The Green Battery for a Sustainable Europe Now, 2020 and Beyond 2014 Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 1
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Contents
Policy Framework E-Transition: Strategic Goals and Status Quo The System Flexibility Tool Box Needs for Corporate Success
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 2
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
TIWAG Is One of the Most Important Austrian Storage Providers.
The Green Battery of TIWAG: Storages and Pumped Storages Turbine: 1.350 MW Pumps:
250 MW
Pumped Hydro Storage Projects Turbine: 1.050 MW Pumps:
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 3
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
530 MW
Präsentationsunterlagen
The Psychology of Transition
emotional ambition
metamorphosis
ecological, self sufficient
discussion
„I want to be independent of big energy companies and I want to decide wether I produce by myself, or when, how and from whom I buy energy. „ „I want to be a creative part of the new energy system and I want to understand it.“
selection of supplier liberalised market
?
low price stability and security of supply
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 4
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
202020 Strategy and Beyond
guarantee a save and
ensure economical growth and create new green markets
low cost electricity supply save climate 2020 Strategy is the ignition for large scale RES integration being continued by the 2030 greenbook and the 2050 Roadmap: reduce emissions by at least 20 % until 2020, 20 % more efficiency by 2020, 50 % more efficiency by 2050, 20 %tot RES share by 2020 = > 32 % el, 80 %el in some countries by 2050, enforce sustainable ressource management, reduce external energy dependency significantly.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 6
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Energy Dependency Causes Geostrategic Weakness [Ref. EUROSTAT 2013].
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 7
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
202020 strategy EU 2030 framework low carbon economy.
2020
2030
GHG
-20 %
-40 %
REStot
20 %
27%
RESel
32 %
45%
7 % Biomass, 7 % Hydro, 31% Wind/PV
Step 1:
22 Jan 2014: Commission proposals on goals.
Step 2:
March 2014: European Council political decision on goals (or June 2014).
Step 3:
2015: Commission drafts legislation to implement goals, spread burdens.
Step 4:
2016-17: Parliament and Council Co-Decision on legislation.
Step 5:
2018-19: National transposition where necessary.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 10
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
More than 30 %el RES-prod.-share long for additional flexibility steps.
Thermal production capacity to be reduced. Must run capacity 10 – 20 GW. Thermal flexibility to be improved. Existing thermal plants are optimised for huge full load hours and full load operation while turndown reduces energy efficiency and drives costs. Must Run > 10 GW of thermal units
Retrofit measures will increase operational flexibility only to a certain extent.
New thermal and RES plants will have more flexibility by improved technologies.
Gas power plants are expected to be the thermal backbone until 2050 and beyond.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 14
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Increasing Capacity Produces Less Electricity. Efficiency Sinking.
Installierte Leistung zur Stromerzeugung nach Energieträgern in Deutschland
[MW]
Quellen: BMU, AGEE-Stat., BMWI. Darstellung: TIWAG/EE
200.000
Pumpspeicher- und Speicherkraftwerke
180.000
Andere n. Erneuerbare
160.000
Photovoltaik
140.000
Wind
120.000
Biomasse
100.000
Laufwasserkraft
80.000
2035: - 60 %
Naturgas
60.000
Mineralölprodukte
40.000 Braunkohle
20.000 Steinkohle
0 1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Nuklear
Vorläufige Angaben für 2013.
Bruttostromerzeugung nach Energieträgern in Deutschland Quellen: BMU, AGEE-Stat., BMWI. Darstellung: TIWAG/EE
Austria and Germany consequently follow their NREAP-path
700.000 Andere n. Erneuerbare
600.000
and even exceed it. Up to now national goals are met.
Photovoltaik
[Gwh]
500.000
Wind
Restrictions of thermal plants, wind and photovoltaics more
Biomasse
400.000
Wasserkraf t
and more long for flexibility measures to stabilise the system.
300.000 Naturgas 200.000
Mineralölprodukte Braunkohle
100.000
Steinkohle 0 1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Nuklear
Production efficiency is being reduced significantly. Large scale storages will be missing.
Anmerkung en: Stromerzeugung aus Wasserkraft in Lauf-, Pump- und Speicherkraftwerken aus natürlichem Zufluss. Vorläufige Angaben für 2013.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 16
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Socio Economic Benefit of Pumped Hydro Storage Is Significant.
system stability
security of supply, system stab, thermal efficiency power and capacity extension, new PHS
system stability, efficiency
focus on power oriented extension of existing PHS-groups
RES corridor as of EEG 2014 draft
PV gradient > 5 GW/h!
PHS as precondition for RES integration
Increased PHS benefit for RES integration and thermal operation efficiency
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 28
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
strong PHS benefit for • RES integration, • security of supply (long term storage), • thermal operation efficiency
Präsentationsunterlagen
HPS is a multy utility toolbox.
