Content Includes:
Fundraising
Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital September 2016
Asia-focused fundraising has been slow so far in 2016, but average fund size is on the up.
Fund Managers Over two-thirds of Asiabased fund managers expect to deploy more capital in the next 12 months compared with the previous year.
Institutional Investors Asia-based investors are optimistic about the industry, with the vast majority expecting to make new fund commitments in the year ahead.
Deals Asian venture capital activity strong in 2016 so far, but buyout deal flow has weakened.
In Focus Plus, detailed overviews of the Asian private equity & venture capital industry by strategy and region.
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Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
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Contents CEO’s Foreword
3
Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital Universe
4
Fund Manager Outlook
6
Buyout
7
Funds of Funds
8
Growth
9
Venture Capital
10
Investor Outlook
11
Greater China
12
Northeast Asia
13
ASEAN
14
South Asia
15
Key Facts
$320mn Average size of Asia-focused private equity & venture capital funds closed in 2016 to date.
$110bn Dry powder held by Asia-focused private equity & venture capital fund managers in August 2016, up 15% from the end of 2015.
59% Proportion of Asia-based fund managers that view fundraising as one of the biggest challenges facing the private equity & venture capital industry at present.
$42bn Aggregate value of the 2,174 completed Asian venture capital deals in 2016 to date.
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2
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Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
CEO’s Foreword Welcome to Preqin’s latest overview of the Asian private equity & venture capital market. These are certainly interesting times, and one senses that 2016 could prove to be something of a ‘crossroads’ for the industry in Asia. Looking at the raw numbers in the report, 2016 to date has seen something of a slowdown in activity in the market: fundraising has got off to a slow start, with total capital raised across Asia at $19bn (as of August 2016), barely 40% of the total for 2015, so there is some way to go to match last year’s $47bn. Buyout deal activity has been reasonable with 165 deals to date, but the aggregate deal value has reached only $12bn, barely 24% of last year’s total, so again some way to go. Venture capital, by contrast, has had a good start to the year, with 2,174 deals totalling $42bn, well on the way to matching 2015, itself a record year. This pattern – buyout relatively weak, venture capital relatively strong – seems to be borne out in most regions within Asia. Looking beyond the numbers, however, there appear to be some interesting challenges and opportunities for Asian private equity & venture capital. The continued low growth and low interest rate environment in Europe and North America may be spurring investors globally to look beyond these core markets and reassess their interest and position in emerging markets in general and Asia in particular. The fundamental ‘growth story’ for Asia remains intact: rapid economic growth (relatively speaking at least), favourable demographics and a growing middle class create opportunities, many of which can only be accessed via private capital. The fundamental question for Asia remains the same as it has been for several years, however: the growth may be there, the IRRs may be there, but are the real returns – the distributions back to LPs – there? Our ‘Fund Manager Outlook’ on page 6 reflects this, with the two largest concerns for GPs being the fundraising environment and the exit environment – inextricably linked. The ‘Big Story’ in private capital in (first) North America and (then) Europe over the past few years has been the surge of cash distributed back to LPs. The question now is whether Asia can repeat this. If it can, then it stands to win a permanent – and elevated – place in global LPs’ portfolios. We hope that you enjoy this review of Asian private equity & venture capital and find it a useful summary of latest developments and outlook.
Mark O’Hare
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Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital Universe The Asian private equity & venture capital market continues to grow and develop. Not only do Asia-based investors represent a large and growing pool of capital for private equity investments worldwide, but Asia itself has become an important destination for investment in recent years. As the market matures, LPs and GPs continue to see attractive opportunities in the region. Asia-Based Investor Universe
Sun Life Everbright launched its debut fund, Sun Life Everbright SME Fund, in 2015 to invest in small and medium-sized companies in China. Meanwhile Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund, one of the world’s largest pension funds by AUM, has been preparing to diversify more widely into alternative assets by hiring a team of investment specialists, including a new CIO in 2015, Hiromichi Mizuno, formerly of secondaries firm Coller Capital. Asia-Focused Fundraising
Preqin’s Private Equity Online database currently tracks 845 active institutional investors based in Asia, which constitute 13% of the global private equity & venture capital investor universe. The largest proportions of Asia-based institutional investors are headquartered in China (27%) and Japan (25%, Fig. 1). Given that both countries are among the three largest economies by GDP globally, it is unsurprising that investors based in these regions together hold 73% of the $34tn in aggregate assets under management (AUM) held by Asia-based LPs.
The number of Asia-focused private equity & venture capital funds being closed has fallen significantly since 2011, when 300 funds closed on $63bn (Fig. 2). Just 185 Asia-focused funds were closed in 2015; together, however, these vehicles raised $47bn in aggregate capital. Fundraising has been slow so far in 2016 and the majority (63%) of Asia-based fund managers surveyed by Preqin reported that competition for investor capital has increased compared to a year ago.
Recent developments in both countries indicate that their participation in private equity & venture capital is likely to continue to grow in future. In China, regulatory changes have allowed insurance companies to take on more exposure to private equity and to raise and manage their own funds as a GP: for example,
Fund sizes have been on a general upward trend, with the average fund reaching $298mn last year – the second highest on record and 23% higher than the average size in 2011. With larger vehicles being raised, the proportion of funds spending more than two years on the road has increased slightly to 38%
Fig. 1: Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Investors by Location
in 2015 from 34% the previous year; however, the share of vehicles taking six months or less to complete fundraising also increased from 23% in 2014 to 31% in 2015. Buyout funds accounted for the largest proportion of capital raised by Asiafocused funds between 2013 and 2015, and have raised 38% of capital secured by Asia-focused funds closed in 2016 so far. The proportion of capital raised by venture capital funds has increased year on year over this period and these funds have raised 39% of capital in 2016 to date (Fig. 3). Growth funds, meanwhile, are seeking the most capital among Asiafocused funds in market, with 100 funds targeting $41bn. Deal Flow 2015 was a record year for Asian venture capital deals – 3,651 deals were completed with an aggregate deal value of $52bn. The main driver for this activity has been Chinese deals, which grew from $15bn in 2014 to approximately $39bn last year. 2016 has continued strongly; 2,174 venture capital transactions worth $42bn have already been announced this year, which is almost double the aggregate deal value in 2014. Buyout transactions also reached a record in terms of total deal size in 2015
Fig. 2: Annual Asia-Focused Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 350
2%
China
5%
4% 27%
8%
250 South Korea Hong Kong
9%
10% 25%
150
Singapore
100
Malaysia Other
250 218
220
216
200
India
Taiwan 10%
300
300
Japan
185
62.9 50
38.7
45.1
61.1 38.4
71 46.7 18.9
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
4
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
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Preqin’s Private Equity Online provides full performance metrics for 601 private equity & venture capital vehicles investing in Asia. While Asia-focused funds have experienced much greater variations in IRR between different vintage years than funds focused on other regions, these vehicles also have the highest net IRRs for each vintage since 2010, as they did for funds with vintages 1998-2001 and 2005-2006 (Fig. 6). Outlook Although Asia-focused fundraising has been relatively slow in 2016 so far, there are several bright spots in the Asian
100
Other 39%
70%
Venture Capital
26%
60% 54%
50%
45% 37%
40%
32%
31%
2%
4%
10%
11% 3%
30% 20%
5%
3%
10%
10%
19%
20%
16%
2010
2011
2012
42%
39%
37%
38%
Growth Fund of Funds Buyout
91
60 40
2015
43
43
33 21
24
13
0
2016 YTD
Dec-03
2014
Year of Final Close
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 5: Asia-Focused Private Equity & Venture Capital Funds in Market by Fund Type (As at August 2016)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 6: Median Net IRRs by Primary Geographic Focus and Vintage Year
180
25% 162
160
Net IRR since Inception
140 120 100
100 80 60
20
41.3
32 18.1
21
18.0 6.5
16
20% North America 15% Europe 10% Asia 5%
8.9
0
0% Buyout
Fund of Funds
No. of Funds Raising
Growth
Venture Capital
Other
Aggregate Target Capital ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
© 2016 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
40
86
53
9 2013
85
80
20
0%
82
Aug-16
35%
110 96
Dec-15
26%
Dec-14
22%
Dec-13
12%
120
9%
Dec-12
3%
Dec-11
6%
Dec-09
80%
27%
10%
Dec-10
20%
2%
5%
Dec-08
2%
90%
Fig. 4: Estimated Dry Powder of Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Managers, December 2003 August 2016
Dec-07
100%
There remain challenges in the region: for example, China’s five-month IPO freeze last year and its growth slowdown have raised concerns about its economic health. However, with continuing uncertainty in other regions and a number of promising growth markets in Asia, LPs and GPs will likely continue to invest significantly in the region in the years to come.
Dec-06
Proportion of Aggregate Capital Raised
Fig. 3: Asia-Focused Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising by Fund Type, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
private equity & venture capital universe. Despite the challenges of fundraising and the exit environment, Asia-based fund managers remain positive, with 77% of surveyed fund managers planning new launches before the end of 2017 (see page 6). Asia-based investors continue to regard Asia as one of the best regions for investment opportunities and 88% expect to make new fund commitments in the next 12 months, compared with just 50% this time last year (see page 11).
Dec-05
Despite the record sums of capital that have been deployed recently, dry powder held by Asia-focused private equity & venture capital fund managers reached $110bn in August 2016, up 15% from the end of 2015 (Fig. 4). Fund managers looking to deploy this capital will have to search widely for opportunities: among Asia-based GPs surveyed by Preqin, the proportion (32%) of fund managers that said that they have noticed an increase in competition for transactions compared to
Asia-Focused Fund Performance
Dec-04
Dry Powder
12 months ago is twice that of those that said competition had decreased (16%).
Dry Powder ($bn)
– $52bn worth of deals was completed. In contrast to venture capital, however, the number of transactions has been falling each year from 472 in 2011. In 2016 so far, only 165 buyout deals, with an aggregate value of $12bn, have been announced or completed.
Vintage Year
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
5
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Fund Manager Outlook In June 2016, Preqin surveyed 33 Asia-based private equity & venture capital fund managers to find out their views on the industry’s fundraising and deal activity and their outlook for the future. While some of these concerns are common to both private equity and venture capital managers, others are unique to one group or the other. Key Challenges Asia-based fund managers identified fundraising as the key challenge facing the industry at present, with 59% highlighting this as one of their key concerns (Fig. 7). Fund managers are reportedly finding it more challenging to raise capital, with 63% stating that they believe the level of competition for investor assets has increased from 12 months ago. After fundraising, the exit environment is GPs’ second greatest concern (53%). This is particularly the case for venture capital fund managers: although even numbers of private equity firms expect to see exit activity increase or decrease in the year ahead, 46% of venture capital managers expect exits to decrease, compared with only 23% that expect them to increase. Capital Deployment Despite these challenges, Asia-based fund managers are optimistic about the amount of capital they expect to invest over the next 12 months: 68% of firms expect to deploy more capital compared to the previous year, a marked increase from 54% in 2015. Sixty-one percent of respondents are also actively reviewing more investment opportunities this year, and the majority (72%) are expecting to see an increase in industry AUM over the next 12 months. Differentiating their Business GPs differ in the methods they use to differentiate themselves from the competition, with the largest proportions
6
Fig. 7: Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Manager Views on the Key Challenges Facing the Industry in the Next 12 Months Fundraising
59%
Exit Environment
53%
Volatility/Uncertainty in Global Markets
41%
Performance
38%
Regulation
22%
Deal Pricing
22%
Deal Flow
19%
Fee Pressure
6% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Proportion of Respondents Source: Preqin Fund Manager Survey, June 2016
