Strategy Alignment= Supply Chain Excellence

Strategy Alignment= Supply Chain Excellence Larry Lapide, Ph.D. Research Affiliate, MIT-CTL Former Project Director, MIT Supply Chain 2020 Project l...
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Strategy Alignment= Supply Chain Excellence

Larry Lapide, Ph.D. Research Affiliate, MIT-CTL Former Project Director, MIT Supply Chain 2020 Project [email protected]

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Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

Introduction: Supply Chain 2020 Framework

Scenario n Scenario 2 Scenario 1

Scenario n Scenario 2 Scenario 1

Business Strategy

Business Environment Business Capabilities

Supply Chain Strategy

Strategy Alignment Scenario Planning Supply Chain Strategy Development

Supply Chain Network Design

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

SC2020 Excellence Research: What is an excellent supply chain? Some myths on what is an excellent supply chain:



Is part of a profitable company



Is not part of an unprofitable company



Is comprised of supply chain “best practices”

SC2020 Excellence Research: It’s about focusing on doing a few things well, not merely copying best practices

SC2020 Excellence Research: ..it’s also about aligning to Corporate Strategy, not necessarily leveraging the ‘best practices’ de jour

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Scenario Planning Framework – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

SC2020 Excellence Research: Excellent Supply Chain Framework Qualitative research on 21 companies and 9 industries supports that an excellent supply chain: * Corporate Competitive Strategy Excellent Supply Chain Strategy Operating Model Operational Performance Objectives

Tailored Business Practices • Fit • Principles leveraged

1. Supports, enhances, and is an integral part of a company’s competitive business strategy. 2. Leverages a (not necessarily unique) supply chain operating model to sustain competitiveness 3. Executes well against a balanced set of operational performance objectives/metrics

4. Focuses on a few “tailored” business practices that reinforce each other to support the operating model and best achieve operational objectives.

* L. Lapide, “MIT’s SC2020 Project: The Essence of Excellence”, Supply Chain Management Review, April 2006

1. Supports, enhances, and is an integral part of a company’s competitive business strategy Example supply chain-related competitive strategy elements (support, enhance and is an integral part) • Lowest prices • Highest margin products • Highest quality • Fastest customer response • Most innovative • Highest Return-on-Assets • Broadest product line • Best customer service • Best post-sales support • Most environmentally responsible

2. Leverages a (not necessarily unique) supply chain operating model to sustain competitiveness Supply Chain Governance & Partner Relationships

Relationship Management Performance Management Product Portfolio Management Supply–Demand Alignment

Business Practices

Design

Source

Make

Sell

Deliver

Return

Service

Recycle

Supply Chain Design and Capacity Planning Product Launch

Operating model is the design of the SC including: • Where to Source / Make /Deliver • Push-pull points • Offshoring • Outsourcing

Technology & Info/Funds Flows

Operating Models

Inventory Replenishment

$

Order Promising & Fulfillment

Post-sales Product Support Phase-out

$

$

Contract Manufacturer

$

Web Store

Virtual OEM

Supplier E-marketplace

OEM

Distributor

Retailer

Customers

2. Leverages a (not necessarily unique) supply chain operating model to sustain competitiveness SC-Related Competitive Strategy Elements

Example Characteristics of Operating Model Aligned To Support and Enhance

• Lowest prices

• Lowest operating costs

• Highest margin products

• Maximum availability at point of sale • Lowest operating cots

• Highest quality

• Highest quality of suppliers • Strongest manufacturing quality controls

• Fastest customer response

• Shortest order-to-delivery cycle • Fastest request-to-promise date

• Most innovative

• Most efficient new product launch

• Highest Return-on-Assets

• Highest plant utilization • Lowest inventories

• Broadest product line

• Best inventory management • Shortest manufacturing changeover and setups

• Best customer service

• Specific service for each customer segment • Maximum availability at point of sale

• Best post-sales support

• Maximum availability of service parts

• Most environmentally responsible

• Minimize waste and maximize recycling

3. Executes well against a balanced set of operational performance objectives/metrics Customer Response (customer-facing) • Order cycle times • Perfect order fulfillment • Quality • New product time-to-market (Do not relate to financial statements)

?

?

Efficiency (internal) • Labor productivity • Supply chain costs (Relate to income statement)

?

Asset Utilization (internal) • Facility utilization • Inventory turns • Cash-to-cash cycle (Relate to balance sheet)

Balanced operational objectives vary by industry in absolute terms High Margin and Short Life Cycle Products •Pharmaceutical •Fashion apparel •Media & Entertainment Customer Response

Low Margin and Mature Products • Food & Beverage • Basic goods retail • Industrial supplies

Efficiency

Capital Intensive Industries • Semi-conductor fab • Petrochemical • Commodities (steel, paper, coal)

Asset Utilization

Competing is positioning against industry competitors on a relative basis (best-in-class rather than peer average)* Relative Objectives

Absolute Objectives

Customer Response

Best Buy Apple IBM Amazon

Asset Utilization

Efficiency Dell

Wal-Mart

However, the competitive positioning will likely vary by product line as well as supply chain within a company

Positioning is setting operational performance targets to be best-in-class versus performing at a peer (average) level*

Illustrative Balanced Operational Performance Metrics

Customer Response

Efficiency

Asset Utilization

Operational Metric

Metric Type

Performance Target

Focus (%)

Order fill rate

C

Best

50%

Product Quality

C

Best

20%

Plant Utilization

A

Best

20%

Supplier delivery performance

E

Best

10%

Inventory turns

A

Peer

0%

Procurement costs

E

Peer

0%

Supply chain costs

E

Peer

0%

* L. Lapide, “The Operational Performance Triangles”, Supply Chain Management Review, November 2008

4. Focuses on a few “tailored” business practices that reinforce each other to support the operating model and best achieve operational objectives.

Tailored (not best) business practices that: – Align to performance objectives – Fit • Consistent ( make sense together) • Reinforcing ( support each other) • Cross-optimized (work together to achieve common goals, 1+1=3) – Leverage underlying operating principles for cost-benefit

Supply Chain Principles Illustrations

Practices

Fashion versus Basic Supply Chains: LimitedBrands

Service Window Management: Cisco Systems

Excess Line Capacity and Partial Shifts Toyota

Operating Principles

Costs of cycle time and inventory tradeoff

Constraint Relaxation

Constraint Relaxation

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

Aligning Corporate Strategy and Operational Performance Objectives

Illustrative Aligned Customer-Focused Corporate Strategy and Operational Performance Objectives

Customer-focused performance objectives • Highest supplier quality standards • Shortest time-to-market • Shortest manufacturing changeover times

Efficiency

Customer Response Customer-focused corporate strategy • Highest quality products • Most innovative • Broadest product line

Asset Utilization

Aligning Corporate Strategy and Operational Performance Objectives Illustrative Non-Aligned Customer-Focused Corporate Strategy and Operational Performance Objectives

Customer Response

Efficiency and asset-focused performance objectives: • Lowest procurement costs • Highest plant utilization • Lowest inventories

Efficiency

Customer-focused corporate strategy • Highest quality products • Most innovative • Broadest product line

Asset Utilization

L. Lapide “GM Was Out of Alignment", Supply Chain Management Review, July/August 2009

Tailored Practices Aligned to Operational Performance Objectives Tailored practices need to align to strategically-aligned SC performance objectives SC performance objectives: • Highest supplier quality standards • Shortest time-to-market • Shortest manufacturing changeover times

Customer Response Customer-focused corporate strategy • Highest quality products • Most innovative • Broadest product line

Tailored Practices •Core ‘strategic’ supplier program •Collaborative development and design •Multi-product production lines with quick changeover

Efficiency

Asset Utilization

‘Old’ Dell Supply Chain Framework Operating Model • Direct sales to customers via web/phone • Build-to-order manufacturing • Box-level service

Customer Response

SC performance objectives: 1. Lowest fulfillment costs 2. Lowest inventories 3. Lowest procurement costs

Corporate strategy • Highest value-to-price provider of commodity computers and accessories to price conscious customers

