2013 EUDO Dissemination Conference

Elections in Europe in Times of Crisis Scientific organisers: Luciano Bardi | University of Pisa and EUI Hanspeter Kriesi | EUI Alexander H. Trechsel | EUI Theatre, Badia Fiesolana via dei Roccettini, 9 San Domenico di Fiesole 28-29 November 2013

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Programme

28 November – Teatro

08.30 Registration 09.00 Welcome Joseph H. H. Weiler | EUI Brigid Laffan | EUI Alexander H. Trechsel | EUI 09.15-10.45 Plenary Session – National Elections and Electoral Campaigns Chair: Hanspeter Kriesi | EUI 09.15-09.30 The Italian Election Campaign in Times of Crisis Paolo Bellucci | University of Siena 09.30-09.45 The German Election Campaign in Times of Crisis Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck | University of Mannheim 09.45-10.00 The Role of the Parties in National Election Campaigns Today Wolfgang C. Müller | University of Vienna 10.00-10.15 Voting Advice Applications and Their Role in Modern Election Campaigns Stefaan Walgrave | University of Antwerp 10.15-10.45 Discussion 10.45-11.15 Coffee break 11.15-13.00 Plenary Session – National Elections and Electoral Outcomes Chair: Alexander H. Trechsel | EUI 11.15-11.30 The Rise of Populist Challengers in European Elections in Times of Crisis Hanspeter Kriesi | EUI 11.30-11.45 The Outcome of the Italian Elections in Times of Crisis Roberto D’Alimonte | LUISS 11.45-12.00 The Outcome of the German Elections in Times of Crisis Oskar Niedermayer | Freie Universität Berlin 12.00-12.15 The Outcome of the Austrian Elections in Times of Crisis Sylvia Kritzinger | University of Vienna 12.15-12.30 The Outcomes of National Elections in Southern Europe in Times of Crisis José Ramon Montero | Universidad Autónoma de Madrid 12.30-13.00 Discussion 13.00-14.15 Lunch break

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14.15-16.15 Break-out Sessions – Factors Driving the Election Outcomes: eatro Leaders, Cueing, News-Gathering and Candidates Chair: Mark Franklin | Massachussets Institute of Technology and EUI 14.15-14.35 Assessing the Electoral Impact of Voting Advice Applications: Expertimental Evidence from the Italian Election of 2013 Diego Garzia | EUI Alexander H. Trechsel | EUI 14.35-14.55 Do Parties Still Orient Voters in Times of Crisis? Experimental Evidence of Partisan Cueing Effects in 2013 Italy Lorenzo De Sio | LUISS Aldo Paparo | SUM Joshua A. Tucker | NYU Ted Brader | University of Michigan 14.55-15.15 Internet Effects in Times of Political Crisis: Online News-gathering and Attitudes Towards the European Union Leonardo Baccini | LSE Maria Laura Sudulich | EUI Matthew T. Wall | Swansea University 15.15-15.35 Hierarchy, Stratarchy and Party Politics Denationalization. Procedures of Candidate Selection in the Italian Parties (1991-2012) Enrico Calossi | EUI Eugenio Pizzimenti | University of Pisa 15-35-16.15 Discussion

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ala del apitolo 14.15-16.15 Economic Voting and National Elections Chair: Paolo Bellucci | University of Siena 14.15-14.35 Why did PSOE Lose in the General Elections in Spain in 2011? An Analysis of Electoral Behaviour Tomáš Došek | Universidad de Salamanca 14.35-14.55 Economic Voting in Latvia and Lithuania 2010-2012 Raimondas Ibenskas | University of Gothenburg 14.55-15.15 Does bad or worse make a difference? Economic voting in Western Balkan Countries – The role of Macroeconomics in the incumbents’ vote share 1990-2013 Trajche Panov | EUI 15.15-15.35 Political Values and New Dimensions of Contestation during Crisis Alexia Katsanidou | GESIS 15-35-16.15 Discussion

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efettorio 14.15-16.15 Economic Crisis and National Elections I Chair: Thomas Poguntke | University of Düsseldorf 14.15-14.35 Electoral Accountability in European Hard Times Martial Foucault | University of Montreal and Sciences Po Paris Katsunori Seki | Texas A&M University Guy Whitten | Texas A&M University 14.35-14.55 Where You Should Not Govern in Times of Economic Crisis: Retrospective Voting in Established and New Democracies in Europe Daniel Bochsler | University of Zurich Miriam Hänni | University of Zurich David Willumsen | University of Zurich and Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 14.55-15.15 Democratic Risk, the Great Recession, and the Euro Crisis Iain McMenamin | Dublin City University Michael Breen | Dublin City University Juan Muñoz-Portillo | Dublin City University 15.15-15.35 The Electoral Consequences of the Financial and Economic Crisis in Europe Hanspeter Kriesi | EUI Enrique Hernández Pérez | EUI 15-35-16.15 Discussion 16.15-16-45 Coffee break