focusing on strategies such as leveraging their network (19%), making a larger GP commitment than their competitors (19%), offering increased transparency (16%) or providing greater liquidity to LPs (13%). In the drive to secure investor capital, fund managers also offer separate account and co-investment opportunities to selected LPs: every GP surveyed by Preqin stated that they are planning to maintain or increase the number of separate accounts and coinvestment partnerships that they offer to investors in the next 12 months. Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance (ESG) Factors Sustainable and responsible investing is an important consideration for many institutional investors and one that the majority of Asia-based fund managers take into account: only 10% of respondents stated that ESG factors do not play a part in their deal-making process. However, it seems that there is a distinction in the level of importance private equity and venture capital firms assign to ESG factors. Seventy-two percent of private equity firms take ESG into consideration for every deal they make, while only 31% of venture
capital fund managers do the same. In addition, 94% of private equity GPs have turned away from a deal because of ESG factors, compared with only 59% of venture capital firms. With many venture stage companies yet to fully integrate ESG factors into their operations, some GPs may believe that they cannot afford to turn down opportunities solely for this reason. Outlook Overall, Asia-based fund managers remain optimistic about the growth prospects of the Asian private equity & venture capital industry, both in terms of the amount of capital they expect to deploy and their overall AUM. Despite the difficulties of fundraising and a challenging exit environment, fund managers continue to plan new fund launches: among GPs surveyed by Preqin, 77% plan to launch new funds before the end of 2017, with the majority of these due to be in market by the end of 2016.
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Buyout Fig. 8: Annual Asia-Based Buyout Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 9: Asia-Based Buyout Firms’ Industry Preferences for Underlying Investments
35
60%
30
50% Proportion of Firms
28 24
11
10
0%
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
14%
10%
7.2
5.3
4.6
5
20%
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 10: Number and Aggregate Value of Asian Private Equity-Backed Buyout Deals, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 500
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 11: Asia-Based Buyout Firms by Number of Buyout Funds Raised Previously
60
450
350
40
300 250
30
200 20
150 100
10
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
50
400 No. of Deals
Real Estate
10.3
27%
Materials
12.9
Energy & Utilities
12.8
Food & Agriculture
14
Business Services
12.6
37% 29%
Telecoms, Media & Communications
15
38%
30%
Healthcare
16
18
49% 42%
Information Technology
18
52%
40%
Consumer Discretionary
20
53%
Industrials
25
57%
8%
3%
1 Fund Raised Previously
2-3 Funds Raised Previously 26%
63%
4-5 Funds Raised Previously
50 0
6 or More Funds Raised Previously
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 12: Five Largest Asia-Based Buyout Funds in Market (As at August 2016) Fund GSR Global M&A Fund Hubei Changjiang He Zhi Industrial Investment Fund CITIC Capital China Partners III Primavera Capital Fund II Bohai Industrial Investment Fund II
Firm
Target Size (mn)
Headquarters
GSR Ventures
5,000 USD
China
Hubei Changjiang He Zhi Equity Investment Fund Management
10,000 CNY
China
CITIC Capital
1,500 USD
Hong Kong
Primavera Capital
1,500 USD
China
Bohai Industrial Investment Fund Management
6,000 CNY
China
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
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Funds of Funds Fig. 13: Annual Asia-Based Private Equity Fund of Funds Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 14: Asia-Based Private Equity Fund of Funds Firms’ Industry Preferences for Underlying Investments 60%
10
Proportion of Firms
7 6
6 5 4
4 3
2.6
3.0
42% 40%
39%
36%
36% 30%
30%
30%
27%
24%
20% 10%
6%
2.4
2014
2015
2016 YTD
No. of Funds Closed
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 15: Number of Asia-Based Firms Actively Managing Private Equity Funds of Funds by Location Headquarters
Business Services
Real Estate
2013
Year of Final Close
Materials
2012
Food & Agriculture
2011
Energy & Utilities
2010
Telecoms, Media & Communications
0.2
0
Consumer Discretionary
1
0.9
Healthcare
1.0
Industrials
0%
1.5
1
Information Technology
2
55%
50%
8
8 7
9
9
9
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 16: Asia-Based Private Equity Fund of Funds Firms by Number of Funds of Funds Raised Previously
No. of Firms
China
21
Hong Kong
4
Japan
