10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 1

Università Bocconi: da cent’anni il futuro

International Workshop

Income Distribution and Welfare

Università Bocconi Theatre N03 New Building Piazza Sraffa, 13 - Milan (Italy)

Via Sarfatti, 25 20136 Milano www.uni-bocconi.it

May 30th, 31st, and June 1st, 2002 Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 2

uring the Bocconi Centennial, the university hosts a series of scientific conferences aimed at discussing research advancements in the most important topics affecting the social and economic development of this country within an international framework. Since its very beginning of the Sabbatini Programme, Bocconi University has been putting research work at the centre of its efforts, with the goal of better understanding and interpreting trends and structures of socio-economic phenomena for the advancement of knowledge. Only research can produce innovative know-how valuable to decision-making in government and private sectors alike.

D

Poverty, inequality, mobility, polarization, and, more in general, the distribution of income, are increasingly recognized as crucial aspects of the world economies. The world is getting rich at a pace never experienced before, income increased, inflation decreased, the stock market soared in the past decade, however there is a worry in the minds of many. Present social and technological changes seem, indeed, to generate a boost in productivity and economic growth but, at the same time, a rise in the disparities between developed and under-developed countries, in welfare differentials among individuals in the same country. The world we are living in is slowly splitting into two groups, “the haves and the have nots” and large segments of the population are not reaping the benefits of economic growth. Università Bocconi will bring together a distinguished group of scholars to shed light on these issues, in particular the themes of workshop will be: the measurement of welfare, inequality and poverty; the measurement of polarization and social exclusion; fiscal systems and the distribution of income and wealth; income dynamics and mobility.

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 3

Programme

Thursday, May 30 10:00

Welcoming Remarks

10:30

Invited Lectures

12:00

Lunch with Poster Session

14:30

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

16:00

Coffee Break

16:30

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

20:00

Welcome Party and Dinner

Friday, May 31 9:00

Invited Lectures

10:30

Coffee Break

11:00

Parallel sessions: Contributed Papers

12:40

Lunch with Poster Session

14:30

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

16:00

Coffee Break

16:30

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

18:00

Coffee Break

18:20

Parallel sessions: Contributed Papers

19:30

Cocktail

Saturday, June 1 9:00

Invited Lectures

10:30

Coffee Break

11:00

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

12:30

Conclusion Remarks

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 4

Detailed Programme

Thursday, May 30th 10:00 - 10:30

Welcoming Remarks • Carlo Secchi (Rector, Università Bocconi)

10:30 - 12:00

Invited Lectures • Tony Atkinson (University of Oxford, UK) • John Roemer (Yale University, USA)

12:00 - 14:30

Lunch with Poster Session • Bill Reed (University of Victoria, Canada) An explanation and an extension of Pareto’s Law of Incomes and a new parametric model for income and earnings distributions • Salvatore Barbaro (Universität Göttingen, Germany) The distributional impact of subsidies to higher education - empirical evidence from Germany • Andrea Borgarello and Francesco Devicienti (LABORatorio, Italy) What accounts for the rise in wage inequality? Evidence from Italian matched employer-employee data, 1985-1996 • Daniela Collesi and Aldo del Santo (ISTAT, Italy) National Accounts according to ESA95: some new evidences for better understanding the distribution of income • Carlo Declich (ISAE, Italy) and Veronica Polin (Università degli Studi di Verona, Italy) Absolute poverty and the cost of living: an experimental analysis for Italian Households • Francesca Gastaldi (Università degli Studi di Roma “La Sapienza”, Italy) Tax credits and child benefits to help poor families: the Italian case • Sara Lelli (KU Leuven, Belgium) Modelling marginal indirect tax reform in a non-welfarist framework • Paolo Liberati (Università degli Studi di Urbino, Italy) The generation bias of tax/benefit policies: a simulation on three countries using historical data • Stefania Licini (Università degli Studi di Bergamo, Italy) Patterns of social mobility, first industrialists in 19th century Europe • Fabio Padovano (Università degli Studi Roma Tre, Italy) The redistributive efficiency of centralized vs. decentralized fiscal policy • Corrado Benassi (Università degli Studi di Bologna, Italy), Alessandra Chirco and Marcella Scrimitore (Università degli Studi di Lecce, Italy) Income concentration and market demand

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 5

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers

14:30 - 16:00

Invited Contributions:

• James Foster (Vanderbilt University, USA) • Pietro Muliere (Università Bocconi, Italy) • Jacques Silber (Bar-Ilan University, Israel) Contributed Papers: Measurement 1 • Marisa Bottiroli Civardi (Università degli Studi di Milano Bicocca, Italy) and Renata Targetti Lenti (Università degli Studi di Pavia,

Italy) The social accounting matrix (SAM): a framework for building inequality “structural indicators” for analysing the personal income distribution • Lorenzo Forni (Banca d’Italia, Italy) Are Italians prepared for retirement? An analysis using the Bank of Italy’s Survey of Household Income and Wealth • Björn Gustafsson (Göteborgs Universitet, Sweden), Mats Johansson (Institute for Future Studies, Sweden) and Edward Palmer (Uppsala Universitet, Sweden) Economic well-being of the elderly during the deep Swedish recession of the 1990’s - how and why relative income inequality changed • Patrizia Lattarulo, Renato Paniccià and Nicola Sciclone (IRPET, Italy) The household income distribution in Tuscany. A combined micro and macro approach 16:00 - 16:30

Coffee Break

16:30 - 18:30

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers • • • •

Invited Contributions: Joan Maria Esteban (IAE, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona) Lars Osberg (Dalhousie University, Canada) Tim Smeeding (Syracuse University, USA) Edward Wolff (New York University, USA)

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 6

Contributed Papers: Mobility 1 • Bruno Contini (Università degli Studi di Torino, Italy)

•

•

•

• •

20:00

Earnings mobility and labor market segmentation in Europe and USA: preliminary explorations Lorenzo Cappellari (Università degli Studi del Piemonte Orientale, Italy) The dynamics and inequality of Italian male earnings: permanent changes or transitory fluctuations? Anna Giraldo, Enrico Rettore and Ugo Trivellato (Università degli Studi di Padova, Italy) The persistence of poverty: true state or unobserved heterogeneity? Some evidence from the Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth Felix Büchel (Max-Planck Institute for Human Development, Germany), Joachim R. Frick (DIW Berlin, Germany) and Asghar Zaidi (London School of Economics, UK) Income dynamics within retirement in Germany and Great Britain Federico Biagi (Università degli Studi di Ferrara, Italy) A cohort analysis for Italian wages Christian Schluter (University of Bristol, UK) and Dirk Van der Gaer (Universiteit Gent, Belgium) Mobility as distributional difference Welcome Party and Dinner

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 7

Friday, May 31th 9:00 - 10:30 Invited Lectures

• Satya Chakravarty (Indian Statistical Institute, India) • Frank Cowell (London School of Economics, UK) 10:30 - 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 - 12:40

Parallel sessions: Contributed Papers Measurement 2

• Javier Ruiz-Castillo (Universidad Carlos III, Spain) The measurement of the inequality of opportunities. An international comparison • Patricio Feres, Herwig Immervoll, Horacio Levy, Daniela Mantovani, Cathal O’Donoghue and Holly Sutherland (University of Cambridge, UK) Indicators for social inclusion in the EU: how responsive are they to changes in micro- and macro-policy? • Theodore Mitrakos (Bank of Greece, Greece) and Panos Tsakloglou (Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece) Inequality, poverty and aggregate welfare in Greece: a twenty-five year story • Bruce Bradbury (University of New South Wales, Australia) Assessing the quality of income data: implications for Australian poverty trends • Stephan Klasen and Carola Gruen (Universität München, Germany) Growth, income distribution, and well-being: comparisons across space and time Poverty 1

• Jean-Yves Duclos (Université Laval, Canada), David Sahn and Stephen D. Younger (Cornell University, USA) Robust multidimensional poverty comparisons • Marisa Bottiroli Civardi (Università degli Studi di Milano Bicocca, Italy) and Enrica Chiappero Martinetti (Università degli Studi di Pavia, Italy) Poverty between and within groups • Olga Canto, Coral del Rio and Carlos Gradin (Universidade de Vigo, Spain) What helps households with children in leaving poverty? Evidence from Spain in contrasts with other EU countries

