GEOTHERMAL IN INDONESIA (OVER VIEW) Sigit Rahardjo Operation Director PT PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY Jogjakarta , Mei 2013
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
CHARACTERISTIC OF GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS
1 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
INDONESIA HAS THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR GEOTHERMAL ENERGY IN THE WORLD Conventional geothermal 2010 capacity and total potential capacity GW Indonesia
U.S. Japan
•
1
•
3
•
1 2
Philippines
2
Mexico
1
•
Iceland
1 •
New Zealand 1• Total
•
•
20
19
•
Others1
•
27
18
Resource Utilization % 4
28
13
23
•
20
3
•
20
10
•
6
33
5
•
6
20
5
•
6
10
4
3•
16
4 11
102
•
113
10
• In spite of its world’s largest potential of geothermal resource, the utilization only remains 4%
• Geothermal resource in Indonesia is also high temperature resource which enable more economical geothermal development project • •
Installed Potential
1 Includes mostly South/South-East Asia and Africa SOURCE: GEA; DOE; EER; World Geothermal Congress; Energy Information Administration (EIA); interviews
2 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
INDONESIA’S WORLD LEADING GEOTHERMAL PROSPECT Borneo Sumatera Speculative : 13.258 MWe Probable * : 5.433 MWe
Speculative : 45 MWe Probable * : - MWe
Speculative : 27.141 MW Probable : 10.253 MW Current Installed Capacity : 1,337 MW Maluku
Sulawesi Speculative : 1.907 MWe Probable * : 721 MWe
Medan
Speculative : 734 MWe Probable * : 142 MWe
Manado
Tanjung Karang
Bandung
Semarang
Java Speculative : 9.471 MWe Probable * : 3.086 MWe Geothermal location
Papua Bali & NTT Speculative : 1.676 MWe Probable * : 871 MWe
Speculative : 50 MWe MAGMA Probable * : - MWe
3 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
GEOTHERMAL ROAD MAP (Based on President Decree No. 5/2006 on National Energy Policy; Modified by MEMR.REG. No. 15/2010)
2006
2008
2012
2016
2020
2025
2014
852 MW (Production)
1148 MW Existing WKP
2000 MW
3442 MW
5171 MW
12332 MW
7788 MW
(Target baru )
4600 MW *
1442 MW Existing WKP
3977 MW Existing WKP + New WKP
2617 MW New WKP
9500 MW *
4544 MW New WKP
1.337 MW Current Condition
Ministry decree MEMR No. 15/2010
5171 MW Plus The second 10,000 MW fast track program
Under the second 10,000 MW fast-track plan, 34% of energy development come from geothermal energy. (GSDM, 2010, Update Jan 2013)
*) Road Map 2007 4 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
PERTAMINA AIMS TO BE A LEADER IN GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT Geothermal development by operator type Capacity GW Indonesia
SOE
Philippines
Share of SOE % 23
0.8
2.0
61
100
0 1.2
1.2
Private
1.3
1.2
Mexico Iceland
0.9
0.4
1
84
0.1 0.6
0.5
New Zealand
0.7
0.4
54
0.3
State-owned Enterprise energy companies developed more than 50% of geothermal energy in respective markets 1 State Owned Enterprise
•
SOURCE: company websites
5
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
PGE’s WORKING AREA TOTAL PGE’S INSTALLED CAPACITY: 402 MW
1 14 13 2
3 4 5 Ref. Ministerial Decree MEMR No 2067K/30/MEM/2012
1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Sibayak-Sinabung Sibual-buali Sungai Penuh Hululais Lumut Balai & Margabayur
6 7 8
9
10
6. Gunung Waypanas 7. Cibeureum Parabakti 8. Pangalengan 9. Kamojang/Drajat 10. Karaha Cakrabuana
11
12
11. Gn. Iyang Argopuro 12. Tabanan 13. Kotamobago 14. Lahendong
6 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT
TO SUPPORT ACCELERATION OF GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN LINE WITH 10,000 MW POLICY STAGE II – EBTKE’S VISION 25/25 (5 % ENERGY MIX / 12.332 MW - 2025)
IMPLEMENTATION PROJECT MANAGEMENT, RISK ASSESSMENT, ENV MGT
BUSINESS PORTFOLIO ECONOMIC APPROACH
LEGAL ASPECTS LAW, REGULATION, PERMIT
TECHNICAL ASPECT GGGR, OPERATIONAL, MAINTENANCE
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT POLICY (PRES DECREE No. 5 / 2006; GOV’T REGULATION No. 3/2005 – No. 70/2010 : PERMEN ESDM. No. 5 / 2009; No. 2/2011; PERPRES No. 4/2010 : PERPRES No. 10/2011)
1000 MW : 42.250 BOEPD 6.1 JT TON CER”S/YEAR
7 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
IDEAL GEOTHERMAL BUSINESS PROCESS IN INDONESIA HEAD OF AGREEMENT
PRICE AND CONTRACT NEGOTIATION
Notice Of Resorces Confirmation
Notice Of Intend to Develop
COD US$
