PRESS CONFERENCE 2011
BRUSSELS
A WORD FROM THE CHAIRMAN Dear members of the press, I would ld like to t apologize a l i e for f r not n t being bein here with ith you today. t da I’m convalescing c n alescin from fr m an accident which occurred almost a month ago and though the recovery is going well, I’m not entirely ship shape yet. I’ll leave you in the good hands of Patrick Pourbaix,Vice-Chairman Cruises and Jean Alen, Secretary of our association. Thank you very much for attending our press conference, which I hope you will find interesting and I look forward to seeing all of you soon again. again Warm regards,
Peter Mathieu Chairman, Cruise & Ferry World CEO, Cruise Connection
15 C&FW MEMBERS
57 CRUISE COMPANIES REPRESENTED 1. AIDA CRUISES 2. ANTARCTIC DREAM 3. ARANUI 3 4. A-ROSA RIVER CRUISE 5. ASSAM BENGAL NAVIGATION C° 6. AUSTRALIS CRUCEROS 7. AZAMARA CLUB CRUISES 8. BORA BORA CRUISES 9. CARNIVAL CRUISES 10. CELEBRITY CRUISES 11. CDF - CROISIÈRES DE FRANCE 12. CMA-CGM 13. COMPAGNIE DU PONANT 14. COMPAGNIE DU FLEUVE 15. COSTA CRUISES 16. CRUISE NORTH EXPEDITIONS 17. CRYSTAL CRUISES 18. CUNARD CRUISE LINE 19. DISNEY CRUISE LINE
20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38.
DREAM YACHTS SEYCHELLES FRED. OLSEN CRUISES HAPAG-LLOYD CRUISES HAUMANA FLY FISHING CRUISES HOLLAND AMERICA LINE HURTIGRUTEN KLEIN TOURS LOUIS CRUISES MSC CRUISES NDS NCL FREESTYLE CRUISING OCEANIA CRUISES ORIENT EXPRESS CRUISES ORION EXPEDITION CRUISES PAUL GAUGAIN CRUISES PETER DEILMANN REEDEREI PLEIN CAP CROISIÈRES PRINCESS CRUISES POSEIDON ARCTIC VOYAGES
39. PULLMANTUR CRUISES 40. P&O CRUISES 41. Q QUARK EXPEDITIONS 42. REGENT SEVEN SEAS CRUISES 43. RIVAGES DU MONDE 44. RIVERCRUISES.BE 45. ROYAL CARIBBEAN INT’L 46. SEA CLOUD CRUISES 47. SEADREAM YACHT CLUB 48. SILHOUETTE CRUISES 49. SILVERSEA CRUISES 50. SKORPIOS CRUISES 51. STAR CLIPPERS 52. STAR CRUISES 53. SEABOURN 54. TRANSOCEAN KREUZFAHRTEN 55. VARIETY CRUISES 56. VIKING RIVER CRUISES 57. WINDSTAR CRUISES
18 FERRY COMPANIES REPRESENTED 1. 2. 3 3. 4. 5. 6.
ALGÉRIE FERRIES ANEK LINES BLUE STAR FERRIES BRITTANY FERRIES COLOR LINE COMANAV
7. 8. 9 9. 10. 11. 12.
CONDOR FERRIES CTN TUNISIA FERRIES DFDS SEAWAYS GOTA KANAL REDERI MINOAN LINES SEAFRANCE
13. 14. 15 15. 16. 17. 18.
