Item No.8:
Annual Presentation by BlackRock Institutional - Large-Cap Core Manager (March 25, 2015, Regular Retirement Board Meeting)
INVESTMENT MANAGER SUMMARY
RP - $1, 163.4 Million HP - $197.4 Million
8
Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Russell 1000 Index Fund Review
25 March 2015
Table of contents I.
BlackRock Update
II.
Index Investment Process and Discipline
III.
Market Overview
IV.
Performance Review
V.
Portfolio Review and Characteristics
VI.
Fee Schedule
1.
Appendix
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
3
I. BlackRock Update
BlackRock at a glance
BlackRock Mission Statement Create a better financial future for our clients by building the most respected investment and risk manager in the world
BlackRock facts *
$4.65 trillion managed across asset classes
Established in 1988
NYSE: BLK $4.65 trillion assets under management More than 12,000 employees
Active Fixed Income 701 bn
Passive Fixed Income 692 bn
More than 1,800 investment professionals Alternatives1 111 bn
Offices in over 30 countries
Multi-Asset 378 bn Cash Management 296 bn Advisory 22 bn
28 primary investment centers Clients in over 100 countries
Active Equity 293 bn
Over 700 iShares® ETFs Through BlackRock Solutions, the Firm provides risk management and enterprise investment services for over 175 clients Financial Markets Advisory business managed or advised on over $8 trillion in asset and derivative portfolios Transition Management team partners with clients to save costs and reduce risks when changing investment exposures
Passive Equity 2.16 tn
Assets as of 31 December 2014 1 Includes commodity and currency mandates
* As of 31 December 2014
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
7
The LADWP Account Coverage Team Name
Title
Phone
Email
Jeremy Watt
Director
(415) 670-7208
[email protected]
Tom Holmes
Associate
(415) 670-4120
[email protected]
San Francisco Office Address 400 Howard Street San Francisco, CA 94105
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
8
II. Index Investment Process and Discipline
BlackRock’s Beta Strategies Platform Global leader in Index Equity assets1 We seek to deliver consistent performance with precise and reliable outcomes for our clients Thousands of skillful and thoughtful decisions made each year for swift response to market trends and client demands
Extensive and flexible platform for beta strategies Over 2,000 funds managed against 650+ benchmarks Daily liquidity with T-1 notification (for US equities) and T-2 notification (for non US equities)2 Modular fund structure and asset allocation platform facilitates custom and outcome oriented solutions
Total Beta Strategies risk managed assets of $2.9 trillion USD
Distribution of assets by region of mandate
In billions USD $2.9T
$2.8T
Developed Non-US 38%
$2.1T $1.7T
805
734 439
560
851
1,019
1,281
2011
2012
2013
Institutional AUM
US Equities 51%
1,400 2014
iShares® AUM
IAA Risk Managed
Source: BlackRock, Inc. and its affiliates (together “BlackRock”) as of 31 December 2014 1 In terms of AUM. Source: Pensions & Investments 2 Frontier markets commingled fund currently open bi-monthly
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
Commodities 1%
Emerging Markets 10%
11
BlackRock is a leading global provider of equity index solutions We have a history of consistent performance and low tracking error
BlackRock’s Key Differentiators:
Seek to provide:
We believe skill and ingenuity can lead to precise, reliable outcomes
Seek performance with precision
Clients first
Thousands of decisions each year provide opportunities to preserve value for clients
Consistent returns with low costs
Backed by experienced teams specializing in tax, trading, risk oversight and securities lending
We put clients at the center of our thinking and minimize potential conflicts of interest
Scale and diversity of our platform helps lower costs for clients
Strive for consistent performance as planned
Minimal risk at less cost
Relentless in our quest to improve beta strategies
Constant evolution
Rapid and flexible response to trends, new markets and client demands Our scale and technology innovations enhance our ability to deliver consistent performance
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
Flexible range of solutions to help meet diverse client needs
BES-0042 12
Over 40 years of experience driving beta forward We constantly reinvest in and reinvent our business so our clients have access to high quality Beta solutions Drive the industry forward through our ability to create specialized, innovative investments afforded by our scale and depth of expertise Forge new ground for clients — first manager to offer opportunities in equity index developed, emerging, and frontier markets Evolve capabilities to continuously deliver on emerging trends — smart beta, global benchmarking, overlay strategies Serve as an index advocate on behalf of clients and as a key partner to index providers seeking our practitioner knowledge
40 years of Beta Strategies — Continual evolution of products, technology and capabilities BlackRock Index Equity RMA1 Index pioneer and innovator
Defined contribution capabilities
Emerging Market Equity Index
World Equity Benchmark Shares (WEBS)
Triple A: asset allocation PM tool
iShares ExchangeTraded Funds
Eliminated dividend flipping
EAFE Index Plus
Risk model enhancements
Frontier Markets
Minimum Volatility ETFs
Fundamentally weighted strategies
Journey Mgmt
1971
2014
Fund of fund structures EAFE Equity Index Securities Lending
Factor ETFs
Equity and currency hedging
Russell Index Funds First 401(k) Target Date Fund (LifePath)
Investment Analysis: index portfolio management tool
Income strategy ETFs EAFE Small Cap
EM Directed FX
Aladdin Migration
Daily openings for all funds
T-2 for International
Currency Hedged iShares ETFs
Emerging Markets Small Cap
1 Risk Managed Assets (RMA) represents total asset values of the portfolio risks managed by Index Asset Allocation group
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 13
Beta strategies continue to be a growing portion of client portfolios Investors today are enhancing their passive allocations in three ways:
Introducing smart beta as complement to traditional market cap indices
Migrating to broader mandates — segregated index mandates are re-aggregated into one Going global — ACWI / ACWI fastest growing index strategy
IMI1
• • • •
is the
Moving EM into mainstream — no longer niche; gain EM exposure via global indices
35 +48%
$0.71 +14%
$6.38
Dom Index
20 $15
15 $8
10 +11%
Global Index
$ billions
25
$0.64
$1.59
$29
30
$0.05
EM Index
Expressing tactical asset allocation views through synthetic beta
Growth in smart beta over past 4 years
2012
2005
Implementing synthetic passive exposure over an alpha strategy Creating capital efficient, liquid, rebalancing strategies
Minimum volatility Fundamentally-weighted Factor-based Economic exposure
Declining home equity bias and increasing global focus2
$3.16
Custom synthetic overlays
Complementary styles
Comprehensive core
CAGR
As of 31 December 2013. Source: Boston Consulting Group, Strategic Insight, eVestment Alliance, BLK Corporate Strategy estimates. AUM figures represent industry AUM in $ trillions (excl MMFs & Instl Alts) 1 All Country World Index Investable Market Index 2 Represents $ in trillions from perspective of home country investor
5
$1
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: BlackRock smart beta (non-market cap weighted strategies) assets under management
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 14
Beta Strategies: Americas Index Equity
Beta Strategies Leadership Amy Schioldager Global Head of Beta Strategies
Americas Index Equity
Strategy Corin Frost, CFA Global Head of Index Product Strategy
Alan Mason Head of Americas Beta Strategies
North America Peter Sietsema, CFA Senior Portfolio Manager
Institutional
Defined Contribution
Alternative
Research
Index Research
US Strategy
Christopher Bliss, CFA Head of Institutional Portfolio Management
Amy Whitelaw Head of DC Portfolio Management
Creighton Jue, CFA Head of Alternative Beta
Matthew Lee, Ph.D. Head of Research
Stephanie Allen Head of Index Research
Scott Dohemann, CFA Head of US Index Strategy
International Developed
International Emerging
Index Allocation
Rachel Aguirre Senior Portfolio Manager
Matt Waldron, CFA Senior Portfolio Manager
Maya Tussing Senior Portfolio Manager
U.S. Cara Barr Kristen Dickey Timothy Murray, CFA Jerry Sun
Research
Portfolio Management
Jacqueline Wolk
North America
International Developed
International Emerging
Index Allocation
Defined Contribution
Alternative
Research Officer
Index Analyst
+6 Portfolio Managers
+6 Portfolio Managers
+4 Portfolio Managers
+3 Portfolio Managers
+6 Portfolio Managers
+6 Portfolio Managers
+3 Officers
+7 Analysts
EMEA
Andrew Graver* Jack Mortensen* Timothy Parsons* Flora Herries*
APAC Ben Garland, CFA* Colin Zhang*
As of 1 Dec 2014 * Located outside of the US
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 15
Core investment philosophy of total performance management We believe that superior investment outcomes are best achieved through a disciplined, objective process to manage return, risk and cost
Return Performance as planned with value-added portfolio management
Return
Flexible strategies and solutions
Risk Proprietary portfolio & risk management system helps manage investment and operational risk
Total Performance Management
Risk
Cost
Cost
Trading cost integrated into portfolio construction using proprietary transaction cost models Potential for reduced transaction costs through netting of client flows Focus on best execution for all external trading, including FX
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 16
Our index investment management process is anything but passive Deep expertise and investment skill underpin consistent historical performance BlackRock’s beta portfolios are managed using a team approach to strategy, portfolio management, research, and trading
