Investor presentation
September 2014
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Contents 1 Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
2 Transformation and delivering on our strategy for profitable growth 3 Key points of Q3 financial results and current trading 4 Outlook
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INTRODUCTION TO THOMAS COOK GROUP
The Thomas Cook Group is one of the world’s leading leisure travel companies, headquartered in the UK
Over 170 years
of innovation in travel
A high tech high touch tour operator, providing holiday components both on- and offline
c£9bn
17
annual sales
countries
Strong brands including Thomas Cook, Neckermann, Condor, Ving, Spies and Tjäreborg
c23mn
c27,000
customers
employees
Listed on the LSE with a market capitalisation of £1.8 billion (US$3 billion)
89 aircraft #1 or #2 (by revenue) in core markets UK, Germany and Northern Europe
11th largest airline in Europe by fleet size
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INTRODUCTION TO THOMAS COOK GROUP
Group snapshot1 Group UK Customers
Revenue EBIT
23.1m
£9,315m £263m
2
Continental Northern Europe Europe
6.7m
7.8m
1.5m
£2,977m £66m
£4,195m £78m
£1,239m £109m
Airlines Germany Customers
Revenue EBIT
7.1m £1,312m £48m 1 FY13 EBIT and Revenue; FY14E customers 2 After taking account of inter-segment sales of £409m
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INTRODUCTION TO THOMAS COOK GROUP
Our key strengths Strong brand with leading market positions in key source markets Operating in a large and growing international leisure travel market Track record of successful product development – Sunwing, Sunprime, Sentido, Smartline , SunConnect concept hotels Diversified operations and distributions channels Benefits of economies of scale Strength of management team
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Our strategy has five key elements Growing profitably through our trusted product portfolio Delivering Voyager Android and omni-channel vision
Optimising costs and cash through Thomas Cook Business System Owning and taking risk in the right assets and capacity
Repositioning our organisation, culture and capabilities 6
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INTRODUCTION TO THOMAS COOK GROUP
Customer booking path
We compete with other intermediaries, both online and offline Customer
Intermediaries Information providers
Purchase channels
Capacity packager
Metasearch Content
?
Capacity providers
Hotel finder
Airlines/ LCCs
Flight search
Travel agents Online
Hotels & Resorts
Ancillaries
Offline
Cruise lines Tour operators Mass market Niche 7
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INTRODUCTION TO THOMAS COOK GROUP
What differentiates us from other market players What differentiates vs. Tour Operators / LCCs
Thomas Cook
vs. Both
vs. OTAs
Customer • Larger array of exclusive concept & • Customer trust from consistent high partnership hotels quality experience • Relationships that extend to shorter • Deeper insight into who our customers trips, pre-booking, & post-travel are and how they are evolving
• True omni-channel approach enabling customers to research and book when and where it suits them
Cost & Capacity • Established culture of continuous cost-out & improvement and Thomas Cook Business system • More asset-light approach to hotel and airline capacity
• Lower cost of air travel
• Access to concept hotels and to exclusive partnership hotels
In addition, Thomas Cook has the opportunity and ability to modernise and to become a disruptive force in travel
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Contents 1 Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
2 Transformation and delivering on our strategy for profitable growth 3 Key points of Q3 financial results and current trading 4 Outlook
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Business transformation The Transformation programme is focused on: • Building a more effective organisation • Reducing costs and improving the cash position through Improvement Initiatives
UK turnaround plan
Wave 1 Group profit improvement programme
Implementation of the Profitable Growth Strategy
Wave 2 Group profit improvement programme
Adopted in 2011
Announced in November 2012
Announced in March 2013
