EFFORTS TOWARD SCIENCE AND TECNOLOGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTION IN INDONESIA

Ministry of Research and Technology Government of Indonesia EFFORTS TOWARD SCIENCE AND TECNOLOGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTION IN INDONESIA presented at AS...
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Ministry of Research and Technology Government of Indonesia

EFFORTS TOWARD SCIENCE AND TECNOLOGY FOR DISASTER REDUCTION IN INDONESIA

presented at ASIA DISASTER REDUCTION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY FORUM JAKARTA, December 4, 2006 by Dr. Idwan Suhardi Deputy Minister for Utilization and Socialization of Science and Technology Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 1

OUTLINE 1.

Introduction

2.

Lesson Learned from Tsunami, Earthquake, Flood, land slide, Volcanic Disaster

3.

Curent Status of Indonesia Tsunami Early Warning

4.

End-to-end Tsunami Simulation in Padang City on 26 December 2005 System (INA-TEWS)

5.

Information Center for Research on Natural Disaster Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 2

1. Introduction

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 3

Tectonic Setting and Seismicity of Indonesia The Indonesian region Î very complicated plates convergence : subduction, collision, back-arc thrusting, back-arc and opening faults Moving relatively to each other • the India-Australia plate : moving northward • the Philippine sea plate : moving westnorthwestward. • the Caroline plate : moving east-southeastward (near Aru) and westnorthwestward (near Yap trench)

Every year about 460 earthquakes (M > 4.0 )

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 4

Statistics of Natural Disaster in Indonesia (1900 – 1999, Source: ADRC, 2000) Fatalities = 59.743

Significant Events = 244 Wind storm (10)

Wild fire (87) Drought (9,329) Wave/surge (978)

Wild fire (6) Wave/surge (6)

Drought (10) Eq. + Tsunami (60)

Volcano (39)

Volcano (18,000)

25 % 36 % Slide (16)

Slide (1,626)

Epidemic (26)

Flood (3,168)

Eq. + Tsunami (21,607) Epidemic (2,872)

Flood (71)

Indonesia prone to earthquake, tsunami and volcanic eruption Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 5

Earthquake and Tsunami History EARTHQUAKE EARTHQUAKE WITH WITH M M ≥≥ 7.0 7.0 RS RS IN IN INDONESIA, INDONESIA, 1900 1900 -- 2004 2004 A. A.

TOTAL TOTAL :: 212 212

B. B.

IN IN THE THE SEA SEA

C. C.

SHALLOW SHALLOW IN IN THE THE SEA SEA :: 153 153 (( 72 72 % % ))

D. D.

GENERATED GENERATED TSUNAMI) TSUNAMI) :: 86 86 (( 40 40 % % ))

:: 182 182 (( 86 86 % % ))

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

modified from : Latif and Guisakof

page 6

2. Lesson Learned from Tsunami, Earthquake, Flood, land slide, Volcanic Disaster Tsunami Banda Aceh : Sunday, 26 December 2004 Yogya Earthquake: Saturday, 27 Mei 2006 Sinjai Flood and Land Slide : Tuesday, 20 June 2006 Merapi Vulcanic :Saturday, 20 Mei 2006 Tsunami Pangandaran : Monday, 17 July 2006

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 7

Aceh Tsunami : a brief reminder 

• • • • • • • •

132,000 confirmed dead 37,000 missing 572,000 displaced 1.3 million homes and buildings destroyed 8 ports and 4 fuel deports damaged 85% of the water and 92% of the sanitation system broke down 120 km of roads and 18 main bridges demolished total losses amount to US$ 4.5 billion, which represents 2.2% of National GDP and 97% of Aceh’s GDP

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 8

the causes  Catastrophic earthquake z Scale 9 with shallow epicenter offshore z Very strong ground shaking for 4 minutes felt in many areas z People moved out of their houses out of fear Followed by a tsunami z Wave height ranging from 4 – 35 m z Most people have never seen such calamity in their lives z Did not know what to do – chaotic z No warning was issued

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 9

What remains 

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 10

Yogya Earthquake: Saturday, 27 Mei 2006

Epicenter and its fault mechanism z z z z

27 Mei 2006 5:54:02 am Momen magnitude (Mw) 6,3 Position 7,977°S and 110,318°E Epicenter depth 17,1 km

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

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GEOLOGICAL MAP- JOGYAKARTA AND ITS SURROUNDING After Shock Epicenter JOGYAKARTA