• AMDAL / UKL / UPL (EIA/Environment Management Effort/Environment Monitoring Effort) • Location Permit • Permit of Land usage for Exploration Activities – Forestry Minister • SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit)
EPC
FEED EXPLOITATION • • • •
EXPLORATION
INVENTORY WKP
2 Years
AMDAL (EIA) Location Permit Land Usage Permit SIPPA (Surface Water Usage Permit) • IMB (Construction Permit)
3 Years 8 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Pertamina aspires to achieve by 2015
•MW 2,295
2,445
2,505
•15
•16
•17
•2018
102
112
119
122
•2015
•2016
•2017
1,508
•Steam Availability
2,090 823 610
•2012
•13
•14
•K Boepd •Oil equivalent
73 30
•2012
40
•2013
•2014
9
•2018
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
KEY BARRIERS TO GEOTHERMAL DEVELOPMENT IN INDONESIA Description
• Higher capital expenditure compared with other power generation technologies
Uncertain economics
High upfront • Cost of USD 35-50 Mn for preliminary studies including exploration wells to prove the reserves without any capital requirement external financing
• Development and exploration costs are solely borne
Uncertainty on pricing
•
by geothermal company and are not reimbursed by government unlike the practice in oil & gas industry Implementation of MEMR Decree on Feed In Tariff requires further negotiation with PLN as a single buyer
• Most of the geothermal reserves are located in protected forests and geothermal activities are not allowed to carry out in forest conservation areas
Uncertain environment
Regulatory uncertainty
• Overlapping jurisdictions increases lead time and complexity as local authorities often block the projects approved by the central government
All these together mean that under the current environment, geothermal development projects are potentially high risk, especially for smaller operators
• Tariff agreement with PLN often comes back for the renegotiation, hence no guarantee on the price
Other risks
• PLN off take is not guaranteed by government 10 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
11
PGE PRODUCTION FIELD - OWN OPERATION
POWER PLANT UNIT – 4 ( 60 MW )
POWER PLANT UNIT 1,2 & 3 (30; 2 x 55 MW)
KAMOJANG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS
POWER PLANT UNIT-1
SIBAYAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD
PRODUCTION CLUSTER UNIT-2 POWER PLANT UNIT-4
LAHENDONG GEOTHERMAL FIELDS
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
PGE GEOTHERMAL FIELDS UNDER JOC SCHEME
WAYANG-WINDU GEOTHERMAL FIELDS (JOC-STAR ENERGY) PLTP 1x110 MW & 1x117 MW
DARAJAT GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 1x55 MW, 1x95 MW & 1x121 MW
SALAK GEOTHERMAL FIELD (JOC-CHEVRON) PLTP 3x60 MW & 3x65 MW 12 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
PGE’S GEOTHERMAL ONGOING PROJECTS No
Project Name
Location
Capacity (MW)
Project Type
1
Lumutbalai Unit 1&2,
Sumatera Selatan
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
2
Lumutbalai Unit 3&4,
Sumatera Selatan
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
3
Ulubelu Unit 3&4,
Lampung
2 x 55 MW
Total Project
4
Kamojang Unit 5
Jawa Barat
30 MW
Total Project
5
Lahendong Unit 5&6
Sulawesi Utara
2x20 MW
Total Project
6
Kotamobagu Unit 1&2
Sulawesi Utara
2 x 20 MW
Steam Supply
7
Hululais Unit 1&2
Bengkulu
2 x 55 MW
Steam Supply
8
Sungai Penuh Unit 1
Jambi
55 MW
Steam Supply
9
Karaha
Jawa Barat
30 MW
Total Project
GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
UPCOMING GREENFIELDS DEVELOPMENT PLAN Kotamobagu Name of Prospect Area
Ins. Capacity (MW)
Medan
Sumatera Island Manado
1 2
3 4
Sinabung
WKP Sungai Penuh 1. Semurup
40
WKP Hululais – Tambang Sawah 1.Tambang Sawah 2.Bukit Daun
70 110
WKP Lumut Balai 1. Margabayur
75
WKP Ulubelu – Way Panas 1. Way Panas
Sumurup Tambang Sawah Bukit Daun Margabayur Way Panas
Tanjung Karang
MAGMA Ciharus
Semarang Bandung
Masigit-Guntur 120
Iyang Argopuro Java Island 5
6
Key Indicators:
WKP Kamojang 1.G. Masigit Guntur 2.Ciharus
50 30
WKP Iyang Argopuro 1. Iyang Argopuro
55
Sulawesi Island 7
WKP Kotamobago 1. Kotamobago
60
• New Geothermal Power Generation Capacity : ± 610 MW • Additional Power Generation (kWh per year) : ± 4800 million • Avoided CO2 : ± 4,5 million tonnes per Year 14 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
THANK YOU
Bekerja dan ibadah adalah energi kami Semoga semua upaya menghasilkan manfaat Insya Allah! 15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY