Natural Gas Pipeline Economics

Natural Gas Pipeline Economics by Widodo W. Purwanto Departemen Teknik Kimia Type of natural gas transportation How to bring natural gas from the f...
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Natural Gas Pipeline Economics by Widodo W. Purwanto

Departemen Teknik Kimia

Type of natural gas transportation How to bring natural gas from the fields to potential gas markets? Pipeline Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

GAS SUPPLY

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Gas to hydrate (GTH)

GAS MARKETS

Gas to Liquids (GTL) Gas to Chemicals (GTC) Gas to Wire (GTW)

Physical transportation Chemical conversion

: pipeline, LNG, CNG, GTH : GTL, GTC, GTW

Concept map natural gas transportation

Source: Hetland

The European Gas Pipeline

“The Sumatran Gas Hub”

MALAYSIAKerteh Kuala Lumpur

NATUNA SEA

SUMATRA Duri

Singapore Batam 600 Kms South Jambi B PSC

1. Corridor Block to Duri

540 Km 1999

2. Corridor Block to Singapore

530 Km 2003

3. Corridor Block to PLN Jkt

606 Km 2006

-----------1676 Km ======

Corridor PSC

J A V A

S E A

Jakarta

JAVA

© PEUI -2007

West Java Gas Market ASAHIMAS CHEMICALS CHANDRA ASRI OTHER PETCHEM

TANJUNG PRIOK

MUARA KRAKATAU KARANG STEEL*

MUARA TAWAR

PGN JAKARTA

EXOR-I LPG MUNDU

CIKARANG LISTRINDO* 26”-12km

24”-74km

BITUNG

Gas Consumer

WALAHAR 24”-45km

24”-27km

24”-51km

10”-27km

SERPONG

TEGAL GEDE

CIMANGGIS

Gas Processing Facility Comp. Station

10”-12km

City Existing Pipeline Current Users

WEST JAVA

BOGOR

CITEUREUP

18”-45km

Potential Users

* Not taking gas/taking minimal amounts currently

© PEUI -2007

SUNYARAGI

24

SEMEN CIBINONG

PGN BOGOR

14”-59km 18”-59km

8”-25km

Power Plant

CILAMAYA

JAKARTA

16”

LEGEND

SEMEN PALIMANAN

12”

CIKAMPEK

PUPUK KUJANG

LPG SDK

PGN CIREBON

CIREBON LPG SDK

Nautical mile =1.85 km

© PEUI -2007

Engineering Yardsticks Gas velocity: 5 – 15 m/sec Pressures at consumers: 20-30 bar Transmission pipeline pressure: 60 bar-100 bar Compressor: interval of 150-200 km Onshore pipeline CAPEX: ~20,000 US$/in-km Annual operating cost of pipeline 0.5 -1.5% of the total investment cost Annual operating cost of compressor 4-5% of the total investment cost Offshore gas velocity: up to 30 m/sec Offshore pipeline pressure: 100-130 bar Offshore pipeline CAPEX: ~40,000 US$/in-km © PEUI -2007

Pipeline cost formula 



Cost (in millions US$/mile) = 563,000 +35,600 x D D: pipeline diameter in inches Cost (in millions US$/km) = 350,000 + 871,000 x d d: pipeline diameter in meters

Source: Seddon, 2006

Pipeline Cost

© PEUI -2007

Source: Mohitpour

Steel price $900

2006

$850

2005

$800

2004

$450

2003 $0

$200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 Steel Plate Price per Net Ton © PEUI -2007

Compressor cost formula 



Cost (in millions US$) = 2,970,000 +1,120 x P P: compressor power in hp Cost (in millions US) = 2,970,000 + 1,500 x p p: compressor power in kW

Source: Seddon, 2006

Rule of thumb: Pressure drop, Power & Fuel consumption 50 km pipeline, 24 in, 200 PJ/y (500 mmscfd)  dP=10 bar ~1.8 MW  Fuel consumption on annual basis 31.5 GJ/kW ~ 22.3 mmbtu/hp  50-60 km, fuel consumption 3%of the gas transmitted 

Source: Seddon, 2006

Engineering Yardsticks for Gas Transport

Principal working assumptions for pipeline and LNG cost study

© PEUI -2007

© PEUI -2007

PT Perusahaan Gas Negara for the South Sumatra to West Java Phase II Gas Pipeline Project

Transmission tariff (toll fee) 



1000 km, 200 PJ/y Estimating pipeline tariff = Cost of the pipeline/(Total volume of gas carried over the line’s lifetime in Mscf) x 3.35

Source: Seddon, 2006 © PEUI -2007

… financing No.

pipeline project

Name of Project

Loan Condition

1

W. Java Transmission System

2

Gas Distribution (Jakarta, Bogor, Medan)

I = 12 %, grace period = 5 years, loan period = 15 years

3

Gas Distribution (Surabaya)

i = 13 %, grace period = 5 years, loan period = 15 years

4

Grissik - Duri

i = 15 %, grace period = 4 years, loan period = 20 years

5

Grissik – Batam - Singapore

i = 15 %, grace period = 4 years, loan period = 20 years

6

S.Sumatra - W.Java

i = 0.95 % and 0.75%, grace period = 10 years, loan period = 40 years

7

W. Java Trans & Distribution Expansion

i = %, grace period = years, loan period = years

8

Cirebon - Semarang

9

Semarang - Gresik

10

E. Kalimantan – Central Java

© PEUI -2007

Financing the project: from public to private

No.NameofProject

1W.JavaTransmissionSystem 2GasDistribution(Jakarta,Bogor,Medan) 3GasDistribution(Surabaya) 4Grissik-Duri 5Grissik–Batam-Singapore 6S.Sumatra-W.Java 7W.JavaTrans&DistributionExpansion 8Cirebon-Semarang 9Semarang-Gresik 10E.Kalimantan–CentralJava Source:Bappenas

Year L(km)D(inch$) (MM) 1978 1986 1990 1995 2001 2004 2005

200+ 28

Pertamina Pertamina IBRD PGN IBRD PGN 544 28 ADB,EIB PGN 478 28 ADB,EIB PGN 520 28,32 JBIC,PGN PGN PGN,IBRD PGN 230 Private Private 250 Private Private 1,219 1,600 (est.) Private Private

© PEUI -2007

120 34 86 310 415 440 120

Funding Owner

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