Announced November 2013
• Integrated air travel strategy
• Expansion of exclusive and international concept hotels
• Hotel and airline yield management
• Product and service innovation
• Channels and digitisation
• Improvements to organisation structure and footprint • Streamlining of product, infrastructure and technology
• Execution supported by brand and technology
• Enablers (IT and shared services) 10
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We have strategic targets and KPIs to 2015 Strategic targets
Q3 14
FY14
FY15
New Product Revenue1
£167m
>£300m
>£700m
37%
>40%
>50%
£328m
>£360m
>£460m
(1.2)%3
>2.5%
>3.5%
Underlying Gross Margin Improvement
1.5%
>1.2%
>1.5%
UK Underlying EBIT Margin
3.1%
>3.5%
>5%
Cash Conversion4
21%
>55%
>70%
Web Penetration Cost Out / Profit Improvement (Wave 1)
KPIs Sales CAGR2
1 Net of cannibalisation from other product lines 2 Compound annual growth rate from FY13 3 LFL year on year growth; growth excluding Egypt +0.8% 4 Defined as free cash flow after exceptional items and before capital expenditure as a percentage of EBITDA
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
We're rolling out our powerful concept architecture across our markets Family
Adult
Premium www.ving.se/sunwing
www.sentidohotels.com
www.ving.se/sunprime
Budget http://www.thomascook.com/holidays-abroad/smartline 12
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Our concept hotels offer a range of consistent experiences and appeal to a range of audiences (1/2)
Sunwing Family Resorts are our prime family hotels, with spacious, family-friendly apartments loaded with smart details. All hotels have excellent locations. With a kids’ club, spa and gym, there’s something for the whole family Example features • Children under 12 years eat free • Variety of restaurants and bars • Family orientated activities & experiences • Free WiFi throughout the hotel
SENTIDO Hotels & Resorts are aimed toward discerning travellers, who value health-conscious cuisine and wellness facilities, along with wide-ranging sports and entertainment programmes Example features
• • • •
Mascots at hotel Play & Chat with PS3 Large, kid-friendly pools Direct transfers
• • • •
Early Check-in/Late Check-out • Plus Room with more comfort Holiday Concierge and reserved sunbeds Extended Breakfast times • Holiday Plus Programme with Regional foods and show cooking range of special activities
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Our concept hotels offer a range of consistent experiences and appeal to a range of audiences (2/2)
Sunprime Hotels are our adult-only resorts, for those that appreciate the “good things in life”, with prime locations, peaceful pools, and modern restaurants Example features • • • •
Age limit 16 years Bar with entertainment Spa Fitness & SATS classes
smartline hotels are a great value option for young travellers. The eye-catching, colourful interior design is chic and inviting
Example features • minimarket with fresh bread, wine and pastries • Direct transfers
• Swimming Pool • Buffet restaurant • Bar
• smartline trolley with fresh fruit and ice cream • Free Wi-Fi internet access in the lobby area
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
UK Product Progression
Concept & Other Core Product
Commodity Product
Revenue £m c.3,100 24%
c.(300)
c.100 c.(100)
c.(50)
c.350
c.2,750
c.3,200 3%
c.350 c.(170)
97% 76%
FY12
Divestitures Discontinued Trading New & Packages incl. Egypt/ Differentiated Canaries Product
Jun´14 Discontinued Concepts & Packages Partnerships LTM
Flexible Product
FY17 15
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Exclusive product Flexible product
Group Product Progression > 1.200
Incremental New Product Revenue £m from FY12
300
Exclusive hotel product success in S14 – +43% concepts, +10% partnership
>700
Further growing exclusive products – 800 hotels by FY17
200
100
Launched NE Dynamic packaging in Jan 14 – 55% bookings increase, with no cannibalisation
De-risking our hotel portfolio – 30 - 50% reduction of “commodity risk” product
600 c.60
Target number exclusive hotels Revenue contribution from concept and other core product
FY13
FY15
FY17
309
640
800
c. 80%
On track to deliver
> 95% 16
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
