State of the Middle Market: M&A • Private Equity • Financing June 2012
DE BT ADVISO RY G RO UP The Capital Markets Desk for the Middle Market SM
Significant Available Debt Capital in the Market Monthly Loan Prime Fund Flows ($Bn) $5.0
Volume of CLO Issuances ($Bn) $30.0 $25.0
$3.0
$25.0
$1.0
$20.0
-$1.0
$15.0
$12.4
$13.8
-$3.0 $10.0
-$5.0
$4.1
$4.1
$5.0
$1.2
-$7.0
$4.5 $2.6
$0.0 2010 Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
Commentary • Improved investor confidence and stable market conditions have resulted in more available debt capital as: – Fund flows became positive in Q1 2012 for the first time since July 2011; – New CLO issuances have gained traction with $13.8
billion issued during the YTD period; – Public BDCs raised significant capital during Q1 2012;
Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011
2011
YTD
2012F
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data Note: YTD period through May 25, 2012
Capital Raised by Existing Public BDCs in 2011 and YTD 2012 Name of BDC
Capital Raised
Ares Capital Corporation*
$1.3 billion
Fifth Street*
$435 million
Golub Capital BDC
$109 million
GSV Capital Corp.
$264 million
Hercules*
$123 million
Kohlberg Capital*
$60 million
Main Street Capital
$117 million
Medley Capital*
$216 million
however, the window for new equity raises is temporarily
PennantPark
$194 million
closed; and
Prospect Capital*
$639 million
– Private BDCs have continued to raise capital • Lenders are aggressively seeking to put this capital to work
TICC Capital Corp.
$42 million
Triangle Capital*
$248 million
Total Follow-on Capital Raised
$3.8 billion
Source: BB&T Capital Markets, CapitalIQ, Company press releases *Issued convertible debt 2
Improved Company Fundamentals Create Favorable Lending Conditions Company Performance Continues to Improve Over Prior Year LTM Q1 ‘12 vs LTM Q1 ‘11 Change
10%
Loans Outstanding Under Default (Percent of Principal) 12.0%
9.4%
10.8%
10.0%
8% 6.8%
LTM Revenue
6%
8.0%
LTM EBITDA 6.0%
4.4% 4%
4.0% 1.8%
2%
1.0%
0.9%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.0%
0% < $10
$10 - $50
> $50
EBITDA Size ($MM) Source: Lincoln International Proprietary Database
Market Dynamics
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
Average Bid and Ask of Flow Name Leveraged Loans 102
• Middle market companies have exhibited fundamental
100
improvements in operating performance, resulting in stronger
98
credit quality
96 94
• Improved company fundamentals have driven relatively low default levels, which indicate appropriate capital structures
92 90 88
• The current secondary market conditions make primary
86
issuances more attractive Bid
Ask
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data 3
Despite Available Capital & Improved Borrower Characteristics, Loan Volume Has Contracted Middle Market Sponsored Loan Volume ($Bn) $25.0 $20.0 $15.0
Avg. = $10.1
$10.0 $5.0
All Other
LBO
1Q12
3Q11
1Q11
3Q10
1Q10
3Q09
1Q09
3Q08
1Q08
3Q07
1Q07
3Q06
1Q06
3Q05
1Q05
3Q04
1Q04
3Q03
1Q03
3Q02
1Q02
3Q01
1Q01
$0.0
Div. Recap
Source: Thomson Reuters
Market Dynamics • Coming out of the economic downturn and debt crisis, pent up borrower demand caused rapid increases in middle market lending
volume from 2009 through the first half of 2011 • Since the first half of 2011, deal volume has been lackluster – Capital raised by lenders has not been met by equal demand • While the second half of 2012 may experience increased deal activity due to tax motivated sellers, loan volume is just as likely to remain near the historical average – As an indicator of lower expected deal activity, some BDCs have announced share repurchases
4
Increased Competition in Redefined Senior Debt Market
5.0x 4.5x 4.0x 3.5x 3.0x 2.5x 2.0x 1.5x 1.0x 0.5x 0.0x
4.9x 3.7x
4.0x
4.4x
4.0x
4.5x
4.7x
4.7x
4.6x
4.3x
100% 90% 80%
2.8x
3.0x
3.4x
3.5x
3.1x
3.3x
3.9x
3.6x
3.5x
4.1x
70%
60% 50%
Senior Debt
Total Debt
Senior Debt as a % of Total Debt
Leverage Multiple
Increased Mid-Market LBO Senior Debt as a % of Total Debt
Investor Share of Primary Mid-Market Leveraged Loans 100%
90% 80% 70% 60% 50%