The ability to capture gains on hundreds of investment decisions adds up over time Portfolio managers’ decision-making process involves deciding on corporate actions such as dividends, stock splits, spinoffs, rights offerings, and mergers & acquisitions
Detail-intensive investment decisions in pursuit of performance with precision and reliability
Benchmark Knowledge
Portfolio Construction
Efficient Trading
Analysis of forthcoming index changes
Teams of portfolio managers dedicated by region
Industry’s largest internal market place for netting client flows
Audit daily updates from index providers
Supported by leading technology and risk models
Best execution sought on all trades
Develop trade strategies to thoughtfully incorporate index events
Rapid dividend reinvestment and cash equitization
Economies of scale
Performance & Oversight Daily review by portfolio managers Monthly Investment Review Committee Independent Risk & Quantitative Analysis Group
Dedicated trading research team
Risk Management Leverage RQA and BlackRock’s proprietary Aladdin® system to help identify, monitor and minimize risk
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 17
Factors PMs use to preserve value Our portfolio managers use skill and ingenuity in pursuit of creating precise and reliable outcomes, and have delivered benchmark returns as planned each year Beta PMs are experts in the capital markets they transact — actively driving hundreds of decisions each year
External
Local market convention
Macro economic events
PMs evaluate aggregate views, activities, and sentiments of other investors, including:
Expected activity of other investors
Capital Markets Perspective
Market sentiment
Benchmark
Beta Portfolio Managers Corporate actions
Liquidity Profile
Fund-Specific Factors
PMs have detailed understanding of benchmark changes in context of each Fund:
Benchmark methodology
Risk model and optimization
Net flows of BLK and other indexers Expected activity of profit-motivated investors Local market conventions and behaviors Macro economic events (Fed announcement, jobs report) Company earnings releases Market sentiment that could affect rebalancing
Ensure funds are fully invested in light of client flows or dividend payments Construct each trade to explicitly trade off risk and cost Carefully evaluate corporate actions to help minimize risk and preserve value Develop creative trading strategies for less liquid positions Partner with index providers regarding benchmark changes
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 18
Beta Strategies is anything but passive — Google corporate action
Background
Impact
Ensuring the interests of our clients and advocating on their behalf are high priorities
Google announced a distribution of new class of non-voting C shares to existing shareholders of outstanding shares of Class A and Class B common stock
S&P and Russell originally planned to delete the Google Class A shares from their respective indexes, and double the weight of the Class C shares Google represents ~2% in S&P 500 and Russell 1000. Beta Strategies engaged with indexers and Google on potential risk of original treatment including tracking error, tax implications, and price volatility
Risks considered Liquidity Capital structure Capital gains Tracking error Market impact
Delete Class A Shares (Original)
Retain both Class A and C Shares (Final Decision)
BlackRock-driven outcome: S&P and Russell revised published methodology to maintain both Class A and C shares, avoiding $45 billion in unnecessary trading and additional price volatility The issuers referenced is an example of an issuer that BlackRock considers to be well known and that may fall into the stated sector. BlackRock may or may not own any securities of the issuers referenced and, if such securities are owned, no representation is being made that such securities will continue to be held.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 19
Deliberate balancing of risk, return, and costs: UAE and Qatar reclassification from Frontier to Emerging Markets 100% 80% 60%
Pre-positioning Investors buy into markets; EM flat
Reclassification Announcement June 11, 2013
40%
SAIR Announcement 10 Qatar, 9 UAE adds. Market turnover: $1.6M BLK trading strategies create value
Effective date May 29, 2014. Prices peak
20% 0% -20% May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14 MSCI UAE
Benchmark context UAE and Qatar promoted to EM status by MSCI effective May 30th, 2014 UAE and Qatar to comprise appx 50 bps each in MSCI EM Index
Feb-14
Mar-14
MSCI Qatar
Market context
Apr-14
May-14
MSCI Emerging Markets
Value preservation
Low liquidity, large trade size
Globally, executed ~$1.5 billion in Qatar / UAE trades over several weeks
Operational complexity & immature local market structure
Cautious approach to liquidity and risk management
Significant pre-positioning
Generated $55 million in value for BlackRock clients
Net expected buy of ~$1bn in each market was 10 – 15x ADV
Source: BlackRock, Bloomberg, as of June 2014
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 20
Russell Reconstitution 2014 June 27 Rebalance trade intra-day performance
