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Quarterly Investment Review for the quarter ending March 31, 2013
Quarterly Investment Review for the quarter ending March 31, 2013 Copyright 2013 United Financial, a division of CI Private Counsel LP Source: Unit...
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Darlene Leonard
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Quarterly Investment Review for the quarter ending March 31, 2013
Copyright 2013 United Financial, a division of CI Private Counsel LP
Source: United Financial
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Source: United Financial
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Source: United Financial
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Source: United Financial
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Source: United Financial
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Timeline of Events: Q1 2013
S&P500 closes at all-time high
US consumer confidence dips to lowest since November ‘11
US “Fiscal Cliff” averted
Cyprus bailout uncertainty renews EU fears
Italian election stalemate renews EU fears
Market data source: Standard & Poors
Despite ongoing uncertainties globally, Q1’13 was generally positive.
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1st Quarter 2013 Returns
UK Ireland 8.6% 14.4% Germany France 2.6% 3.1% Italy Greece Spain (7.4%) 17.1% (3.9%)
Canada 2.4% US 10.1%
Egypt (5.1%)
Mexico 0.6%
Russia (1.84%)
India (3.5%)
South Korea (0.3%) China Japan (4.4%) 20.4% Hong Kong 3.3% Philippines 17.2% Indonesia 14.1%
Peru (2.7%)
Brazil (2.8%) Australia 7.3% South Africa (2.4%)
THE WORLD 9.2%
New Zealand 6.3%
Source: MSCI (local currencies)
Market performance was mixed globally in the first quarter of 2013. Still, on average the world gained 9.2% in local currency terms.
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What to Buy: A House or Gold?
Thanks to the specter of rampant inflation and persistent fears of global calamity, gold bugs have pushed prices to record highs.
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US Dividends Hit New Highs
US companies have continued their trend of either offering dividends for the first time or raising dividends to attract and retain investors.
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Dividends Enhancing US Returns
Highlighted names were held in United Financial’s US large-cap equity pools in 1Q’13
Source: FactSet Fundamentals
US companies have continued their trend of either offering dividends for the first time or raising dividends to attract and retain investors.
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US Inflation: Not Happening
30-Yr Fixed Mortgage Rate (October 1981): 18.45%*
30-Yr Fixed Mortgage Rate (March 2013): 3.57%*
*Freddie Mac
St. Louis Federal Reserve
Despite the massive pumping of liquidity in the US since the Credit Crisis, fears of rampant inflation remain unsubstantiated.
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Canada’s Confusing Economy
Statistics Canada
Those watching Canada’s economy in 1Q’13 had reasons to celebrate (income, employment) and cause for concern (housing, manufacturing).
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Canada’s Ongoing Debt Problem
Statistics Canada
Canadian household debt to disposable income has hit a record high of 167%, while debt to GDP is approaching 95%.
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Strong Canadian Pool Returns
UF Canadian Equity Growth Pool S&P/TSX Composite
1Q'13 15.47% 3.40%
1-Yr 31.50% 6.10%
3-Yr 15.90% 4.90%
5-Yr 7.20% 2.10%
10-Yr Since Inception* 12.80% 7.30% 10.00% 4.84% *May 1, 2000
Active management means not looking like an index.
United Financial, CI Investment Consulting. All returns indicated herein are gross of fees and expenses.
United Canadian Equity Growth Pool has performed well by being different from its benchmark. Active stock selection makes the difference.
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Strong Canadian Pool Returns
UF Canadian Equity Alpha Pool S&P/TSX Composite
1Q'13 10.30% 3.40%
1-Yr 17.90% 6.10%
3-Yr Since Inception* 11.60% 9.30% 4.90% 1.40% *Aug. 31, 2008
Active management means not looking like an index.
United Financial, CI Investment Consulting. All returns indicated herein are gross of fees and expenses.
United Canadian Equity Alpha Pool has performed well by being different from its benchmark. Active stock selection makes the difference.
16
Russians Bail Out Cyprus
• €10 billion in bailout money • Uninsured Laiki accounts frozen GOOD
BAD
Laiki
Bank of Cyprus Insured accounts (
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