SMYRIL LINE SNCM VEOLIA STENA LINE SUPERFAST FERRIES VENTOURIS FERRIES VIKING LINE
OCEAN CRUISE SHIPS ON ORDER 2011
2012
2013
2014
CRUISE LINE
SHIP NAME
GROSS TONNAGE
LOWER BERTHS
CARNIVAL CRUISE LINES
CARNIVAL MAGIC
130.000
3.652
AIDA CRUISES
AIDASOL
71.000
2.174
PONANT CRUISES
L'AUSTRAL
10 600 10.600
264
SEABOURN
SEABOURN QUEST
32.000
450
COSTA CRUISES
COSTA FAVOLOSA
114.200
3.012
CELEBRITY CRUISES
CELEBRITY SILHOUETTE
122.000
2.084
CARNIVAL CRUISE LINES
CARNIVAL BREEZE
130.000
3.690
COSTA CRUISES
COSTA FASCINOSA
114.200
3.012
DISNEY CRUISE LINE
DISNEY FANTASY
128.000
2.500
OCEANIA CRUISES
RIVIERA
65.000
1.260
MSC CRUISES
MSC DIVINA
140.000
3.502
AIDA CRUISES
UNNAMED
71.000
2.174
CELEBRITY CRUISES
CELEBRITY REFLECTION
126.000
3.030
SEA CLOUD
SEA CLOUD HUSSAR
-
136
GNMTC LIBYA
UNNAMED
139.400
3.478
HAPAG-LLOYD
EUROPA
39.500
516
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE
UNNAMED
143.500
4.000
AIDA CRUISES
UNNAMED
71.300
2.192
PRINCESS CRUISES
UNNAMED
141.000
3.600
NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE
UNNAMED
143.500
4.000
PRINCESS CRUISES
UNNAMED
141.000
3.600
2
21 NEWBUILDS ON ORDER OVER THE NEXT 4 YEARS
C&FW OCEAN CRUISE STATISTICS 2010 8N
0 641 1.237 35 83 411 467
TOTAL 472 64 2 667 6.613 87 99 411 519
1.195 360 1.619 1 096 1.096 5.310 521
1.589 360 1.639 10 316 10.316 17.906 2.084
108 66 477 357 244 4
108 66 710 357 1.967 11
328 1.988 60
378 2.257 60
8
GRAND TOTAL: 53.688
OCEAN CRUISE FIGURES 2010 • 53.688 Belgians cruised with C&FW companies • 10.800 Belgians cruised via non C&FW members • Total cruise passengers for Belgium in 2010 65.000 11 42% vs. vs 2009 • Growth of 11,42%
60 000 60.000
53.688 48.277
50.000
48.187
40.180
40.000
34.143 30.000
20.000
10.000
0 2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
OCEAN CRUISE REGIONS
25.000
2010
38 8.452
2009
34.663 34.735
20 000 20.000
15.000
5.000
1.993 1.759 1.336 1.830 2.695
10.000 10 000
4.205 3.129 3.607
Europe still # 1 region for Belgian cruisers.
35.000
754 1.588
• A spectacular gain of 47,3% for Specialty cruises
40 000 40.000
30 000 30.000
2008
6.826 70 7.97 8.0773 8.4493 8.9 934
• A growth of 15,3% for The Rest of the World
2007
29.783
• The Americas gain 5,2%
2006
23.704
• An increase of 10,7% for European itineraries
0 Europe
The Americas
Rest of World
Specialty
OCEAN CRUISE REGIONS, SHARE EVOLUTION Europe
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
6 2,3 , 20,5
71,2
2006
The Americas
Rest of the World
2,8
4,2 3,9
8,7
19,4
16,7
72,5
71,8
2007
2008
Specialty
3,8
5,0
6,5
6,7
17,6
16,6
72,1
71,6
2009
2010
CRUISE REGION, EUROPE
20.000
2008
2009
2010
27.5133 27.2066 28.582
25.000
15.000
0 Mediterranean Black Sea Greek Isles
North
Canaries
1.639
1.586
1.599
1.440
66.147
5..943
970
5.000
551 5.5
10.000 5.2008
Similar gentle growth for all European regions.
30 000 30.000
5.02 25
• Canary Islands grows with 3,3%
2007
22.560
• Northern Europe grows with 3,4%
2006
17.723
• Med/Black Sea/Greek Isles grows with 5,1%
6.613
2010
3.000
Caribbean
Alaska
Panama
South America
252
0
521 302
1.000
1.065
2.000
160
The Caribbean grows at a normal pace, Panama Canal cruises grow significantly versus a drop for all other American regions.