One-way rebalance turnover 2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Russell 1000
2.17%
2.32%
1.82%
2.69%
3.92%
Russell 2000
10.11%
9.01%
10.05%
10.48%
9.50%
Russell 1000 Buys vs Sells
A unique year for Russell reconstitution Late on effective date, performance of both Russell 1000 and 2000 moved in the opposite direction of indexer flows Business Development Companies (BDCs) were removed •
This resulted in 2 deletions from R1000 at 5 bps turnover, and 33 deletions from R2000 at 1.19% of the index
All R1 Buys
All R1 Sells
Russell 2000 Buys vs Sells
2014 BlackRock fund performance Maintained tight risk controls and captured $10.5 million in value through specific trading strategies Total gross value of our trade was $49.8 billion •
Netted flows of over $12 billion per side (49%) thereby reducing trading costs for BlackRock clients
Processed over 160,000 orders in Aladdin vs. an average of 30,000 per day Sources: BlackRock, Russell, Bloomberg, Barclays l. Performance calculated on a trade-weight basis Past performance is no guarantee of future results
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
All R2 Buys
All R2 Sells
BES-0042 21
BlackRock’s scale and internal network for netting client flows delivers the potential to significantly lower transaction costs BlackRock transaction costs vs. ex-ante estimates1 Average client cost in 2013, as of Dec 31, 2013
Transaction costs (bp)
25 21 20
17 15
15
13 10
10
8
7 4
5 1
2
1
2
5
6
3
1
0 Buy
Sell S&P 500
Buy
Sell MSCI EAFE
Buy
Sell
MSCI ACWI ex-US IMI Actual Client T-Cost
Buy
Sell MSCI EM
T-Cost Estimate Pre Netting of Flows
The scale of BlackRock’s CTFs and global trading footprint results in reduced T costs: On average, we net internally approximately 40 – 50% of client flows Market trades reflect the industry’s most competitive commission rates
Source: BlackRock. BlackRock Flagship Index Funds shown. 1 Estimated transaction costs includes commissions and taxes based on BlackRock’s current standard negotiated rates Netting of client flows is not guaranteed, and may depend on several other factors, including but not limited to, client flows and external trading markets. BlackRock’s size facilitates potential ability to net client flows and realize transaction cost savings.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 22
Precision performance, as planned Over the past 10 years, BlackRock’s S&P 500® Index Equity Collective Fund matched or beat the benchmark 97% of the time S&P 500 Index Fund A performance — Excess returns Matched or beat: 97% 91
90 80 70 60 50 40 30
-5 to -4
-4 to -3
0
5
4
1
1
1
1
1 7 to 8
-6 to -5
0
6 to 7
0
5 to 6
0
4 to 5
0
-2 to -1
0
-3 to -2
0
-7 to -6
10
3 to 4
16
20
-8 to -7
# of times benchmark matched or beat
100
0 8 to 9
2 to 3
1 to 2
0 to 1
-1 to 0
0
Performance in relation to benchmark (BPS) Source: BlackRock, Inc. and S&P, as of 31 December 2014. Reported on an annual basis and gross of fees Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to directly invest in an unmanaged index. Index returns include the reinvestment of dividends.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
BES-0042 23
Key takeaway Our approach to Beta: anything but passive Investors today demand more reliable, precise returns and innovative ways to use beta BlackRock Beta Strategies’ approach is focused on:
People Team combines skill and ingenuity in seeking to enhance outcomes
Performance Seek to provide consistent performance as planned
Process Rooted in deep understanding of benchmarks and capital markets
Platform Scale and technology innovations enhance ability to deliver consistent performance and minimize costs
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
Products Flexible spectrum of solutions featuring more than 1,000 funds covering 350+ benchmarks
BES-0042 24
Summary of LADWP Investment Guidelines
Index:
Russell 1000 Index
Fund Guidelines:
The Russell 1000 Index Fund shall be invested and reinvested in a portfolio of Equity Securities with the objective of approximating as closely as practicable the capitalization weighted total rate of return of the segment of the United States market for publicly traded equity securities represented by the 1,000 largest capitalized companies. The criterion for the selection of investments shall be the Russell 1000 Index. When deemed appropriate by the Manager, the Manager may invest a portion of the Russell 1000® Index Fund in stock index futures contracts for the purpose of acting as a temporary substitute for investment in equity securities. The Russell 1000 Index Fund will not engage in speculative futures transactions. For the purposes of these investment guidelines the defined term "Equity Securities" shall mean common stocks and forms of equity securities (e.g., preferred stock), American Depository Receipts, European Depository Receipts, Global Depository Receipts and Investment Company Shares (as defined below) where such investment company portfolio seeks to replicate or outperform the performance of an equity index selected by the Manager.
Tracking Error:
+/- 10 basis points annually
The LADWP accounts are managed in strict compliance with the Plan’s guidelines
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
25
III. Market Overview
On balance, 2014 was a decent year, but will be challenging from here.
Asset Class Returns, 2014
Sources: Thomson Reuters, BlackRock Investment Institute, data through 31 December 2014 For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
29
Valuation of Global Equity and Bond Markets Valuations range from sky-high (government bonds) to average (most credit and developed equities). We continue to prefer stocks over bonds and cash, even with volatility expected to rise. Valuations by Percentile vs. Historical Norms
Fixed Income
Equities
100 90
Expensive
80 Percentile Ranking
70 60 50
Average
40
30 20 10
Cheap
0
November 2014 Source: BlackRock Investment Institute (BII) and Thomson Reuters as of 10/31/14. Valuation percentiles are based on an aggregation of standard valuation measures versus their longterm history. Government Bonds are 10-year benchmark issues. Equity valuations are average percentile ranks versus available history of earnings yield, cyclically adjusted earnings yield, trend real earnings, dividend yield, price to book, price to cash flow and forward 12-month earnings yield For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
30
The Great Equity Rerating Valuations have driven equities more than earnings growth. This is what happens in a bull market and ends when valuations become excessive and/or policy tightens. Earnings growth has to take over to avoid a bubble. Earnings growth now coming through in most regions, but requires leverage given margin levels. 12-Month Equity Returns by Source
Sector allocation should depend on valuation. Defensives and Dividend-oriented sectors are overvalued while cyclical sectors are reasonably priced. Cons Staples Health Care Utilities Cons Discr Technology Telecom
Energy Industrials Materials Financials 0
5
10
IBES 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio 10-year average
15
20
10-year average
Source: Thomson Reuters Datastream, BlackRock Investment Institute, as of 01/15/15 Sources: Thomson Reuters, MSCI and BlackRock Investment Institute, January 2015 For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
31
Opportunities: Equities U.S.
Reflationary monetary policies have supported the bull market, but can grind higher.
We remain optimistic for 2015…
…despite less accommodation.
S&P 500 Year End Target
S&P 500 Performance (%) in the last 3 tightening cycles 10
Federated Investors
2350 8
Morgan Stanley
2275
JP Morgan Chase
2250
Prudential Int'l
2250
6
2
Citi Research
2200
Columbia Management
2200
0
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
2200
-2
BlackRock 2100
-6
Goldman Sachs
2100
-8
2050
2250
2450
-5
8
7 4.7
-3
-1
1994
1999
6.3
-4.0
-6
3 months following
Sources: WSJ, BlackRock. 2014 year end S&- 500 value was 2058.90. As of Dec 15, 2014.
9
3
-4
2160
Barclays
1850
9
4
2004
6 months following
Average
12 months following
Sources: Goldman Sachs
For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
32
Opportunities: International Equities We would focus on opportunities in certain international markets. Japan remains the most attractively priced developed market, with catalysts for further stock gains on the horizon. P/B and Dividend Yield by Country
Japanese Buybacks and Dividend Payouts
5.0 Brazil
20
8%
15
6%
10
4%
5
2%
UK Australia
4.5
4.0
South Africa
Hong Kong
Switzerland
3.0 Canada
2.5 China
US
2.0 Japan
1.5
Trillion Yen
Dividend Yield, in %
Europe
Return on Equity
Poland
3.5
0
Mexico
0% 05
South Korea
06
Buyback
07
08
09
Dividends
10
11
12
13 14E 15E
Return on equity (right-axis)
1.0 1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Price-to-Book Ratio
Sources: Goldman Sachs, November 2014. Note: The analysis is based on 1,689 Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed companies. 2014 and 2015 are Goldman Estimates
Source: Bloomberg, December 2014. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
33
Opportunities: Fixed Income – Developed Rates 2014 continued to defy the consensus as global interest rates continued to rally. Now it’s a matter of U.S. vs. the global. US yield curve
Global Rates- Where to get safe haven yield?