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 8

• Sergio Brasini and Giorgio Tassinari (Università degli Studi di Bologna, Italy) Multiple deprivation, income and poverty: household standard of living in an affluent town of northern Italy • Felix Büchel, Antje Mertens (Max-Planck Institute for Human Development, Germany) and Kristian Orsini (Université Libre de Bruxelles, Belgium) Is mothers’ employment an effective mean to fight family poverty? Lessons from eight European countries Theory 1

• Francesco Farina (Università degli Studi di Siena, Italy) Eugenio Peluso (Université de Cergy-Pontoise, France) and Ernesto Savaglio (Università degli Studi di Siena, Italy) Inequality of opportunity in income and functionings • Fabio Maccheroni (Università Bocconi, Italy) and Massimo Marinacci (Università degli Studi di Torino, Italy) How to cut a pizza fairly • Marcello D’Agostino (Università degli Studi di Ferrara, Italy), Valentino Dardanoni (Università degli Studi di Palermo, Italy) and Vito Peragine (Università degli Studi di Bari, Italy) A statistical theory of freedom • Ulrich Schmidt, Christian Seidl (Universität Kiel, Germany), Stefan Traub and Maria Vittoria Levati (Max-Planck Institut zur Erforschung von Wirtschaftssystemen, Germany) Lorenz, Pareto, Pigou: who scores best Experimental evidence on dominance relations of income distributions • Kurt Devooght (Katholieke Universiteit Lueven, Belgium) Responsibility-sensitive inequality measurement: theory and empirics Econometrics 1

• Markus Jäntti (Statistics Finland, Finland) Trends in the distribution of income and wealth - Finland 1987-1998 • Francois Bourguignon (DELTA, France), Francisco H.G. Ferreira and Phillippe G. Leite (Pontificia Universidade Catolica do Rio de Janeiro, Brazil) Prices, preferences or endowments? Accounting for excess inequality in Brazil • Emmanuel Flachaire (Université Paris I Pantheon-Sorbonne, France) and Olivier Nunez (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain) Estimation of income distribution and detection of subpopulations: an explicative model

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:54

Pagina 9

• Robert Breunig and Steve Stern (Australian National University, Australia) Bias correction and variance estimation for inequality indices under complex sampling schemes • Michael A. Boozer (Yale University, USA) and Markus P. Goldstein (London School of Economics, UK) Poverty measures and their dynamics: incorporating survey response biases and errors in the developing country context Fiscal 1

• Rolf Aaberge (Statistics Norway, Norway), Ugo Colombino (Università degli Studi di Torino, Italy) and Steinar Strom (Universitet i Oslo, Norway) Do more equal slices shrink the cake? An empirical evaluation of tax-transfer reform proposals in Italy • Xisco Oliver-Rullan and Amedeo Spadaro (Universitat de les Illes Balears, Spain) Are Spanish governments really averse to inequality? A normative analysis using the 1999 reform from the Spanish taxbenefit system as a natural experiment • Roberto Galbiati (Università Bocconi, Italy) and Alberto Zanardi (Università degli Studi di Bologna, Italy) The redistributive effects of tax evasion: a comparison between conventional and multicriteria perspectives • Fabrice Murat and Nicole Roth (INSEE, France) The distributional impact of recent tax reforms in France: evaluation by simulation • Thomas Drabinski (Universität Kiel, Germany) Taxation, incidence and microsimulation: an approach for Germany

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

12:40 - 14:30

16:54

Pagina 10

Lunch with Poster Session • Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay (London School of Economics, UK) Convergence club empirics: some stylised facts and explanations of growth and income dynamics across Indian states • Guigo Bulligan (DIW Berlin, Germany) Inequality and growth: theory and empirical evidence • Carlo Fiorio (London School of Economics, UK) Assessing the reliability of microsimulation models using the bootstrap: an analysis of the sampling error when sample size matters • Jan Goebel (DIW Berlin, Germany) Decomposing permanent and transitory poverty • Valentino Larcinese (London School of Economics, UK) Inequality and access to higher education in Italy • Fotis Papadopoulos and Panos Tsakloglou (Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece) Identifying population groups at high risk of social exclusion: evidence from the ECHP • Guillermo Paraje (University of Cambridge, UK) Inequality, welfare and polarisation in Argentina, 1986-2001 • Maria Elena Garcia Reyes (University of York, UK) Empirical comparison of measures of polarization: a Monte Carlo approach • Caterina Ruggeri Laderchi (University of Oxford, UK) Do concept matter? An empirical investigation of the difference between a capability and a monetary assessment of poverty • Stefano Sacchi, Maurizio Ferrera (Università degli Studi di Pavia, Italy) and Manos Matsaganis (University of Crete) Open coordination against poverty: the new EU “Social inclusion process”