OPAK FAULT

LST

VOL VOL

k a Op ult Fa

EPICENTER EQ (USGS) Mo=6.3, DEPTH: 17.2 Km

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 12

Geological Cross Section Fm. Sentolo Batugampingbatupasir

Opak River Endapan Gunungapi Merapi Muda

Fm. Nglanggran Breksi

Fm. Semilir Breksi-Tuf

Fm. Wonosari Batugamping

Fm. Sambiputu Tuf dan serpih

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 13

MICROZONATION MAP

Earthquake Acceleration inSLEMAN Bantul Yogyakarta

SLEMAN 0.24

ARGOMULYO

BANGUNTAPAN

KASIHAN 0.19

ARGOREJO

0.18

0.26

34 0.

: 0.23 - 0.25

Zone 2

: 0.25 - 0.27

Zone 3

: 0.27 - 0.32

Zone 4

: 0.32 - 0.37

Zone 5

: 0.37 - 0.44

ARGOMULYO

TIRTONIMOLO

ARGOREJO

SRIMANTANI

0.25 KASIHAN

WIROKERTEN

POTORONO

0.33 BANGUNTAPAN

0.42 PIYUNGAN

TAMANAN BANGUNHARJO

0.27 SEWON

WIROKERTEN

SRIMULYO

SITIMULYO JAMBIDAN

TRIWIDADI PENDOWOHARJO

JAMBIDAN

WONOKROMO

0.24 PAJANGAN

PENDOWOHARJO WONOKROMO

PAJANGAN 0.19

PLERET

GUWOSARI TIMBULHARJO

BANTUL

RINGINHARJO

KULONPROGO

0.21 BANTUL

SABDODADI

TRIRENGGO

0.21 PANDAK

RINGINHARJO

26 0.

28 0.

24 0. WUKISARI

PATALAN

CANDEN KEBONAGUNG

0.37 IMOGIRI

GILANGHARJO

TRIHARJO

SUMBERMULYO

0.39 PUNDONG PANJANGREJO

0.25 SANDEN

TIRTOMULYO

SNI 2002 0.20 g

SELOPAMIORO

TIRTOSARI

0.36 KRETEK

MANGUNAN DLINGO

SRIHARDONO

GUNUNG KIDUL

SIDOMULYO MURTIGADING

PANJANGREJO

0.43 PUNDONG

TIRTOMULYO

SRIHARJO

DANUTIRTO

TEMUWUH

0.41 IMOGIRI

KARANGTENGAH

MULYODADI

0.26 SRANDAKAN

PONCOSARI

SRIGADING GADINGHARJO

CANDEN

0.32 CATUTHARJO

SRIHARDONO

0.27 SIDOMULYO

PATALAN

BAMBANGLIPURO

KARANGTENGAH

MULYODADI

MUNTUK

GIRIREJO TRIMURTI

DLINGO

BAMBANGLIPURO

WUKISARI

KARANGTALUN

0.27 PANDAK

MANGUNAN

MURTIGADING

JATIMULYO

0.35 JETIS

PALBAPANG

0.28 DLINGO

DLINGO 0.22

GIRIREJO

TERONG

SUMBERAGUNG

KEBONAGUNG

SUMBERMULYO

0.20

SABDODADI

WIJIREJO

TEMUWUH

TRIMURTI

SRANDAKAN

WONOLELO

0.26 BANTUL TRIRENGGO

KULONPROGO

22 0.

MUNTUK

KARANGTALUN

CATUTHARJO

BAWUAN

SEGOROYOSO

TRIMULYO

JATIMULYO

PALBAPANG

GILANGHARJO

TRIHARJO

TERONG

SEGOROYOSO

0.36 PLERET

BANTUL SENDANGSARI

SUMBERAGUNG

0.31 JETIS

WIJIREJO

TIMBULHARJO

30 0. WONOLELO

TRIMULYO

PLERET

GUWOSARI

32 0.