Tailored Practices • Consigned inventory supplier hubs • Demand shaping • Inbound transportation collaboration

Efficiency

Asset Utilization

Principles Illustration: ‘Old’ Dell’s Tailored Practices

Practices

Operating Principles

Inbound Transportation Collaboration

Economies of Scale

Sphere of Influence

Consigned Supplier Inv Hubs

Demand Shaping

Supply Contracts

DemandSupply Matching

Practices and principles support a competitive supply chain strategy focused on low-costs, low inventories, and minimum cash-to-cash cycle

IBM Supply Chain Framework Operating Model Direct, single face to customer via sales reps Build-to-order manufacturing Extensive pre- and post sales support

Customer Response SC performance objectives: • Highest customer satisfaction • Lowest inventories • Lowest costs Tailored Practices • Consolidated customer fulfillment process • Launch ‘buffer’ manufacturing • Centralized procurement • Consolidated and outsourced logistics

Efficiency

Corporate strategy • Diversified and value-added provider of networked technology solutions to businesses

Asset Utilization

Supports a competitive supply chain strategy for high-end networked computer customers over their lifetime of use

Wal-Mart Supply Chain Framework Operating Model • Lowest cost brick and mortar retailer with supplier to retailer DC to store flows • Large-format stores carrying a wide variety of products (not necessarily brands and SKUs)

SC performance objectives: 1. Efficiency (e.g., supply chain costs) 2. Asset utilization 3. Customer response

Tailored Practices • Vendor collaboration with comanaged inventory programs • Flow logistics distribution including extensive crossdocking, DSD and differentiated flow • Network design incorporating large-sized distribution centers and short-haul private fleets for economies of scale

Customer Response

Corporate strategy • Everyday low pricing for cost-conscious customers

Efficiency

Asset Utilization

Supports a competitive supply chain strategy for price-conscious customer base

LimitedBrands (Victoria’s Secrets) Supply Chain Framework Operating Model • Control supply chain operations from plants to DCs to owned stores • High shelf availability at store level • Offshore sourcing with partial equity-ownership of ‘basics’ plants

SC performance objectives: 1. Customer response (e.g., responsiveness) 2. Asset Utilization/Efficiency

Tailored Practices • Segmented fashion versus basic supply chains • Open innovation model involving four innovation sources • Captive global sourcing company • Captive shared services logistics provider, from plants to stores

Efficiency

Customer Response

Corporate strategy • Sell innovative, technologicallyadvanced high margin fashion products • Reduce risk by balancing basics vs. fashion mix

Asset Utilization

Supports a competitive supply chain strategy for mainstream fashion-oriented customers that want basics too

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

Strategy Alignment Process Go-To Market Strategy Supply Chain Strategy

Step 1 • Discuss how supply chain strategy supports business strategy • Identify supply chain competitive strategy elements

Operating Model Performance Objectives

Step 2 • Develop operating model that supports SC competitive strategy elements • Identify operational performance metrics that are aligned with strategy

Tailored Practices

Step 3 • Develop SC practices tailored to the operating model • Discuss trade-offs and alignments

SC Excellence Key Takeaways • Excellence means aligning your supply chain to your corporate competitive strategy • Align SC strategy to support, enhance and be an integral part of corporate strategy • Set operating model and operational performance measures based on what you will excel in, and what you won’t!! • Implement a few tailored practices that reinforce each other

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

Five Macro Factors That Will Most Reshape 2020

1. Aging of Developed Countries 2. Volatility of oil prices 3. Economic/military power shift towards the East 4. Tightly aligned trading blocs (e.g., 3 or 4) 5. Green Laws, globally

#1 Aging of Developed Countries

Source: Joseph F. Coughlin, PhD, Director, MIT Age Lab

#1 Aging of Developed Countries 1. What is the impact on products & services demanded? a. Personalize products (e.g., physically, hearing, and sight challenged) b. Total solutions of services and products c. Health care hubs, in-home service monitoring of diet & health, and home delivery re-emerges

2. What is the impact on supply chain workers? a. Plant and warehouse blue collar workers (e.g., more automation)

– Older – Language-challenged – Mentally & physically handicapped b. Elderly drivers (e.g., dashboard design) c. Elderly, semi-retired white collar knowledge workers

3. What if immigration is opened up? Closed?

#2 Volatility of oil prices ($200 to $400/ barrel in 2020?)