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

14:30 - 16:00

16:55

Pagina 11

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers Invited Contributions:

• Patrick Moyes (Université Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, France) • Shlomo Yitzhaki (The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel) • Claudio Zoli (University of Nottingham, UK) Contributed Papers: Measurement 3 • Michael Ward (University of Cambridge, UK)

Global inequality: the real battlefront • Joachim Merz (Universität Lüneburg, Germany) The distribution of income of self-employed, entrepreneurs and professions as revealed from micro income tax statistics in Germany • Andre Decoster and Erwin Ooghe (KU Leuven, Belgium) Households, individuals, or equivalized persons as weights in welfare evaluations: an empirical assesment • Kitty Stewart (London School of Economics, UK) Measuring well-being and exclusion in Europe’s regions

16:00 - 16:30

Coffee Break

16:30 - 18:00

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers Invited Contributions:

• Udo Ebert (Universität Oldenburg, Germany) • Gary Fields (Cornell University, USA) • Karl Mosler (Universität Koln, Germany) Contributed Papers: Fiscal 2 • Jean-Yves Duclos (University Laval, Canada), Paul Makdissi and (Université de Sherbrooke, Canada) Quentin Wodon

Socially efficient tax reforms • Dierk Hirschel and Joachim Merz (Universität Lüneburg, Germany) The distribution and re-distribution of income of freelancers and self-employed in Europe

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:55

Pagina 12

• Jorge Onrubia, Rafael Salas and Jose Felix Sanz (Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain) Redistribution and labor supply • Valerie Albouy and Christophe Starzec (INSEE, France) Within household wage inequality between man and women: the role of social and fiscal factors 18:00 - 18:20

Coffee Break

18:20 - 19:20

Parallel sessions: Contributed Papers Mobility 2

• Daniele Checchi (Università degli Studi di Milano, Italy) and Valentino Dardanoni (Università degli Studi di Palermo, Italy) Ordinal mobility comparisons: an application • Stephen P. Jenkins (University of Essex, UK) and Philippe Van Kerm (CEPS/INSTEAD, Luxembourg) Growth, mobility and progressivity: Decomposing inequality trends in the USA • Birgit Otto and Jan Goebel (DIW Berlin, Germany) Incidence and intensity of permanent income poverty in Europeans countries Theory 2

• Alain Chateauneuf and Yann Rebille (Université Paris I PantheonSorbonne, France) Myopic valuation of infinite dimensional consumption plans through continuous belief functions • Liema Davidovitz and Yoram Kroll (Ruppin Institute, Israel) On the attitude towards inequality • Gleb Koshevoy (CEMI RAS, Russia) Risk and income inequality under ambiguity Theory 3:

• Christophe Muller (University of Nottingham, UK) and Alain Trannoy (Université de Cergy-Pontoise, France) Multidimensional inequality comparisons: a compensation perspective

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:55

Pagina 13

• Cecilia Gracia Penalosa (GREQAM, France) and Stephen J. Turnovsky (University of Washington, USA) Production risk and the functional distribution of income in a developing economy: tradeoffs and policy responses • Ernesto Savaglio and Stefano Vannucci (Università degli Studi di Siena, Italy) Filtral preorders and opportunity inequality Measurement 4

• Vincenzo Atella (Università degli Studi di Roma Tor Vergata, Italy), Jay Coggins (University of Minnesota, USA) and Federico Perali (Università degli Studi di Verona, Italy) Aversion to Inequality and poverty in Italy: are they related? • Joachim Frick and Markus Grabka (DIW Berlin, Germany) The impact of imputed rent on the personal distribution of income a decomposition analysis for the UK, West Germany, and the USA • Asghar Zaidi and Tania Burchardt (London School of Economics, UK) Equivalisation for the extra costs of disability Poverty 2

• Francesco Devicienti (LABORatorio, Italy) Estimating poverty persistence in Britain • Adam Szulc (Warsaw School of Economics, Poland) Poverty in Poland during the 1990s: does the method matter? • Andrea Vigorito and Rodrigo Arim (Universidad de la Republica Oriental del Uruguay, Uruguay) Child poverty in Uruguay 1990-2000 Theory 4