40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
Senior Debt % of Total Debt Banks
Source: Thomson Reuters Note: Senior debt includes unitranche facilities
Non-Banks
Source: Standard & Poor’s Leveraged Commentary and Data
Commentary Unitranche Lending Market •
Senior debt is taking a larger share of the total debt structure, driven in part by unitranche lenders who require first liens
•
Minimum yield requirements by non-traditional unitranche lenders are resulting in a floor on pricing to borrowers
Senior Cash Flow Loans •
Lenders are competing heavily for high quality credits backed by equity sponsors
•
However, the senior cash flow market is still limited for borrowers with EBITDA less than $10 million to $15 million
Asset-Based Lending Market •
Asset-based loans continue to be an attractive source of capital for issuers with a significant collateral base
•
ABL lenders are increasingly being utilized in conjunction with unitranche facilities
5
The Evolution of Unitranche Types of Unitranche Facilities (Illustrative Examples)
First Dollar
ABL Revolver with Term Loan
ABL Revolver with First Out / Last Out Term Loan
ABL Revolver with First Out / Last Out Term Loan & Mezz
Revolver…....………$0 Term Loan....……$100 Total……………..$100
Revolver…….…….$20 Term Loan……..…$80 Total……..……...$100
Revolver………….$20 First Out …..…….$20 Last Out …..…….$60 Total…………….$100
Revolver.………….$20 First Out .…..…….$20 Last Out ………….$60 Mezzanine………..$20 Total……………..$120
Commentary • The unitranche loan was initially introduced to the market in the form of a “first dollar in” structure, with no other lender ahead of the unitranche provider in the capital structure • Unitranche loans, in an effort to reduce pricing to the borrower, are often now structured behind an ABL revolver • Some unitranche providers are now looking to split their facilities, in the form of “first out / last out” structures, so that lenders targeting first lien asset protection and others looking to enhance their yield may participate under the same facility
• As market conditions have improved and leverage has expanded, rather than going deeper in the capital structure certain unitranche lenders are opting to include mezzanine debt to bridge the gap, presenting new opportunities for mezzanine lenders
6
Competition from Unitranche Is Also Changing the Mezzanine Lending Landscape New Mezzanine Funds Raised ($Bn) $28.0
$25.3
Commentary 35
30
$24.0
30
29
$20.0
$19.1
25
21 18
$16.0
20
16
$12.0
15 $6.5
$8.0
$8.3
$7.4
$7.4 8
$4.0
10 5
$0.0
0 2007
2008
2009
2010
Total Capital Raised
2011
YTD 2012
Fund Count
• As a result of unitranche loans’ continued growth in popularity, fewer new mezzanine funds are being raised, albeit with larger amounts of capital raised per fund • In order to co-exist with unitranche lenders, an increasing number of mezzanine funds have realized the need to adapt and evolve into two new models
Sponsor / Relationship Bank: – Raise large amounts of capital, often in excess of $500 million, and cater to financial sponsors – Acknowledge low rates of return on sub debt, with no warrants or other potential for upside
Source: PitchBook
– Sacrifice yield for volume, relying on fee as a percentage of a larger capital base, along with a modest carried interest
Changing Universe of Mezzanine Lenders
Small Business Focused:
2005 Traditional, 52.0%
BDC, 9.0%
– Raise far less capital, often $50 million to $75 million, and participate in the SBIC leverage program
2011
SBIC, 4.0%
BDC, 12.0%
Traditional, 38.0%
– Increased focus on smaller EBITDA companies, to which senior debt capital is largely unavailable, provides opportunity to enter at lower multiples yet extract greater yield
SBIC, 28.0%
LP / Coinvest., 11.0% Institutional, 24.0%
– Seek smaller deals, often involving companies with less EBITDA, in an effort to get better pricing, along with a warrant or equity co-invest
LP / Coinvest., 8.0%
Institutional, 14.0%
– Trade volume for price, resulting from the riskier nature of smaller transactions, with modest management fees
Source: PNC Mezzanine Market Survey Note: Data reflects number of firms 7
