INOTEX WORKSHOP Isfahan Science & Technology Town
Marketing of Research Results Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of High-Tech Innovation and Technology Marketing Institute for Marketing Management, Vienna University of Economics and Business Isfahan, May 26th, 2016
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Hon. Prof. Dr. Rainer Hasenauer WU-Graduate, postdoctoral lectureship in technology marketing and high tech marketing, honorary professor, founder, entrepreneur, business angel, focus: B2B Marketing for High Tech Markets http://www.wu.ac.at/mm/team/hasenauer www.hitechcentrum.eu www.hitec.at
How to market innovative research results?
Agenda 9:00 A1: Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation 9:45 A2: Knowledge Markets, Conditions of Marketability 10.30 Break 10:50 A3: Technology & Market Readiness, Acceptance/ Rejection, Willingness to Pay 11:35 A4: Open Discussion with examples of the audience 12:00 am to 1 pm Lunch Break 13:00 A5: Window of Opportunity, Marketing Decisions 14:30 A6: Business Model, Triple Base Line, Market Percolation, 15:30 A7: Discussion using examples of the audience 16:00 A8: Concluding Remarks
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Time am/pm
Slide start
Chapter
content
9:00
5
A1
Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation
9:45
18
A2
Knowledge Markets, Conditions of Marketability
10:30
Break
10:50
54
A3
Technology & Market Readiness, Technology Acceptance/ Rejection, Willingness to Pay
11:35
79
A4
Open Discussion with examples of the audience
12:00
Lunch Break
13:00
83
A5
Window of Opportunity, Marketing Decisions
14:30
92
A6
Business Model, Triple Base Line, Market Percolation,
15:30
127
A7
Discussion using examples of the audience
A8
Concluding Remarks
16:00
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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A1: Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7)
Supply and Demand, Knowledge Markets, Innovation, Transformation of nescience into knowledge, Marketability of research results Marketability of knowledge Absorption capacity
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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A1: Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7)
Supply and Demand, Knowledge Markets, Innovation Transformation of nescience into knowledge, Marketability of research results Marketability of knowledge Absorption capacity
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Behind each bottleneck exists a new market potential adapting demand
Societal trends bottleneck Market
Public subsidies for R&D to overcome bottlenecks
bottleneck
Technological trends
adapting supply
Demand for innovation to overcome bottlenecks
Basic & applied research & development
7
1) Supply and Demand of Research Results
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
A1: Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7)
Supply and Demand, Knowledge Markets, Innovation Transformation of nescience into knowledge, Marketability of research results Marketability of knowledge Absorption capacity
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2) Knowledge Markets (1) 9
Latent
Emergent
Real SUPPLY
MARKET
DEMAND
Real Emergent Latent
Markets are interfacing supply and demand Knowledge markets are interfacing research supply with solution demand Behind each bottleneck (=problem) exists a new market potential Knowledge markets transform inventions into innovation Innovation is economical and societal successful invention
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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2) Knowledge Markets (2) Market Covergence
Wishful thinking
latent demand
Latent supply
emergent demand real demand convergence real supply emergent supply
Real markets are the result of societal and R&D driving forces, transforming latent demand via emergent into real market demand
Research results past
10
today
future
from latent demand via emergent to real demand „Markets are conversations“ (cluetrain) manifest 1999 Research capability as adjunctive service for society
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Time arrow
2) Knowledge Market (3) Product innovation examples of our Marketing Courses 11
ContainMe
abotic
tunesbag
ayControl
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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2) Knowledge Markets (4) Technologies innovation examples of our Marketing Courses 12
Bionic surface technologies Cellular functional material for automotive applications 2D laser scanner for safety & security systems Diamond like carbons Printed foil sensors for MMI Phase change materials Synthetic cell membranes on polymer basis Humidity sensor Cloud computing services Bendable Li-battery Wireless strain gauge
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Rainer Hasena uer Marketi ng of Resear ch Results
A1: Market, Knowledge Markets, Innovation 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7)
Supply and Demand, Knowledge Markets, Innovation Transformation of nescience into knowledge, Marketability of research results Marketability of knowledge Absorption capacity
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14 Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Innovation As the basis for long-term success. Based on research results.
Definition 16
„By innovation I mean something quite different from invention. To me, innovation means invention implemented and taken to market. And beyond innovation lies disruptive innovation, which actually changes social practices – the way we live, work, and learn.“ (Chesbrough, Open Innovation, 2003) (Henry William Chesbrough: Harvard Business School; Open Innovation Center at University of California, Berkeley.)
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Pitfalls of innovative behavior 17
Below are the five major pitfalls people and organizations tend to fall into when trying to become more innovative. As you read, see how many of these apply to you or your organization:
1. 2. 3. 4.
Identifying the wrong problem. Judging ideas too quickly. Stopping with the first good idea (never the best). Failing to "Get the bandits on the train" (getting support from those who could derail your train) 5. Obeying rules that don't exist. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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A2: Knowledge Markets, Conditions of Marketability
Rainer Hasena uer Marketi ng of Resear ch Results
1) Knowledge markets in B2B 2) Market segmentation, segmentation dynamics 3) Supply & Demand of research results 4) Marketability
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Comparative competitive Advantage Customer’s need for problem solving research results
USP/IHL TTM/ ROI
Supplier’s research capacity
Competitor’s research capacity
IHL = Innovation Half Life, TTM = Time to Market, ROI = Return on Investment USP = Unique Selling Proposition Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Market Segmentation (1) 20
Dividing and editing a broad target market into subsets of groups of consumers (b2c) or companies (b2b) who have common needs and similar user behavior Market segments should react almost similar to marketing instruments and company behavior. Therefore companies can focus their activities differentiated.
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Market segmentation (2) - Goals 21
to identify target markets (niche markets) which are homogenous within the segment and different between the market segments to design and implement strategies to target their needs and desires using media channels and other touch-points that best allow to reach them to gather competitive advantages to get an overview of the market and identify the competitive advantage of owns company to better position new products or reposition existing products. Effective use of the marketing-mix
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Market segmentation (3) - Criteria 22
Homogenous within the segment and heterogeneous between the market segments Possible to measure. Large enough to earn profit. (see next slide) Stable enough that it does not vanish after some time. Possible to reach potential customers via the organization's promotion and distribution channel. Responds consistently to a given market stimulus.
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Market segmentation (4) – Selective Selling & KPI‘s 23
Relation between market segmentation and distribution cost accounting
Sales per segment Contribution Margin CM per segment Segment average productivity: sales [MU]/sales cost [MU] Segment gross profitability: CM [MU]/ sales cost [MU] Marginal segment profitability: ∆ CM [MU] / ∆ sales cost [MU]
∆ = difference between two consecutive periods Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Target groups: Criteria for describing your B2C target group* 24
Target markets are groups of individuals that are separated by distinguishable and noticeable aspects. geographic segmentations, addresses (their location climate region) Demographic / socioeconomic segmentation (gender, age, income, occupation, education, household size, and stage in the family life cycle) psychographic segmentation (similar attitudes, values, and lifestyles) behavioral segmentation (occasions, degree of loyalty, price sensitivity, usage intensity) product-related segmentation (relationship to a product) *Cohen 2005
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Target groups: Criteria for describing your B2C target group* 25
Target markets are groups of individuals that are separated by distinguishable and noticeable aspects. geographic segmentations, addresses (their location, climate, region) Demographic / socioeconomic segmentation (gender, age, income, occupation, education, household size, and stage in the family life cycle) psychographic segmentation (similar attitudes, values, and lifestyles) behavioral segmentation (occasions, degree of loyalty, price sensitivity, usage intensity) product-related segmentation (relationship to a product) *Cohen 2005
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Examples for B2C segmentation 26
geographic – local urban markets, cities > 1.5 million inhabitants demographic/socioeconomic – possible segmentation: female, early adopters, 18-30 years, high education level, single psychographic – environmental friendly users, young families, sustainability is important behavioral – usage instead of ownership, low price sensitivity, regular usage product-related – no specific segmentation Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Examples for B2C segmentation 27
geographic – local urban markets, cities, industry-driven demographic/socioeconomic – possible segmentation: male, innovators, high income, 30-40 years psychographic – prestige, innovator, rich behavioral – ownership is very important product-related – no specific segmentation
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Target Groups: Criteria for describing your B2B target group* 28
Organizational criteria (size of company, location of company, market share, etc.) Economic criteria (finance, assets, efficiency, growth, IPR-intensity, etc.) Buying behavior of companies (buying center, supplier changes, date of purchase [lead user, innovator, early adopter, early majority, late majority, laggards] Characteristics of management of companies (How do they look for information? Do they have time pressure? Are they innovators? etc.)
*Backhaus 2009 Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Examples for B2B segmentation 29
Organizational criteria – bottling plant for juice (small factory in Austria, no existing infrastructure to fill-in their own juice into bottles)
Economic criteria (ongoing growth of the factory, for about 5 years) Buying behavior of companies (innovative managing director, small decision-taking groups, no existing contracts with competitors) Characteristics of management of companies (Usage of web 2.0 instruments for their business)
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Examples for B2B segmentation 30
Abotic Assistent James - Fast and easy opening doors automatically
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
Organizational criteria: (health care facilities in Austria) Economic criteria: (number of potential installations) Buying behavior of companies (innovative managing director, independent decisionprocesses) Characteristics of management of companies (Innovators) 5/26/2016
Market Positioning / USP 31
Positioning = identifying and attempting to occupy a market niche for a brand, product or service utilizing traditional marketing placement strategies (i.e. price, promotion, distribution, packaging, and competition). Develop your USP (unique selling proposition) to easily and clearly be differentiated from competitors and your customers are able to immediately recognize the value of your product/service (competitive advantage) Positioning is part of the business strategy (blue ocean strategy – red ocean strategy)
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Dynamics of Market Segmentation 32
Societal and Research & Development impacts Change of existing segments
Need of adaptation
Change of segment size expansion / shrinkage
Change of needs
Segment formation Segment evaluation and selection Segment processing
inter market migration inter-Segment-migration And/or
Change of segment profile Change of intensities Change of weight attributes
New Formation/ dissolution of segment 1. inter-Market-migration 2. inter-Segment-migration
Disruptive Technology Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Segment Migration 33
Dimension 2
Segment A
t1 t2
Segment C Segment B
Dimension 1 Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Market Segment Trend 34
Dimension 2
Segment A Segment C
t1 t2 Segment B
Trend
Dimension 1 Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Change in the nature of segment basis 35
t1 Dimension 2
t2 Segment
A
t1
Segment
C
t2
*e.g. IoT
Segment
B Dimension 1
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Innovation? controllable?