• Dirk Krueger (Stanford University, USA) and Fabrizio Perri (New York University, USA) Does income inequality lead to consumption inequality? Evidence and theory • Alessandro Cigno (Università degli Studi di Firenze, Italy), Annalisa Luporini (Università degli Studi di Trieste, Italy) and Anna Pettini (Università degli Studi di Firenze, Italy) Hidden information problems in the design of family allowances • Hilde Bojer (Universitet i Oslo, Norway) Full income, time cost of children and equivalent adult scales 19:30

Cocktail

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:55

Pagina 14

Saturday, June 1st Invited Lectures

9:00 - 10:30

• Peter Lambert (University of York, UK) • Tony Shorrocks (UNU/WIDER, Finland) 10:30 - 11:00

Coffee Break 11:00 - 13:00

Parallel sessions: Invited Contributions and Contributed Papers • • • •

Invited Contributions: François Bourguignon (DELTA, France) Valentino Dardanoni (Università degli Studi di Palermo, Italy) Stephen P. Jenkins (University of Essex, UK) Conchita D’Ambrosio (Università Bocconi, Italy)

Contributed Papers: Measurement 5 • Miriam Beblo, Irwin L. Collier and Thomas Knaus (Freie Universität

• • • •

•

Berlin, Germany) Differential Changes in the cost of living and income inequality: Germany in the 1990s Satya Paul (Univerisity of Western Sydney, Australia) Income sources effects on inequality Stanislaw Maciej Kot (Cracow University of Economics, Poland) The estimation of welfare functions, inequality aversion, and equivalence scales Hans-Peter Weikard (Wageningen University, The Netherlands) Poverty measurement under income uncertainty M. Rosaria Marino (Bank of Italy, Italy) and Chiara Rapallini (Università degli Studi di Roma Tor Vergata, Italy) Household income taxation in Italy during the last decade: an analysis of the redistributive effects and welfare M. Grazia Pittau and Roberto Zelli (Università degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza, Italy) Testing for changing shapes of income distribution: Italian evidence in the 1990s from kernel density estimates

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:55

Pagina 15

Organizing Committee Conchita D’Ambrosio, Università Bocconi Pietro Muliere, Università Bocconi

Organizational Secretariat Bocconi Comunicazione - Centennial Office Piazza Sraffa, 13 - I 20136 Milan (Italy) Ph. +39.02.58363049 - Fax +39.02.58363047 e-mail: [email protected]

Organizational Details Partecipation is free of charge and open to everyone, but registration is kindly requested for organizational reasons. Please fill in the registration form and send it by fax to +39.02.58363047. The deadline for registration is May 20 2002. Should you need more information or update details, please look at our web site www.uni-bocconi.it (pages on the Centennial Conferences). Should you need assistance for hotel reservation in Milan, please feel free too contact: Bilberry All Together srl via Santa Sofia, 18 - I 20122 Milan (Italy) Ph. +39.02.58325725 - Fax +39.02.58434308 e-mail: [email protected]

10-05-2002 16:55

Stampa: Cattaneo Paolo Grafiche srl - Oggiono - Lecco

Imp_Income_tarci_0502 Pagina 16

Imp_Income_tarci_0502

10-05-2002

16:55

Pagina 17

International Workshop

Income Distribution and Welfare May 30th, 31st, and June 1st, 2002

Registration form to be sent by fax to +39 02 5836.3047

Surname Name Function Company/Institution Address Code Telephone

City

Nation Fax

E-mail: I would like to participate to all the conference I would like to participate to the following sessions:

With the coming into effect of law 675/96 on “protection of persons and other subjects in relations to the processing of personal data”, we are required to provide the following information regarding the processing of personal data. The processing of personal data, performed by automatic means in order to guarantee the security and confidentiality of these data, will be for the organization of the conference. The personal data shall be collected by Bocconi University and may be communicated to other subjects, involved in the organization of the meeting. The data subject has specific rights under art.13 of law 675/96. In particular, the data subject may be ask the controller of the processing for confirmation as to whether or not the personal data exist and request that said data are placed at his disposal. The controller is Università Bocconi – Centennial Office, piazza Sraffa, 13/b 20136 Milan.

Date Signature