The Ocean of Tomorrow Prof. Dr. Phoebe Koundouri Director, ReSEES: Research Unit on Socio-Economic and Environmental Sustainability ATHENS UNIVERSITY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS LONDON SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS http://www.aueb.gr/users/koundouri/resees 1
The Ocean of Tomorrow European Strategy for Marine and Maritime Research COM (2008) 534 Call FP7-OCEAN-2011: Joining research forces to meet challenges in ocean management
Topic 1: Multi-use offshore platforms (15 million EUR, 3 projects) (Energy, Environment, Food-Agric.-Fisheries-Biotech., Transport) … to develop novel innovative designs for multi-use offshore platforms … assess the technical, economical and environmental feasibility of constructing, installing, operating, servicing, maintaining and decommissioning, together with the related transport aspects. … shall target ocean renewable energy, and in particular offshore wind, aquaculture and the related transport maritime services. Policy: Marine Strategy Framework Directive Initiatives: Blue Growth, Energy 2020
3 funded projects
OCEAN.2011-1: Multi-use offshore platforms
Development of a wind- wave power open-sea platform equipped for hydrogen generation with support for multiple users of energy
http://www.h2ocean-project.eu/
Innovative multi-purpose offshore platforms: planning, design and operation
http://www.mermaidproject.eu/
Modular multi-use deep water offshore platform harnessing and servicing Mediterranean, subtropical and tropical marine resources
http://www.troposplatform.eu/
DEVELOPMENT OF A WIND-WAVE POWER OPEN-SEA PLATFORM EQUIPPED FOR HYDROGEN GENERATION WITH SUPPORT FOR MULTIPLE USERS OF ENERGY
www.h2ocean-project.eu Armando J Palomar, Coordinator
[email protected]
The research and activities performed in the frame of the H2OCEAN project have received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under Grant Agreement nº 288145.
Basic data TITLE: Development of a wind-wave power open-sea platform equipped for hydrogen generation with support for multiple users of energy OBJECTIVE: To arrive at a proof-of-concept design for a new fully integrated multipurpose platform to make the most of the sea resources, fostering activities such as renewable power harvesting + aquaculture + environmental monitoring, and to assess the impact of such platform at environmental and economical levels. COST: EUR 6,05 million (EUR 4,53 million EC contribution: 74,9%) DURATION: 01/01/2012 - 31/12/2014 (3 years, 36 months)
Consortium Organizations (17):
DK (2), ES (6*), GE (2), IT (2), UK (5) SME (10), RTD (6), Large Enterprise (1) Renewables 5 SME, 1 RTD Rev. Osmosis 1 SME, 2 RTD Hydrogen 1 RTD Aquaculture 3 SME Maritime 1 LE, 1 RTD
18 FLOATING POWER PLANT A/S
ICT 1 SME, 1 RTD
Consortium WP8
WP7
WP6
WP5
WP10
WP4
Concept (initial)
H2OCEAN concept ©2011 VirtualPiE Ltd
Process diagram (initial) INPUT
Surveillance and security
Radar + monitoring
wind power
sea water
Energy harvesting
Reverse osmosis
O
Electrolysis
H
fish
Platform management
Shipping operations H
H2OCEAN Process Diagram
2
2
H2 generatio - Energy storage n
H O (Fresh water) 2
Logistics and safety
Multi - trophic
electricity/hydraulic power H O 2
feed
Aquaculture electricity
VAWT + WEC
Desalination
OUTPUT
fish eggs
wave power
2
fish
Work packages WP1 Project Management WP2 Technical and Scientific Coordination
WP10 Technology integration into platform design WP9 Impact Assessment WP8 Logistics, Operations and Safety
WP3 Analysis of requirements & development of tools for optimal location WP4 Combined harvesting of open sea renewable energy
WP5 Offshore hydrogen generation WP6 Energy storage and transport systems WP7 Autonomous offshore aquaculture system WP11 Communication, Dissemination and Exploitation
Sites selection BASIC ASSUMPTIONS Distance offshore (operation, maintenance and installation costs): a minimum of 25 km and a maximum of 100 km offshore Depth (practical, proven and economically feasible mooring solution): a maximum site depth of 100 m
1) An Atlantic site, off the West coast of Portugal offering an energetic wave resource. 2) A North Sea site, off the East coast of Scotland offering an excellent wind resource and infrastructure, with a contrasting aquaculture solution to the other sites. 3) A Mediterranean site, off the West coast of Sardinia with relatively benign wind and wave energy, offering a different multi-trophic solution to the other sites. A potential fourth tropical site (most likely in the Caribbean) could be considered.
Impact
ENERGY WAVE
Fish
Seaweed
HYDROGEN
Mollusc
Urchin
Food security
WIND
AQUACULTURE
Multi-Trophic System
Renewable energy consumption & Low carbon economy Growth of aquaculture industry & Food security Development of other emerging green technologies Achievement of European Maritime Policy objectives
DEVELOPMENT OF A WIND-WAVE POWER OPEN-SEA PLATFORM EQUIPPED FOR HYDROGEN GENERATION WITH SUPPORT FOR MULTIPLE USERS OF ENERGY
www.h2ocean-project.eu Armando J Palomar, Coordinator
[email protected]
The research and activities performed in the frame of the H2OCEAN project have received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under Grant Agreement nº 288145.
MERMAID: Innovative multi-purpose offshore platforms: planning, Design and operation (2012-2015) http://www.mermaidproject.eu/ FP7-OCEAN-2011, OCEAN.2011-1: Multi-use offshore platforms
Total budget is 7.4 million Euro EC contribution is 5.5 million Euro Project Coordinator: Prof. Damgaard Christensen, Erik www.mek.dtu.dk/English/Service/Phonebook.aspx?lg=showcommon &id=349&type=person, MERMAID
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Focus on specific challenges in: • Baltic Sea, representing a typical estuarine area with fresh water from rivers and salt water from the North Sea; • Trans-boundary area of the North Sea-Wadden Sea, representing a typical active morphology site; • Atlantic Ocean, representing a typical deep water site; • Mediterranean Sea, representing a typical sheltered deep water site.
MERMAID
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Objectives Effective Management Procedures: - Addressing variations in legislation and policies: Institutional Acceptance -Attraction of developers and investors: Financial Feasibility - Stakeholder involvement: Socio-economic and Ecological Acceptance Innovative Technology and Design: - Integrated concepts for extraction of renewable ocean energy - Offshore aquaculture technology - Large scale platform design concepts - Integration of technologies and services
Sustainable Integration: - Dynamic and Spatial Environmental and Ecological Sustainability of MUP - Socio-economic viability of MUP compared to single use Integration of Management, Technology, Social-economics at 4 contrasting Test Sites: - Suitable for immediate use. - Provide tools, techniques and decision support systems that may be applied, tested and validated. MERMAID are of real value, practicable and usable. 16 - Use test sites to ensure that MERMAID deliverables
Work-package structure •
WP1: Project management
WP1 Project management (DTU, Denmark)
WP3 Renewable Energy (UC, Spain)
•
WP4 Aquaculture (DHI, Denmark)
•
WP5 Physical conditions (Deltares, Netherlands)
•
WP6 Optimisation of operation and transport related activities.(STATOIL, Norway)
•
WP7 Platform plan, design and integration (UniBo, Italy)
•
WP8 Feasability of MUP (AUEB, Greece)
•
WP9 Dissimination and outreach (VLIZ, Belgium)
Active Morphology
Open deep water
Sheltered deep water
WP6: Transport and optimization of installation, operation, and decom.
