New Trends of FPD 3D TV and New Applications
Sangyo-Times Inc The Semiconductor Industry News Editorial Div. Chief Editor Akihiro Tsumura
[email protected]
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Agenda ■Introduction What’s “The Semiconductor Industry News”
■FPD industry in Japan ■3D TV and New Applications
DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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■Introduction What’s “The Semiconductor Industry News”
■FPD industry in Japan ■3D TV and New Applications
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・publishing since Jan.1991、Weekly paper ・HQ= HQ=Tokyo, Branch= Branch=Osaka,Nagoya,Fukuoka,Seoul,Shanghai
READERS
http://www.semicon-news.co.jp/ Semiconductor manufacturer
7% 1% 11% 13%
Device User
32%
Circulation 28,000
15%
Equipment / Material manufacturer Finace / Analyst / Government, etc PCB / LCD manufacturer Device / Equipmet / Meterial Vendor
21%
Engineering company
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READERS in detail Fab 8%
Sales
8%
32%
R&D
Semiconductor manufacturer
Purchase Design
10%
Process Development Maintenance
11%
Palent 27%
Device User
other
OA / Computer Digital / Home appliance Communication Measurement / Control Machine tool Precision Car Heavy Electronics Aerospace other
4% 5% 7%
38%
7% 10% 24% DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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READERS in detail Equipment / Material manufacturer Wafer Process Tool Test/Measuremet Tool 4%
20%
Assembly Tool
5%
Gas related Wafer manuf Tool
7%
Clean Room related Mask / Reticle manuf Tool 7%
16%
Assembly related Material Chemical / Parts / Accessory Wafer related Material
8%
Design Tool 9%
8% 9%
Mask related Material other
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■Introduction What’s “The Semiconductor Industry News”
■FPD industry in Japan ■3D TV and New Applications
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Large-size TFT Fab Sharp Sakai 10G (2850×3050) Phase1 36K Phase2 36K
IPS Alpha Mobara
IPS Alpha Himeji
6G (1500×1850) 85K
8.5G (2200×2500) Phase1 45K Phase2 25K
Sharp Kameyama2 8G (2160×2400) 100K
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Small-Medium size TFT Fab NEC LCD Technology Seiko Epson Tottori5 550×670 LTPS Tottori6 680×880 aTFT
Akita1 370×470 aTFT Akita2 550×650 aTFT
Toshiba Mobile Display Ishikawa2 550×670 aTFT Ishikawa3・4 730×920 LTPS
Sony Mobile Display Yasu 550×650 LTPS
Sharp
Toshiba Mobile Display Fukaya2 550×670 LTPS
Yonago 405×515 aTFT
Hitachi Displays MobaraV2 650×830 aTFT MobaraV3 730×920 aTFT / LTPS
Sharp
Sharp
Tenri 650×720 LTPS Mie1A 550×650 aTFT Mie2 680×880 aTFT Melco 410×520 aTFT Mie3 730×920 LTPS
Mitsubishi
Sony Mobile Display Higashiura 600×720 LTPS
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PDP, OLED Fab Tohoku Pioneer
Lumiotec
Yonezawa PMOLED
Yonezawa OLED Lighting
Tohoku Device Aomori OLED Lighting
Rohm
Kyocera
kyoto PMOLED
Yasu AMOLED
Toshiba Mobile Display Ishikawa AMOLED
Panasonic Amagasaki PDP
Hitachi Displays Mobara AMOLED
Casio / Toppan Kouchi AMOLED
Sony Higashiura AMOLED
Konica Minolta Hino OLED Lighting
10
LCD sales result 2005~2009 ( billion \ )
(%)
400
10
350
5
300 0
250 200
-5
150
-10
Revenue
100
-15
Operating Income Ratio
50 0
-20 05Q1
Q3
06Q1
Q3
07Q1
Q3
08Q1
Q3
09Q1
Q3
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TOP5 LCD panel manuf sales ( billion \ ) 2400
2000
1600
1200
Sony Mobile Display Seiko Epson Hitachi Displays Toshiba Mobile Display Sharp
800
400
0 FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09(F)
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Company
Location
Glass size
Comment
Expansion Plans
Expansion Sharp
Sakai
2850×3050
Phase1 = 36K fullcapacity in Dec.09 Phase2 = 36K fullcapacity in Oct.10 Phase1-1 = 25K start in Jul.10
IPS Alpha
Himeji
2200×2500
Phase1-2 = 20K start till mar.11 Phase1-3 = 25K start till Dec.11
Relocation
Relocation Sharp
Kameyama1
1500×1800
Move to CEC Panda Elec, China
Sony
Tottori6
680×880
Get from Seiko-Epson in Apr.10
Toshiba
TFPD
360×465
Lend to Nissha Printing for Touch panel manufacturing
Toshiba
Ishikawa
aTFT
Move to Heyuan Greentech Elec, China
Line Change shift Hitachi
MobaraV1
370×470
shift to OLED R&D line
Casio
Kouchi
320×400
establish OLED JV with Toppan Printing
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TFT LCD Manufacturing Equipment Market ( billion $ ) 15
120% 100%
12
80% Market Size
60%
YOY grow th ratio
9
40% 13.3
6
13.8
12.6
20%
10.5 3
10.4 8.1
6.7 3.8
5.2
11.8
6.9
6.3
0% 8.4 6.3
-20% -40%
0
-60% 2000
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09(F) 10(F) 11(F) 12(F) 13(F) Source : DisplaySearch
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FPD Manufacturing Equipment Statistical Data (Japanese Equipment) ( billion \ )
600
150% Market Size YOY growth ratio
500
100%
400
50%
300
561
200 275
100 0
74 98
154
231
285
527
543
503
450
376
358
250
300
0% -50% -100%
99
2000
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09(F) 10(F) 11(F)
FPD Manufacturing Equipment Statistical Data (Japan Market) ( billion \ )
200
150% Market Size YOY growth ratio
150
100% 50%
100
173 131
50 50
126 83
65
101
104
125
0%
144 87
98
120
100
0
-50% -100%
98
99
2000
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09(F) 10(F) 11(F)
Source : Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan (SEAJ) DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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■Introduction What’s “The Semiconductor Industry News”
■FPD industry in Japan ■3D TV and New Applications
DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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TV Shipments in Japan (thousand Units)
ECO POINT
1600 1400 unit
1200
70% 60%
Start!