5.0
4.00
4.5 3.50 4.0 3.5
2.50
3.0 2.75
2.00
2.17
1.50
2.5
2.0 1.5
1.65 1.00
Yield (%)
Yield (%)
3.00
0.66
1.0
0.50
0.5
0.00 2s
5s
Jan-14
10s
Jun-14
30s
Jan-15
Sources: Bloomberg. Note: data labels show value for maturities as of 1/1/2015.
0.0 Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
UST 10
UK 10
German 10
Australia 10
Italy 10
Spain 10
Oct-14 Japan 10
Jan-15
Sources: Bloomberg. As of Jan 8,2015
For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
34
Opportunities: Fixed Income – High Yield After a strong recovery post the Great Recession, many are asking have we reached the end of the cycle. One of the best Investments post recession1 20%
16.7%
Total Return (%)
16% 10.2%
12%
2.6%
2.1%
4%
3.4%
2.1%
0% -4%
-0.1%
Valuations are no longer a screaming bargain…
… but, the asset class is strong fundamentally. 4.5x
16
Current = 4.4x
14
4.0x
12
3.5x
10
3.0x
8
2.5x
LT average = 3.1x
6
2.0x
4
1.5x
2 Jan-09
Jan-07
Jan-05
Jan-03
Jan-01
Jan-99
Jan-97
Jan-95
Jan-93
Jan-91
Jan-89
Jan-87
Jan-85
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14
1.0x
0 Jan-83
High Yield YTW/ UST T 5 year Yield
12.7%
8.5%
6.8%
8%
11.2%
17.8%
EBITDA-Capex/Interest Expense
EBITDA/Interest Expense
Sources: Bloomberg, JP Morgan 1 Performance Summary, December 2008 to November 2014 – various asset classes
For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
35
Key Risks to Macro view and Asset Allocation
•
The Fed’s transition to a normalized monetary policy framework creates more disruption than expected.
•
US growth is not enough to offset the weak GDP from global peers. Global growth continues to suffer.
•
The ECB’s expected QE increases the balance sheet, yet markets front run and effect is not long lasting, leaving inflation well below the target. Europe falls into deflation (further) deterring investment at the corporate and household sector.
•
Oil continues to drop forcing a capitulation in the HY sector and more reductions in the Energy sector lowering S&P 500 overall cap ex projections.
•
China’s delicate balancing act between growth and reforms forces GDP to print lower than target. Stimulus measures offered only add to overleveraged economy and shadow banking risks.
Sources: BlackRock.
For use with institutional and professional investors only – proprietary and confidential
36
IV. Performance Review
LADWP Performance Overview
Our investment objective for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Fund is to replicate the risk and return of the Russell 1000 Index. Fund (gross)
Fund (net)
Index
Difference
Water and Power Retirement Plan: $1,163,394,586 Retirement Health Benefits Fund: $197,355,506 1 month
5.78%
5.78%
5.78%
0.00%
Year-to-date
2.88%
2.88%
2.87%
0.01%
12 months trailing
14.92%
14.91%
14.88%
0.03%
3 years annualized
18.18%
18.17%
18.14%
0.03%
5 years annualized
16.44%
16.43%
16.39%
0.04%
10 years annualized
8.36%
8.35%
8.30%
0.05%
Since inception annualized
9.52%
9.51%
9.47%
0.04%
Source: BlackRock As of 2/28/2015 Benchmark is the Russell 1000 Index Inception Date: 08/07/2003. On 8/31/2010, LADWP redeemed out of the Large Cap Index Trust managed by BlackRock Investment Management, LLC and transitioned into the Russell 1000 Index Fund managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust, N.A
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
39
LADWP Performance Overview
Our investment objective for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Fund is to replicate the risk and return of the Russell 1000 Index. Fund (gross)
Fund (net)
Index
Difference
Water and Power Retirement Plan: $1,097,268,254 Retirement Health Benefits Fund: $186,137,992 2005
6.27%
6.26%
6.27%
-0.01%
2006
15.62%
15.60%
15.46%
0.14%
2007
5.76%
5.74%
5.77%
-0.03%
2008
-37.63%
-37.65%
-37.60%
-0.05%
2009
28.48%
28.46%
28.43%
0.03%
2010
16.80%
16.78%
16.75%
0.03%
2011
1.56%