•
WP5: Sinteraction of platform with hydrodynamic conditions and seabed
Estuarine
WP4: Systems for sustainable aquaculture and ecological based design
WP2 Policy,mangement and planning (DLO, Netherlands)
WP7: Innovative Platform plan and design
•
WP3: Renewable energy conversion from wind and waves
WP2: Assessment of policy management and planning strategies
WP8: Economical, technical and environmental feasibility of multi-use platforms
MERMAID
WP9: Project dissemination & outreach activities
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Participants • 28 Participants: • 11 Universities • 8 Research institutes
• 5 Industries • 4 SME’s MERMAID
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The MERMAID MUP assessment tool (MUP.AT) http://www.madgik.di.uoa.gr/mermaid/?q=datasets
AIMS: 1. Select CS-specific MUP design 2. Identify Cost /Benefits of MUP design 3. Integrate Cost/Benefits in CBA ASSESSMENT PROCESS AND CRITERIA: 1. Technical Feasibility Assessment (TFA) 2. Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) 3. Financial and Economic Assessment (FEA) 4. Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBA)
MERMAID
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Baltic Sea TFA • Technically feasible • Potential combined use Risks • New political skepticism on the climate change and benefits from using renewable energies (all) FEA • Enough F&E Information Risks • Sensitivity to changes of output/input prices • Difficulty in time horizon and interest rate definition
EIA • EIA is available (single use, wind farm) • Wind farm aquacultural Risks • No risks identified at this stage SCBA • Some monetary evaluation of externalities (TEEB) Risks • Uncertainty and missing information of external effects and perception formation MERMAID
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North and Wadden Sea TFA • Technically feasible • Potential combined use Risks • Revenues are depended on oil and energy prices • Aquaculture needs market development FEA • Not enough F&E information at this stage Risks • Not risks identified at this stage
EIA • EIA on wind Risks • No risks identified at this stage
SCBA • Not enough information on SCBA Risks • Not risks identified at this stage
MERMAID
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Atlantic Sea TFA • Technically feasible • Potential combined use Risks • Reliability of technique (WA, EC, AQ) • Uncertainty about estimates of costs and revenues (exc. FT) • Impact diffusion (all) • Political uncertainty (exc. EC & FT)
EIA • EIA on sea-energy available Risks • Uncertainty about climate change and other Env. Parameters (all) • Non-linear env. effects (AQ & FT) • Irreversible env. effects (AQ & FT)
FEA • Some F&E Information • Not enough information on efficiency prices for inputs and outputs of the investment Risks • Sensitivity to changes of output/input prices • Difficulty in time horizon and interest rate definition
SCBA • Not enough information on SCBA Risks • Uncertainty and missing information of external effects and perception formation MERMAID
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Mediterranean Sea TFA (Engineers and Economist) • Technically feasible • Potential combined use (except floating wave) Risks • Uncertainty about estimates of costs and revenues • Some uncertainty about reliability of technique • Political uncertainty FEA • Not enough F&E information at this stage Risks • No risks identified at this stage
EIA (Ecologists) • Assessment for some env impacts • Possibility of significant environmental impact Risks • Uncertainty about climate change and other env. parameters • Some non-linear env. effects • Possible irreversible env. effects
SCBA • Not enough information on SCBA Risks • No risks identified at this stage
MERMAID
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MERMAID: Innovative multi-purpose offshore platforms: planning, Design and operation (2012-2015) http://www.mermaidproject.eu/ FP7-OCEAN-2011, OCEAN.2011-1: Multi-use offshore platforms
Total budget is 7.4 million Euro EC contribution is 5.5 million Euro Project Coordinator: Prof. Damgaard Christensen, Erik www.mek.dtu.dk/English/Service/Phonebook.aspx?lg=showcommon &id=349&type=person, MERMAID
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Modular Multi-use Deep Water Offshore Platform Harnessing and Servicing Mediterranean, Subtropical and Tropical Marine and Maritime Resources
TROPOS Project 2nd International Conference on Research Infrastructures Megaron Athens 2nd – 4th April 2014 Joaquín Hernández Brito TROPOS Project Coordinator
3 funded projects
OCEAN.2011-1: Multi-use offshore platforms
Development of a wind- wave power open-sea platform equipped for hydrogen generation with support for multiple users of energy
http://www.h2ocean-project.eu/
Innovative multi-purpose offshore platforms: planning, design and operation
http://www.mermaidproject.eu/
Modular multi-use deep water offshore platform harnessing and servicing Mediterranean, subtropical and tropical marine resources
http://www.tropospl atform.eu/
Vision
Deep waters Floating device Modular approach Cost efficiency Easy logistics
Customizable TEAL approach
Objectives Determine ideal locations for multi-use offshore platforms in tropical, subtropical and Mediterranean regions. Research integration renewable energies (wind), offshore aquaculture, maritime transport and recreational activities. Develop an innovative design for a Multi-use Offshore Platform that enables the integration of these activities. Study the new platform’s logistical requirements: security, installation, operation, maintenance, etc.
