JUNE 2016
OOH and M&A – A Look Ahead Mark Boidman Managing Director, Peter J. Solomon Company @MBoidman
Providing Advice to Clients for Over 27 Years
Completed over $180 billion of M&A, restructuring and financing advisory assignments
Advisor to Boards of Directors
PJSC is at the forefront of media and technology Mergers & Acquisitions Advisory
PJSC
Advisor on Public and Private Capital Raising
Restructuring / Recapitalization Advisory
Assignments in OOH / DOOH / Digital Signage / Retail Tech have included*:
*Assignments of PJSC and / or Mark Boidman. 1
Investment by Natixis Provides Access to Global M&A and Financing Platform In February 2016, Natixis announced an agreement for a majority investment in Peter J. Solomon Company to serve as its U.S. investment banking platform
Global Platform Americas
EMEA
Asia Pacific
2,600 Employees across all platforms
13,200 Employees across all platforms
500 Employees across all platforms
Corporate & Investment Banking offices in New York, Los Angeles, Houston, Montréal, Bogotá, Buenos Aires, Lima, Mexico City and São Paulo
Corporate & Investment Banking offices in London, Madrid, Milan, Frankfurt and Dubai along with corporate subsidiaries in Moscow and Frankfurt
Strong track record in providing financing solutions to private equity clients
Paris houses all major divisions, including capital markets and asset management
Corporate & Investment Banking offices in 12 countries organized around Hong Kong regional center (Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam)
In 2015, acquired Leonardo & Co., an M&A advisory firm in France, and 360 Corporate Finance, a financial advisory firm in Spain
High performing asset management business with over $20bn AUM
Capital Markets Expertise Debt Capital Markets
Strategic Equity Transactions
Assists clients in raising capital for acquisitions, leveraged buyouts, restructurings and recapitalizations
Assist clients in optimizing listed equity stakes
Customized structured solutions to facilitate accelerated share repurchases
Financing and risk management for equity positions, including hedging strategies, margin loans and equity swaps
Investment grade bonds
Global trading capabilities
Significant cross border transaction experience complemented by multi-currency funding capabilities
Ability to structure and execute jumbo transactions
Syndication and distribution capabilities to support corporate and financial sponsor clients
Structure, arrange and underwrite: – First lien and second lien loans First lien and second lien loans – Bridge facilities Bridge facilities – High yield
High yield bonds
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
What We Cover in OOH / DOOH / Digital Signage / POS the Americas Billboard National
Airport / Aerial / Water
Point of Care
Restaurant
Content
Solutions / Kiosk / Other
Bar / Club
Health / Personal Care
Stadium / Arena
Background Music
Office / Elevator
Transit / Taxi Shopping Mall
Hotel
Local
Movie Theater
Gas Station
Retail Canada
Grocery POS
Smart Cities Agency Latin America
Source: Company financials and websites, MagnaGlobal, Outdoor Advertising Association of America, Digital Place-Based Advertising Association, FactSet and Wall Street research.
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What We Cover in OOH / DOOH / Digital Signage / POS (Europe + Asia) Digital Out of Home
Billboard / Outdoor Belgium
Solutions / Kiosk / Other
Eastern Europe
Germany France Poland
Scandinavia Italy
Turkey Netherlands U.K.
Asia Spain
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Defining the Global Intelligent Visual Communications Industry 2015 – 2019
Out of Home Media $38B going to $46B
DOOH $11B going to $19B
Retail Technology $27B going to $40B – $45B
Digital Signage $16B going to $22B
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Executive Summary
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Robust OOH Industry Outlook Driven By Stability in macro fundamentals Technology as a friend and penetration of digital Ubiquity of mobile
OOH Industry Challenges Defending / taking share of advertising spend Measurability and demonstrating clear ROI for advertising clients Ease of buying - buyers and sellers resisting change
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Global Out-of-Home Footprint U.K. & Ireland
Canada Germany Poland
Scandinavia Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania
Belgium
Netherlands
France
USA Spain China
`
Italy
Thailand Mexico Turkey
Brazil Chile Australia Switzerland
Source: FEPE, company websites.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Global OOH Spending
Global OOH Advertising Revenue
Global DOOH Advertising Revenue
(Amount in Billions)
(Amount in Billions)
$50 40
$36
$38
$40
$42
$44
$46
$49
$25
$21 $19
20
30
15
20
10
10
5
$10
$11
$16
$14
$13
0
0 2014A
2015A
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
2014A
2020E
Global DOOH as a Share of Total OOH Revenue
2015A
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
2020E
2019 Estimated DOOH Penetration in Digital Markets
75% 50% 40% 30%
27%
29%
32%
34%
37%
40%
44%
60%
60%
54% 42%
40%
China
Global Average
30% 15%
10%
0% Singapore
0% 2015A
56%
45%
20%
2014A
58%
2016E
2017E
2018E
2019E
US
Hong Kong
UK
2020E
Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Global OOH Spending 2016 Estimated OOH Main Markets Spending (Amount in Billions)
$10
$9.0 $7.5
8
$7.2
6 4 $1.7
2
$1.4
$1.4
$1.2
$0.9
$0.6
$0.6
$0.4
$0.4
$0.3
Brazil
Australia
Canada
India
Spain
Mexico
0 China
US
Japan
UK
France
South Korea
Germany
2015 Global OOH Revenue By Category
Other Transportation
8%
Billboard & Large Format 18%
45%
28%
Urban Furniture Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Global OOH Spending 2016 Estimated OOH Share of Total Advertising in Main Markets
25% 20%
20% 17%
15%
12%
12%
10%
8%
7%
7%
6%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
4%
-Japan
South Korea
France
China
UK
5%
5%
Mexico
Spain
Australia
Brazil
Canada
Germany
India
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
US
2016 Estimated OOH Growth in Main Markets
20% 16%
15%
12% 8%
8%
6%
4%
4%
1%
0% Brazil
China
India
Australia
US
UK
Mexico
Japan
Spain
Canada
Germany
South Korea
France
Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research.
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2015 Outdoor Revenues
North America
International
(Amounts in Billions) $3.6
$2.8
$1.5 $3.3 $1.5 $0.1
$1.4 $1.2 $0.9
$1.3
$0.6
$1.4
$0.3
$0.2
$0.2
$0.2
$0.2
$0.2
$0.2
APN
oOh! Media
Asiaray
$0.1
$0.3 JCDecaux
CCO
OUTFRONT
Lamar
Focus
Ströer
Exterion
APG|SGA
Metrobus Clear Media Intersection
Russ
Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Global Advertising Spend Top 10 Global OOH Advertisers Excluding Asia (Amount in Millions)
$105
$59
McDonalds
Apple
$51
$48
Warner Bros Pictures
Verizon
$44
$44
British Sky Broadcasting
Coca-Cola
$36
$35
20th Century Fox
Metro PCS
$28
$28
Geico
Talktalk
Top 15 Global Advertisers in 2015 (Amount in Billions) $15.0 $12.2 $9.1
$8.3 $5.9
Microsoft
Google
Amazon
P&G
Comcast
$5.5
Expedia
$5.1
GM
$4.3
Ford
$4.0
Coca-Cola
$3.2
$3.1
$3.0
Nike
American Express
Priceline
$2.7
$2.7
Verizon JP Morgan
$2.6
Walt Disney
Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research, OAAA, Outsmart.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Out of Home Advertising Investment Thesis
Agency buying structure Considerations
Municipalities looking for dollars More sophisticated property owners aware of values to be extracted from OOH operators Digitization / Mobile ̶ Continued conversion into digital billboard displays ̶ Location-based marketing and mobile ad opportunities
Near Term Growth Strategy
Adopt audience measurement and buying techniques providing accountability ̶ Data to supplement existing OOH ratings, e.g., beacon or other tech ̶ Ad Exchanges / Programmatic Buying
Source: Wall Street Research.