Overview of U.S. Middle Market Pricing and Terms Lincoln’s View on Pricing and Terms
Borrowers with less than $10 - $15mm EBITDA
Pricing
Borrowers with at least $10 - $15mm EBITDA
Pricing
Multiples
Multiples
Asset Based Senior
• •
L + 200 – 300 LIBOR Floor: none
•
n/a
• •
L + 175 – 250 LIBOR Floor: none
•
n/a
Cash Flow Senior
• •
L + 550 – 650 LIBOR Floor: 100 - 150
•
2.00x – 3.00x EBITDA
• •
L + 500 – 600 LIBOR Floor: 100 - 150
•
3.00x – 3.50x EBITDA
Unitranche
• •
L + 750 – 850 LIBOR Floor: 200
• •
L + 750 – 850 LIBOR Floor: 200
2nd Lien Loans
•
Unlikely
• •
L + 900 – 1100 LIBOR Floor: 200
•
4.00x – 5.00x EBITDA
Sub Debt
• • •
Cash of 11.0% - 13.0% PIK of 2.0% - 4.0% All-in of 14.0% - 16.0%
• • •
Cash of 11.0% - 12.0% PIK of 1.5% - 2.5% All-in of 12.5% - 14.5%
Equity
•
n/a
•
n/a
•
35% - 40%
•
•
3.50x – 4.50x EBITDA
35% - 40%
As regularly published in:
8
UK Debt Markets – Leverage and Enterprise Value • Some post-crunch deals saw more than 50% equity, driven by the relatively low levels of leverage in conjunction with the high purchase multiple Leverage
Equity contribution
Equity contribution decreasing after a 13-year high in 2010
• Average equity contribution in 2011 dropped to 47.9% from 50.6% in 2010 and 53.1% in 2009. Half of the LBOs in 2011 had equity of below 50% • Recent benchmarks/term sheets indicate minimum 40% equity where structures include mezzanine
Leverage increased from its trough in Q1 2009 to July 2011 but since the beginning of July, the stretched senior deal appears to have ended for the time-being • Sponsored transactions launched in 2011 had an average leverage ratio of 4.5x at closing – up slightly from 4.4x in 2010 but well under the 56x area seen in the boom years • Leverage through senior debt stood at 4.2x on average – up from 3.9x last year and close to the levels seen in 2005-2006 • In 2012 maximum senior leverage is in the 4.0x-4.5x range
2011
2010
4.0x
2.1x
3.9x
3.5x
3.4x
3.8x
U-Pol
Poundland
Sophos
Inspired Gaming
Card Factory
Camelot
1.0x
1.2x
3.7x
4.1x Host Europe
Acorn
3.5x NSL
3.8x
3.0x Tomkins
3.7x
4.6x Autobar
Xafinity
3.4x
Survitec
5.0x JLA
WorldPay
3.0x
2.7x Office
CPA
4.0x Spice plc
3.5x
4.3x Vue Entertainment
BCA
4.9x Britax
4.7x
4.1x
Marken
3.1x Quorn
OpenBet
3.7x
4.4x IDH
LGC
3.9x Wagamama
3.0x
4.1x Jimmy Choo
3.8x
5.6x ERM
Martindale
5.7x RAC
3.8x
4.3x V.Ships
Deb Group
3.3x Volution
Pets at Home
4.2x
Source: LCD news, Lincoln International
0.8x
Equity
1.5x
1.3x
Subordinated debt
CPA
1.6x
1.8x
1.6x
Net senior debt
1.7x
2012
3.5x
14x 13x 12x 11x 10x 9x 8x 7x 6x 5x 4x 3x 2x 1x 0x
Iceland Foods
EBITDA multiple
Recent UK leveraged transactions
Note: (1) In the Wagamama deal, Hutton Collins invested in mezzanine and equity. Split is assumed 50/50
9
• Proportion of amortising loans in senior structures reached 50% and then declined rapidly in 2011
Bullet only structures
Senior structures
UK Debt Markets – Transaction structures
• In 2012 40% on a mid-market A-loan is achievable, with less if the transaction can be structured for the institutional market
• Driven by institutional demand and their need to have cash invested (both due to repayments and the upcoming expiry of their re-investment periods), there were three UK bullet only structures: – RAC, ERM and Jimmy Choo • However, these structures are unachievable in 2012 as the institutions have limited funds to invest in new deals
A-loan vs. Bullet – UK deals 2012
2011
2010
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
TLA
Survitec
CPA
BCA
Marken
LGC
Martindale
Pets at Home
Deb Group
Card Factory
Inspired Gaming
Sophos
Poundland
U-Pol
Host Europe
NSL
Tomkins
Autobar
WorldPay
Spice plc
Vue Entertainment
Britax
OpenBet
IDH
Wagamama
Jimmy Choo
ERM
RAC
V.Ships
Volution
CPA
Iceland Foods
0%
TLB
Source: LCD news, Lincoln International
10
UK Debt Markets – Pricing
Tranche: Senior A Senior B Senior C Second lien High Yield Bond Mezzanine Fees OIDs
Pricing has increased since the beginning of July 2011 as – The secondary market has fallen, resulting in higher implied yields
Drivers of pricing
Consensus pricing