Asses the economic feasibility and viability Develop environmental impact methodology and assessment.
Configure THREE COMPLETE SOLUTIONS: Mediterranean, Subtropical and Tropical scenarios.
Main Deliverables The main scientific and technological results/deliverables of the project include: • A map of optimal areas of installation drawn from a comprehensive geographic information framework. • A novel design of a modular off-shore platform with integrated technologies and services including: wind and ocean energy, aquaculture, maritime transport, tourism and ocean environmental monitoring.
• A comprehensive viability strategy. • A comprehensive environmental impact methodology and assessment. • Complete Design Specification of 3 systems.
Work Packages WP number
WP title
WP1
Project Management
WP2
Geographic and Module Benchmarking and Decision Methodology
WP3
Conceptual Design of Platform Components and Integration
WP4
Engineering Specification for Chosen Platform Designs
WP5
Strategy: Economics, Infrastructure and Logistics
WP6
Environmental and Socio-Economic Impact, Legal Issues
WP7
Communication, Dissemination and Technology Transfer
WP8
Scientific and Technical Coordination
BACKGROUND –TROPOS Progress WPs
Management stages (based on semesters)
02/04/14
1
2
M1-M6
M7-M12
3
4
5
6
PROGRESS
WP1 WP2 WP3
WP4 WP5
WP6 WP7 WP8 M12-M18 M19-M24
23 sent deliverables
M25-M30 M31-M36
13 deliverables to be sent
TROPOS CONSORTIUM
• • • • • •
1 Public Consortium 1 Association 7 Universities 3 Research Orgs. 4 Enterprises 4 SMEs
TROPOS TEAL COMPONENTS
TROPOS LOCATIONS
GIS Tool to decide TROPOS locations
3 platform configurations combining the TEAL Components (Conceptual Designs)
Green & Blue Concept
Green & Blue Concept • Floating offshore platform infrastructure • Based on Energy and Aquaculture components • To avoid industrial activities which might compromise the water quality
• Two main sub-concepts 1. Fish aquaculture plus floating offshore wind and wave 2. OTEC plus aquaculture, “sea ranching”
(April)
Sustainable Production Concept
Sustainable Production Concept • Modular industrial type of a far offshore infrastructure • Focused on transport and its energy related aspects • Large floating offshore port with dedicated infrastructure Repair and maintenance of large ships, floating docks Support the offshore mining industry Offshore terminal for handling of dangerous goods such as oil and gas Accommodation for these industries work forces Fuel supply to ships, fresh water and food
Leisure Island Concept
Leisure Island
Leisure Island Concept • Floating platform moored not very far away from the coast • Not-self propelled platform with catenary mooring • Focused on leisure, looking for synergies with energy, aquaculture and transport
• Formed by 5 modules Visitors Centre Food&Beverage Accomodation Nautical Activities Marina
Safety & Security and Environmental Monitoring
Central Unit Small Waterplane Area Twin Hull (SWATH)
Small Waterplane Area Twin Hull, better known by the acronym SWATH, is a twin-hull design that minimizes hull cross section area at the sea's surface Maximizes a vessel's stability, even in high seas
Central Unit Infography
Central Unit 3D (conceptual design, first simulations tests concluded)
Integration with: Modules (directly connected to Central Unit) Satellites (indirectly connected to Central Unit)
Central Unit connected with a module
Satellite Unit
THANK YOU! www.troposplatform.eu
H2OCEAN, MERMAID, TROPOS INTEGRATION WRT: 1. Socio-Economic Analysis 2. Environment Impact Assessment 3. Life Cycle Assessment -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Integrating Socio-Economic Analysis: 1. Socio-economic methodology 2. Framework for socio-economic data collection 3. Data analysis methodology 4. Stakeholder Methodologies 5. Policy Briefs
