-FS. The Study Team has modified or changed the plans of the flyover and other short list projects in June 2010, to harmonize with the BRT plan in its Draft Final Report of April 2010. As Jinja Road Widening (Port Bell Jct – Banda) and Lugogo Bypass Junction Improvement are located on the BRT Pilot Project route, the Study Team omitted these two short-listed projects from the Pre-FS list.
6-8
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
November 2010
Table 6.5.1 Summary of Coordination of Pre-FS Projects with the BRT Plan Shortlisted Project 1.1 Jinja-Kampala Rds Flyover
BRT Route A1and A2 (On BRT Pilot)
Effect of BRT Plan on Shortlisted Projects •
• • 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover (Right-turn)
A1and A2 (On BRT Pilot)
•
1.3 Kampala Rd Queen's Way Flyover
B1, B2 and B3
•
Coordination Method
As Entebbe Jct is closed to general traffic, the main traffic flow at Jinja Junction will change from the east-west to the north-south direction BRT stations between Jinja Jct and Africana Rbt New bottleneck at Jinja Jct due to BRT Plan
•
Not much influence by BRT
•
•
•
•
•
Change to a flyover for the north-south direction, Yusufu Lule and Mukwano Rds Flyover (Y-M) to address the change in main traffic flow due to BRT Crossing two railways lines
Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Right-turn Flyover as in Interim Report I Provide Mukwano - Jinja Rds Right-turn Flyover to reduce conflict with BRT
As Entebbe Jct is closed to general traffic, not much traffic on this flyover Anticipated BRT station at the front of railway park, where J-K FO in-ramp was originally planned New bottleneck at Clock Tower Jct by BRT Plan
•
Plan a flyover to accommodate new traffic flows from BRT, Mengo Hill – Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover or Queen’s Way Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover, over Clock Tower Jct
2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement
B3
•
Substantial traffic volume increase by rerouting of the general traffic from Entebbe Road to Nsambya,/ Kibuli/ Mukwano Rds
•
Dual carriageway to accommodate Mengo Hill (or Queen’s Way) – Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover and Yusufu Lule – Mukwano Rds Flyover
3.7 Shoprite / Clock Tower Jcts Traffic Safety Improvement
B1 and B2
•
BRT stations at Shoprite Junction
•
Plan pedestrian bridges which are not in conflict with the anticipated BRT stations for Shoprite Jct Plan a flyover to meet new traffic flows by BRT, Mengo Hill – Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover or Queen’s Way - Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover, over Clock Tower Jct
• •
Substantial traffic volume increase for Mengo Hill (or Queen’s Way) – Mukwano Rds through Clock Tower Jct
Source: JICA Study Team
6.6 (1)
FINAL SHORT-LISTED PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY Review of Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) Taking the latest development of the BRT study and in accordance with the original scope of work signed by both governments on March 1, 2007, it was decided to conduct the Pre-FS with preliminary design for three final short-listed projects: Jinja Junction Flyover Projects, Mukwano Road Widening, and the Shoprite/Clock Tower Traffic Safety Improvement. The Study Team has reviewed the MCA by taking the latest information of the sub-projects into account. The sub-projects in the initial long list that are located on the BRT pilot project routes were omitted from the MCA review list as their improvement, including road widening and junction improvement, shall be undertaken by the BRT FS/DD. Table 6.6.1 shows the review result through MCA to be used as confirmation of the final short-listing of Pre-FS projects.
6-9
6-10 8.7
8.7
14.5
12.3
12.3
9.2
12.3
9.2
14.5 14.5
12.3
15.3
9.2
15.3
12.3
12.3
14.5
The priority projects recommended for the pre-feasibility study.
3.7
Source: JICA Study Team
Notes:
Port Bell (Nakawa) - Old Port Bell Rd Ben Kiwanuka Rd - Luwum St Shoprite & Clock Tower Traffic Safety Improvement
3.6
3.3
3.4
8.7
Mutesa Rd - Kaweesa Rd Kabasu Rd (South Inner Ring Road) Widening of Queen's Way and Flyover on Kibuye Rbt
Hoima Rd - Kimera/ MasiroKawala Rd Jct (Kasubi Jct) Kira Road - Acacia/ Babiha Av/ Kayunga Rd Kira Rd - Ntinda Rd
8.7
Mukwano Rd, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement
14.5
14.5
Makerere Hill Road, including Sir Apollo Kaggwa Rd Jct
3.1 Individual Junction Improvement 3.2
2.6
Combination 2.3 of Dual Carriageway, 2.4 Flyover and Junction Improvement 2.5
11.6
12.7
6.4
12.7
12.7
12.7
9.6
15.9
9.6
15.9
12.7
12.7
10.8
4.3
4.3
6.5
6.5
6.5
10.8
2.2
8.7
8.7
10.8
7.5
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.4
9.4
5.6
7.5
7.5
7.5
7.5
11.1
11.1
4.4
2.2
4.4
2.2
8.9
4.4
8.9
6.6
11.1
13.5
13.5
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.7
8.1
2.7
8.1
10.8
13.5
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.8
11.8
5.9
11.8
8.9
3.0
8.9
12.7
6.3
12.7
12.7
12.7
9.5
3.2
15.9
9.5
3.2
12.7
115.9
92.7
90.7
96.6
95.8
87.3
103.1
83.8
106.3
91.1
115.9
1
9
11
7
8
12
6
13
5
10
2
Resettlement (less than 10) Resettlement (less than 10) Resettlement (less than 10) Resettlement (20-50) Resettlement (less than 10)
Resettlement (10-20)
Resettlement (more than 50)
No Resettlement
Resettlement (10-20)
Resettlement (more than 50)
Resettlement (less than 10)
Resettlement (10-20) Resettlement (10-20)
Remarks (Estimated number of households required resettlement)
The projects for which resettlement is estimated more than 50 households and EIA is required in accordance with the environmental guideline of JICA.