testable?
compatible?
implementable?
correctable? Industry Standards
Integration? Acceptance?
*) BC = Buying Center
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Assimilation? User / BC* targets
Marketability of Research Results What are the characteristics of technical innovations? How is user‘s reaction onto a technical / technological innovation? Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Product vs. High Tech Marketing I 37
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Product vs. High Tech Marketing II 38
Marketing of Research Results is equivalent with high tech marketing Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Technology Marketing- / High-Tech marketing 39
Technology Marketing How to market innovative technologies? (e.g. bionic surfaces, cellular functional materials (e.g. Diamond Like Carbon), Time Triggered Technology, VR-Prototyping, SLG for 3D Printing, basalt fibers, mobile augmented reality, etc.) High Tech Marketing How to market innovative high tech products / services e.g. Sunnybag , OLP software for robots, TTP, V-Redox-electrical storage, PV: CdTe-cell?, Thermic-Sensors, Phase change material,… Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Behind each bottleneck exists a new market potential adapting demand
Societal trends bottleneck Market
Public subsidies for R&D to overcome bottlenecks
bottleneck
Technological trends
adapting supply
Demand for innovation to overcome bottlenecks
Basic & applied research & development
40
Societal and economic viewpoint
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High Tech Innovation: market entry 41
Markets are formed by the convergence of supply and demand Behind each bottleneck exists a new market potential, sometimes also innovation potential Economically successful interfacing of knowledge supply and demand requires fulfillment of Marketability Criteria and Technology Acceptance Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Marketing of Market High-Technology uncertainty Products and Innovations
Technology uncertainty
M
Market readiness level
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competitive volatility
Technology readiness level
Conditions for market entry
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Market Covergence
Wishful thinking
latent demand
emergent demand real demand convergence real supply
Latent supply
emergent supply
Real markets are the result of societal and R&D driving forces, transforming latent demand via emergent into real market demand
Research results past
43
today
future
from latent demand to real demand „Markets are conversations“ (clue train manifest 1999) Research capability as adjunctive service
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Time arro
High Tech Markets 44
Features: Nearness to basic and/or applied research Innovative => high profit / high risk business Dynamic => high speed of market behavior Fragmented => numerous small windows of opportunity, hard to score Shorter product life cycles, but Longer lasting technology life cycles Long lasting skill life cycles Multidisciplinary communication content Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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remote from market Phase 0 research
near to market
Phase 1 solution
Phase 2 prototype
Phase 3 Pre commercial Product
Phase 4 Market entry
„Innovation: no man‘s land“ ?
Research Push*)
MTB1)
Market Pull
„Distance of understanding“
„Innovator‘s Ear“
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Markets are conversations
„Customer‘s voice“
Missing Link in Innovation ( Nokia 2005)
1) MTB = Marketing TestBed 2) *) also „Technology Push“ Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Technology Push/Market Entry Projects (20132014) ID A B C D E F G H I J K L M
Innovation Gesture controlled mmi Technical simulation Atmospheric nitrogen deposition collector Aerosol jet-printing Selective Laser Melting Sensors for mobile robots Health CCPM Safety Robot Atmospheric plasma for wood surface energy Phase change material Flame retardant rubber Magic lens augmented reality Bone diagnostics
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
Entry 2014 2014 2014
Industry scanner software sensor
2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013
3d printing 3d printing sensor robotics robotics material science
2013 2013 2013 2013
building construction material science software medical diagnosis 46 5/26/2016
Technology Push/Market Entry Projects (2011-2012) ID N O P R S T U V W X Y Z
Innovation Continuous Non-Invasive Blood-Pressure Measurement ‘Watch dog’ for semiconductor Containment Lab on chip diagnostics Vibrational acoustic analysis Smart bottling plant Bright red systems mmi pressure and temperature sensors Bionic surface Cellular materials V-REDOX Diamond-like carbon
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
Entry 2012
Industry medical diagnosis
2012 2012 2012 2012 2011 2011 2011
software building construction software medical diagnosis machine construction scanner sensor
2011 2011 2011 2011
material science material science energy storage material science 5/26/2016 47
Readiness of 26 Technology Push Projects Demand Level
4
Identification of specific need
2
Occurence of feeling “something is missing”
1
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T
O;
M;T;
P;
Z;
A;
F;V;
R;
N;
E;
X;
C;
G;
D;
Technology Level
1
2
3
4 Laboratory Demon-stration
C;F;W I;K;W;X;Z M;N;S A;U G;H D;E J;P Q;Y
J;K;
I;
Research to prove feasilibility
Sensor: Material med. diagnosis Scanner Robotics 3D print building constr. wearables, location services machine
B;L;O;R
S;
3
Applied Research
Industry Software
W;
B;
5
6
7
Y;
Market Risk 8
9 Market / Sales Certification
Quantification of expected functionalities Identification of the expected functionalities for new product/service
6
Q;U;
Product Industrial-isation
5
7
H;
Industrial Prototype
Identification of system capabilities
Technology Risk
8
L;
whole system Field demonstration
9
Technology Development
Building the adapted answer to the expressed need in the market Identification of the Experts possessing the competencies Definition of the necessary and sufficient competencies and resources Translation of the expected functionalities into needed capabilities to build the response
Fundamental research
Market Readiness
Red-not ready for market TRL / MRL Yellow – Transition: COHERENCE Green—Ready for market Off diagonal = risk Technology management = stay on diagonal Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Market Readiness Level (MRL)
Lessons Learned #1: Stay on the Diagonal! 10
8
They will come, but we won’t make it!