Why Social Cost Benefit Analysis? • SCBA is decision support tool to compare in monetary terms benefits and costs of a proposal (project, policy or programme), including: - financial and economic impacts - impacts on environmental resources and services that are not owned or traded in the markets. The methodology applies the standard, best-practice methodology of European Commission CBA: http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/sources/docgener/guide s/cost/guide2008_en.pdf
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ASSESSMENT PROCESS AND CRITERIA: 1. Technical Feasibility Assessment (TFA) 2. Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) 3. Financial and Economic Assessment (FEA) 4. Social Cost Benefit Analysis (SCBA)
Total Economic Value Structure & Processes
Ecosystem Services
Anthropocentric Values
Human Benefits Use Values
Non-Use Values
Environment Total Economic Value
Use Value
Actual use Value
Direct Use Value
Non-use Value
Option Value
Existence Value
Indirect Use Value
For Others
Bequest Value MERMAID
Altruistic Value 56
The Economics of Ecosystem & Biodiversity TEEB Towards calculating TEV Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (2005): i. Provisioning services: products obtained by ecosystems. ii. Regulating services: benefits arising from regulation of ecosystem processes such a carbon sequestration, flood protection, erosion control and waste management. iii. Cultural services: use and non-use benefits of ecosystems for individuals such as benefits arising from recreational and educational purposes. iv. Supporting services: services that are necessary for the production of all other ecosystem services. These benefits have an effect on human wellbeing indirectly (through provisioning, regulating or cultural services) and usually occur in the very long-term.
An example on Marine Resources
MERMAID
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Risk Analysis, Uncertainty Analysis Project-Specific Risks : (i) financial and economic (ii) natural – environmental (iii) technological
Sensitivity Analysis: relates proportional changes in the critical variables to NPV/IRR values. Uncertainty Analysis: Computational algorithm based on random sampling and on assigning specific subjective probability distributions to important cash flow variables. The Figure provides a Monte Carlo histogram for NPV, which was obtained after 1000 repetitions. MERMAID
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Forthcoming Book: The Ocean of Tomorrow (Vol. I and II): Socio-economic Methodology and Empirical Applications for Multi-Use Offshore Platforms Investments Springer Academic Publishers: http://www.springer.com/
Contact details: Prof. Dr. Phoebe Koundouri Director of ReSEES, AUEB and LSE Email:
[email protected] Webpage: MERMAID http://www.aueb.gr/users/koundouri/resees/
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ReSEES: Research Team on Socio-Economic and Environmental Sustainability Website: http://www.aueb.gr/users/koundouri/resees/ Director: Professor Dr Phoebe Koundouri ReSEES Mission Statement: ReSEES does policy relevant interdisciplinary research on environmental, natural resources and energy issues. The overreaching goal of ReSEES theoretical and empirical research is to support the understanding and implementation of Sustainable Development, as the only nonself-destructive path of socio-economic development. Research tools will include financial analysis, socio-economic and econometric analysis, environmental valuation, political and institutional analysis, integrated environmentaleconomic modeling, life cycle analysis, risk analysis, geographical information systems, multi-stakeholder mediations techniques, game theory, information technology decision making tool development. ReSEES in numbers (1996-2013):
Total research funding attracted: 20 million euro Number of collaborating Universities and Research Institutions: 150 Number of collaborating/employed Researchers: 500 Number of published peer-reviewed research papers and books: 250 Geographical distribution of research funding and research implementation: Europe, US, Latin America, Africa, Asia, Australia. ReSEES output has influenced policy and attracted mass media coverage all over the world.