PERFORMANCE & FINANCIAL RESULTS – 9M14 November 4, 2014
1
Performance & Financial Results – 9M14
About Us Market Performance
Financial Results
About Us
2
Shareholder Structure
Free Float 29% İş Bank & İş Bank Group Companies 71%
Business Lines •
Brokerage & Trading
•
Investment Advisory
•
Asset Management
•
Corporate Finance
•
Research
Subsidiaries* IS Private Equity: (Share: 29.1%) (Ticker: ISGSY:TI) Turkey’s largest Private Equity company and listed since 2004; 26.5% IRR (Internal Rate of Return) on USD basis from 11 exits
Credit Rating ‘AA+(tur)’ The first and the only investment house that has (AA+) credit rating in Turkey
IS Investment Trust (Share: 28.9%) (Ticker: ISYAT:TI) Turkey’s leading Investment Trust; listed since 1996, represents more than 50% of the sector with its c. TL 250mn portfolio IS Asset Management: (Share: 70.0%) Turkey’s leading portfolio management company managing mainly IS Group funds, represents more than 20% of the fund market with its TL15.9bn AuM Maxis Investments: (Share: 100.0%) London headquartered B Group capital markets licensed subsidiary
Corporate Governance Rating ‘AAA (Trk)/Distinctive’ The first and the only investment house that has a corporate governance rating in Turkey
IS Investments Gulf: (Share: 100.0%) We are liquidating our fully owned subsidiary based in Dubai Efes NPL Asset Management: (Share: 74.0%) Aims to manage mainly banks’ NPLs * Current structure
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Performance & Financial Results – 9M14
About Us Market Performance Financial Results
Capital Markets Trading Volume* IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Billion)
Equity Market (TL Billion)
1400 1200 1000 800 600
1,244
1,239
400
200 0 2013/9
4
2014/9
120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
1
10%
1
8.5%
7.6%
8% 6%
105.7
4%
94.5
2% 0% 2013/9 Volume
2014/9 Market Share
Rank
Source: Borsa Istanbul
#1 IS Investment
Despite the all unfavourable local and global conditions, the trading volume of the equity market reached 9M13 * Market transactions by members
7.6%
Broker 1
7.5%
Broker 2
7.3%
Broker 3
4.6%
Broker 4
3.9%
We keep leading the market by 7.6% which is expected to increase oncoming periods
Capital Markets Trading Volume* IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Billion)
Derivatives Market (TL Billion)
700 600 500 400 300
647
(3)%
629
200
100 0 2013/9
5
2014/9
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
1
16%
1
13.8%
14% 10.9%
12% 10% 8%
89.0
6%
68.7
4% 2% 0% 2013/9 Volume
2014/9 Market Share
Rank
Source: Borsa Istanbul & TurkDEX
#1 IS Investment
Although the volatile equity market continued to press on the derivatives market, the trading volume realized almost same as 9M13 * Market transactions by members
10.9%
Broker 1
10.3%
Broker 2
6.6%
Broker 3
4.9%
Broker 4
4.7%
Some of our clients carry on their wait&see policy but even so we kept staying at the leading position by 10.9% market share
Capital Markets Trading Volume* Bills & Bonds Market (TL Billion)
IS Investment’s Market Share* (TL Billion) 8
700
7
600
5
4
6.0%
7.1%
6
500
8% 6%
5
400 300
6
4
661
478
200
3
4%
6.8
6.0
2
2%
1
100
0
0 2013/9
2014/9
0% 2013/9 Volume
2014/9 Market Share
Rank
Source: Borsa Istanbul Broker 1
28.6%
Broker 2
24.0%
Broker 3
9.9%
#4 IS Investment Broker 4
7.1% 5.4%
* Among brokerage houses
In addition to the sharp interest rate hike and unpredictable monetary policy, rising inflation was also a considerable reason for fixed income investors to stay away the market * Market transactions by members
In spite of not intermediating our main shareholder IsBank’s bills&bond transactions, we mostly take place in top 5
Capital Markets Trading Volume* Securities L/B Market (TL Million)
9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 8,522
4,000 3,000 2,000
4,724
1,000 0 2013/9
2014/9
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IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Million) 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0
35%
30.7%
30% 25% 19.7%
15%
1,679
1,449
20%
10% 5% 0%
2013/9 Volume
2014/9 Market Share
Rank
Source: Istanbul Settlement and Custody Bank Inc.
