ECONOMICS OF INNOVATION I: INNOVATION DECISIONS

Economics of Innovation ECONOMICS OF INNOVATION I: INNOVATION DECISIONS Uwe Cantner$* and Simone Vannuccini$ $Friedrich Schiller University Jena &...
1 downloads 0 Views 2MB Size
Economics of Innovation

ECONOMICS OF INNOVATION I: INNOVATION DECISIONS

Uwe Cantner$* and Simone Vannuccini$

$Friedrich

Schiller University Jena & *University of Southern Denmark, Odense [email protected], [email protected]

1

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation

Part I

Overview

Basics in the Economics of Innovation

Part II Incentive based approach 1. Optimal design of research and development projects 2. Non-Tournament models 3. Neo-Schumpeter Hypotheses

Part III Knowledge based approach 1. Rationality, bounded rationality and the theory of the firm 2. Innovation and knowledge races 3. Selective Competition

Part IV Entrepreneurial Decisions 1. Entrepreneurial intentions 2. Entrepreneurship and Social capital 3. Entrepreneurial Failure

2

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation



Course – –



2 take homes + final exam

Material – –

3

Simone Vannuccini Wednesday 12.00 – 14.00 (12.15 – 13.45) SR 208 • as announced by Simone Vannuccini

Examination –



Monday 10.00 – 12.00 (10.15 – 11.45) SR 306 Uwe Cantner, Simone Vannuccini

Exercises – –



Organisation of the course

Slides (ex-post or ex ante?) Papers to read (ex-ante)

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation



Chair of Microeconomics – – – –



Economics of Innovation I: Innovation Decisions Economics of Innovation II: Industrial Dynamics and Evolution Economics of Innovation III: Economic Dynamics and Structural Change Economics of Innovation IV: Special Topics

Compulsory – – –

4

Major: Innovation and Change

Michael Fritsch: Hans-Walter Lorenz: Uwe Cantner:

(C) UC 2013

Innovation Policy Growth and Business Cycles Economics of Innovation I: Innovation Decisions

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation



Others – – – – – – – – – – – – – –



5

Major: Innovation and Change

Economics of Innovation II: Industrial Dynamics and Evolution Economics of Innovation III: Economic Dynamics and Structural Change Economics of Innovation IV: Special Topics Complexity Theory Topics in Behavioral Economics Innovation Systems Advanced Studies in Entrepreneurship Quantitative Economics I Quantitative Economics III Topics in Economics History of Technology and Innovation History of World Economy Topics in Economic Theory and Policy I Topics in Economic Theory and Policy II

Two seminars

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation



Overview: Task and Fields I

Economics of Innovation –

comprises the economic analysis of • the generation,

 invention

• the first application,

 innovation

• the diffusion

diffusion/imitation

• and the impact –

6

of new ideas, new combinations (Schumpeter 1912).

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Task and Fields II

Invention

Innovation

Diffusion / Imitation

•Comparative growth (paths) •World income distribution •International trade structures and product life cycle •Technological (Un)Employment •Long Waves

Structural change 7

Macro dynamics (C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Comparative Growth I

Tigers - GDP/capita comp. to US, Germany and Japan 35000

intern. currency

30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1950

8

1954

1958

1962

1966

1970

1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

1994

1998

USA

Germany

Japan

Korea

Hong Kong

Thailand

Taiwan

Singapore

Indonesia

China

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Comparative Growth II

Latinamerikas - GDP/capita comp. to US, Germany and Japan 35000

intern. currency

30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 1950

9

1954

1958

1962

1966

1970

1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

1994

1998

USA

Germany

Japan

Venezuela

Ecuador

Colombia

Chile

Brazil

Bolivia

Argentina

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Comparative Growth III

African countries - GDP/capita comp. to US, Germany and Japan 5000 4500

intern. currency

4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1950 USA

10

1954

1958

Germany

(C) UC 2013

1962

1966

Japan

1970 Zaire

1974

1978

1982

Uganda

Economics of Innovation I

1986

Togo

1990

1994

Nigeria

1998 Kenia

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Task and Fields II

Invention

Innovation

•Intersectoral structural change •Technology flows •Industry dynamics •Industry life cycle •Regional development

•Comparative growth (paths) •World income distribution •International trade structures and product life cycle •Technological (Un)Employment •Long Waves

Structural change 11

Diffusion / Imitation

Macro dynamics (C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Intersectoral Structural Change

3 Sector Hypothesis: Germany 1850-2001

Source: Dietrich/Krüger (2007)

12

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Technology Flow and Structural Change

Technology flow matrix based on R&D

S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 S6 S7 S8 S9 S10 S11 S12 S13 S14 S15 S16 S17 S18

S16 S11 S6 Technologie- S1 nehmer

S1

S2

S3

S4

S5

S6

S7

S8

S17 S18 S19 S15 S16 S13 S14 S12 S11 S9 S10

Versorgungssektor Bergbau Chemieindustrie Mineralölindustrie Kunststoff- und Gummiindustrie Steine, Erden, Glas, Keramik Gießereien, Ziehereien etc Eisen, Stahl, NE-Metalle Straßen-, Wasserfahrzeuge Maschinenbau Luft-und Raumfahrt Elektrotechnik EBM-Waren Feinmechanik, Optik Papier- und Druckgewerbe Holzbe- und -verarbeitung Leder- und Textilgewerbe Nahrungs- und Genußmittelindustrie S19 restliche Wirtschaftsabteilungen

Technologiegeber

Source: Cantner/Hanusch (1999)

13

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Structural Change and Industry Life Cycle

140

Industry life cyle of the German Automobile Industry

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

number of firms entry exit

1890

1900

1910

1920

1930

year

14

(C) UC 2013

Economics of Innovation I

1940

Source: Cantner/Dreßler/Krüger (2006)

Economics of Innovation

Overview: Regional Development and Efficiency of Research I