The Group airlines integration is progressing well Delivering significant benefits Group Airlines segment
• Strong progress in airlines integration, system consolidation and realisation of synergies • >£110m profit improvement measures to be delivered by 2015
Commercial Finance, HR & Comms, IT & Fleet Operations
Maintenance
• Satisfying 9-month performance against challenging market conditions – Slight capacity reduction (ASK) 2% – Seat load factor of 88.3%1 – Overall yields down 2% due to structural shift (reduced long haul operations) and pressure in the short/medium hall sector – Ancillary revenue per seat +5% • 83% on-time performance (YTD); +5% improvement y-o-y
1 Including empty legs
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Investing in a more efficient fleet 100%
5
Unchanged
67
Refurbished
23
28
New
S15
S16
10
90% 80%
57
70% 60% 50%
67 99
40% 30%
34
20% 10% 0%
1 S13
9 S14
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Our approach to cost-out and cash performance is underpinned by our unique Thomas Cook Business System Thomas Cook Business System Profitable growth through trusted, personalised products
Top-to-bottom leadership and relentless performance management
High tech, High touch: a digital business
Customer at the heart
Thomas Cook Business System has four pillars and with the customer at the heart
SOURCE: Nov 13 FY13 announcement
Efficient structures, systems and processes through lean & innovation
It builds on best practices in continuous improvement & delivery from other industries
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Wave 2: cost out and profit improvement Margin upside, channel optimisation and further cost out Hotel and airline yield management
• Wave 2 is expected to deliver benefits at a similar magnitude to Wave 1 at >£400m by FY18
Yield management Pricing Touristic platform Airline platform Tour accommodation Tour transport Commissions
• Already identified risk-weighted benefits of £150m, using our rigorous system • The cost to achieve the identified benefits is £145m, all of which is cash • Wave 2 touches all areas of the organisation, backed by the Thomas Cook Business System and Lean methodology
Enablers IT transformation Finance transformation HR transformation Organisational effectiveness Lean and benchmarking
Wave 2 initiatives
Channels and digitisation Customer experience Channel optimisation Contact centres Digital transformation
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
We will update our Wave 2 targets in November Total expected benefits of the same magnitude as Wave 1 at >£400m • Already identified risk-weighted net benefits of £150m • Estimated incremental one-off cost of £145m for delivery of targeted >£400m annual benefit, all of which is cash
Benefits are focused on profit improvement • 60% of the end state benefits are expected to come from profit improvement and 40% from cost out
Identified risk weighted benefits and unweighted costs FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
Target state FY18
Hotel and airline yield management
-
25
45
85
220
Channels and digitisation
-
15
35
50
140
Enablers (IT and shared services)
-
10
15
15
40
Total identified benefits1
-
50
95
150
>400
21
25
69
30
145
£m
Expected costs to achieve2 1 Cumulative run-rate 2 Unweighted one-off costs of delivery per year; income statement items, all cash
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Leveraging customer focused culture to drive omni-channel vision Thomas Cook Business System Profitable growth through trusted, personalised products
High tech, High touch: a digital business
Top-to-bottom leadership and relentless performance management
Stores
Digital
Customer at the heart
Efficient structures, systems and processes through lean & innovation
In destination
Contact centres
… creating an industry-leading omni-channel experience 22
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Our omni-channel approach supported by our concept store
The visuals are of our Lakeside store.
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Good progress in digitising our business Positive impact from new UK website • Substantial improvement in performance since new UK site launched in May
2015 Target
>50%
• Mobile conversion doubled and desktop/tablet conversion up 10% • UK eCommerce bookings increased by 35% in August (compared to previous year)1 • 1,000 customers per week are signing up to My Account, enabling a more personalised experience • Roll out of new site to other markets over next 12 months
2014
40%
2013 2012
36% 34%
38% YTD 37% LTM Q3
• Across the Group, bookings are up 73% YTD on tablets and mobile devices1 • Web penetration for Northern Europe and Group Airlines remains > 70% • Cultural change programme underway: “Let’s Go Digital!” 1 Tour operator only
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
Our IT infrastructure has been simplified; further gains are to come From
Today
To
Websites
304
159
Per segment
Web platforms
17
Contractors/ offshore
90%
IT locations
8
3-5
1
7
20%
6
15% 4 25
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TRANSFORMATION AND DELIVERING ON OUR STRATEGY FOR PROFITABLE GROWTH
The transformation is progressing well; Thomas Cook is getting stronger Achieving sustainable profitable growth Ahead of plan in cost out and profit improvement
Strong demand for new products Continued progress in digitising the business On track to meet our expectations for FY14 26
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Contents 1 Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
2 Transformation and delivering on our strategy for profitable growth 3 Key points of Q3 financial results and current trading 4 Outlook
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Financial overview – LTM to 30 June 2014 Like-for-like (LFL) underlying EBIT improves by £56m LTM LTM £m Jun 14 Jun 13
Change
LFL change
Revenue
8,966
9,218
(252)
(111)
Gross Margin
22.6%
21.9%
70 bps
110 bps
Underlying EBIT
306
252
54
56
EBIT Margin
3.4%
2.7%
70 bps
70 bps
Net Debt
(507)
(452)
(55)
(9) 28
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Revenue & EBIT by quarter Share of revenue
Q4 42%
Q2 15%
Q1 18%
Q3 25%
LTM
9.4
Revenue £bn
3.9
3.6
3.7
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.5
1.6
1.4
2.2
2.4
9.2
9.0
2.2
448 448 460 178
EBIT
1
£m (90) (66) (56)
(23) (158) (131) (131)
252
306
33
Jun Jun 12 13
Jun 14 29
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Revenue by business – LTM to 30 June 2014 Reported LTM Jun 14
Reported LTM Jun 13
Growth %
LFL Growth %
Excl. Egypt1
UK & Ireland
2,779
3,012
(7.9)%
(1.4)%
(0.5)%
Continental Europe
4,084
4,113
(0.7)%
(2.3)%
0.4%
Airlines Germany
1,316
1,268
3.7%
2.2%
3.8%
Northern Europe
1,194
1,217
(1.8)%
0.4%
2.8%
Continuing Operations2
8,964
9,210
(2.7)%
(1.2)%
0.8%
Egypt3
2
8
n/a
n/a
n/a
Total
8,966
9,218
(2.7)%
(1.2)%
0.8%
£m
1 Like-for-like growth adjusted for the impact of the political situation in Egypt 2 Continuing operations net of intercompany eliminations 3 Egyptian business sold in FY14
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
EBIT by business – LTM to 30 June 2014 All businesses contribute to EBIT growth UK +£43m EBIT %
(0.1)
Continental Europe -£3m 1.6
3.1
1.2
2.2
2.2
Airlines Germany +£16m 1.8
3.0
4.1
Northern Europe +£10m 6.6
9.0
9.9
Group1 +£56m 1.3
2.8
3.4 306
250
87 44 (4) LTM LTM LTM Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
92
89
51
LTM LTM LTM Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
21
38
54
LTM LTM LTM Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
78
108
118
LTM LTM LTM Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
1 Including Corporate costs of £(42)m in LTM Jun 14, £(32)m in LTM Jun 13 LFL, and £(28)m in LTM Jun 12 LFL
118
LTM LTM LTM Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL 31
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Net debt position at 30 June 2014 Underlying net debt increase of £9m £m
(452)
LTM net disposal proceeds £111m (19) 130
(420) (507) (32)
(28)
25
(23)
(13)
(9) (86)
Q3 13
Gross Compleproceeds tion adjs
Client Re-capicash dis- talization1 posed with businesses
FX
1 Payment of costs related to the recapitalisation completed in June 2013
Lease re-class
Other items
U/L change
Q3 14 pre Capex capex uplift
Q3 14
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Net debt composition and maturity profile at 30 June 2014 Commercial paper £m
30-Jun-14 30-Jun-13 Movement
Maturity
2015 Euro Bond
(319)
(340)
21
June 2015
2017 GBP Bond
(297)
(296)
(1)
June 2017
2020 Euro Bond
(421)
(436)
16
June 2020
Commercial Paper
(68)
(111)
43
Jul/Aug 2014
-
-
-
n/a
Finance Leases
(181)
(219)
29
Various
Other external debt
(97)
(127)
30
Various
28
-
28
n/a
(1,355)
(1,530)
175
848
1,078
(230)
(507)
452
(55)
RCF
Arrangement fees Total Debt Cash Net Debt
Debt maturity profile £m
New facility A
770
Senior Notes
470 440 365 30
335
300
68
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Excludes finance leases and aircraft related bank loans; Additional facility of £191m available to part fund 2015 bonds not included above as it is envisaged that this facility will not be drawn and will be cancelled in 2015
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1
2
3
4
Illustrative net debt bridge — FY12 to FY14 c. £425m
c. £1,000m
Financial Stability Balance sheet improved through equity issue and asset disposals
c. £(600)m
c. £(275)m
Operational Improvements
Investment in business
Debt Servicing
Re-investment in the business for capex and funding of restructuring
Improved operating efficiency achieved through Cost Out and working capital management
(300-350)
(788) FY12
Net disposal proceeds
Recap
EBITDA
Working capital
Capex & Aircraft
Exceptionals
Interest
Pension, Tax & Other
FY14 34
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Update on current trading • Successful transformation of Thomas Cook continues • FY14 operational performance expected to show material improvement on last year despite the recent downturn in consumer confidence in Germany • FY14 underlying EBIT expected to be between £315 million and £335 million, equivalent to growth of between 39% and 48% • Excellent progress in web performance, particularly in the UK
• Improving revenue contribution from Concept and Partnership hotels • Strong late Summer 14 bookings in all of our major source markets, with increasing demand for our Concept hotels • Strong Winter 14/15 bookings in the UK with 29% sold; Summer 15 bookings encouraging
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KEY POINTS OF Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS AND CURRENT TRADING
Update on current trading — Summer 14 UK
Continental Europe
Bookings: Flat
Bookings: Flat
ASP: -4%
ASP: Flat
Capacity sold: 92%
Capacity sold: 90%
Airlines Germany
Northern Europe
Bookings: +3%
Bookings: +3%
ASP: -3%
ASP: -1%
Capacity sold: 89%
Capacity sold: 97%
Data up to the week ending 6 September 2014
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Contents 1 Introduction to Thomas Cook Group
2 Transformation and delivering on our strategy for profitable growth 3 Key points of Q3 financial results and current trading 4 Outlook
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OUTLOOK
Outlook Thomas Cook is stronger and more resilient, with all of our businesses expected to deliver results ahead of last year FY14 EBIT growth of between 39% and 48% to £315m and £335m Continued focus on strategy of sustainable profitable growth, supported by cost out and profit improvement, digitising the business and new product development
We’re seeing strong booking trends for Summer 14 “lates” Winter 14/15, and Summer 15 38
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Appendix
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APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Wave 1 and Wave 2 risk-weighting methodology Methodology Purpose: The risk-weighting process discounts gross measures depending on their level of implementation Approach: The risk-weighted benefit is calculated by multiplying the gross benefit with the riskweighting factor for that implementation level
Overview of implementation levels
IL 0
IL 1
Unspecified target
Identified
IL 2
IL 3
Validated
Approved
IL 4
IL 5
Implemented
P&L realised
Definition A target that has not been substantiated by specific measures.
A concrete idea with specific savings quantified.
Management has validated measures and savings by market with supporting data.
Business case has been approved to implement the measure.
Implementation Benefits realised in progress. in the P&L.
Risk-weighting coefficient
0%
100% 40
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Financial overview – 9 months to 30 June 2014 Like-for-like (LFL) underlying EBIT improves by £48m
YTD Jun 14
YTD Jun 13
Change
LFL change
Revenue
5,230
5,578
(348)
(123)
Gross Margin
21.0%
20.4%
70 bps
90 bps
