The development of China -Are we ready for Chinese influence?
An eye on its ‘underestimated’ global role and ambition Dr. Ning Qu
Quick review of China’s history
The first Holland-China encounter
Introduction: Why do we look at China? •
Reason 1: Simply because it’s the biggest country in the world, population, populated area and center of east Asian civilization -1/6 world population: well educated and hardworking -largest domestic/city network: 4x bigger than US, potential to dominate -the only non-interrupt oldest civilization: strongest survival mentality
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Reason 2: The 2nd biggest yet the No.1 growing economy -No wonder to be the No.1 economy in 500,000 scholars
• Basic science research quality still low: no Nobel Prize
Sustainability
Sustainability • Water reserve • Nature reserve • Ageing: 2050, 31% Chinese >60y (EU: 35%!)
• Energy: 2030, >20% world energy
Energy consumption per capita
The heavy ‘smokers’
CO2 emission per capita
2007:Go Green
• Biggest Investor in Green Energy 24billion government 49billion private investment
• Biggest Solar Power industry worldwide leader in R&D in thin film and 3rd generation PV techno.
• 513,000 trained ecoinspectors: all-screen policy
The Mega scales of China • China=220xHolland • Shanghai: 23 million • Largest Internet: QQ =15 Twitter! • Largest UMC 5000 pt. beds! • Largest suppermarket: 303 Casa
• Lowest daily cost: 5ct/day • Smallest village: 3 people in 360 sqkm • Hotest desert: 600C • Coldest village: -550C
China’s ‘ambitions’ • • • •
Back to the status as one of the most influencial countries in the world. Integrate to the world village as a positive counter power to balance the unilateralism (US lead Allies) Protect Chinese Model of development Compete/balance US in world resources to protect China’s National Core Interest: – Energy: examples, issues of Iran&Africa – Territory Integraty and safety: issues such as Taiwan, lost Islands WWII (Jap), Tibet, Korea pennisula. South China Sea
– Political stability: democracy to allow economic grow steadily – Defence modernization: 20 years older than US and EU – Space: prepare for the challenge in next dimension
Expension of China CHN Government: • Build economic power and influence Africa, Asia, Lat.America Middle-East, EU
• Export culture and Chinese Value: Chinese language scholarship and 300 Confucius Institutes
• Buy in US debt: (1.2-1.9 Tril=California state)
• Buy in EU debt: growing!
Chinese Companies • Internationalisation global branches IT: Huawei vs Cisco Energy: PetrolChina vs Shell Med.tech: Mindray vs GE
• Joint-ventures • Take overs: the new skill Famous brands: IBM-PC, Volvo, Rover Resources: Oil, Aus.Metal, Coal Medical: Datascope by Mindray
• Globle branding: Still long way to go ICBC, Huawei, Lenovo, COSCO, etc
A glance of China’s Healthcare system
Healthcare System • Education: (1 mil/year) -81 univ./colleg: (263,000) PhD,MD,MSc,BSc
-199 HPU:
(330,000)
BSc, Pdiploma
-350 Secondary: (783,000) Mid-diploma,pdiploma
Hospitals and Care centers 942,000 centers/2.3mil. physicians/37mil. Nurse&Assistants •
2100 General Hospitals
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Community med/care centers 906,000
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Remote Care 14,000
Healthcare service coverage • City Network: 99% • County level: 86.7% • Country side: 75.2% hosp.Community • Remote area: 0.16x20 Tril= 3.2 Tril (N/A) • China spend: 7-12% GDP=> 0.12x30 Tril= 3.6 Tril (grow 720%)
Open policy in newer Healthcare reform (opportunity) • No restriction anymore for foreign investment: 100% shareholdership • Business plan arrived from US, Jap, HK, TW and UK : insurance, Chain clinics, physician trainings • Freemarket, yet many obstacles: Mentality change
Medical Industry of China • In 30 years developed a complete industry: From needles to 3D MRI • Biggest Medical Industry in the world: 1400 leading companies: >1000 staff, >100 mil turnover 240,000 Midsize: 50-1000 staff, >1 mil turnover • Chinese Quality: 2000 companies certified for : CE, FDA, TÜV, etc. (There is no bad Chinese quality, but only low or high level of quality, you must chose for yourelf)
• • • •
Established in 1991 6000 ftes, 22% R&D 2008 IPO NY, Aquisation Datascope 140 countries, alternatives for GE, Philips
Mindray
Mindray
So, China is NOT:
China is:
