Equity Research / Asia Pacific / India Financials 13 August 2013

India Financial Sector SECTOR REVIEW IDEAS ENGINE SERIES

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House of debt—revisited

Debt up 15% YoY even as profitability pressures continue in FY13

Debt levels up 15% over FY12: We revisit the ten corporate groups featured in our 2012 House of Debt report (link), and find their debt levels are up another 15% even as profitability continues to be under pressure. For most of them the debt increase has outpaced capex and asset sales are yet to take off. The rising stress is visible with some loans of Lanco, JPA, and Reliance ADA already being restructured. Debt servicing ratios under pressure: Debt coverage ratios have further deteriorated with P&L interest cover at groups such as Essar, GMR, GVK and Lanco already under 1. Interest cover at Adani and Jaypee have also fallen to