Prospects for Fuel Cells and Hydrogen

Prospects for Fuel Cells and Hydrogen With an emphasis on transport applications Anthony D Owen, Director (Commerce and Economics) CEEM, The Universit...
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Prospects for Fuel Cells and Hydrogen With an emphasis on transport applications Anthony D Owen, Director (Commerce and Economics) CEEM, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia Inaugural Meeting of the Hong Kong IAEE Affiliate, 19 December 2005

Hydrogen fuel cell car

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Hydrogen fuel cell bus

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Why fuel cells and hydrogen? 1. Environmental impact of combustion of fossil fuels: • •

Global – Climate change Local – Air pollution

2. Energy (and specifically oil) security and price volatility

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Environmental footprint Passenger cars and trucks

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What’s a fuel cell? A fuel cell is an electrochemical device that produces electricity by combining stored hydrogen and oxygen from the atmosphere. The only emission is water vapour. A fuel cell vehicle is an electric vehicle that uses a fuel cell rather than a battery to provide electricity for power. A FCV could also use methanol, natural gas, or gasoline but would require on-board conversion to hydrogen gas

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Advantages and disadvantages of fuel cells Advantages ƒ Near-zero emission of pollutants ƒ Can be twice as efficient as conventional vehicles ƒ Operate silently Disadvantages ƒ Expensive ƒ Unreliable (lack robustness) ƒ Hydrogen should come from renewable resource (supply currently constrained) ƒ Hydrogen on-board storage a problem. 7

Hydrogen as an energy carrier

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Promising Technology Areas to Reduce GHG Emissions & Improve Energy Security ƒ Efficient energy end-use technologies ƒ Renewable energy ƒ Fossil fuel power generation with carbon capture and storage (CCS) ƒ Advanced nuclear power ƒ Hydrogen as a clean energy carrier for transport, energy storage, and distributed power generation ƒ Fusion 10

Stationary Power: Constraints on Fuel Cells & Hydrogen High initial cost (lack of economies of scale) Short operating life Immature technology Deregulated power industry (wants low risk) Competing technologies (some “renewable”)

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Stationary Applications of Fuel Cells ƒ Commercial Applications Combined (low) heat and power applications (e.g. schools, hospitals, apartment blocks) ƒ Industrial Applications High temperature fuel cells for co-generation. ƒ Distributed Generation Niche markets ƒ Residential Applications 12

CO2 savings from 1 GWh of wind energy (Source: Tyndall Centre)

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Current Challenges How does a hydrogen strategy fit in with other opportunities to reduce environmental externalities of energy use in both the stationary power and transport sectors? Time horizons needed to develop supporting technologies: ƒ Fuel cells ƒ CO2 sequestration ƒ Renewable energy capacity Costs and benefits of alternative approaches for both sectors.

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Externalities Definition Benefits or costs generated as an unintended by-product of an economic activity that do not accrue to the parties involved in the activity, and where no compensation is paid. Environmental Externalities of Energy Use ƒ Health damages from emission of pollutants ƒ Damages resulting from emission of greenhouse gases

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Calculation of Environmental Externalities ƒ Life cycle analysis: “cradle to grave” accounting of all energy and material flows (& hence pollutants). ƒ Quantify impacts/damage in terms of physical units ƒ Translate physical impacts/damage into monetary units: “externality adders” (¢/kWh or ¢/vkm).

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Damage from Air Pollutant Emissions Damage costs vary greatly due to: ƒ Vintage of combustion technologies ƒ Emission-reducing devices employed ƒ Population density in receptor area ƒ Fuel quality (particularly coal) Other damage costs: ƒ Mining and fuel transport externalities (particularly accidents) 17

Financial v. Economic (Societal) Analysis ƒ Financial Analysis Private net benefit of an investment ƒ Economic (or Societal) Analysis Net benefit to society of an investment Societal Analysis = Financial Analysis remove Market distortions (taxes & subsidies) add in Net environmental impacts (generally negative), on a total lifecycle cost basis.

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Transport Sector Accounts for 25% of CO2 Emissions: Options ƒ Possibilities for near-zero CO2 emissions for transport: ‰ hydrogen ‰ electricity ‰ biofuels

ƒ Each technology has its own set of limitations and challenges ƒ Hydrogen is increasingly seen as the next generation of motor vehicle technology

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Fuel Cells and Hydrogen for Cars Current Problems: ƒ Huge “fuel” infrastructure investment required ƒ On-board storage of hydrogen (compactness missing) ƒ Expense of fuel cells (no economies of scale) ƒ Energy security benefits not “internalised” ƒ Environmental impacts of gasoline ignored 20

DOE Fuel Cells for Transportation: Funding History 80 7.5

Dollars in Millions

70 Transportation

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Stationary

7.5

50 40

70.0

30 50.0

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33.7 37.041.5

10 0

0.9 2.6

3.7

5.1 7.8 9.5

41.9

19.5 22.2 21.5 21.123.5 12.0

'87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '08 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04

Fiscal Year

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21 Source: Breakthrough Technologies Institute

Hydrogen Filling Stations in the World

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Hydrogen Supply Cost Projections

Gasoline/diesel Natural gas H2 (gas) CO2 seq. H2 (coal) CO2 seq. H2 (biomass) H2 (wind-onshore) H2 (wind-offshore) H2 (solar thermal) H2 (PV) H2 (nuclear) H2 (HTGR cogen.) Source: IEA (2003)

Future fuel/elec. Fuel Other prod. Transport Refuelling Future supply resource price cost ($/GJ) costs ($/GJ) cost ($/GJ) ($/GJ) cost ($/GJ) $25-29/bbl 4-5 2

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