L/B market continue to benefit the lower costs
* Market transactions by members
The recovery in the equity market reflected positively to our L/B activities
Capital Markets IPOs
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Debt Instruments Offerings (TL Billion)
IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Billion)
60
12
50
10 21.2
40 30
7.3
6 4
20 10
8
1.2 0.5
29.7
29.9
2013/9
2014/9
9.3
8.3
2 0
0 IPOs
Private Placements
2013/9
2014/9 IPOs
Private Placements
Source: Borsa Istanbul
- As estimated before, the total size of the offerings increased 38% despite the unfavourable yields - Private placements had a considerable impact
We completed 75 corporate bond offerings (33 IPOs and 42 private placements) and gained market share of 21% in total offerings and 31% in IPOs
Capital Markets
9
FX Margin Trading* (TL Billion)
3500 3000 2500 2000 3,245
1500 1000
2,034
500 0 2013/6
2014/6
IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Billion) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0
14.1%
1
10%
403
* Including hedging transactions
5%
287
0% 2013/6 Volume
Source: TSPB, Last publicly announced data
15%
1
12.4%
#1 IS Investment
2014/6 Market Share
Rank
12.4%
Broker 1
10.4%
Broker 2
9.7%
Broker 3
8.0%
Broker 4
7.8%
FX margin trading has become a sustainable business line by comfortably diversifying our operating revenues
Capital Markets
10
International Capital Markets
USD Million 1000
Thousands 650
643 863
800
Equity Margin Trading (TL Million)
720
682
531
600
520 390
378
400
260
300 250
130
0
0 2013/9 Fixed Income
2014/9 Equity
# Der. Contracts (Right Axis)
Source: IS Investment
Our international capital markets activity is always a valuable asset for revenue generation
15%
200 150 100
200
20%
10%
266
239
5%
50 0
0% 2013/9
2014/9 Volume
Market Share
#REF!
Source: IS Investment
Despite the higher interest rates, our fully collateralized equity margin trading business kept its attraction and the volume increased 11% with respect to the same period of last year
Capital Markets
11
IS Investment’s Market Share (TL Billion)
Asset Management (TL Billion) 70
Mutual Funds
18
Pension Funds 60
16
50 40
14
32 31
Mutual Funds* Pension Funds
30
Other Funds** 20 10
25
32
12 10
6 4
0 2013/9
7.8
8
2
0
7.9
2014/9
Market Share 23%
4.6
6.0
2.3
2.6
2013/9
2014/9
Market Share 19%
Source: IS Investment & IS Asset Management
Pension fund size continue to grow in Turkey with a growth rate of 30% due to the undeniable support of the new regulation ran in force at the beginning of 2013
AuM size reached TL 16.5 billion surging by 11% on annual basis, while pension funds which take considerable portion of our portfolio management commissions, grew by 29% Y-o-Y
* Mutual funds includes A and B type funds, ETFs. ** Other funds includes portfolios of private asset management, alternative investment products management, Turkishfund (SICAV) and portfolio of IS Investment Trust
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Performance & Financial Results – 9M14
About Us Market Performance Financial Results
Financial Results Consolidated
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IS Investment - Consolidated (TL000) Total Assets Shareholders' Equity Net Profit
9M13
9M14
4,708,757
4,928,220
492,883
541,250
48,144
41,359
YoY (%) 5 10 (14)
TL Million
22.5%
5,500 5,000
19.4%
4,500
4,928
4,771 18.2%
17.9%
20%
4,166 15.9%
4,000 3,500 3,000
15.2% 13.1%
3,063 13.5%
2,686
2,539
ROAE 24%
12%
2,500 2,000 1,500
1,569
1,241
8%
1,000
500 0
2007
329
268
244 38.4
45.9 2008
Total Assets
16%
2009
375 67.5
400
64.2 2010
Shareholders' Equity
460 68.7
52.4 2011
2012
Net Profit (Trailing, last 4 quarters)
520
74.4 2013*
541
4%
67.7 9M14
0%
ROAE
* Restated financials
Against the high base effect of 3Q13, we announced our 9M14 net profit as TL 41.4mn decreased by only 14%; the ROE realized as 13%
Financial Results Consolidated Net Profit
14
TL Million 80 Q3
70
Q2 Q1
60
Full Year 50
7.5 21.3
40 67.5
30
24.2 20
12.238.4
45.9
24.0
13.7
16.7 64.2
68.7
22.1
0
7.4 4.9 2007
10.5 2.1 2008
31.6
18.2 10.0 2009
2011
11.7 11.6
7.9 2010
6.6
?