1.55%
1.50%
0.05%
2012
16.47%
16.46%
16.42%
0.04%
2013
33.14%
33.13%
33.11%
0.02%
2014
13.27%
12.26%
13.24%
0.02%
2015 YTD
2.88%
2.88%
2.87%
0.01%
Since inception annualized
9.52%
9.51%
9.47%
0.04%
Source: BlackRock As of 2/28/2015 Benchmark is the Russell 1000 Index Inception Date: 08/07/2003. On 8/31/2010, LADWP redeemed out of the Large Cap Index Trust managed by BlackRock Investment Management, LLC and transitioned into the Russell 1000 Index Fund managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust, N.A For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
40
LADWP Performance Overview
24.00%
18.00%
12.00% Fund (gross) Fund (net)
6.00%
Benchmark 0.00% 1 month
YTD
12 3 years 5 years 10 years Since months inception Fund (gross)
Fund (net)
Index
Difference
1 month
5.78%
5.78%
5.78%
0.00%
Year-to-date
2.88%
2.88%
2.87%
0.01%
12 months trailing
14.92%
14.91%
14.88%
0.03%
3 years annualized
18.18%
18.17%
18.14%
0.03%
5 years annualized
16.44%
16.43%
16.39%
0.04%
10 years annualized
8.36%
8.35%
8.30%
0.05%
Since inception annualized
9.52%
9.51%
9.47%
0.04%
Source: BlackRock As of 2/28/2015 Benchmark is the Russell 1000 Index Inception Date: 08/07/2003. On 8/31/2010, LADWP redeemed out of the Large Cap Index Trust managed by BlackRock Investment Management, LLC and transitioned into the Russell 1000 Index Fund managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust, N.A For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
41
LADWP Performance Overview 40.00%
20.00%
0.00%
Fund (gross) Fund (net) Benchmark
-20.00%
-40.00% 2008
2010
2012
2014
Since inception annualized
Fund (gross)
Fund (net)
Index
Difference
2008
-37.63%
-37.65%
-37.60%
-0.05%
2009
28.48%
28.46%
28.43%
0.03%
2010
16.80%
16.78%
16.75%
0.03%
2011
1.56%
1.55%
1.50%
0.05%
2012
16.47%
16.46%
16.42%
0.04%
2013
33.14%
33.13%
33.11%
0.02%
2014
13.27%
12.26%
13.24%
0.02%
2015 YTD
2.88%
2.88%
2.87%
0.01%
Since inception annualized
9.52%
9.51%
9.47%
0.04%
Source: BlackRock, As of 2/28/2015 Benchmark is the Russell 1000 Index Inception Date: 08/07/2003. On 8/31/2010, LADWP redeemed out of the Large Cap Index Trust managed by BlackRock Investment Management, LLC and transitioned into the Russell 1000 Index Fund managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust, N.A For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
42
LADWP Portfolio Attribution - Sectors Our investment objective for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Fund is to replicate the risk and return of the Russell 1000 Index. As this is a passive portfolio, portfolio attribution of sectors is not applicable.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
43
LADWP Portfolio Attribution – Top Contributors/Detractors Our investment objective for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Fund is to replicate the risk and return of the Russell 1000 Index. As this is a passive portfolio, contributors/detractors are at index levels. There are no active over/underweights for attribution.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
44
LADWP Portfolio Attribution – Stock Selection Our investment objective for the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power Fund is to replicate the risk and return of the Russell 1000 Index. As this is a passive portfolio, stock selection is not performed. Individual securities are weighted at index levels, therefore attribution is not applicable.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
45
V. Portfolio Characteristics
Russell 1000® Equity Index Fund Characteristics Sector diversification
Characteristics Strategy
As of 31 December 2014
Russell 1000® Index
12.71 12.70
Consumer discretionary Total fund assets
$35.41B
Number of holdings
8.99 8.98
Consumer staples
1,043
7.83 7.84
Energy
Top 10 holdings
17.42 17.44
Financials
Fund %
Index %
Apple Inc.