We will make it, and they will come!
6
4
2 2
4
6
We will make it, but they won’t come! 8
Concurrent, step-by-step market and technology development places the right product into the right market window at the right time.
Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 5/26/2016
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Questions to the innovator: „Is the innovation…….?“ controllable?
Voice of the Customer
Innovative?
testable?
compatible? implementable?
correctable? industrial standards
integrable?
acceptable?
Assimilation gap
Goals of the customer/user
Willingness to pay
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assimilative?
Implications of high tech innovations Marketability criteria
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Criteria of High-Tech Innovation Marketability (C 1.)
Innovativeness Technology Acceptance:
(C 2.)
Testability
(C 3.)
Controllability
Perceived Usefulness
(C 4.)
Compatibility
Perceived Ease of Use
(C 5.)
Implementability
(C 6.)
Assimilability
+ Willingness to Pay
_
Technology Rejection
• Cross-functionality is a proven economic success factor in high-tech innovation and implies communication between multiple knowledge disciplines • The buying / selling center is represented by a multidisciplinary buying / selling team Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Marketability criteria of high tech innovation C1: Innovativeness: “ is the subjective degree of newness of a product, ranging from gradual over incremental to radical innovative.” C2:Testability: “ is the ability of the innovation to be tested with reproducible result. Testability requires observability.” C3: Controllability: “is the ability of the innovation to stabilize the system against external/internal errors or perturbations by using feedback loops” C4: Compatibility: “is the ability of the innovation to mutually interface and operate reliably with non-innovative systems.” C5: Implementability: “is the ability of the innovation to be properly built in, set up and run in an existing operating system.” C6: Assimilability: “Assimilability is the ability of the innovation to accommodate / assimilate to the system men-machine-organization where the innovation is used.”
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A3: Technology Acceptance, Assimilation Gap Technology Marketing, Willingness to Pay 1) 2) 3) 4)
Technology readiness – Market readiness Technology Acceptance - Assimilation Gap Willingness to Pay Technology Marketing / KPI’s a. Time To Market b. Innovation Half Life c. ROI / ROS
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
A3: Technology Acceptance, Assimilation Gap Technology Marketing, Willingness to Pay 1) 2) 3) 4)
Technology readiness – Market readiness Technology Acceptance - Assimilation Gap Willingness to Pay Technology Marketing / KPI’s a. Time To Market b. Innovation Half Life c. ROI / ROS
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The Economics of Innovation: Market Pull versus Technology Push 55
Market Pull
Technology Push
Technology
Product
Black Box
Black Box
Market Progress, Time “Listen to your customers!” ~70% of studies Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
“If we make it, they will come!” ~30% of studies 5/26/2016
Market Readiness Level (MRL)
Key Questions
10
8
Sweet Spot
Technology Push
6
4
Demand Pull
2 2
4
6
8
10
Technology Readiness Level (TRL)
• Is the market ready for the technology? • Is the technology ready for the market? 5/26/2016
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A3: Technology Acceptance, Assimilation Gap Technology Marketing, Willingness to Pay 1) 2) 3) 4)
Technology readiness – Market readiness Technology Acceptance - Assimilation Gap Willingness to Pay Technology Marketing / KPI’s a. Time To Market b. Innovation Half Life c. ROI / ROS
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Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
Research problem 58
• The innovation process is only a success when the innovation is used appropriately by its intended users • Innovations cannot improve organizational performance if they are not used • Technological progress fundamentally depends on the adoption of innovations • Simply acquiring an innovation is not sufficient from a supplier’s perspective
Is the innovation going to be successful in a market? Will it be bought by the target group? (=Adoption) Will it be used by the target group? (= Acceptance) Is there a Gap between adoption and acceptance (=Assimilation)
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Technology Acceptance 59
Technology or user acceptance is defined as the degree to which individual users will use a given system when usage is voluntary or discretionary. The acceptance of a product or service refers to the continued usage of it. It can be measure by two parameter values: frequency of use and intensity of use. (Morris, 1996) Technology Acceptance is important for: Prediction of actual system use (seller perspective) Prediction of actual system use (buyer perspective) System (re-) design Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Technology Acceptance Model I (TAM) – Davis, 1989
Adaption of Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA) and Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) tailored for information systems
Goal: explanation and prediction of computer acceptance (=usage)
Two basic determinants: -
Perceived usefulness (PU) Perceived ease of use (EOU)
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TAM - Definitions
Perceived Usefulness (PU) is defined as the prospective user‘s subjective probability that using a specific application system will increase his or her job performance within an organizational context.