14.8
8.9
8.9
11.8
11.8
8.9
14.8
11.8
14.8
11.8
14.8
Queen's Way - Nsambya / Mukwano Rds Flyover (Rightturn)
1.3 (Phase 2)
1.1 (Phase 1) 1.2 (Phase 1)
Socio-Economic Factors Total Order of Consistency with Superior Plans Engineering Factors Environmental Impacts 25% 25% 30% 20% (evaluated Priority Land Resettlement score with by MCA Traffic Project Contribution to Interview Consistency with Policy of Function Technical CBD/C.Center Ranking by Acquisition Requirements weight) TMP-GKMA Government of of Road Effectiveness Volume Cost Development Stakeholders on Uganda on to Traffic (Current) Sustainability Traffic Jam* Priority Jam 100.0% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Rds 14.5 15.3 14.8 15.9 8.7 3.8 11.1 8.1 11.8 9.5 113.5 3 Flyover Jinja - Yusufu Lule Flyover 14.5 15.3 14.8 12.7 8.7 3.8 11.1 8.1 8.9 9.5 107.4 4 (Right-turn) and Mukwano Jinja Rds Flyover (Right-turn)
Sub-Component Name
SubComponent No.
Table 6.6.1
Weight Flyover / Viaduct
Project Component
Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) Results with Weighted Index
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010
Review of Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) for Final Short Listing for Pre-FS
Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda
(2)
November 2010
Final Short List of Projects for Pre-FS Table 6.6.2 and Figure 6.6.1 summarize the short-listed projects for Pre-FS finally agreed and subjected to Pre-FS. Table 6.6.2 Project No
Final Short List of Projects for Pre-FS
Project Name
1.1 Yusufu Lule and Mukwano (Phase 1) Rds Flyover 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds (Phase 1) Flyover (Right-turn) & Mukwano - Jinja Rd Flyover (Right-turn) 1.3 Queen's Way - Nsambya / (Phase 2) Mukwano Rds Flyover (Right-turn) 2.4
Mukwano Rd Widening, including Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement
3.7
Shoprite & Clock Tower Jcts Traffic Safety
Basic Project Concept Implementation Viaduct/ Carriageway & Junction Period Flyover Length Improvement (km) 1.5 Dual Carriageway (two- Medium Term ways 2 lanes) (2018)
Project Length (km) 1.7
Priority by Multi Criteria Analysis 3
2.3
1.9
Single Carriageway
Medium Term (2018)
4
0.6
0.5
Single Carriageway
Long Term (2023)
2
1.8
-
Dual Carriageway (Add. Medium Term 2 lanes) & Mukwano Rbt (2018) and Nsambya Jct improvement
5
-
-
Pedestrian Bridges & Separated Left-turn
1
Medium Term (2018)
Note: Preliminary planning of a flyover on Kibuye Roundabout was included in the Study addressing the proposal of MoWT in line with Dual Carriageway Railway Viaduct Plan in NTMP/GKMA. Source: JICA Study Team bo T o Bom / M asindi
LEGEND-1 Northern Bypass (Grade-separate Junction) 4-lane Roads 2-lane Roads
N
KAWEMPE
East-West Corridor
WAKISO
Gay az
o Bomb
a Rd
Rd
Northern Bypass
T o Jin
Northern Bypass KYAMBOGO
na
Mak
Hill erere
Rd.
Rd
CBD / Commercial Namirembe Rd Center tebbe Rd St anuka
ja Ji n
Mukwano Rbt.
Rd
2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, 1.8 km, including Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya Jct Ta nk Hil Capacity Improvement l
Rd
Port Bell
MAKINDYE Legend 2: Short List Projects for JICA Pre-Feasibility Study
Dual Carriageway (4-lanes) construction, including junction improvement Planned BRT Routes at the City Center by 2023
be
1.3 Queen's Way Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover (Right-turn)
Junctions Improvement (Signalization or Large Roundabout)
nteb
an oR d
1.1 Yusufu Lule Mukwano Rds Flyover
0
To E
Queen's Way
MENGO HILL
NAKAWA Rd
Flyover/Viaduct
Mu kw
Rd
Rd
Kev ina
Bell
. Rd
Kam pala /Ent ebbe Rd
Jinja Jct
MENGO
Que en's Way
Rd
1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover (Rightturn) & Mkwano - Jinja Rds Flyover (Rightturn)
be teb En
ala mp Ka
Nsambya Jct
rrido r
Kamp ala Rd . 3.7 Shoprite/Clock Tower Jcts Traffic Safety
En
Ka bu su
a
Eas t-We st C o
or
Rd
Gaba Rd
To
M
a
Port Old Port Bell
Ben Kiw
RUBAGA
k sa
Jinja Jct
CENTRAL
an oR d
Se nte ma
d. aR im Ho
ity a
r r id
Mu kw
M
. Rd
To
Rd
t Co W es
ule fL su Yu
. bo rd Bom
MAKERERE iro Mas
tEas
Rd Jinja
s as y-p
. a Rd Hoim
Kira
Banda
. Rd B go go Lu
. o rd mb Bo
WAKISO
ja
1
Source: JICA Study Team
Figure 6.6.1
Final Short-List of Projects Selected for Pre-FS
6-11
2
3
4
5km