Underlying EBIT
(154)
(196)
42
48
EBIT Margin
(2.9)%
(3.5)%
60 bps
80 bps
Net Debt
(507)
(452)
(55)
(9)
£m
41
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Revenue by business – 9 months to 30 June 2014 Reported YTD Jun 14
Reported YTD Jun 13
Growth %
LFL Growth (%)
Excl. Egypt1
UK & Ireland
1,515
1,712
(11.5)%
(5.0)%
(3.5)%
Continental Europe
2,286
2,397
(4.6)%
(2.4)%
2.5%
Airlines Germany
879
875
0.4%
1.7%
4.0%
Northern Europe
819
864
(5.2)%
(0.1)%
3.4%
5,230
5,578
(6.2)%
(2.2)%
1.2%
£m
Continuing Operations
1 Like-for-like growth adjusted for the impact of the political situation in Egypt 2 Continuing operations net of intercompany eliminations
42
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
EBIT by business – 9 months to 30 June 2014
£m
Reported Reported YTD Jun 14 YTD Jun 13
Growth
LFL Change
Excl. Egypt
EBIT Margin YTD Jun 14 YTD Jun 13
UK & Ireland
(115)
(135)
20
22
26
(7.6)%
(7.9)%
Continental Europe
(45)
(57)
13
13
16
(2.0)%
(2.4)%
Airlines Germany
(12)
(17)
5
8
13
(1.4)%
(2.0)%
Northern Europe
42
34
8
10
18
5.1%
3.9%
Corporate
(24)
(20)
(4)
(4)
(4)
n/a
n/a
Continuing Operations
(154)
(196)
42
48
68
(2.9)%
(3.5)%
43
APPENDIX 1 2 3
FINANCIAL RESULTS
4
EBIT by business – 9 months to 30 June 2014 Like-for-like EBIT growth of £48m UK +£22m
Continental Europe +£12m
Airlines Germany +£8m
Northern Europe +£10m
20
(57) (136) (137)
(115)
(45)
(35)
(20)
32
Group1 +£48m
42
(12)
(88)
(154)
(190)
(202)
(304)
YTD YTD YTD Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
YTD YTD YTD Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
YTD YTD YTD Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
YTD YTD YTD Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL
1 Including Corporate costs of £(24)m in Q314 YTD, £(20)m in Q3 13 LFL YTD and £(12)m in Q3 12 LFL YTD
YTD YTD YTD Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 LFL LFL 44
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
EBIT by business Like-for-like EBIT growth of £18m UK +£22m +£24m excl. Egypt
Continental Europe -£1m +£1m excl. Egypt
Airlines Germany +£3m +£4m excl. Egypt
Northern Europe -£1m Flat excl. Egypt
Group1 +£18m +£24m excl. Egypt
39
33
17 7
6
2
(5)
(20)
(9)
9
15
8
(6)
(24) (50)
Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14 LFL LFL
Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14 Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14 LFL LFL LFL LFL
1 Including Corporate costs of £(14)m in Q314, £(9)m in Q3 13 LFL and £(3)m in Q3 12 LFL
Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14 LFL LFL
Q3 12 Q3 13 Q3 14 LFL LFL 45
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Separately disclosed items – 9 months to 30 June 2014 £m, 9 months to 30 June 2014
Cash1
Non-cash
Total
Jun´13
(63)
(9)
(72)
(90)
Refinancing costs
-
-
-
(15)
Goodwill impairment and asset valuation reviews
-
(41)
(41)
(4)
(9)
(47)
(56)
(3)
Amortisation of business combination intangibles
-
(6)
(6)
(13)
Provision for tax dispute resolution
-
-
-
(13)
Other
-
4
4
(9)
(72)
(99)
(171)
(147)
-
(21)
(21)
(28)
(72)
(120)
(193)
(175)
Restructuring costs
Onerous contracts and legal disputes
Impacting EBIT Finance related charges
Total
1 The cash column above represents items that impacted cash in the current period or will impact cash in the future
46
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
EBIT by business – LTM to 30 June 2014
£m
Reported Reported LTM Jun 14 LTM Jun 13
Growth
LFL Change
Excl. Egypt
EBIT Margin LTM Jun 14 LTM Jun 13
UK & Ireland
87
58
29
43
47
3.1%
1.9%
Continental Europe
89
83
6
(3)
-
2.2%
2.0%
Airlines Germany
54
37
17
16
21
4.1%
2.9%
Northern Europe
118
105
12
10
19
9.9%
8.6%
Corporate
(42)
(31)
(11)
(11)
(11)
n/a
n/a
Continuing Operations
306
252
54
56
76
3.4%
2.7% 47
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Group cash flow — 3 months ended 30 June 2014 Q3 cash flow impacted by timing of working capital movements £m Revenue EBITDA Working capital Tax Pensions & other Operating cash flow Exceptional items Capital expenditure Aircraft capital costs Net interest paid Free cash flow Proceeds from disposals Cash impact of disposals New Equity Other Net cash flow
3 months to Jun 14 2,219 75 423 (5) (14) 479 (46) (33) (27) (84) 290 8 (9) (5) 283
3 months to Jun 13 2,354 40 540 (7) (1) 572 (37) (40) (72) 422 4 (54) 431 (34) 769