0.32 PLERET BAWUAN

SENDANGSARI

GADINGSARI

SINGOSAREN

PANGGUNGHARJO

BANGUNJIWO

ARGODADI

SRIMULYO

SITIMULYO

TRIWIDADI

PONCOSARI

BATURETNO

TAMANTIRTO

0.23 SEDAYU

BANGUNHARJO

0.22 SEWON

SNI 2002 0.20 g

BANGUNTAPAN

NGESTIHARJO

ARGOSARI

0.36 PIYUNGAN

BANGUNTAPAN

TAMANAN

PANGGUNGHARJO

BANGUNJIWO

ARGODADI

0.2 8

POTORONO

SINGOSAREN

Zone 1

SRIMANTANI

0.3 0

0.22

TIRTONIMOLO

SEDAYU

BATURETNO

0.2 0

TAMANTIRTO

0.3 2 0.3 4 0.3 6 0.3 8

0.2 6

NGESTIHARJO

8 0.1

ARGOSARI

YOGYAKARTA

YOGYAKARTA

GADINGSARI

0.30 SANDEN

SRIGADING

SELOPAMIORO

SRIHARJO

0.40 KRETEK

GUNUNG KIDUL

DANUTIRTO

GADINGHARJO

SELOHARJO

TIRTOSARI

SELOHARJO

TIRTOHARJO TIRTOHARJO

PARANGTRITIS PARANGTRITIS

SAMUDERA HINDIA

INITIAL MAP MICROZONATION IN BANTUL YOGYAKARTA SAMUDERA HINDIA

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 14

Sinjai Flood and Land Slide : Tuesday, 20 June 2006 Topographic Gradient > 40 %

Sinjai Flood Land slide

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 15

Sinjai Flood and Land Slide Disaster

Land slide disaster

Flood Disaster

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 16

Merapi Vulcanic :Saturday, 20 Mei 2006 EARTQUAKE OBSERVATION AND MERAPI ACTIVITIES Main Shock (Gempa Utama) S – P = 8 secon (seismometer top of Merapi) Aftershock S - P variated 3 - 7 secon Gangguan Terhadap Gunungapi Merapi Maximum distance hot cloud before earthquake 3,5 Km Maximum distance hot cloud after earthquake 3,8 Km

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 17

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 18

Pangandaran Tsunami 17 July 2006

Main- and after-shocks

Tsunami history of the area

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 19

Victims of the Earthquake and Tsunami Why relatively so many victims? 6 main reasons

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 20

1

People did not feel the earthquake

• Intensity : MMI IV • Light shaking • No damage due to earthquake

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

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2

Earthquake happened during low-tide so tsunami phenomenon is not so clearly noticeable

The beach on 19 July 2006, 1530hrs local time Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 22

3

Tsunami waves were so high Longitude

Latitude

Inundation height

Pameungpeuk

107:41:26.6E

7:40:05.9S

5.20m

Sindangkerta

108:03:35.7E

7:45:52.8S

3.74m+

108:24:09.9E

7:48:56.0S

3.67m

108:26:32.1E

7:49:10.2S

5.9m

Batukaras

108:29:51.3E

7:44:48.6S

2.12m

Batu Hiu

108:32:09.4E

7:41:31.9S

5.34m

Bulak Laut

108:36:43.3E

7:41:01.2S

7.67m

Pangandaran

108:39:06.0E

7:41:37.6S

4.69m

Widara Payung

109:15:51.8E

7:41:53.2S

6.70m+

Location

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 23

4

Most of the coastal areas have moderate slopes

Elevation < 10 m

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 24

5

6

Tsunami occurred in late afternoon, optimum help cannot be given during evening

No Tsunami warning was issued Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 25

3. CURRENT STATUS OF INDONESIA Tsunami Early Warning Systems (INA-TEWS)

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 26

… in response  • •

Government formed the Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency (BRR) Ministry of Research and Technology responsible in coordinating various agencies in the Development of Tsunami Warning Systems throughout Indonesia

KLH

BPPT

BAKOSURTANAL

DEPLU

LAPAN

ESDM

LIPI

KOMINFO

DKP

BAPPENAS

BAKORNAS PBP

BMG

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

ITB

page 27

Indonesia Tsunami Early Warning Systems Geo Input

Sensing Devices : •Seismometer •Accelerometer •OBU : - Seismometer - Accelerometer - Pressure •GPS

Transmit Data : Bottom to Surface, Surface to center

Recipients : •Bakornas •Satkorlak •Satlak •Media

Processing Center

Transmit Information : SR/MMI Location (LS+BT) Depth Time Predict : Tsunami ?