52.4
11.1 12.6
10
24.874.4
2012
2013*
29.8
5.0 2014
* Restated financials
Our 3Q14 net profit would be higher with respect to the same period of last year if we offset TL 21mn profit contribution of IS Private Equity’s exit from Aras Kargo in 3Q13
Financial Results Consolidation Effect
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Consolidated Net Profit = [IS Investment Solo Net Profit + Contributions from Subsidiaries] – Elimination Adjustments Net Profit in TL IS Investment Solo Net Profit
IS Investment Only
IS Investment Trust IS Private Equity Contributions from Subsidiaries
IS Asset Management Efes NPL Asset Management
Elimination Adjustments
Consolidated Net Profit
Elimination Adjustments* Consolidated Net Profit
9M13
9M14 YoY (%)
42,744,136
36,236,724
(15)
2,335,882
4,412,552
89
21,987,059
3,586,831
(84)
5,300,921
4,984,368
(6)
(2,395,195)
6,469,152
n.a.
(21,828,314)
(14,330,335)
n.a.
48,144,489
41,359,292
(14)
* Dividend and revenue elimination with subsidiaries
Our
non-consolidated net income decreased by only 15% Y-o-Y in spite of the weak brokerage in the first half and lack of equity IPO during the period IS Private Equity has a high base effect due to its successful Aras Kargo exit in 3Q13 Investment Trust benefited the higher index levels and its FRN portfolio especially in the second quarter while adversely affected by the lower index level as of end of the 3 rd quarter IS Asset Management kept its sustainable contribution which is estimated to be better in the last quarter Efes NPL Asset Management kept its contribution same as the first half but the last quarter is promising
Financial Results Breakdown of Operating Revenues
Breakdown of Revenues (TL 000)
16
9M13
9M14
Interest and Trading Income
137,216
142,172
Commission Revenues*
120,634
93,262
(23)
257,850
235,434
(9)
Total Operating Revenues
Operating Revenues – 9M13
Commission Income 47%
TL 258mn
Interest and Trading Income 53%
YoY (%) 4
Operating Revenues – 9M14
Commission Income 40%
TL 235mn
Interest and Trading Income 60%
* Client based FX margin trading revenues are added to the commission revenues
Against the high revenue generation from the PE exit in 3Q13, our Interest & Trading Income realised slightly higher than 9M13 thanks to the interest rate spreads, challenging index levels and NPL management activities
Financial Results Breakdown of Commissions
17
Commission Revenues (TL 000)
9M13
9M14
YoY (%)
Brokerage*
76,959
63,565
(17)
Corporate Finance
20,652
8,747
(58)
Asset Management
21,935
19,366
(12)
Other Commissions Total
Commission Income – 9M13 Asset Management 18%
Corporate Finance 17%
1,087
1,584
(46)
120,634
93,262
(23)
Commission Income – 9M14
Other Commissions 1% Asset Management 21%
TL 121mn
Brokerage 64%
Other Commissions 2%
Brokerage 68% Corporate Finance 9%
TL 93mn
* FX margin trading revenues are added to the brokerage income
We gradually reduce the negative effects of the poor trading volume in Q1 and the lack of equity IPOs thanks mainly to the better brokerage and FX margin trading activities; besides, asset management revenues were also higher in 3Q14 with respect to 3Q13
Financial Results Interest Rate Sensitive Business Lines
18
Equity Margin Trading Revenue (TL Million)
Interest & Derivative Income (TL Million)
12
30
10
25 20
8
15
6 4 2
11.0 8.9 6.8
8.9
11.1 8.8
7.1 5.3
5.1
5.1
26.8
10
4.9
13.2
5 0
2.8
9.3
7.9
2.6
10.1
9.9
11.5 3.1
-2.6 -5
0 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
Equity margin trading revenues in 9M14 increased 81% Y-o-Y while Interest&Derivative income increased 88% Y-o-Y
Financial Results Breakdown of Operating Expenses
Operating Expenses (TL 000)
9M13
Marketing, Sales and Distribution Expenses General Administrative Expenses Total
Operating Expenses – 9M13
TL 135mn
9M14
YoY (%)
19,202
19,117
115,592
126,963
10
134,794
146,080
8
-
Operating Expenses – 9M14 Marketing Exp. 13%