Perceived Ease of Use (PEoU) refers to the degree to which the prospective user expects the target system to be free of effort.
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Definitions 62
Attitudes towards behaviour refer to the degree to which a person has a favourable or unfavourable evaluation or appraisal of the behaviour in question (Ajzen 1991) Intention towards adopting refers to the degree to which a person has a favourable or unfavourable purpose of adopting or rejecting a product or service. Adoption is considered a dichotomous phenomenon. It refers to the decision of any individual or organization to make use of an innovation. ‘Diffusion’ is defined as the process of dispersion of innovative products in social systems (Nieschlag, Dichtl et al. 1997). ‘Diffusion refers to the accumulated level of users of an innovation in a market’ (Rogers 1995). Technology acceptance is defined as the degree to which individual users will use a given system when usage is voluntary or discretionary. (Morris 1996) The acceptance of a product or service refers to the continued usage of it. It can be measure two parameter values: 1) frequency of use and 2) intensity of use. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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TAM – Structural Equation Model (Davis, 1989) Perceived Usefulness
Perceived Usefulness PU
External variables
Attitude
Behavioral intention
Use Test
Quality of Use
Perceived Ease of Use
Perceived Ease of Use PEoU
actual period
63
next period
Technology Acceptance Model
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Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology (UTAUT, Venkatesh et. al. 2003)
Perceived Ease of Use Perceived Usefulness
Behavioral Intention
Social Influence
User Behavior (Acceptance)
Facilitating Conditions
Gender
64
Age
Experience
Voluntariness of Use
Unified Theory of Acceptance & Use of Technology
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Inside-Out knowledge flow externalize IPR‘s and knowledge
MTB
Company innovation Outside-In knowledge flow Lead user academic units R&D units
Fig. : [10, Füller et al.p.4] Multistage CBI Process with online Community
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Community Based Innovation (CBI)
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Social Percolation field
Influencer Positive WOM
Influencer Negative WOM
Cross industry Scouts
External variables
Verifiers
Perceived Usefulness
Perceived Usefulness
Attitude
Behavioral intention
Use Test
Perceived Ease of Use
Perceived Ease of Use
actual period
WOM: word of mouth
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Quality of Use
next period Social percolation / antipercolation field
Microstructure of CBI for Cross Industry Technology Acceptance Testbed in B2B marketing Research results applicable in multi-industry environments require a cross industry technology acceptance evaluation Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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The Assimilation Gap 67
Fichman and Kemerer (1999) define an assimilation gap as ‘the difference between the pattern of cumulative acquisitions and cumulative deployments of an innovation across a population of potential adopters.’
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100%
Cumulative Adoption
Acquisition Assimilation Gap
Actual Use
Time
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Acceptance: The assimilation gap Examples Discussion
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Cumulative TETRA Networks
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2002
2003
2004
Time Acquisition
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Deployment
Example of Assimilation Gap (TETRA systems: Hainbuchner, 2005)
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A3: Technology Acceptance, Assimilation Gap Technology Marketing, Willingness to Pay Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
1) 2) 3) 4)
Technology readiness – Market readiness Technology Acceptance - Assimilation Gap Willingness to Pay Technology Marketing / KPI’s a. Time To Market b. Innovation Half Life c. ROI / ROS 70
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1. Willingness to Pay/ Determine the Price! (WTP) 71
WTP is the maximum amount of money which a legal or physical person is willing to pay a) For acquiring an expected benefit by buying a product / service or b) For avoiding an expected risk of damage or deterioration.
Opportunity cost and opportunity yield consideration: Ad a): cost of a lost opportunity to make a profit. Ad b): yield of a realized opportunity to avoid cost / loss
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1.1. WtP and TAM - Definitions 72
Perceived usefulness is defined as the prospective user‘s subjective probability that using a specific application system will increase his or her job performance within an organizational context.
Perceived ease of use refers to the degree to which the prospective user expects the target system to be free of effort.