4
Singapore
2
India
1
Taiwan
1
9% 1 Fund Raised Previously
50%
2-3 Funds Raised Previously
41%
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
4 or More Funds Raised Previously
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 17: Five Largest Asia-Based Private Equity Funds of Funds in Market (As at August 2016) Fund
Firm
Target Size (mn)
Headquarters
China Development Bank Capital
10,000 CNY
China
GC Oriza Fund of Funds II
Oriza Holdings
5,000 CNY
China
Redbud Haixia Science and Technology Fund of Funds
Redbud Capital
5,000 CNY
China
Guochuang Kaiyuan Fund of Funds II
Axiom Asia IV Samsung Global Private Equity Fund 1
Axiom Asia Private Capital
750 USD
Singapore
Samsung Asset Management
500 USD
South Korea
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
8
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Growth Fig. 18: Annual Asia-Based Growth Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 19: Asia-Based Growth Firms’ Industry Preferences for Underlying Investments
100
70%
90 76 64 57
50 33
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 20: Number of Asia-Based Firms Actively Managing Growth Funds by Location Headquarters
Real Estate
2
Energy & Utilities
0%
0 2010
14%
Materials
10
41%
10%
16
14
42%
30%
Food & Agriculture
18 9
44%
20%
Business Services
18
44%
40%
Consumer Discretionary
21
20
50%
Telecoms, Media & Communications
40
57%
50%
Information Technology
60
20
62%
Healthcare
68
30
63%
Industrials
80 70
66%
60% Proportion of Firms
90
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 21: Asia-Based Growth Firms by Number of Growth Funds Raised Previously
No. of Firms
China
117
Hong Kong
49
India
48
Singapore
29
South Korea
22
Japan
16
Malaysia
9
Vietnam
5
Thailand
3
Cambodia
2
1% 4% 1 Fund Raised Previously 27%
2-3 Funds Raised Previously 4-5 Funds Raised Previously 68% 6 or More Funds Raised Previously
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 22: Five Largest Asia-Based Growth Funds in Market (As at August 2016) Fund Sino-Singapore (Chongqing) Connectivity Private Equity Fund FountainVest China Growth Partners III Lippo Tsinghua Holdings Fund Sage Capital GCC Fund SAIF Partners V
Firm
Target Size (mn)
Headquarters
UOB Venture Management
100,000 CNY
Singapore
FountainVest Partners
1,750 USD
China
Lippo Capital Advisors
10,000 CNY
Hong Kong
Sage Capital Funds Management
1,000 USD
India
SAIF Partners
800 USD
Hong Kong
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
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Venture Capital Fig. 23: Annual Asia-Based Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 24: Asia-Based Venture Capital Firms’ Industry Preferences for Underlying Investments 90%
160 Proportion of Firms
109
104
98
96
100 77
80 60
70%
64%
63%
60%
55%
50%
43%
40%
32%
30%
30%
29%
6%
10%
40
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 25: Number and Aggregate Value of Asian Venture Capital Deals*, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Food & Agriculture
2012
Materials
2011
Business Services
2010
Energy & Utilities
3.1
0
Industrials
19
Consumer Discretionary
11.9
Telecoms, Media & Communications
10.5
4.1
Healthcare
10.2
6.5
0% Information Technology
21.0
20
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 26: Asia-Based Venture Capital Firms by Number of Venture Capital Funds Raised Previously
60
4,000
50
3,000 40
2,500
30
2,000 1,500
20
1,000 10
500
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
3,500
No. of Deals
31%
20%
Real Estate
120
81%
80%
136
140
11%
1 Fund Raised Previously
10% 2-3 Funds Raised Previously 48% 4-5 Funds Raised Previously 31%
6 or More Funds Raised Previously
0
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 27: Five Largest Asia-Based Venture Capital Funds in Market (As at August 2016) Fund SummitView IC Industry Fund Huasheng Capital Fund II Next Orbit Ventures Fund II G-O Scale Capital Tongda Broadcasting Industry Investment Fund
Firm
Target Size (mn)
Headquarters
Summitview Capital
10,000 CNY
China
China Renaissance Partners
5,000 CNY
China
Next Orbit Ventures
750 USD
India
GSR Ventures
500 USD
China
Shoutai Jinxin Capital
3,000 CNY
China
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online *Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, venture debt & secondary stock purchases.
