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Middle East Steel 2009 Description:

This report provides a comprehensive review of the sector in the GCC since 2005 and assesses the outlook for one of the region's most dynamic industries up to 2015. In addition to providing in-depth analysis of supply and demand, projected investment levels, the role of the private sector and the technology of wastewater treatment, the report gives a country-by-country overview of the wastewater sector for Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE by emirate, with detailed tables, charts, graphs and maps. "With high stockpiles, particularly in the UAE, and slackening demand, steel prices are expected to remain subdued in 2009 in the range of $500 a tonne," the report states. "This would be a third of what they were at their peak in mid-2008, but a slight increase on their recent lows recorded in November 2008." With the Middle East being a major importer of semi-finished products and current global steel demand weak, the region is likely to become a focus for international steel suppliers, with the prospect of dumping returning. If this occurs, governments are likely to re-impose custom duties on steel imports in an attempt to protect local manufacturing, although such moves will do little to bolster prices. According to Middle East Steel 2009, the longer-term outlook for the Middle East steel market is more promising. "Given an expected rebound in the oil price in 2010, fuelling economic growth and capital investment, steel demand is set to rise over the next five years. "Major, government-backed players in the regional steel industry appear to be well insulated from the effects of the global slowdown. However, the smaller, private sector firms, especially in the downstream arena, look vulnerable to a prolonged economic downturn, raising the possibility that there may be some much-needed consolidation in the industry," the report adds. Middle East Steel 2009 reports that the global downturn and the lack of available project finance have put the brakes on regional expansion projects, particularly in the downstream sector. In the upstream sector both Bahrain-based holding company Foulath and Brazil's Vale (formerly CVRD), which are planning major investments across the region, maintain that their projects will proceed despite the difficult trading conditions. "If implemented, the projects will take regional pelletising capacity up to 68 million tonnes per year (t/y) by 2013," forecasts the report. "The slowdown will have a major impact on Iran's much-publicised plans to quadruple steel production over the next five years, which were already in trouble due to a lack of finance and bureaucracy prior to the onset of the credit crunch." However the report warns, "A growing issue for the regional steel industry going forward will be the availability of competitively-priced gas feedstock. With competition for limited supplies intensifying from the regional oil and utilities sectors, new gas allocations are likely to cost much more than in the past, when steel producers could count on a gas price below $1 a million BTU."

Contents:

- Foreword - Executive summary - Introduction - Steel manufacturing in the Middle East - Historical perspective - The global steel equation - The Middle East's place in the world of steel - Feedstock issues - Direct reduction iron - Gas feedstock and power allocations to steel - Drivers of demand - Steel prices - Investment - Imports and exports

- Major steel producers by country - Appendix Tables/Charts - World crude steel production - Consumption of finished steel - Selected top 80 steel producing companies - Gulf steel consumption - OECD steel consumption by end-use - Middle East crude and finished steel production - Regional steel long products market - Steel consumption and GDP - Major structure of iron and steel industry in GCC - Baltic Dry Index - Drybulk Commodity Seaborne Split - Global iron ore mine production - Iran: iron ore resources and reserves - DRI production by process, type and country - Middle East DRI plants - Kobe Steel's Middle East DRI projects - World DRI production by country - Crude steel production by process and region - Natural gas reserves, production and consumption - Main steel contract awards in the GCC, Iran and Iraq - Contract awards by quarter - Contract award values by quarter - Rebar/Middle East import CFR Gulf states port - GCC rebar market prices - Construction cost index - UAE - GCC steel projects planned or under way - Steel investment by project type - Existing and planned plant production in the Middle East - Middle East crude and finished steel production - World steel trade by area - Middle East steel imports - Egypt's steel trade balance (finished products) - Ezz Steel plant capacities - Egypt's current capacity: crude vs. finished steel - Saudi Arabia and the GCC: long products market - Saudi Arabia and the GCC: flat products market - Sabic: steel sales - Forecast of Oman's steelmaking capacity Appendix - Steel producing companies in the Middle East - Steel expansion projects in the Middle East - Steel plants under construction in the Middle East - Steel plants under study for construction in the Middle East - Total current projects listed by MEED Projects

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