YOY growth ratio
50%
1000
40%
800 30%
600
20%
400
10%
200 0 10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
09.1
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
08.1
0%
Source : Japan Electronics and Information Technology Industries Association (JEITA)
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on the market 2010
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Why 3D Now? ■Hollywood contents changing “AVATAR” “Monsters vs Aliens” “Toy-story 3D” “Journey to the Center of the Earth”
“TRANSFORMERS” “Ice Age 3” “Harry Potter” (next series) “Star Wars” (Now Remaking)
Worldwide Digital / 3D theater forecast
screen 83000
75000 16700
43300
15000 2008
Not Digital
2010
2012
Digital / Not 3D
2014
Digital / 3D
2016
2018
Source : Seed Planning
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Why 3D Now? ■3D TV release in 2010 ■Develop High Frame Rate Single Lens 3D Camera Technology ■Develop 360 Degree-Viewable Display ■Announce the World's First 3D FIFA World Cup 2010 ■3D technology embedded into PC, DVD, Game, Software
■3D TV release in 2010 ■Develop New Professional 3D Production System DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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Why 3D Now? The Blu-ray Disc Association (BDA) Announced its plans for incorporating 3D into the widely successful Blu-ray Disc format.
BDA supporting Companies Board of Directors Apple, Inc. Dell HP Hitachi Intel Corporation LG Mitsubishi Electric Panasonic Pioneer Philips
Samsung Sharp Sony Sun Microsystems TDK Thomson Twentieth Century Fox Walt Disney Warner Bros.
Contributors 58 companies
General Members 110 companies
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Why 3D Now? Established Mar.2003 http://www.3dc.gr.jp/english/index.html
----- Steering Members ----NAMCO BANDAI Games National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology
NTT Data Sanyo Electric SEIKO EPSON
SGI Japan Sharp Sony
----- Standard Members ----■Japan 44 companies
■Oversea 4 companies
----- Supporting Members ----■Japan 70 comp / org / individual ■Oversea 17 comp / org / individual
Topics
Dec.2009 Revise 3DC Safety Guideline DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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3D Technology Glass (stereoscopic)
No Glass (Auto stereoscopic)
Integral Imaging
Lenticular Lens
Samsung, AUO, CMO, etc Toshiba (optically compensated bend)
Parallax Barrier
Sharp, NewsightJapan, CPT LGD, etc
Parallax Barrier
Lenticular Lens
Toshiba
Horizontally DoubleDouble-Density Pixels
R-L Strip Picture
NEC
Source : Nakahara Design
HDDP
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Public Information Displays US Commercial Distribution Sell-Through of Large (26”+) Professional Use LCDs
Source : DisplaySearch Jan’09 Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
1000
Jul
Aug
Sep
(billion \)
800
Digital Signage market forecast in Japan
Contents / Advertising / Sales promotion Hardware / Circuit cost / Software
600
Source : Seed Planning 400 200
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012 2013 2014 2015 DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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Entertainment World’s Top Gaming Equipment Manufacturers International Game Technology Lottomatica (GTECH) Konami WMS Industries Bally Technologies
Aristocrat Technologies Global Cash Access Shuffl e Master Multimedia Games Transact Technologies
Gaming Equipment Manufacturing ( billion $ ) Economic Output 30
Indirect Direct
25 20 15 10 5 Source:IGT
7.5
11.2
11.9
11.9
12.7
2007
2008
8.8
8.0
9.4
2005
2006
0 Source: AGEM DIGITIMES Taiwan 091222
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Entertainment Pachinko machine market
(billion \) 1500
1000
1406
1390
1357
500
1143
0 2005
2006
2007
2008
Pachinko Halls & machine number (thousand Units) 5100
18000
5000
16000
4900
14000 12000
4800
10000
4700 4600
4864
4500
Pachinko Hall
4892
4969
4899
Machine placement Number
4400
8000
4937
6000 4591
Number of Hall
4000 4526
4300
2000 0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
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Portable Games (thousand Units)
50000 45000 40000 35000
9600
30000 25000
14100
13800
14100
1590
420
30310
31180
4340
15000
30000
20000 15000
23560
10000 5000
PSP
8330
GameBoy Advance DS
11460
0 FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09(F)
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Summary ■3D Display is not boom, but to be real business ■Glass system drives market growth ■Non-glass system doesn’t fix standard ■Application for 3D are TV, Signage, Amusement ■Japan is “treasure house” for 3D application
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Thank you for your attention See you again at 2010.4.14~16 Tokyo Big Sight
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