Banks are favouring existing relationships and providing facilities to them on the following terms: Pricing: 400bps – 500bps 450bps – 550bps 500bps – 600bps (if available) n.a. c.7% (BB+) to 12% (CCC) 1,100bps – 1,300bps + warrants 400bps – 500bps 1% – 10% (where applicable)
– Wholesale funding costs have increased for banks Sterling pricing is perhaps 25bps higher than Euro’s in deals arranged for the institutional market Benchmark pricing is 450-475bps for an A-loan and 500-525bps for a B-loan
Recent senior pricing – UK deals
Spread over interest rate (bps)
600
2012
2011
2010
TLA
550
TLB
500 450 400
350 Xafinity
Survitec
CPA
Marken
LGC
Martindale
Pets at Home
Deb Group
Card Factory
Inspired Gaming
Sophos
U-Pol
Host Europe
NSL
Tomkins
Autobar
WorldPay
JLA
Spice plc
Vue Entertainment
Britax
OpenBet
IDH
Wagamama
Jimmy Choo
ERM
RAC
V.Ships
Volution
CPA
Iceland Foods
300
Source: LCD news, Lincoln International Note: (1) TLB pricing for OpenBet and Inspired Gaming is respectively 550bps cash / 2% PIK and 700bps cash / 3% PIK
11
Bringing Efficiency to the Middle Market Lincoln International U.S. Advised on Over $1 Billion of Financing in 2011 Atlas Holdings
Atlas Holdings
has refinanced its portfolio company
has refinanced its portfolio company
$45,000,000 Senior Credit Facilities $70,000,000 Senior Credit Facility
$48,000,000 Junior Capital
Atlas Holdings
Industrial Opportunity Partners
has refinanced its portfolio company
$50,000,000 Senior Credit Facility
Industrial Opportunity Partners
Exponent Private Equity
has acquired
has financed the U.S. subsidiary of its portfolio company
Gridiron Capital has acquired
and
$16,000,000 Senior Credit Facilities $9,000,000 Junior Capital
Senior Credit Facility
Senior Credit Facilities
Shareholders
Gryphon Investors
Graham Partners
have refinanced
has recapitalized its portfolio company
has acquired
$155,000,000 Senior Credit Facilities
Senior Credit Facilities and Junior Capital
has refinanced its portfolio company $27,000,000 Senior Credit Facilities
$44,500,000 Senior Credit Facilities
$7,500,000 Junior Capital
$28,000,000 Second Lien Facilities
Recent Lincoln International U.K. Capital Raise Assignments TowerBrook
Undisclosed
has acquired the company
Covenant Restructuring
£75,000,000 Senior Debt £5,000,000 Revolving Credit Facility
£50,000,000 Senior Debt
H.I.G. Capital has acquired the company £14,000,000 Senior Debt £3,000,000 PIK £6,000,000 Revolving Credit Facility
Management / ICG have acquired the company
£56,500,000 Senior Debt £6,000,000 Acquisition Facility £20,000,000 Mezzanine Debt £7,500,000 Revolving Credit Facility
A portfolio company of
Vitruvian Partners has raised acquisition financing
£39,000,000 Senior Debt £10,000,000 Accordion £4,000,000 Revolving Credit Facility
12
Lincoln’s Debt Advisory Group adds the following value to each assignment: • • • • • •
Robust process ensures best available pricing and terms Strong relationships with over 300 capital sources throughout the world Multiple capital structure alternatives are generated which enhances certainty of closing Provides clients with transparency and control over financing process Lincoln’s independence assures there is no conflict of interest Maximum leverage of time and resources for management team and financial sponsor
DE BT ADVISO RY G RO UP Lincoln International U.S. DAG Team
International DAG Heads
Ron Kahn Managing Director (312) 580-6280
[email protected]
Robert Horak Managing Director (312) 580-2804
[email protected]
Christine Tiseo Director (312) 580-6287
[email protected]
Jonathan Broome Managing Director – U.K. +44 (0) 20 7632 5238
[email protected]
Natalie Marjancik Vice President (312) 506-2729
[email protected]
David Graham Associate (312) 506-2757
[email protected]
Ryan Deegan Associate (312) 506-2754
[email protected]
Serge Palleau Managing Director - France +33 (1) 53 53 18 18
[email protected]
Dylan Lyons Analyst (312) 506-2760
[email protected]
Justin Malina Analyst (312) 506-2785
[email protected]
Steve Yan Analyst (312) 506-2709
[email protected]
Dominik Spanier Managing Director - Germany +49 (69) 97105-428
[email protected]