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Investor Outlook In June 2016, Preqin interviewed 27 Asia-based LPs for their views on the private equity & venture capital asset class. The results point to a general sense of optimism; the vast majority (88%) of investors expect to make new fund commitments in the next 12 months, compared with just 50% of those interviewed in 2015. Furthermore, 82% will consider GPs they have yet to work with. In view of these developments, how can fund managers leverage this improved investor sentiment to raise capital? Geographic Preferences Over half (58%) of investors surveyed view Asia as one of the regions with the best investment opportunities in the current financial climate; however, investor confidence in established markets is higher than the previous year. Thirty-eight percent of respondents regard North America as one of the regions best suited for investment in the year ahead, while 29% said the same for Europe, compared with 28% and 22% respectively in 2015. The UK EU Referendum vote has, so far, not led to a more negative view of Europe among Asia-based LPs. In fact, the proportion of investors that will avoid Europe has decreased from 71% in June 2015 to 44% in June 2016. Among emerging markets, Asia-based LPs regard their domestic region as presenting the best opportunities. Thirtynine percent of survey participants identify India as the most appealing in terms of investment opportunities, whereas 22% say the same for China. Fund Type Preferences Venture capital continues to be the most favoured fund type among Asiabased investors, with half reporting that there are currently good investment opportunities, a seven percentage point increase compared to 2015 (Fig. 28).
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Fig. 28: Fund Types Asia-Based Investors View as Currently Presenting the Best Investment Opportunities 43%
Venture Capital
50% 29%
Small to Mid-Market Buyout
38% 14%
Distressed Private Equity
21% 14% 17%
Growth
14%
Mezzanine
8%
Secondaries Funds
10% 8%
Large to Mega Buyout
10% 8% 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Proportion of Investors Jun-15
Jun-16
Source: Preqin Investor Interviews, June 2016
Small to mid-market buyout, distressed private equity and growth vehicles are also increasingly favoured by LPs. Fund Manager Preferences The survey results reflect an increase in the proportion (77%) of investors that are open to investing in funds that have not yet held an initial close, up from 65% in 2015. Several respondents list fee negotiation as a driving force behind their willingness to act as a first-close investor, while one said that it does so to secure co-investment rights. Past performance and strategy are the key factors that Asia-based LPs consider when looking for a new private equity manager. Investors also believe that the length of a manager’s track record is an important factor when evaluating GPs; however, the proportion of investors willing to consider first-time funds has increased to 41% from 36% in 2015. A significant proportion of investors also make use of alternative methods of accessing private equity investments as opposed to commingled funds: half
of respondents are open to investing directly in private equity on a proprietary basis and 58% are open to co-investment opportunities alongside fund managers. Forty-two percent either currently use or would consider making use of separate accounts. Outlook for Asia-Based LPs While there has been an improvement in investor sentiment towards private equity, global and regional changes present both challenges and opportunities for Asia-based investors. In particular, ongoing uncertainty about the Chinese economy and the impact of the Bank of Japan’s adoption of negative interest rates may affect investor activity in Asia. LPs are already tempering their returns expectations – only 42% anticipate returns of at least 4.1% in excess of the public market, a sharp decline from every investor interviewed in 2015. Overall, investors in Asia continue to see private equity & venture capital as an essential part of their portfolios, but remain cautious of the impact that global macroeconomic developments may have in the future.