3.16
3.16
Exxon Mobil Corporation
1.89
1.89
13.95 13.95
Health care 11.17 11.16
Ru-1K-Idx-A-Ch
Industrials Microsoft Corporation
1.82
1.82
Johnson & Johnson
1.41
1.41
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B
1.31
1.31
Wells Fargo & Company
1.24
1.24
General Electric Company
1.20
1.20
Procter & Gamble Company
1.17
1.17
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
1.13
1.13
Chevron Corporation
1.01
1.01
19.05 19.04
Information technology 3.54 3.53
Materials
2.11 2.11
Telecommunication services
3.23 3.22
Utilities
0
8
16
24 Fund
Index
Portions of the above characteristics are based on benchmark data as the portfolio fully replicates benchmark and is for analytical purposes only. Index data may differ to those published by the Index due to different classification criteria. Breakdowns may not sum to total due to rounding, exclusion of cash, STIF, and statistically immaterial factors Sources: BlackRock, FactSet Intended for use in a one-on-one presentation with institutional trust clients or prospective eligible institutional trust clients of BlackRock Institutional Trust Company. N.A. (“BTC”)
CTF-0624 49
Portfolio Value Water and Power Retirement Plan Initial Value as of 31 August 2010
$531,877,753
Contributions
$377,541,879
Withdrawals
($384,000,000)
Interest*
$134
Change in Market Value
$637,974,820
Market Value as of 28 February 2014
$1,163,394,586
Retirement Health Benefits Fund Initial Value as of 31 August 2010
$119,429,892
Contributions
$27,348,436
Withdrawals
($40,210,929)
Interest*
$448
Change in Market Value
$90,787,659
Market Value as of 28 February 2014
$197,355,506
Source: BlackRock As of 2/28/2015 Please note that the change in portfolio value detailed above is only relevant to the Russell 1000 Index Fund managed by BlackRock Institutional Trust, N.A. *Interest earned is from assets held in the Money Market Fund which is the sweep vehicle for the Russell 1000 Index Fund.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
50
VI. Fee Schedule
LADWP Fee Schedule
LADWP Management Fee Schedule
Total Assets
Annual Fee (bps)
First $500,000,000
1.0
Above $500,000,000
0.75
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
53
Appendix – Presenter Biographies
Presenter Biographies Jeremy Watt, Director, is a member of the US and Canada Institutional team within BlackRock's Institutional Client Business. He is responsible for developing and maintaining relationships with institutional investors, including public and private pension plans, foundations and endowments. Mr. Watt's service with the firm dates back to 1996, including his years with Barclays Global Investors (BGI), which merged with BlackRock in 2009. At BGI, he was a senior client relationship officer for the US Institutional Client Service Group. Mr. Watt began his career at BGI as a senior data analyst before serving as a project manager for BGI's Global Market Data Group. Prior to joining BGI, Mr. Watt was a fund accountant and a securities operations analyst at Invesco.
Mr. Watt earned a BA degree in business studies from Charles Sturt University.
Corin Frost, CFA, Managing Director, is Global Head of Index Strategy in BlackRock's Beta Strategies Group. He is responsible for Index Equity product strategy and client relationships for all institutional equity products globally. Mr. Frost's service with the firm dates back to 1998, including his years with Barclays Global Investors (BGI), which merged with BlackRock in 2009. At BGI, he was the Global Head of Index Strategy within the Equity Index Portfolio Management Group. Before moving to the US, Mr. Frost headed the International Index Equity team in BGI's London office. Previously, Mr. Frost was an Index Portfolio Manager for Norwich Union Investment Management. Mr. Frost earned a BSc degree in economics from Cardiff University in 1991 and an MSc degree in economics from Warwick University in 1992.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
57
Important notes
This document contains general information only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, investment advice, or a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The information does not take into account your financial circumstances. An assessment should be made as to whether the information is appropriate for you having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. The opinions expressed are as of 3/25/15 and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and nonproprietary sources deemed by BlackRock, Inc. and/or its subsidiaries (together, “BlackRock”) to be reliable, are not necessarily all inclusive and are not guaranteed as to accuracy. There is no guarantee that any forecasts made will come to pass. Any investments named within this material may not necessarily be held in any accounts managed by BlackRock. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. BlackRock® is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. In Latin America, for institutional investors and financial intermediaries only (not for public distribution). This material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any fund or security and it is your responsibility to inform yourself of, and to observe, all applicable laws and regulations of your relevant jurisdiction. If any funds are mentioned or inferred in this material, such funds have not been registered with the securities regulators of Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Uruguay or any other securities regulator in any Latin American country and thus, may not be publicly offered in any such countries, except for Chile where certain funds have been registered with the Superintendencia de Valores y Seguros for public offering and in Mexico where certain funds have been listed on the Sistema Internacional de Cotizaciones (SIC) exchange of the Bolsa Mexicana de Valores. The securities regulators of any country within Latin America have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. No information discussed herein can be provided to the general public in Latin America. The contents of this material are strictly confidential and must not be passed to any third party. © 2015 BlackRock, Inc. All rights reserved. BLACKROCK, BLACKROCK SOLUTIONS, and iSHARES are registered trademarks of BlackRock, Inc. or its subsidiaries. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
For use with institutional investors only — proprietary and confidential
UIM-0101 58