THE CASE OF SAUDI ARABIA
INTRODUCTION OF THE GROUP Members of the group 1) Majid Alfarsi (Actuarial Analyst, Ministry of Defense Pension Fund, Oman) 2) Jaser Aljaser (Specialist Actuary, Public Pension Agency, Saudi Arabia) 3) Abdullah Albahouth (Statistician Specialist, Public Pension Agency, Saudi Arabia) 4) Ghassan Alkhoja (Sr. operations officer, World Bank, Lebanon) 5) Zaina Dawani (Iraq Pension Reform Project Coordinator, World Bank, Lebanon)
COUNTRY DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS Population growth rate among the population in 2004 and 2010 census Population 2010 (people) GDP growth at constant prices 2009 The contribution of the private sector in GDP at constant prices 2009 Per capita GDP at current prices in 2009 (SAR) Growth rate of GDP per employed person (2008) The proportion of the working population to population (2009 m) Rate and infant mortality (per thousand live births) 2009
3,2 % 27,136,977 0.6 48% 52,853 19.3 32.1 14
Fertility The population projection starts with a total fertility rate of 3.35 children per woman in 2005, decreasing gradually to 1.85 children per woman in 2050, remaining constant at 1.85 thereafter. The ratio of male births to female births is set at 1.03 for the whole projection period. Mortality life expectancies at birth of 70.9 years for males and 75.3 years for females in 2005. These figures gradually increase to 79.4 years for males and 84.3 years for females in 2070.
COUNTRY DEMOGRAPHIC AND ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS Demographic structure/aging patterns (2009 & 2050)
EXISTING PENSION SYSTEM Brief history of existing system:
PPA established under the name of "Retirement Pension Directorate" on 1958 under Article #8 of Pension Law issued at the same year. PPA administrate two pension schemes (Civilian and Military), both schemes covers Saudi employees only who occupy a job in the state budget or public institutions budgets. Cabinet decision # (277) dated 30/12/1424H (20/2/2004) transferred Retirement Pension Directorate to Public Pension Agency (PPA). PPA now is a public entity characterizes by independent management, finance and budget. It is located in Riyadh and connected with Minister of Finance administratively. PPA implements military and civilian schemes terms.
EXISTING PENSION SYSTEM System design features: Retirement pension Salary
Accrual
Max
Minimum
Annual Increase
Eligible Beneficiaries
No
Spouse, children, parents, brothers, sisters, grandparents and children of a pensioner’s son who died before him. Except for the spouse and children, other dependants must establish that the pensioner provided for their needs before his death.
2.5% * Years of contribution (a maximum of 40 years) Last salary in PPA *For GOSI it the average of the last 2 years
100%
2.86% * Years of contribution (a maximum of 35 years)
1725 S.R (460$)
EXISTING PENSION SYSTEMS scheme
Membership
All Saudi nationals who Civil employees work for a public service or a And private sector with GOSI general agency. All private sector employees
Contribution Rate Employee
Employer
9%
9%
Government
Retirement Age Early Retirement
60
25 (20 years of service with approval)
Any Deficit
Military sector
All Saudi militaries
9%
13%
According to 18 (15 years of grade - from Age service with 44 to age 58 approval)
EXISTING PENSION SYSTEM System
PPA
GOSI
Contributors
Above 1.5 million
About 790,000
Number of Pensioners
495,000
100,000
Beneficiaries
520,000
About 130,000
Benefits
more than 8,000 million dollar (2009)
About 1,900 million dollar (2009)
DESCRIPTION OF REFORM NEEDS Lack of financial sustainability Very generous system (for ex. maximum replacement rate is 100%) Encourages early retirement and exit from the labor market Ad hoc increases in pensions Lack of control over disability pensions/benefits Limited mobility across the public and private pension schemes Lack of transparency
SAMPLE CASE: EXISTING PENSION PATTERN FOR OLD-AGE RETIREMENT AND EARLY RETIREMENT 5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000
1,000,000
0 20212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647484950515253545556575859 -1,000,000
-2,000,000
-3,000,000
-4,000,000 cont. + int. 3
pension3
cont. + int. 2
pension2
DISCUSSION OF ENABLING CONDITIONS Raising awareness among politicians as well as the public Raising/building capacity of boards and administration Agreements that pension funds should be self-financed
DISCUSSION OF REFORM OPTIONS Parametric reform to include: Gradual increase of retirement age Gradual increase of vesting periods Introducing penalties for early retirement Exponential accrual rate Change of reference wage Strengthening means of verification with respect to disability pension
TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY OF REFORM OPTIONS Too early to assess the technical feasibility, but the following steps are proposed for conducting a feasibility assessment: To focus on awareness raising using simplified models which can demonstrate the lack of sustainability of the existing system To develop several reform options with the assistance of actuarial analysis/advisors More transparency would be needed on implicit pension liabilities
PROPOSED COALITION/CONSENSUS BUILDING STRATEGY Starting with the Boards and administration (staff) MoF and other concerned ministries Consultative councils (Parliament) Press and media International organizations
COMMUNICATION/PUBLIC INFORMATION STRATEGY Emphasizing the importance of work in economic, social and religious terms Innovative ways to focus on/reach the new beneficiary groups of the reform Tailoring messages to different target groups Utilize the press/media for conveying messages
THANK YOU