Research
Prague Office market report • H1 2008 Contents Prague map
2-3
Market summary
4
Market data
5
Executive summary •
The Prague office market saw very strong leasing activity in the first half of 2008, with take-up of almost 135,000 sq m, nearly double the total recorded in the same period of 2007. The majority of activity continues to centre on the Prague 4 and Prague 5 districts.
•
The Prague market is developing rapidly, with 115,000 sq m of new office space delivered in the first half of the year. With a large amount of space in the pipeline for H2 2008 across Prague, an all-time high level of new supply is likely to be recorded this year.
•
Prime office rents in the city centre have increased to €260 per sq m per annum. With limited space available in the CBD, continued rental growth can be expected over the rest of the year.
•
In common with the rest of Europe, there has been a significant slowing of investment activity in the Prague market. Though there is little transactional evidence, prime yields appear to have softened by around 25 basis points in the first six months of the year to stand at 5.75%.
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Prague office market report • H1 2008
Knight Frank
Prague region Central M Krizíkova
M Malostranská Námestí Republiky
Prague 1 M Staromestská
M
º Mustek M
Národní M trída M Muzeum
M
M Karlovo námestí Andel
M Florenc
M Hlavní Nádraží Jirího z Podebrad M
M I.P. Pavlova
M
Námestí Míru Prague 7
Ruzyne International Airport
Prague 2
Pragu 8
Prague 6 Prague 1
Prague
New supply is limited due to the historic nature of the city centre and demand is strong, especially from smaller occupiers including consultancy firms and smaller
Prague 2
professional organisations. Due to the constricted supply and continued demand, this area commands the highest rents in Prague, which have increased to €260 per sq m per annum.
Prague 5
Prague 4
Prague 13
Prague West (Prague 5) Radlická
M Prague 12
Jinonice M Nové Butovice M
^
M Zlicín M Stodulky
M
Hurka
M
Prague 13
Prague 5
Luka
M Lužiny
Stretching westward from Anděl, principally within the Prague 5 district, new office developments have attracted a diverse group of occupiers, including IT&T, pharmaceutical and financial companies. Recent deals include the lease of 24,000 sq m by Siemens in Stodůlky, which represents the largest letting of office space in Prague West. During the first half of 2008 the most significant new completion was phase 5 of Avenir Business Park which is now fully let. The second half of the year will see the completion of the first phase of Quinlan Private Golub Explora scheme, the 18,447 sq m Jupiter building. The delivery of a number of sizeable developments has restricted rental growth and prime rents within this area currently stand at €168 per sq m per annum.
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3
Prague office market report • H1 2008
Knight Frank
Prague North (Prague 7 & Prague 8)
Prague 8 Nádrazí M Holesovice
Prague 7
Palmovka
M
Vltavská
M M Invalidovna
M
M Krizíkova
Prague 9
Development began in northern Prague in the late 1990s in the
e
Karlín area of Prague 8. The most recent development in Karlín
Prague 14
is Corso II A which will be delivered to the market in Q3 2008.
e3
There has been increased development activity across the Vltava River in Prague 7, including schemes such as the Classic 7 Business Park, situated in Holešovice, which includes 42,500 sq m of office space. Other schemes under construction to the
Prague 10
north of Karlín include the Futurama Business Park at Invalidovna Prague 15
Metro station, including 41,300 sq m of class A office space. Prime rents in Prague North are €174 per sq m per annum.
Prague South (Prague 4) ^
Prague 11
M Vysehrad
M Pražského povstání M Pankrác
5 E6
Prague 4
M Budejovická
M Kacerov
E50 M Roztyly
E50 Chodov M
The most substantial development of new office stock since the mid 1990s has been in Prague 4, to the south of the city centre. There have been record levels of new supply recently, making Prague 4 the most significant decentralised office location within the city. 2008 sees the completion of a number of major schemes including ECM’s 40,000 sq m City Tower and Hochtief’s 36,550 sq m Kavčí Hory. The area is a location of choice for many large foreign tenants, including banking and finance occupiers. Skanska, one of the world’s leading construction groups, will also move their headquarters to this area. Prime rents in Prague 4 currently stand at €190 per sq m per annum.
Knight Frank
Prague office market report • H1 2008
4
Prague offices “Though large volumes of new office space continue to be added to the Prague market, the strength of demand has ensured that the vacancy rate remains relatively low.”
The Prague office market continues to develop rapidly, with the total leasable stock in the city reaching 2.3 million sq m at the end of the second quarter of 2008, of which 70% is new-build and 30% is refurbished. The total new supply expected to be delivered in 2008 is estimated at 287,526 sq m. Office take-up in the first half of 2008 was approximately 133,485 sq m, with the largest volumes of take-up recorded in Prague 4 with 41,973 sq m, and Prague 5 with 38,636 sq m. The overall vacancy rate throughout the Prague market at the end of Q2 2008 was approximately 5.6%, a slight decrease from 5.9% in Q1 2008. During the second half of the year, the vacancy rate is expected to rise moderately due the high amount of new office space coming on stream. As the market in Prague is still relatively small, the vacancy rate tends to fluctuate from quarter to quarter as a result of new office projects being completed. During H1 2008, prime office rents increased to €20-21.50 per sq m per month in central locations, while prime rents in the inner city submarkets outside the CBD achieved €15-17 per sq m per month.