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16.45-18.45 Break-out Sessions – Economic Crisis and National Elections II eatro Chair: Sylvia Kritzinger | University of Vienna 16.45-17.05 Re-electing the Culpricts: Election in Iceland in Times of Economic Recession Olafur Th. Hardarson | University of Iceland Indridi H. Indridason | University of California Eva H.Onnudottir | Mannheim University Hulda Thorisdottir | University of Iceland 17.05-17.25 The Effect of the Crises on the Success of the Flemish Nationalist Party N-VA: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis Marc Swyngedouw | KU Leuven Koen Abts | KU Leuven 17.25-17.45 Conventional and Unconventional Political Participation in Times of Political and Financial Crisis in the Netherlands Rik Linssen | Maastricht University Hans Schmeets | Maastricht University Manfred te Grotenhuis | Radboud University Nijmegen Peer Scheepers | Radboud University Nijmegen 17.45-18.05 The Hidden Side of Turnout: How Constrained Government Depresses Participation among Highly Educated Citizens Silja Häusermann | University of Zurich Bruno Wüest | University of Zurich Thomas Kurer | University of Zurich 18.05-18.45 Discussion efettorio 16.45-18.45 EU Elections Chair: Wolfgang C. Müller | University of Vienna 16.45-17.05 Revitalizing European Representative Democracy beyond 2014: Can Elections to the European Parliament Be Made More Consequential? Wilhelm Lehmann | European Parliament 17.05-17.25 Uncommitted Europeans and European Integration: Dynamic Implications Richard Rose | University of Strathclyde Gabriela Borz | University of Strathclyde 17.25-17.45 Euroscepticism and the Greek Electoral Meltdown of 2012: Consequences for the 2014 Euro-Elections Kyriaki Nanou | University of Nottingham Ben Clements | University of Leicester The Economic Representation Deficit Simon Otjes | Groningen University 17.45-18.05 The European Parliament Elections 2014 Doris Pack | European Parliament 18.05-18.45 Discussion

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16.45-18.45 The Impact of the Economic Crisis and Europe on the Party Systems

Sala del Capitolo

Chair: 16.45-17.05 17.05-17.25 17.25-17.45

Zoe Lefkofridi | EUI The Dog that Hardly Barked: The Stances of Political Parties about European Integration in Western Europe, 2008-2013 Robert Rohrschneider | University of Kansas Elections in Europe in Times of Crisis: Lessons from Latin America Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser | Sussex University and Diego Portales University Economic Crisis and Number of Parties in European Party Systems Wojciech Rafałowski | University of Warsaw

17.45-18.05 Exporting Europolitics in the Eastern Neighbourhood: Elections in the Post-Soviet Area and the Regional Activity of Europarties Angelos Chryssogelos | University of Antwerp Antonios A. Nestoras | European Parliament 18.05-18.25 Revisiting and Extending Peter Mair: The Impact of Europe on National Parties and Party Systems in the Times of Economic Crisis Ilke Toygur | EUI 18.25-18.45 Discussion

29 November – Teatro 09.30-11.00 Break-out Sessions – European Elections and Electoral Campaigns Chair: Simona Piattoni | University of Trento 09.30-09.50 European Political Parties as Campaign Coordinators Wojciech Gagatek | University of Warsaw 09.50-10.20 Incumbency in Effects in the Elections for the European Parliament Elias Dinas | University of Nottingham Pedro Riera | University of Strathclyde 10.20-11.00 Discussion

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ala del apitolo 09.30-11.00 Populism, Radical Parties and the Economic Crisis I Chair: José Ramon Montero | Universidad Autónoma de Madrid 09.30-09.50 The Economic Crisis (2009 to 2013) and Electoral Support for the Radical Right – Some New and Unexpected Findings Daniel Stockemer | University of Ottawa 09.50-10.10 Pushing towards Exit: Euro-Rejection as a ‘Populist Common Denominator’? Andrea L. P. Pirro | University of Siena Stijn van Kessel | Loughborough University 10.10-10.30 Radical Right and the Welfare State: The Electoral Relevance of Welfare Politics Elie Michel | EUI 10.30-11.00 Discussion 11.00-11.30 Coffee break 11.30-13.00 Break-out Session – European Elections and Electoral Prospects Chair: Adrienne Héritier | EUI 11.30-11.45 Europarties and Campaining in EP Elections Luciano Bardi | University of Pisa and EUI 11.45-12.00 Voter Attitudes and EP Elections in Times of Crisis Hermann Schmitt | University of Manchester 12.00-12.15 Blaming Europe? Responsibility without Accountability Sara B.Hobolt | LSE 12.15-12.30 Participation in the European Elections in Times of Crisis Laura Morales | University of Leicester 12.30-13.00 Discussion