Change (135) 35 (117) 2 (13) (93) (9) 7 (27) (12) (132) 4 45 (431) 29 (486) 48
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Working Capital Movements Working Capital Balance at 30 June 2014
Working Capital
Change from Q3 13
c.£2bn
Customer receipts in advance
(c. £70m)
c.£1bn
Hotel and trade creditors
(c. £40m)
Cost Out Programme
(c. £10m)
c.£200m
Other
£3m
Total
(£117m)
49
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Group cash flow — 9 months ended 30 June 2014 £m EBITDA Working capital Tax Pensions & other Operating cash flow Exceptional items Capital expenditure Aircraft capital costs Net interest paid Free cash flow Proceeds from disposals Cash impact of disposals New Equity Other Net cash flow
9 months to Jun 14 (32) 294 (26) (23) 213 (82) (116)
9 months to Jun 13 (81) 460 (27) (11) 341 (109) (103)
Change 49 (165) 1 (12) (128) 27 (13)
(61) (124) (170) 114 (52) (108)
(114) 15 (56) 431 (32) 358
(61) (10) (185) 114 4 (431) 32 (466) 50
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Cash conversion LTM Jun 14 cash conversion 21% £m
LTM Jun 14
LTM Jun 13
Free cash flow
(128)
95
Cash conversion ratio %
> 70 >55
Capital expenditure
223
137
21
FCF before Capex
95
232
EBITDA
457
398
Cash conversion
21%
58%
LTM Jun 14
FY14
Note: Cash conversion ratio is defined as free cash flow after exceptional items and before capital expenditure as a percentage of EBITDA
FY15
51
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Reconciliation of ‘like for like’ to underlying numbers “Underlying” refers to trading results after adjusting for separately disclosed items that are significant in understanding the on-going results. “Like for like” reflects the comparison in the underlying results after removing identifiable non-recurring items in the prior year. A reconciliation of “like for like” to “underlying” numbers for EBIT and gross margin is as follows:
EBIT £m
Q3 14
Q3 13
Change
EBIT £m Q3 14 YTD
Underlying
33
1
32
(154)
(196)
42
306
252
54
Easter Timing
...
15
(15)
...
-
-
…
-
-
Disposals/Store Closures
…
(1)
1
…
(1)
1
…
(16)
16
Accounting Changes
…
-
-
…
(4)
4
…
(4)
4
Impact of Currency Movements
…
(1)
1
…
(1)
1
…
19
(19)
Like for like
33
15
18
(154)
(202)
48
306
250
56
Q3 13 YTD Change
EBIT £m LTM Jun 14
LTM Jun 13
Change
52
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
FX and fuel hedging (30 June 2014) Winter 2013/14
Price
Summer 2014
Price
FY14
Price
Winder 2014/15
Price
Summer 2015
Price
FY15
USD
97%
93%
95%
71%
41%
55%
EUR
99%
87%
90%
72%
50%
55%
Jet Fuel
100%
$1,000
97%
$983
98%
$990
73%
$976
42%
$980
56%
Price
$978
• A 1% change in Kerosene prices would result in a £0.1m variance in Fuel cost for FY14 and £3.2m change of Fuel cost for FY15.
EUR and SEK profits are not hedged and, at current rates, create a negative variance of c.£25m due to the strengthening GBP against EUR and SEK
• Transactional USD exposures against EUR, GBP and SEK have been hedged in line with Fuel hedges. A 1% variance in FY14 would have a £0.7m impact, for FY15 this would be £5.6m.
• Every 1% move in Euro has a £1.6m impact on EBIT • Every 1% SEK movement has a £1.0m impact on EBIT
• Transactional EUR exposures against GBP and SEK hedged in line with policies. A 1% variance in FY14 would have a £0.7m impact, for FY15 £2.3m. 53
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Biographies
Harriet Green
Michael Healy
joined the Group as Group CEO on 30 July 2012. Harriet is a global executive with extensive, multi-channel business leadership experience of the worldwide technology and industrial markets. She has driven innovation and strategic transformation through profitable global growth strategies and delivered industry leading results. In addition to being recognises at the National Business Awards 2013 as Leader of the Year, Harriet has just been recognised as the Veuve Clicquot Business Woman of the Year.
joined the Group on 14 May 2012 and became Group CFO on 1 July 2012. Prior to this, he was Group Finance Director of Kwik-Fit Group. Michael has considerable international experience across a broad range of industries and was previously Chief Operating Officer and Finance Director of the Hong Kong listed First Pacific Company Limited and subsequently Chief Financial Officer of ebookers plc.