TAM Technology Acceptance Monitor
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Willingness To Pay : price band 73
PRICE User Based Pricing Willingness
Cost Based Pricing (lower bound)
Pay (Amount) R&D
Technical Fit
Competitive Pricing
Production Material
COM
NAV
Direct benefit (Risk, Time) Example for Pricing of location based services
COM NAV (≤100%) (=100%)
Example: location based satellite services Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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A3: Technology Acceptance, Assimilation Gap Technology Marketing, Willingness to Pay Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
1) 2) 3) 4)
Technology readiness – Market readiness Technology Acceptance - Assimilation Gap Willingness to Pay Technology Marketing / KPI’s a. Time To Market b. Innovation Half Life c. ROI / ROS 74
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Marketing Management task of high tech start ups can be described by:
Time to Market ? Increase speed! Decision Space Knowledge Markets
Chakravarthy, 1997
Decision
innovation half life ?*) Extend innovation lead! *) Innovation half life = temporal stability of innovation lead compared with the best competitor known to the innovator.
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Marketing for high tech products
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Perceived innovation lead relative to the best competitor
How long does it take until 50% of the innovator‘s innovation lead is caught up by the best competitor – known to the innovator?
100%
Innovation A,B,C A
B
C
50% limit
Position of best competitor
76
Research !
1x
3x
time
7x
Competitive Innovation Half Life (C-IHL) Applied to: Vanadium Redox Flow-batteries, Chemical Vapor Deposition, Plasma assisted CVD, mobile augmented reality etc. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Stressors / KPI‘s in High Tech Marketing Management 77
„Time to Market“ Stress: (Break Even TTM) „Solution Stress“: (C-IHL)
required time for BE available time for BE
>1
R&D Time for required innovation lead > 1 R&D Time for achievable innovation lead
„Profitability Stress“: (EBIT)
required EBIT achievable EBIT
>1
If > 1, then stress caused by shortage of resources. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
A4: Open Discussion with Examples of the Audience Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
1) How to market innovative research results? 2) Technology Push / Demand Pull 3) Self estimation of TRL / MRL position
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1
2
3
4
9 8 7 6 5 4
1 0 Technology Level
6
7
8
9 Market / Sales Certification
Occurence of feeling “something is missing”
Product Industrialisation
2
Industrial Prototype
Identification of specific need
whole system Field demonstration
3
5 Technology Development
Quantification of expected functionalities Identification of the expected functionalities for new product/service
9
Laboratory Demon-stration
Definition of the necessary and sufficient competencies and resources Translation of the expected functionalities into needed capabilities to build the response Identification of system capabilities
1
WORKING SHEET "TRL-MRL COHERENCE OF INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGY" 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Research to prove feasilibility
Building the adapted answer to the expressed need in the market Identification of the Experts possessing the competencies
Demand Level
Applied Research
Demand Readiness
Fundamental research
EXERCISE / DISCUSSION: RATING OF TRL AND MRL
Technology Readiness
79
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Case: Technology Readiness Level applied to marketability How ready is your research result to cope with marketability criteria? 80
BUYING CENTER ROLES AND FUNCTIONS
Case: Decider
influencer
expert
user
MARKTABILITY CRITERIA
Technology acceptance
Perceived Usefulness Perceived Ease of Use Willingness To Pay Innovativeness Testability Controllability Compatibility Implementability
RainerAssimilability Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
buyer
Recent Projects by HiTec 81
Technology acceptance, Willingness to Pay and Marketing Mix for: electric energy storage, sensors, functional materials, real time software, robotic systems, satellite services, mobile augmented reality and their related start up companies Interdisciplinary research in: Multi-objective programming for eco-technical systems Research on latent & emergent technology markets for location based services and value added services in context with satellite navigation. Technological compliance in robotic physiotherapy and emergency medicine (SCA) 1) MMI 2) Applied Measuring Innovation lead and Innovation half life R&D of Marketing Test Bed for high tech innovative products & service
1) SCA : Sudden Cardiac Arrest 2) MMI Man Machine Interface 5/26/2016
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
Marketing Test Beds
Research !
82
Marketing testbed for market entry of High Tech Start Up‘s (1) Marketing Testbed is an experimental approach, currently under development, focused on exploration and testing of marketing mix provisions under realistic market conditions. Differentiation to technical Testbeds: Focus on Marketing Mix, Technology-/Product acceptance Willingness to Pay per market segment example: Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
A5: Window of Opportunity, Marketing Decisions, Marketing Testbed for Market Entry Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
1) Window of Opportunity 2) Experience Report on Marketing of Research Results 3) Structure of 4 P’s Marketing Mix
83
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New Technology
market readiness
State of Art Technology
Minimum Readiness Market
Research !