Teatro

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11.30-13.00 Populism, Radical Parties and the Economic Crisis II ala del apitolo Chair: Rainer Bauböck | EUI 11.30-11.45 Embattled Democracy: Legitimation Crisis, Party System Change, and the Rise of Political Extremism in Greece Takis Pappas | EUI 11.45-12.00 Economy, Corruption or Promiscuous Voters? Explaining the Emergence of Anti- Establishment Reform Parties in Central and Eastern Europe Sean Hanley | University College London Allan Sikk | University College London 12.00-12.15 How Integration Regimes Explain the Success of Anti-immigrant Parties Robert Baur | University of Lausanne Eva G. T. Green | University of Lausanne Marc Helbling | Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin 12.15-12.30 Filling in the Blanks: Understanding Blank and Null Voting as a form of Informed Protest and a New Metric of Public Discontent Chiara Superti | Harvard University 12.30-13.00 Discussion 13.00-14.30 Lunch 14.30-16.00 Plenary Session – Nationalisation of European Elections vs. eatro Europeanisation of National Elections Chair: Luciano Bardi | University of Pisa and EUI 14.30-14.50 Elections in Multi-Level Political Systems: Top-Down and Bottom-Up Processes Simona Piattoni | University of Trento 14.50-15.10 The Impact of European Integration and Elections on National Parties Revisited in Times of Crisis Thomas Poguntke | University of Düsseldorf 15.10-15.30 Transnationalising European Election Campaigns in the Internet Age Alexander H.Trechsel | EUI 15.30-15.50 Elections and the Role of Candidates, Parties and Citizens - First-Hand Information and Thoughts from Inside the European Parliament Gerald Häfner | European Parliament 15.50-16.20 Discussion 16.20-16.50 Coffee break

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Participants Albert Aixalà Autonoma University of Barcelona, Spain – [email protected] Klaus Allerbeck Goethe University, Germany – [email protected] Macarena Ares European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Viviana Asara European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Paris Aslanidis University of Macedonia, Greece – [email protected] Luciano Bardi University of Pisa / European University Institute, Italy [email protected] Lucio Battistotti European Commission, Belgium – [email protected] Rainer Bauböck European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Robert Baur University of Lausanne, Switzerland – [email protected] Paolo Bellucci University of Siena, Italy – [email protected] Valentina Bettin European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Daniel Bochsler University of Zurich, Switzerland – [email protected] Gabriela Borz University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom – [email protected] Enrico Calossi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Carlo Casini European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Simone Cerrina Feroni University of Florence, Italy – [email protected] Daniela Chironi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Angelos-Stylian Chryssogelos University of Limerick, Ireland – [email protected] Lorenzo Cicchi IMT Lucca, Italy – [email protected] Anna Colaps Univesity of Naples, Italy – [email protected] Leonard Antonio Conforti University of Pisa, Italy – [email protected] Rossella Corridori European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Cristina Cremonesi University of Pavia, Italy – [email protected] Roberto D’Alimonte LUISS Carlo Guidi, Italy – [email protected] Andrea De Angelis European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Lorenzo De Sio LUISS Carlo Guidi, Italy – [email protected] Gianni Del Panta University of Siena, Italy – [email protected] Silvia Dell’Acqua European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] James Dennison European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Elias Dinas University of Nottingham, United Kingdom [email protected] Alina Dobreva European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Tomáš Došek University of Salamanca, Spain – [email protected] Jelena Džankić European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Valeria Fargion University of Florence, Italy – [email protected] Cristina Fasone European University Institute Italy – [email protected] Fabia Fontanili European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Martial Foucault Sciences Po Paris, France – [email protected] Mark Franklin Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA – [email protected] André Freire Lisbon University Institute, Portugal – [email protected] Wojciech Gagatek University of Warsaw, Poland – [email protected] Diego Garzia European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Stefano Gattuso Australia – [email protected] Paul Gillespie University College Dublin, Ireland – [email protected] Edgar Grande University of Munich , Germany – [email protected] Mattia Guidi LUISS Carlo Guidi, Italy – [email protected] Gerald Häfner European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Sean Hanley University College London, United Kingdom – [email protected]