2009
4.000
739 612 619 519
• Others drop with 76,3%
341
• South America drops with 16,2%
2008
5.000
774 561 728 563 472
• Panama Canal grows with 48,9%
7 000 7.000
6.000
2007
5.993 5.970
• Alaska drops with 16,2%
2006
5.097 5.471
• Caribbean grows with 10,8%
294 293 438 276 411
CRUISE REGION, THE AMERICAS
Others
CRUISE REGION, REST OF THE WORLD 2010
1.400
579
711
800 600
Indian Ocean Australia/New ZealandFar East
12 38
0
0
666
158
158 172 7 224
200
211 440
400
900
1.000
710
9778
1.200
1.023
1.187
1.600
Middle East
Pacific Islands
11
• Far East drops with 27,4%
Significant growth for the Middle Eastern itineraries!
2009
1.525 1.454
1.800
• Pacific Islands drops with 93,0%
2008
2 000 2.000
• Australia/New Zealand drops with 61,6%
• Middle East grows with 35,3%
2007
1.967
2006
301 367 357
• Indian Ocean drops with 2,7%
CRUISE REGION, SPECIALTY 2006
1.500 1.116 1.000
500
Exploration
Transatlantic
World
60
72
8
0
108
102
94 161 112 230
Significant growth for exploration cruises and transatlantic crossings.
2010
1.528
• World Cruises drops with 16,7%
1.496
2.000
2009
1.891
• Transatlantic grows with 47,7%
2008
2.2577
2 500 2.500
2007
378
• Exploration grows with 64,3%
CRUISE DURATION, WORLDWIDE
30.000
2009
20.153
25.000
13.575
11.901
15.000
13.286
17.115
20.000
10.000
5.000
2.089 2.201 2.566 2.603 2.642
Healthy growth for longer itineraries, thus 60% of the Belgian cruisers confirm their 7 8 nights sailings. sailings preference for 7-8
2008
20.543
• > 8 nights + 20%
28.543
35 000 35.000
2007
244.693
• 7-8 nights + 6,9% 6 9%
32.1332
2006
30.503
• < 7 nights + 1,5%
0 < 7 nights
7-8 nights
> 8 nights
2010
CRUISE DURATION WORLDWIDE, SHARE 8N
35,4
38,3
66,6 59,2
5,3
2008
5,4
2009
56,8
4,9
2010
OCEAN CRUISE DURATION, EUROPE • < 7 nights + 22,9%
2009
2010
221.830
25.000
22.550
25.058
30 000 30.000
18.391
20.000
5.000
13.6641 8.004
10.000
8.937
11.066
15 000 15.000
8.231
Strong growth for shorter & longer European itineraries, versus a status quo for the still 7 8 nights most popular traditional 7-8 European cruises.
2008
13.790
• > 8 nights + 23,3%
2007
1.907 1.979 1.261 1.839 2.261
• 7-8 nights + 3,3% 3 3%
2006
0 < 7 nights
7-8 nights
> 8 nights
OCEAN CRUISE DURATION, THE AMERICAS • < 7 nights - 49,4%
2008
2009
2010
5.6673 5.262
4.982
• > 8 nights + 7,2%
2007
5.056
6 000 6.000 5.357
• 7-8 nights + 12,2% 12 2%
2006
3.000
1.000
379
749
2.000
0 < 7 nights
7-8 nights
> 8 nights
2.8882
2.6888
3.638
3.518
4.000
186 206 289
7-8 nights cruises strongest favorite. Serious drop for the short Caribbean itineraries.