Recipients : •Bakornas •Satkorlak •Satlak •Media

COMMUNITY

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 28

Elements of the systems Seismic Monitoring Seismograph Accelerograph Database of Tsunami Modeling Sea level monitoring DART - BUOY Tide Gauge Information and Communication Technology Crustal Deformation Monitoring GPS Geospatial Information Satellite Imagery Topographic and Bathymetric map Community Preparedness Capacity Building

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 29

Seismic Monitoring  NO 1

DEVICE SEISMOGRAPH

PLAN z z

2

ACCELEROGRAPH

160 units scattered in 10 Regional Offices issue warning within 5 minutes

500 Units

Current Progress z z

84 units scattered in 5 Regional Offices issue warning within 8 minutes

122 Units

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 30

Sea‐level Monitoring  DEVICE TIDE GAUGE

PLAN 120 units of digital tidal recording

CURRENT PROGRESS 38 units

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 31

Oceanographic Monitoring DEVICE DART-BUOY

PLAN 22 Units

CURRENT PROGRESS -

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 32

Crustal Deformation Monitoring Plan to install Continuous GPS ( 27 GPS near tide gauges and 10 GPS near Buoys)

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 33

Tsunami Modeling 16 of 109 tsunamis have been simulated

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

The The The The The The The The

1797 1818 1820 1833 1883 1935 1969 1992

West Sumatran Tsunami Bali Tsunami Bima Tsunami Bengkulu Tsunami Krakatau Volc Tsunami North Sumatera Tsunami Mandar Tsunami Flores Tsunami

9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16.

The The The The The The The The

1994 East Java Tsunami 1996 Toli-Toli Tsunami 1996 Biak Tsunami 1998 PNG Tsunami 2000 Banggai Tsunami 2004 Aceh Tsunami 2005 Tsunami Monday,Nias Desember 4, 2006 2006 Pangandaran Tsunami

page 34

Numerical Modeling (Pangandaran 17 July 2006)

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 35

4. End-to-end Tsunami Simulation in Padang City on 26 December 2005

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 36

Tsunami Prone Area in the World

PADANG City

(Source : Geographica) Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 37

Seismological Summary of Sumatera

Padang

(Natawidjaya, 2002) Several big earthquake have been recorded in the West Coast of Sumatra (e.g. 1833, 1935 and 2004) and initiated tsunami disaster. Based on paleo-tsunami research, the next big earthquake with tsunami is forecasted to occur at Padang Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 38

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 39

Statistics of Padang City Geografical Position

:

0°54’ - 1° 08’ S

Area

:

694,96 km2

Inhabitants

:

901.488 people

Coast length

: +/- 84 km

Number of surrounding rivers

: 21

Altitude

: 0 – 10 m (60%)

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 40

Elevation of Padang City

: 0-5 mdpl

: Zona Bahaya Tsunami

: 5 – 10 mdpl

: Zona Waspada Tsunami

: 10 – 25 mdpl

: Zona Aman Tsunami

: 25 – 100 mdpl : Zona Relokasi : > 100 mdpl

: Zona Relokasi

Safe Area: > 5 mdpl Mdpl: Meter diatas permukaan laut

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 41

Kogami 2005

5. Information Center for Research on Natural Disaster (PIRBA)

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 42

PIRBA Objective Disasters management with special emphasis on the prevention, risk reduction, preparedness and timely action to mitigate the disasters focusing on earthquake and tsunami Mission 1. Disaster management and mitigation with special attention to gaining the accumulation of comprehensive knowledge, system and technology to prevent, raise the preparedness and timely action to avoid from being victimized by the disasters. 2. Integrating and mainstreaming the disaster awareness into developmental practices. 3. Raising the public awareness in “peacefully live together” with the hazards, to understand the nature and behavior of disasters and the skill to reduce the risks and avoid the disasters. Monday, Desember 4, 2006

4 Promoting international collaboration and networking with the

page 43

Working Scheme of the Center within the Ministry of Research and Technology

KRT

LAPAN

KRT = Ministry of Research and Technology Supporting research institutions: LIPI = Indonesian Institute of Sciences LAPAN = National Institute of Space and Aeronautics BAKOSURTANAL = National Coordinating Agency for Survey and Mapping BPPT = Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology

BPPT

The Center

LIPI BAKOSURTANAL

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 44

Position of The Center within the National Network

KRT

BMG

ESDM PT

BPPT

LAPAN

DKP The Center

PU LIPI BAKO

KES

DAGRI

LH

SOS KEU

BUP

KOMINFO BAKORNAS PBP

GUB

PU HUB

POLRI

TNI

ESDM

SATKORLAK

International scientific institutions SATLAK

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

NGOs page 45

The Centre as a Network of Networks

Thailand Center

Indonesian Center

The Regional Centre

Others Countries

Malaysian Center

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 46

Thank You

Monday, Desember 4, 2006

page 47

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