11
Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
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Greater China China, Hong Kong, Macau & Taiwan Fig. 29: Annual Greater China-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 200
Fig. 30: Greater China-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Funds in Market by Fund Type (As at August 2016) 55
188
51
50
180
45
160 140
40
131 113
120
103
100
30
80
80
35
35
109
25
21
20
60
48.4
40
30.3
23.0
20
25
17.0
2011
2012
2013
11.7 2014
2015
14
3.4
0 Buyout
Fund of Funds
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
8
5.1
5
2016 YTD
13.1 9.7
10
0 2010
16.3
15
33.8
32.4
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
No. of Funds Raising
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Growth
Other
Venture Capital
Aggregate Target Capital ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 31: Five Largest Greater China-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Managers by Aggregate Capital Raised in the Last 10 Years (As at August 2016) Headquarters
Primary Strategy
Aggregate Capital Raised in Last 10 Years ($bn)
RRJ Capital
Hong Kong
Buyout
10.3
Hony Capital
China
Buyout
9.9
Firm
CDH Investments
Hong Kong
Growth
8.7
Baring Private Equity Asia
Hong Kong
Growth
8.5
PAG Asia Capital
Hong Kong
Buyout
8.4 Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 32: Number and Aggregate Value of Private EquityBacked Buyout Deals in Greater China, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 250
2,500
35
20 15
100
10 50 5 0
No. of Deals
150
2,000
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
35 30
1,500
25 20
1,000
15 10
500
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
25
45 40
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
30 200 No. of Deals
Fig. 33: Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals* in Greater China, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
5 0
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, venture debt & secondary stock purchases.
12
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Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
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Northeast Asia Japan & South Korea Fig. 34: Annual Northeast Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 35: Northeast Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Funds in Market by Fund Type (As at August 2016)
80
16
71
70
59
60
14
14
64
63
57
12
50
10
41
40
8
8
30
6
20
16
10
4.4
6.3
2010
2011
8.0
5.1
6.6
2013
2014
2015
3 2
1.7
2
3.7
0.7
1.0
0 2012
4
2016 YTD
0.4
0.5
Growth
Venture Capital
1.7
0 Buyout
Fund of Funds
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
1
No. of Funds Raising
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Other
Aggregate Target Capital ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 36: Five Largest Northeast Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Managers by Aggregate Capital Raised in the Last 10 Years (As at August 2016) Firm MBK Partners JAFCO (Japan)
Headquarters
Primary Strategy
Aggregate Capital Raised in Last 10 Years ($bn)
South Korea
Buyout
5.8
Japan
Venture Capital
4.0
South Korea
Buyout
2.7
Unison Capital
Japan
Buyout
2.5
Advantage Partners
Japan
Buyout
2.3
Hahn & Company
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 37: Number and Aggregate Value of Private EquityBacked Buyout Deals in Northeast Asia, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
350
70
12
300
50 8 40 6 30 4
20
2
10
2.0 250
No. of Deals
10
0
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2.5
2015
2016 YTD Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
1.5
200 150
1.0
100 0.5 50 0
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
14 Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
80
60 No. of Deals
Fig. 38: Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals* in Northeast Asia, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
0.0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, venture debt & secondary stock purchases.
© 2016 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com
13
Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
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ASEAN Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Brunei, Cambodia, Myanmar & Laos Fig. 39: Annual ASEAN-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
Fig. 40: ASEAN-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Funds in Market by Fund Type (As at August 2016)
30
30
28
25
28 25
25
19
20 17
17
19.7
20
17
15
15
10
10
6
5.4
5
4.3
4 2.1
1.3
2.3
5
1.9
2
1.0
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Fund of Funds
Year of Final Close
No. of Funds Closed
2.0
1.0
0
Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
Growth
No. of Funds Raising
Venture Capital
Aggregate Target Capital ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 41: Five Largest ASEAN-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Managers by Aggregate Capital Raised in the Last 10 Years (As at August 2016) Firm
Headquarters
Navis Capital Partners Axiom Asia Private Capital
Aggregate Capital Raised in Last 10 Years ($bn)
Primary Strategy
Malaysia
Buyout
3.7
Singapore
Fund of Funds
2.9
Northstar Group
Singapore
Buyout
2.1
L Capital Asia
Singapore
Growth
1.6
Nalanda Capital
Singapore
PIPE
1.5 Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 42: Number and Aggregate Value of Private EquityBacked Buyout Deals in ASEAN, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 10
70
350
9
7 6
40
5 30
4 3
20
2 10
300 2.0 250 No. of Deals
50
2.5
1.5
200 150
1.0
100 0.5 50
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
8
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
60
No. of Deals
Fig. 43: Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals* in ASEAN, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
1 0
0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
0
0.0 2010
2011
2012
No. of Deals
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, venture debt & secondary stock purchases.