3.905
5.000
OCEAN CRUISE PAX STATISTICS EUROPE, NOTE Some of the data for 2010 - especially that from source markets was not yyet available when this ppresentation was created. Therefore we limit ourselves to present to you a detailed European overview from 2003 to 2009. This overview shows an unambiguous tendency and is a direct reflection of our market. market
OCEAN CRUISE PAX STATISTICS EUROPE, OVERVIEW
x 1.000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
% change 2008-2009
UK
964
1.029
1.071
1.204
1.335
1.477
1.533
4%
GERMANY
537
583
639
705
763
907
1.027
13%
ITALY
346
400
514
517
640
682
799
17%
SPAIN
307
300
379
391
518
497
587
18%
FRANCE
212
222
233
242
280
310
347
12%
SCANDINAVIA
54
56
42
62
94
123
173
41%
BENELUX
42
41
42
64
82
92
110
20%
AUSTRIA
35
38
39
44
52
59
80
36%
SWITZERLAND
47
50
51
56
64
65
76
17%
OTHER
123
115
117
123
175
211
213
1%
TOTAL
2.671
2.835
3.126
3.409
4.004
4.422
4.944
12%
Source: ECC/IRN Research
54 56 42 62 94 123 173
0 212 2 2 222 2333 24 42 280 310 347
200 2006 2007
127 115 117 123 175 211 213
2005
47 50 51 56 64 65 76
799
2004
35 38 39 44 52 59 80
6440 682
518 497 587
514 517
1.0027
1..477 1.533
2003
42 41 42 64 82 92 110
400 307 300 379 391
600
346 400
800 907
1.400 1.335
1.600
537 583 639 705 763
1.000 1.204
1.200
964 1.02 .071 129
OCEAN CRUISE PAX STATISTICS EUROPE, CHART 2008 2009
x 1.000 1 000
Source: ECC/IRN Research
OCEAN CRUISE PAX EUROPE, GROWTH FACTOR % 2008 vs 2009 45%
41%
40%
36%
35% 30% 25% 20%
17% 13%
15%
20%
18%
17% 12%
10% 5% 0%
4% 1%
Source: ECC/IRN Research
OCEAN CRUISE PAX EUROPE, MARKET SHARE 2009
35% 31% 30% 25% 20%
21% 16%
15% 10% 5% 0%
12% 7% 4%
2%
4% 2%
2%
Source: ECC/IRN Research
OCEAN CRUISE PAX EUROPE, SUMMARY 2009 • 4.944.000 passengers in 2009, close to 5 million European cruisers • Germany breaking the million passenger figure for the first time • UK (31%), Germany (21%) and Italy (16%) remain the European market share leaders • Benelux ranks 7th as European source market • Scandinavia was the fastest growing market (+41%), closely followed by Austria (+36%)
Cruise holidays are continuing to race ahead in popularity in Europe, with almost 5 million Europeans taking a cruise in 2009
INDUSTRY LEADER’S COMMENT “The European cruise industry has worked hard to position cruising as a mainstream holidayy choice and it is therefore rewardingg to see all our member countries reporting growth during a major downturn in the world economy. However, the industry still faces many challenges including environmental regulations l i and d taxation i b as I hand but h d over the h chair h i off the h ECC to Manfredi M f di Lefebvre d’Ovidio, Chairman of Silversea Cruises, I predict the industry will continue to thrive with still greater choice and diversity for the millions of European cruise passengers.”
David Dingle Chairman, European Cruise Council CEO, Carnival UK
OVERALL CONCLUSIONS BELGIUM 2010 • After a year of stagnation, we are pleased to announce a year of growth with an increase of almost 11,5% • 65.000 Belgians cruised in 2010 • Despite a healthy growth we’ve come short of 5.000 guests to reach last years estimation for the 2010 target. We expect to reach well over 70.000 guests by the end of this year • With over 70% market share, share European itineraries are still # 1 for Belgians, with Southern European itineraries being the absolute favorite (over 50%) • 7-8 nights cruises remain most popular (60% market share), though long & short sailing gained importance
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION MERCI POUR VOTRE ATTENTION BEDANKT VOOR UW AANDACHT
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PRESS CONFERENCE 2011
BRUSSELS