Miriam Hänni University of Zurich, Switzerland – [email protected] Gunther Hega Western Michigan University, United States of America [email protected] István Hegedűs Hungarian Europe Society, Belgium – [email protected] Antonia Hemling University of Essex, Germany – [email protected] Adrienne Héritier European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Enrique Hernández Pérez European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Sara Hobolt London School of Economics and Political Science, United Kingdom [email protected] Raimondas Ibenskas University of Gothenburg, Sweden – [email protected] Maria Jozefowicz Adam Mickiewicz University, Poland – [email protected] Despoina Karamperidou European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Alexia Katsanidou GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences, Germany [email protected] Hanspeter Kriesi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Sylvia Kritzinger University of Vienna, Austria – [email protected] Thomas Kurer University of Zurich, Switzerland – [email protected] Anna Kyriazi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Brigid Laffan European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Zoe Lefkofridi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Wilhelm Lehmann European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Nele Leosk European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Maastricht University, The Netherlands – [email protected] Rik Linssen Tamás Lukácsi European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Irma Majdalani Saint Joseph University, Lebanon – [email protected] Giorgio Malet Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies, Italy – [email protected] Peter Matjašič Open Society Initiative for Europe, Spain [email protected] Duncan McDonnell European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Iain McMenamin Dublin City University, Ireland – [email protected] Paolo Meucci European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Elie Michel European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] José Ramón Montero Autonomous University of Madrid, Spain – [email protected] Laura Morales University of Leicester, United Kingdom – [email protected] Axelle Moret Pierre-and-Marie-Curie University, France – [email protected] Davide Morisi European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Wolfgang C. Müller University of Vienna, Austria – [email protected] Ferdinand Müller-Rommel Leuphana University, Germany – [email protected] Oskar Niedermayer Free University of Berlin, Germany – [email protected] Eva H. Önnudóttir Mannheim University, Germany – [email protected] Simon Otjes Groningen University, The Netherlands – [email protected] Doris Pack European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Irene Palacios European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Trajche Panov European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Aldo Paparo Italian Institute of Human Sciences, SUM, Italy – [email protected] Takis Pappas European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Simona Piattoni University of Trento, Italy – [email protected] Andrea L. P. Pirro University of Siena, Italy – [email protected] Eugenio Pizzimenti University of Pisa, Italy – [email protected] Klara Plecita Institute Of Sociology As Cr, Czech Republic – [email protected] Thomas Poguntke Düsseldorf University / Düsseldorf Party Research Institute (PRuF),

Germany – [email protected] Wojciech Rafałowski Unversity of Warsaw, Poland – [email protected] Pedro Riera University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom – [email protected] Robert Rohrschneider University of Kansas, United States of America – [email protected] Richard Rose University of Strathclyde, United Kingdom – [email protected] Cristóbal Rovira Kaltwasser Diego Portales University, Chile – [email protected] Dieter Schlenker European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Hermann Schmitt University of Mannheim / MZES, Germany [email protected] Rüdiger Schmitt-Beck University of Mannheim, Germany – [email protected] Nicole Scicluna Collegio Carlo Alberto, Italy – [email protected] Tomasz Siczek European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Tiago Silva European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Mariana Skirmuntt University of Exeter, United Kingdom – [email protected] Sandy Soer Paris 1 Pantheon Sorbonne, Italy – [email protected] Andrea Spinoso European Parliament, Belgium – [email protected] Theodosia Stavroulaki European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Daniel Stockemer University of Ottawa, Canada – [email protected] Maria Laura Sudulich Free University of Brussels, Belgium – [email protected] Chiara Superti Harvard University, USA – [email protected] Marc Swyngedouw KU Leuven, Belgium – [email protected] Roberta Talarico European Commission, Belgium – [email protected] Teresa Talò European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Jacques Thomassen University of Twente, The Netherlands – [email protected] Hulda Thorisdottir University of Iceland, Iceland – [email protected] Ilke Toygur Autonomous University of Madrid, Spain and European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Putri Trapsiloningrum University of Flensburg, Germany – [email protected] Alexander H. Trechsel European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Stijn van Kessel Loughborough University, United Kingdom and Heinrich-Heine- Universität Düsseldorf, Germany – [email protected] Michelangelo Vercesi University of Pavia, Italy – [email protected] Goethe University Frankfurt, Germany – [email protected] Claudius Wagemann Stefaan Walgrave University of Antwerp, Belgium – [email protected] Joseph H.H. Weiler European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Rebecca Wolffberg European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Wouter Wolfs KU Leuven, Belgium – [email protected] Tomasz Woźniakowski European University Institute, Italy – [email protected] Bruno Wüest University of Zürich, Switzerland – [email protected] Alkistis Zavakou European University Institute, Italy – [email protected]