WoO MTB
Minimum Readiness MTB Time for market entry
market resistance
84
WoO : Window of Opportunity / (G. Day / J. Freeman) MTB : Marketing TestBed
Market Entry & Window of Opportunity (WoO) (4 of 5) Technology readiness level, Societal readiness level, market readiness level, innovation readiness level. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Marketing Testbed for market entry of high tech innovation start up‘s (1 of 5) 85
European Territorial Cooperation (ETC)-Project (AustriaSlovakia)N00092 „cross border Hi-Tech Center“ Partner: TU Wien, EU BA, WU Wien, INITS Incubator 3 years collaborative research and teaching Marketing-Testbeds for Phase change material Medical care robot for post surgery rehabilitation Peril detection and counter fighting robot Plasma assisted surface activation under atmospheric condition for functional material and wood
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Marketing Testbed for Market Entry of Innovative High Tech Products for Start Up‘s (2 of 5) 86
Experimental approach in B2B innovation marketing Differentiated into:
Innovation nearness to market: (functional) prototype stage Segmentation criteria e.g. technological affinity, strain of bottle neck („economic strain due to lost opportunity to increase productivity / profitability“) Type of scale: qualitative vs. quantitative market research Segment focused instance of marketing mix (4P‘s)
Integration of:
Community Based Innovation (CBI) and Open Innovation (OI) Technology acceptance: perceived usefulness (PU) and perceived ease of use (PEoU)
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Marketability Criteria: Technology State of Art vs. Innovative Technology • controllability? • perceived usefulness • perceived ease of use
testbeds for market entries
Acceptance of market segment • compatibility with industrial standards? • removed bottle neck strain / benefit expectation? • technological compatibility? • societal compatibility? • environmental compatibility?
87
*) George S.Day
Market Entry & Window of Opportunity
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Promotion
Product
Price
Marketing Mix Model
Place
Marketing Mix Testbed 1
substitutional compound effects?
88
PCI
Marketing Mix Testbed 2
Feed Back / Reconfiguration complementary compound effects?
MS1
MS2
Research !
PCI: Problem Centered Interviews MS: Market Segment
4P‘s Marketing Mix and Marketing Testbed for innovative HiTech Start Up‘s
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
TRL Technology Readiness Level 89
Development of high-tech technological systems typically depends on the successfully synchronized development of the individual technologies needed. If this synchronization is suboptimal, this will have performance, scheduling and budgetary consequences. The successful development of an innovative system depends highly on the successful management of the alignment of these individual technology pathways. Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Example of multidisciplinary design of an innovation 90
Disciplines required: • Chemistry • Electrochemistry • Material science • Functional material knowledge • Fluid dynamics • Electrical engineering • Direct current knowledge Technologies: • Flow battery technology • Microelectronic • Real time programming • Fail safe software design • Power electronics + MARKETING, LAW, BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION Rainer Hasenauer 5/26/2016 Marketing of Research Results
Example MDC for R&D in Flow Battery New Product Development*) 91
EXAMPLE: Electrical Energy Storage Innovation Project: MDC Requirements Know How Electrochemistry Electronics & High Tech Innovation requirements Applied Physics electrical engineering Marketing
Semiotics Syntactic Semantic
Pragmatic
A Stoichiometry, CFD (computational fluid dynamics)
B/C IC-Logic, rule set of electrical engineering,
D Market response function model, social percolation, diffusion models
V2O5: Divanadium Charging/discharging, TAM, WtP, Price Model, Business Model, Marketing pentoxide; electrolyte electrolyte lifetime, Mix concentration, graphite thermal behavior, surface environmental conditions Self-discharge=>Min.! Availability > 99,99% Optimize ROI! Energy density > Charging time < 3 hrs. Optimize ROS! 250mWh/cm3 DoD1 > x% s.t. PU! & PEoU! How to cope with mutual goal conflicts? How to design MDC?