Era of Cheap Oil

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/fsheets/real_prices.html

#2 Volatility of oil prices ($200 to $400/ barrel in 2020?) Oil price increases are starting to impact logistics costs

Source: 20th Annual State of Logistics Report, CSCMP, June 2009

#2 Volatility of oil prices ($200 to $400/ barrel in 2020?) Energy Costs Impact Supply Chains in 4 Major Cost Areas: 1. Freight costs • • • •

Inventory versus freight tradeoffs (e.g., JIT) Labor versus freight tradeoffs (e.g., offshore manufacturing) Ocean vs. Air (e.g., offshore sourcing) FOB pricing and on-line free delivery services

2. Material costs (i.e., oil-based materials) 3. Production operating costs 4. Packaging costs (e.g., paper and glass versus plastics)

#3 Economic/military power shift towards the East

U.S. Peak

Source of Data: International Monetary Fund (IMF) website -- http://www.imf.org/external/index.htm (October 2009)

1.

U.S. and Western Europe’s share of worldwide GDP is declining – – –

U.S. peaked in 2001 at 32.3% and GDP share has declined since China surpassed Germany in 2007 to be #3 Will China surpass Japan in 2010-2011?

#3 Economic/military power shift towards the East (Cont’d)

2.

Many ‘largest’ companies now outside EU and U.S.

3.

Rise of middle class in eastern countries creates consuming nations (Will U.S. be able to compete there?)

4.

Future global competition for scarce materials and business opportunities (China ties to Australia, Africa, and Middle East)

5.

China and India producing more engineers and college-educated students: So will major innovation move there too?

6.

China’s unknown future ( the wild card )

“This is not a book about the decline of America but rather about the rise of everyone else”: Fareed Zakaria, The Post-American World, Norton

#4 Tightly aligned trading blocs (e.g., 3 or 4) rather than “The World is Flat” (Author: Tom Friedman)

1. Powerful trading blocks centered around, for example, Europe, US, Japan/Asia, and China 2. Heavy trade barriers into and out of blocks 3. Largely intra-trading among blocs

#5 Green Laws, Globally

1. Energy-efficient transportation operations An EPA report (April 2009) reported that the Transportation sector is the second major source of greenhouse emissions (after Electricity Generation). 2. Reverse logistics 3. Green product design 4. Supply network compliance

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

SC2020 Scenarios Based on Shell Scenarios*

*Source: Shell Global Scenarios to 2025, p12

Scenario Snapshots of the World in 2020

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Agenda • Introduction to SC2020 Project • Strategic Alignment – – – –

Excellence Supply Chain Research Excellent Supply Chain Framework Illustrations and Case Studies Strategy Alignment Process and Takeaways

• Supply Chain Futures – Macro Factors – Scenarios

• Analyzing the Implications of an Uncertain Future

Scenario Implications for Winning Supply Chain Strategies

1. Implications for Products and Services 2. Implications for Global Supply Networks 3. Investment in capabilities 4. Organization and Culture

Analyzing Scenarion Implications

Scenario Implications

Contingent Implications

Robust Implications

No Brainer

No Regret

No Gainer

Detailed Review

Risk Management

Sensors in the Ground

Strategy Key Takeaways “The future ain’t what it used to be” Yogi Berra, The Yogi Book, Workman Publishing, New York, 1998

• • •

Revisit your latent assumptions about the future Develop strategies for excellence under each possible future using Strategic Alignment Use Scenario Planning and Risk management to prepare your supply chain for the future

For More Information: • • •

Speaker: Larry Lapide: [email protected] SC2020 Project Page: www.supplychain2020.net Project Director: Mahender Singh, Ph.D. [email protected]

Thank You

Questions ?????? Larry Lapide, Ph.D. Research Affiliate, MIT-CTL Former Project Director, MIT Supply Chain 2020 Project [email protected]

21.05.10

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