Marketing Exp. 14%
Adm. Exp. 86%
19
Adm. Exp. 87%
TL 146mn
As we promised, the operating expenses increased by only 8%, which is lower than the inflation, due to our strict cost management policy
Financial Results Price Performance
20
Price Multiples
ISMEN Expectations
P/BV
P/E 12
1.2
11
1.1
10
1.0
9
0.9
8
0.8
7
0.7
6
0.6
5
0.5
4 Dec-12
0.4 Mar-13
Jun-13
Sep-13 P/E
Dec-13
Mar-14
Jun-14
2014e
Edison
Oyak Securities
TL 70.4mn
TL 59.0mn
5.4%
5.3%
P/E
6.0
6.8
P/BV
0.7
0.7
Net Income Dividend Yield
Sep-14
P/BV
ISMEN currently trades on P/E of 4.6x and P/BV of 0.7x, which indicates a significant discount
Financial Results Dividend
21
Cash Dividend
Dividend Yield
TL Million 30
36.0%
25
30%
30.0%
30.0%
32.5%
30.1%
30.1%
40%
32%
9%
8.2%
8% 7%
6.3%
6%
20
24%
15
4.8%
5%
4.1%
24.5
10
19.9
5
9.5
20.0
20.0 15.1
12.9
16% 8%
0
0% May-08
May-09
May-10
May-11
Cash Dividend
May-12
May-13
4.1%
4.0%
4%
3.1%
3%
3.3%
2%
2.3%
1%
2.0%
2.1%
2.2%
May-10
May-11
May-12
1.8%
1.9%
May-13
March-14
0% May-08
March-14
Payout Ratio
May-09
ISMEN
Borsa Istanbul
Source: Borsa Istanbul / Consolidated Data / Market Capitalization
•
We paid back 122% of our IPO proceeds as cash as of March 2014
•
We also distributed 6.9% per share stock dividend; hence the total pay-out ratio realized as 67.6%
•
Our dividend yield is much higher than the market
•
The average dividend yield of ISMEN is 5% within the last 7 years
Investor Relations
22
Ms. Çağlan Mursaloğlu Deputy CEO Phone
: +90 0212 350 23 48
Fax
: +90 0212 350 20 01
E-mail
:
[email protected]
Mr. Ozan Altan Head of IR Phone
:
+90 0212 350 28 72
Fax
:
+90 0212 350 20 01
E-mail
:
[email protected]
Mr. Alper Alkan, CFA Senior Associate
Phone
:
+90 0212 350 25 22
Fax
:
+90 0212 350 20 01
E-mail
:
[email protected]
The Investor Relations Department is responsible for the timely communication of necessary, accurate, complete, comprehensible and easily accessible information and explanations, which are not considered to be trade secrets to its shareholders and stakeholders. http://www.isinvestment.com/wwa_ir_new.aspx
Disclaimer
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The information in this report is prepared by “IS YATIRIM MENKUL DEGERLER A.S.” (IS Investment) and it is not to be construed as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or the provision of an offer to provide investment services. Information, opinions and comments contained in this material are not under the scope of investment advisory services. Investment advisory services are given according to the investment advisory contract, signed between the intermediary institutions, portfolio management companies, investment banks and the clients. Opinions and comments contained in this report reflect the personal views of the analysts who supplied them. The investments discussed or recommended in this report may involve significant risk, may be illiquid and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, making decisions with respect to the information in this report cause inappropriate results. All prices, data and other information are not warranted as to completeness or accuracy and are subject to change without notice. Any form of reproduction, dissemination, copying, disclosure, modification, distribution and/or publication of this report is strictly prohibited. The information presented in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. IS Investment cannot be held responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of such information.
IS Investment
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HEAD OFFICE
ADANA BRANCH
AKARETLER BRANCH
ANKARA BRANCH
ANTALYA BRANCH
BURSA BRANCH
İZMİR BRANCH
KALAMIŞ BRANCH
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SUBSIDIARY
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PERFORMANCE & FINANCIAL RESULTS – 9M14 November 4, 2014