Hasenauer, Rainer; Filo,Peter; Störi, Herbert “The Marketing of High-Tech Innovation: Research and Teaching as a Multidisciplinary Communication Task” in: 1st International M-Sphere Conference for Multidisciplinarity in Science and Business, Dubrovnik 4-6 Oktober 2012, ISBN 978-953-7930-00-4, S. 157-168
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
A6: Business Model, Triple Base Line, Market Percolation Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
1) Business Model, Value Chain 2) Triple Base Line 3) Market Percolation
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1) Business Model , Value Chain (Product) 93
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
www.winningware.com
5/26/2016
OBU = on board unit FCD = floating car data
OBU Provider
COOPERS on board unit
Positioning Position Provider
Content Provider
Application Provider / Content Aggregator
Data clearance
Service Provider (Data Distribution)
FCD
Third Parties Data Customizing
94
End User (Motorway Drivers)
R&D-Project COOPERS, Traffic-Information-System, Basic Value Chain
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Why is it necessary to know the value chain? 95
To
have a clear picture of the whole production chain (product or service) To identify which parts of the value chain are done by which partner (one part each partner, more?)? To know which partners are necessary to come up with the final product/service? To identify weak/strong parts in the value chain? To have a clear picture which parts of the value chain can be influenced by yourself? To have a basis for your business model! Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
What is a business model? 96
A
lot of different definitions “Buzzword” (28.700.000 Google-Hits in 0,59 seconds)
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
What is a business model? Idea? 97
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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What is a business model? Network? 98
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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What is a business model? Growth? 99
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
What is a business model? Income? 100
€,IRR,$ A lot of definitions and functions – But all comes down to the question: “How to make money?” Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Business model as a cognitive map across domains 101
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research
Chesbrough, Open Innovation, 2003 Results
5/26/2016
Service Provider
Service
Fee Customer
102
Service Business Model (easy)
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Service Provider
Service
Fee
Customer
Product purchase 103
Third party (e.g. Advertising)
Service Business Model (Three parties)
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
104
Complex Business Model
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Business Model Canvas Osterwalder/Pigneur, Business Model Generation, 2010 105
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Functions of a Business model (1) 106
To articulate the value proposition, that is, the value created for users by the offering based on the technology To identify a market segment, that is, the users to whom the technology is useful and the purpose for which it will be used To define the structure of the firm‘s value chain, which is required to create and distribute the offering, and to determine the complementary assets needed to support the firm‘s position in this chain
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research
Chesbrough, Open Innovation, 2003 Results
5/26/2016
Functions of a Business model (2) 107
To specify the revenue generation mechanism(s) for the firm, and estimate the cost structure and target margins of producing the offering, given the value proposition and value chain structure chosen To describe the position of the firm within the value network linking suppliers and customers, including identification of potential complementary firms and competitors To formulate the competitive strategy by which the innovating firm will gain and hold advantage over rivals
Chesbrough, Open Innovation, 2003 Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
108
Open Innovation Paradigm Chesbrough 2010, Renewing Growth from Industrial R&D
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
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Open Business Models 109
Why Companies Should Have Open Business Models: Magazine: Winter 2007 January 01, Henry W. Chesbrough
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Free is a business model (1) 110
Chris Anderson: Free, 2010
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Free is a business model (2) 111
Chris Anderson: Free, 2010
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Free is a business model (3) 112
Chris Anderson: Free, 2010
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Free is a business model (4) 113
Chris Anderson: Free, 2010
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
FREE Rules – principles of abundance thinking (Chris Anderson: Free, 2010) 114
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
If it‘s digital, sooner or later it‘s going to be free. You can‘t stop Free. You can make money from Free. Sooner or later you will compete with Free. Free makes other things more valuable. ….
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
The long tail
www.thelongtail.com (Chris Anderson)
115
MAINSTREAM
INDIVIDUAL PRODUCTS
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Long tail markets and fundamental NPD*) problems 116
More heterogeneous customer needs result in higher expenses to access sticky information (or higher flop rates, respectively) Providing larger variety demands a broader solution space, hence more solution information In addition, navigating long tail markets also often comes at high cost of building, managing and providing assortments Companies face a trade-off between the benefits of serving the long tail and the cost associated with it (as customers‘ additional WTP is limited) *) NPD New Product Development
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
New Product Development 117
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Mass Customization 118
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Mass Customization - Nike 119
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Getting to plan B (Mullins, Komisar) (1) 120
The business model concept is in the book defined as the pattern of economic activity comprising of five key elements that together determines the viability of any business. The five key elements being the revenue model, the gross margin model, the operating model, the working capital model and the investment model. Companies are successful when the five elements work coherently together.
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Getting to plan B (Mullins, Komisar) (2) 121
Getting to Plan B is about the process of discovering a business model that works, with the assumption that the initial plan is most often wrong. The discovering process can be made systematic by constantly formulating different hypotheses and measurements and continuously follow up and iterate the business model into a new Plan B.
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Getting to plan B (Mullins, Komisar) (III) 122
The starting point for a new business model is to learn from successful examples worth mimicking in some way and examples to which you explicitly choose to do things differently, where the ultimate judge is the customer and the cash flow generated from your business model.
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
The Triple Bottom Line
Tradeoffs between economic drivers, environmental impact and social impact Triple Rationality (economic, ecologic, social) Economic Drivers
Startup Firm Environmental Impact 5/26/2016
Social Impact Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
123
124
Questions Session 2
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Questions Session 2 (I) 125
What are the main differences between traditional product marketing and high tech marketing? What are the features of high tech markets? Which sources of uncertainties are typical for market entry in the high tech context? Please explain Innovation Half Life and its managerial implications considering the decision space model of Chakravarthy?
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
Questions Session 2 (II) 126
What is technology acceptance? What are the marketability conditions for innovative high tech products? What is assimilation gap? How do you measure assimilation gap? How do you explain the concept of window of opportunity? Explain the multi-criteria decision task of marketing management of a high tech start up. What are typical KPI‘s for high tech marketing? Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
5/26/2016
A7: Questions/Answers/Discussion using examples of the audience • Final Discussion: – Your take away’s? – What did you miss?
5/26/2016
Rainer Hasenauer Marketing of Research Results
127
THANK YOU! Q&A
Contact:
MAIL1:
[email protected] MAIL2:
[email protected] SKYPE: rainer.hasenauer 5/26/2016
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