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Current Agency Buying Structure Remains Challenge Buyers resisting changes to planning and buying OOH Software platforms to OOH industry are threat to selling proposition of specialists “buying this media is hard and requires years of experience” – Importance of data + software that increases access and reduces fragmentation; traditional OOH specialist forced to adapt or become extinct
Sellers have over years invested in these relationships The better the relationship = better sales. Hard to get friendly with automated platform Sellers looking to increase demand + reduce friction in selling their media (while maintaining primary control) – Software as the solution…not specialists
The industry has to adapt or stall OOH industry sales
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Defending / Taking Share of Global Advertising Spend Potential Problem: $40B OOH ad bucket may not grow enough to offset supply More digital billboards replace non-digital signage, with more faces (debatable) More DPB networks getting deployed (most are not making money) – Not taking share from other ad buckets, + with more faces in the marketplace, potentially only taking share from each other
Potential Solution: “Blur the Buckets” leads to more value and better pricing Use technology to be/feel more "digital" so that OOH can attract dollars that today go into other ad buckets Approach mobile + OOH as one product to change the face of OOH attribution and put OOH higher up in the planning as marketing mix is being determined
Source: Wall Street Research.
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Use Technology to Measure and as Bridge to Attribution Impressions
Duration
How many views does display get?
New vs. Repeat
Enhancing Value of How long do they stand in front of the display?
OOH Frequency
What % of people are new? What % have I seen before?
How frequently do people view display?
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Attribution and Engagement Measure the percentage of people who were exposed to or engaged with the ads and subsequently visited a store and / or made a purchase Impressions
Visit
In-Store Analytics • Storefront Conversion • Visit Duration • Visit Frequency • Interaction / Engagement
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Total Global Ad Spending by Category Mobile and online video = the leading advertising categories over the next few years OOH only traditional medium expected to show real growth ($ in Billions) 250
2015
2018
207 200
191
150 115
114
Traditional Media Category
104 100 66 50
44 38
--
3-Yr Compound Growth Rate (’15-’18):
60
47
*
34
Television
Desktop Internet
Mobile Internet
Newspapers
OOH Media
2.8%
3.7%
34.0%
(2.9%)
5.0%
36
Radio
2.5%
33
30
Magazines
(3.1%)
Source: Peter J. Solomon Company Wall Street research. Note: Total media ad spending worldwide in 2015 of $515 billion and growing to $610 billion in 2018. * Includes both linear and non-linear television. Non-linear includes non-traditional television such as Netflix, Hulu and other over-the-top programming.
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Select Media Channels Trading Performance EV / 2016E EBITDA 12.5 x
11.7 x 8.6 x
7.7 x 5.7 x
Digital Media
OOH Media
TV / Radio Broadcasting
Retail Tech / Digital Signage
Newspapers
Source: Capital IQ as of May 25, 2016.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Out of Home Comparable Companies EV / 2016E EBITDA Potential unlocked “REIT” value could increase multiple to 14.0x-16.0x in current low interest rate environment
13.1 x 11.5 x
12.0 x 10.9 x
Source: Capital IQ as of May 25, 2016.
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PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
The Smart Cities Opportunity For Digital Signage / DOOH is Huge…
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Smart Cities Opportunity
Smart cities represent a $1.5 trillion market opportunity in energy, transportation, infrastructure and governance Currently 28 “smart cities” spread throughout Europe, North America and Asia Pacific Additional 102 planned and inprogress smart cities, with 88 expected to be successfully completed by 2025
100 88
Number of Smart Cities
80
60 45 39
40
20
21
24
28
33
0 2013
2014
2015
2016E
2017E
2018E
2025E
Source: Frost and Sullivan, IHS Technology research and MIT Technology Review.
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Participants in the Smart City Market Opportunity for OOH operators to participate in potential massive market
Product Vendors
Provide smart meters and distribution devices (e.g., automated switches, voltage regulators) that operate as main nodes of connectivity
Network Service Providers
Integrators
Provide integrated turnkey solutions that package together various smart city capabilities and technologies
Offer collaborative networks and enterprise working solutions that connect people, assets and systems by leveraging M2M capabilities
Managed Service Providers
Offer around-theclock monitoring, management and compliance services and on-site consulting for smart city solution providers
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