14
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Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital
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South Asia Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Nepal & Sri Lanka Fig. 44: Annual South Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fundraising, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 25
Fig. 45: South Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Funds in Market by Fund Type (As at August 2016) 50
22 20
19
20 15
15
44
45 40 35
15
14
31
30 25
10
20 15
5
5
3.1
2.9
2.1
1.9
1.5
10
1.5
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
6.7
5
0.3 2016 YTD
2
0
2
0.7
Buyout
Year of Final Close No. of Funds Closed Aggregate Capital Raised ($bn)
3.1 0.3
Fund of Funds
No. of Funds Raising
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Growth
Venture Capital
2
0.2
Other
Aggregate Target Capital ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 46: Five Largest South Asia-Based Private Equity & Venture Capital Fund Managers by Aggregate Capital Raised in the Last 10 Years (As at August 2016) Firm
Headquarters
Aggregate Capital Raised in Last 10 Years ($bn)
Primary Strategy
ChrysCapital
India
Growth
1.8
Everstone Capital
India
Growth
1.7
India Value Fund Advisors
India
Buyout
1.7
ICICI Venture Funds Management
India
Growth
1.4
Nexus Venture Partners
India
Venture Capital
1.2 Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
Fig. 47: Number and Aggregate Value of Private EquityBacked Buyout Deals in South Asia, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016) 200
8
140 120
5
100
4
80
3
60
2
40
1
20 0
1,000
0 2010
2011 No. of Deals
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
8 7
800
6 5
600
4 400
3 2
200
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
6
9 Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
7
160
10
1,200
No. of Deals
180
No. of Deals
Fig. 48: Number and Aggregate Value of Venture Capital Deals* in South Asia, 2010 - 2016 YTD (As at August 2016)
1 0
0 2010
2011
No. of Deals
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016 YTD
Aggregate Deal Value ($bn)
Source: Preqin Private Equity Online
*Figures exclude add-ons, grants, mergers, venture debt & secondary stock purchases.
© 2016 Preqin Ltd. / www.preqin.com
15
Preqin Special Report: Asian Private Equity & Venture Capital September 2016
Preqin: Global Data and Intelligence With global coverage and detailed information on all aspects of the private equity asset class, Preqin’s industry-leading Private Equity Online services keep you up-to-date on all the latest developments in the private equity universe. Source new investors for funds and co-investments Find the most relevant investors, with access to detailed profiles for over 6,300 institutional investors actively investing in private equity, including future fund searches and mandates, direct contact information and sample investments. Identify potential investment opportunities View in-depth profiles for over 1,700 private equity funds currently in market, including information on investment strategy, geographic focus, key fundraising data, service providers used and sample investors. Find active fund managers in private equity Search for firms actively targeting private equity investments. View information on key contacts, firm fundraising and performance history, and applied strategies of the firm when investing in portfolio companies and assets. Analyze the latest private equity fundraising activity See which firms are currently on the road raising a private equity fund and which will be coming to market soon. Analyze fundraising over time by fund strategy and location. See the latest buyout and venture capital deals and exits View details of more than 153,000 buyout and venture capital deals, including deal value, buyers, sellers, debt financing providers, financial and legal advisors, exit details and more. Identify forthcoming exits and expected IPOs. Benchmark performance Identify which fund managers have the best track records, with performance benchmarks for private equity funds and performance details for over 5,700 individual named funds. Examine fund terms See the typical terms offered by funds of particular types, strategies and geographic foci, and assess the implications of making changes to different fees.
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