Key leasing transactions H1 2008
“With limited space available in the city centre, the Prague 4 and Prague 5 submarkets continue to take the largest shares of office take-up.”
Scheme
Tenant
Location
Quarter
Západní Město
Siemens
Size (sq m) 24,000
Prague 5
Q2
City Tower
Raiffeisen Bank
17,500
Prague 4
Q1
Kavčí Hory Office Park
Wüstenrot
5,000
Prague 4
Q1
River Garden
FCC Vinci
5,000
Prague 8
Q1
Classic 7
NetCentrum
3,630
Prague 7
Q1
City Tower
ECM
3,000
Prague 4
Q2
Oasis Florenc
J&T
2,637
Prague 8
Q2
Servodata Building
Abloy/FAB
1,974
Prague 10
Q1
Palladium
Nörr Stiefenhofer Lutz
1,820
Prague 1
Q2
Palladium
Wood & Co
1,725
Prague 1
Q1
Arbes
Arbes Technologies
1,650
Prague 5
Q2
Palladium
Cameron McKenna
1,627
Prague 1
Q2
The Park Building 10
Honeywell Aero
1,600
Prague 4
Q1
Gemini - A
Newton Media
1,569
Prague 4
Q2
Source: Knight Frank
Investment market Following several years of rising investment volumes in the Prague market, there was a clear slowing of
“Office investment yields have been softening, though there remains demand for prime product.”
activity in the first half of 2008, as the effects of tightening credit market conditions and global economic uncertainty have been felt. Prime office yields have come under upward pressure, moving out to around 5.75% by the middle of the year. There remains demand for prime office product, particularly from German institutional investors looking for secure long-term cash flows. We are also aware of a number of Pan-European private equity-backed investors looking for opportunistic investments, although their focus tends to be on development led schemes. Fund managers have become increasingly selective in choosing their investment targets and there is currently little interest in secondary assets. The gap between yields on prime and secondary properties has been widening.
Key investment transactions H1 2008 Scheme
Purchaser
Vendor
Anděl Park
SEB Asset Management
Immoeast
Praha City Centre
Generali
Hannover Leasing
Philips Building
Heitman
Invesco
6,000
Source: Knight Frank
Size (sq m)
Location
Price
23,000
Prague 5
€71.5 m
18,500
Prague 1
n/a
Prague 5
€13.8 m
Prague office market report • H1 2008
5
Figure 1
Figure 2
Market balance
Completions 20
0.20
15
0.15
Take-up
Kavčí Hory, Prague 4
2007
Source: Knight Frank
Vacancy rate
H1 2008
2005
0.00
2006
0
2003
0.05
2004
5
2001
2007
H1 2008
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
0.0
2000
0.1
0.10
2002
10
2000
0.2
Vacancy rate (%)
Take-up (million sq m)
0.3
million sq m
Knight Frank
Source: Knight Frank
Figure 3
Figure 4
Total stock
Prime rents 300
2.5
€ per sq m per annum
million sq m
2.0
1.5
1.0
250
200
H1 2008
H1 2007
End 2007
H1 2006
End 2006
H1 2005
End 2005
End 2004
H1 2004
H1 2003
150 End 2003
2005 2006 2007 H1 2008
2003
2004
0.0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
0.5
Source: Knight Frank Source: Knight Frank
Figure 5
Prime yields
Prague data Czech Republic
10
10,240,000
population Prague population
%
8
6
Prague unemployment rate
2.0%
Czech unemployment rate
5.0%
Prague GDP growth
5.1%
Czech GDP growth
4.8%
Czech inflation (June 2008)
6.7%
Budějovická, Prague 4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 H1 2008
1997 1998 1999
Source: Knight Frank/Experian
4
Source: Knight Frank
1,180,000
Research
London Chris Bell Managing Director Europe +44 (0) 20 7629 8171
[email protected] Joe Simpson Partner, International Research +44 (0) 20 7629 8171
[email protected] Matthew Colbourne Research Analyst +44 (0) 20 7629 8171
[email protected] Prague Zdenka Klapalova Director +420 22 421 77 62
[email protected] Premysl Chaloupka Director +420 22 421 77 62
[email protected] Christopher Sheils Head of Investments +420 22 421 77 62
[email protected]
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© Knight Frank LLP 2008 This report is published for general information only. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no legal responsibility can be accepted by Knight Frank Research or Knight Frank LLP for any loss or damage resultant from the contents of this document. As a general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is allowed with proper reference to Knight Frank Research. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.
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