Socio Economic Welfare and RES Integration System Stability
remuneration/ market
Efficiency, Security of Supply
redispatch
black Start
anc.Serv.: p/f- control, v/rp-control
load smoothing
seasonal energy shifting
yes
yes
yes
yes, energy only
yes, energy only
Folie 29
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
PHS Power to Gas CAES Batteries Flying Wheels Feed-in-Mgt. DSM [Ref.: TIWAG 2013]
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Präsentationsunterlagen
Efficient thermal production longs for efficient load smoothing.
sec
min
hrs
days
[Ref.: www.store-project.eu, 2013]
sec – min
min - hrs
hrs - days
pumped hydro power to gas CAES batteries flying wheels demand side mgt RES feed in mgt.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 30
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Alpine HPS capacity to complete German daily HPS facilities.
The German HPS-system has short- term storage characteristics. Reservoir – volumes and drop hights limit German hydro power storage facilities for short-term operation to maximum of 1 day. All relevant strategy studies expect from 2025 on a significant increase of medium and seasonal storage when baseload capacity reduced stepwise and renewables’ share will become dominant. The challenges until 2025 can be met mainly by increased power installation (turbines and pumps) while post 2025 power and energy storage is needed urgently. New Alpine HPS reservoirs will meet these [Ref.: EE, BES/TIWAG 2013]
challenges by progressive power and capacity development.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 31
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Simultaneous short-, medium- and long-term storage with alpine HPS.
Ancillary services, residual load management and seasonal storage is the core business for HPS in the 21rst century. 2.410
Flexible turbine and pump capacities 2.400
combined with
2.390
huge reservoir capacities/drop heights together with
2.380
a maximum of availability
2.370 2.360
give a broadband operation-service 2.350
for the entire system and thus guarantee system stability and security of supply.
2.340 2.330 1.Jun
1.Jul
31.Jul
30.Aug
29.Sep
Jun
29.Okt
28.Nov
28.Dez
27.Jän
26.Feb
28.Mär
Dec
27.Apr
27.Ma
Mai
Highly flexible load alternations at huge gradients meet all LFC requests simultaneously with Charging or discharging the system for short-,
[Ref.: TIWAG 2013]
medium or long term shaping and seasonal energy storage.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 32
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Residual load dynamics longs for additional flexible prod. capacities.
80 % RES integration until 2050. Significant reduction of baseload capacities. Nuclear turn off and reduction of baseload capacities will double demand for flexible feed in capacities and multiply demand for flexible feed out capacities by factor 5. PV gradients expected > 5 GW/h. Offshore wind, compensation effects of geographically dispersed onshore wind and flexible RES-production may stabilise neg. LFC (Pumps, ...) demand at approx. – 20 GW. Hours with negative residual load are expected to rise from nearly 0 today to 500 in 2030 and up to 2.500 in 2050. It will need all mature technologies in an optimised way to meet these challenges.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 33
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
All technologies needed to meet the coming challenges. (System requirements, not technological availability)
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Demand DSM Industry
DSM Households
Production
feed in control wind, pv, biomass retrofit of thermal plants
baseload red.
Must run > 10 GW
Existing and new thermal plants
Grid transmission Improvement Super Grid? smart components
Storage
hydro pumped storage batteries CAES P2G (H2)
[Ref.: TIWAG 2013]
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
P2G (CH4)
Folie 34
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Alpine and scandinavian hydropower will meet the challenge together.
Austria’s hydraulic potential is only used by 50 %. [Ref.: TIWAG, OE, BfE, BNA, Statkraft, DGENER, 2013]
Appr. 13.000 GWh are expected to be developed. Tirol shares 21 %. D-A-CH together with scandinavian storage and HPS facilities will significantly help to meet the future challanges by creating win-win opportunities within the authorized potential: large scale RES integration
~ 20 GW today
> 2020
+/- 2030
today
> 2020
thermal production optimisation +/- 2030
system stability price stabilisation CO2 reduction
Desirable investment for European industry: 20 GW = Euro 24 billion within 15 yrs.
Alpine HPS benefit from strong
Individual costs depend on local conditions and operational focus.
interconnectors to the German system.
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 36
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Ancillary Services are a Market Product!
Service Provider Transmission Grid
Ancillary services have to be provided market oriented also in future: independent
380 kV
of technology and grid-level. Storages do not have to be part of the grid infrastructure. 110, 220 kV
Ancillary Services stabilise the system:
Hydro Pumped Storage Gas Power Plants
voltage stabilisation black start ability to manage black outs spinning reserves
10 - 30 kV
system balancing Decentr. Load Mgt: batteries Vehicle to Grid (V2G) Demand Side Mgt.
load/frequency reserves long term reserves backup-reserves
230 V Distribution Grid
[Ref.: TIWAG 2013]
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 39
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
System flexibility issues for the 21rst century
1.
sufficient power reserves by production optimisation, weather – oriented DSM,
2.
guaranteed power availability for defined time frames,
3.
effective and efficient RES and thermal surplus recovery,
4.
fast power control to meet huge residual load gradients mainly caused by PV,
5.
sufficient and highly efficient storage facilities.
1. market oriented system services 2. power and energy oriented market design
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 41
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen
Let’s Live a Sustainable Future!
Thanks for your kind attention! Dr. Peter Bauhofer Leiter Abt. Energiestrategie und Energieeffizienz ++43 699 1257 2511
[email protected]
Innsbruck 14.02.2014
Folie 44
Dr. Peter Bauhofer
Präsentationsunterlagen