54
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Glossary (1/2) Thomas Cook & corporate
Industry & market
CE
Ancillaries
Continental Europe UK, Continental Europe, Northern Europe
Additional travel services such as in-flight A hotel that can only be found from one meals , in-flight duty free, travel insurance, operator either because it has exclusive care hire insurance, airport parking, airport access or because it has unique features lounges, and airport hotels
The traditional industry way of describing a holiday based on its location or activity (e.g., Sun & Beach, City)
Headroom
Attachment rate
Label
Core markets
Liquidity buffer after anticipated operations and investments
IMS Interim Management Statement
Segments Internal Thomas Cook businesses: UK, France, Continental Europe, Northern Europe, North America, Airlines Germany
Thomas Cook India Indian arm divested in May 2012
Differentiated product
DIY travellers
The percentage of customers adding ancillaries to their booking
Do It Yourself travellers more likely to opt for component travel instead of package holidays
Codeshare
Exclusive distribution
Aviation business agreement where Thomas Cook channels are the only place a flight sold by one airline can be operated where customers can access a given by another airline product
Component booking
Exclusive property
The ability to put together a holiday from one or more stand-alone (and individually priced) beds, seats or other units of inventory
Thomas Cook has access to all the bed nights in the property (either at a Group or country level)
Concept
Ground handling
Holiday type
A customer searchable description for a holiday that carries a consistent set of features that match customer expectations (e.g., City Romance, Family Comfort)
Lean A continuous improvement methodology pioneered by Toyota
Limited range The number of non-exclusive, non-risk hotels that meet our quality control standard that we will contract
Servicing of an aircraft (e.g. refueling) while Load factor An exclusive, customer-facing proposition it is on the ground (usually parked at a Measure of airline utilisation: number of made up a defined set terminal gate) passenger-kilometres travelled as a of features that creates loyalty via percentage of the total seat-kilometres consistent delivery of a holiday experience available
55
APPENDIX 1 2 3
4
Glossary (2/2) Industry & market (continued)
Web & IT
Long-tail
Tailoring
Non-contracted product sourced from third party bed banks
The actions we take to select the channel, A measure of how postings on social media information and product a customer sees so websites are shared e.g. number of likes, retweets and +1s that it meets their needs
More flexible products
Amplification rate
Omni-channel Seamless end consumer experience across multiple retail channels e.g. single pricing on-and off-line
Content management All products that are not traditional packages, Third-party product including non-traditional packages, components Any property or package where Thomas Enables business to manage, track and ancillaries Cook is not exclusive and has not taken risk and source hi-quality, channel-specific content (e.g., faster-loading pictures through pre-commitments Non-traditional package for mobiles, richer pictures/videos for Hotel (either contracted or non-contracted) Tour Operator (TO) tablets) sold with a non-contracted flight Company combining travel, accommoConversion Rate dation and/or entertainment to create a OTA The proportion of users visiting a site who holiday Online Travel Agency go on to make a purchase
PPC
Partnership properties
Social engagement
Hotels owned and operated by a third party, which are exclusive to Thomas Cook
Traditional packaging A pre-defined bundle of seat and bed that is fixed based on largely committed inventory and which can be offered at a given price to a broad range of customers well in advance of the season
Yield Management
Data Warehouse Maximising revenue and profitability on each sale through setting the right price for A central repository for all data, accessible across the business every product in every channel
Pay per click
Product extension Enables the business to sell nontraditional products (e.g., cruises) alongside hotels and flights
SEO Search engine optimisation The proportion of users who have “liked”, commented, or shared our content in just the past 7 days
Virtual contact centre Technology which enables representatives to work from geographically disperse sites
56