Earnings presentation DTP Group Q3 2015
Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by DTP S.A. ("Company") as a document of an informative nature for its stakeholders. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or purchase securities or any other assets, companies or businesses described herein, and cannot be made the basis for any agreement. This presentation contains selected information concerning the Company and its subsidiaries, which the Company deems essential and disclosable to stakeholders in light of the applicable law. No representations or guarantees are made, expressly or impliedly, with regard to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation; furthermore, the Company, members of its Management Board and the management personnel of the Company or any of its subsidiaries shall have no liability in connection with the above, and no statement made in this document shall now or in the future be made the basis for considering it as a promise or declaration, regardless of whether this shall concern a past or future event. Stakeholders should perform their own independent analysis of the relevant Company matters - particularly when making decisions regarding the sale or purchase of shares in the Company. Certain information in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. These statements may concern, among others, planned investments, as well as any other information that does not constitute archive data. Although the Company's representatives consider the assumptions used as the basis for preparing forward-looking statements to be true, potential results suggested in this material involve a certain level of risk and uncertainty, and no guarantee is given as to whether the actual results will be in line with the presented information, particularly due to the fact that this data concerns future events, conditions and factors, which involve a certain level of risk and uncertainty. The Company does not make any commitment to publish corrections or updates for any statements made in this presentation in order to reflect changes in the Company's expectations, changes in the circumstances that are the basis for such statements or events that took place after the date on which this presentation was prepared.
2
Agenda DTP Group - key information Market environment Financial results for Q3 2015 Operating results DTP's position on the debt market in Poland and market perspectives Attachments
3
Q3 2015 summary* 21% growth in operating profit
62% growth in cash EBITDA 30% growth in net profit 55% growth in portfolio debt recovery rate 13% growth in nominal value of purchased portfolios 46% net profitability * year-on-year 4
Key events in Q3 2015 At the end of the third quarter of 2015, the total value of assets under management, including those commissioned to and purchased by DTP Group, increased by 200 million and reached PLN 3,25 billion.
As of 30 Sep[tember 2015, the value of purchased debt portfolios under management was PLN 2.74 billion (CAGR 31,5%). Only in Q3 2015, PLN 117,3 million worth of debt portfolios was purchased on own account
3rd quarter of 2015 brought increased cooperation with Altus TFI on the managing non-standardized securitization closed-end investment fund, which resulted in an increase in revenue from this title to PLN 1.2 million
Constantly increasing the total amount spent on debt portfolios during the third quarter of 2015 reached exceeded PLN 10 milion and reached PLN 11,7 million, and and PLN 163 million in the present and previous reporting periods cumulatively.
During the third quarter. DTP SA shared its profits with shareholders, paid dividend dividend from the profit for the previous years and advance payment on account of dividend for 2015. The dividend and advance will amount to an aggregate PLN 6.43 million, or PLN 0.18 per share. In the last quarter of the DTP also made the purchase with its own funds bonds with a total value of 1.25 million.
With the development of the DTP Group steadily increased the number of employees at the end of the third quarter. 2015., at DTP Group employed more than 200 people.
During the third quarter. 2015. In DTP we implemented our own modern receivable management system dedicated to comprehensive service portfolios.
5
Agenda Market environment
6
Growing and full of prospects market The size of the debt market in Poland (PLN bn) 56,6 35,3
47,6
43,1
39,3
61,6
• Poland is one of the fastest growing markets in Europe debt
• Bank debt continues to represent an overwhelming 2012-12-31
2013-06-30
2013-12-31
2014-06-30
2014-12-31
2015-06-30
Wartość wierzytelności w obsłudze przez firmy z branży windykacyjnej (mld zł)
majority of supply which is measured by the value of portfolios
Source : Konferencja Przedsiębiorstw Finansowych in Poland
The amount of overdue payments recorded in the Register of Debtors BIK (PLN bn)
42,9
40,9 39,8
36,1
40,9
• Debt market has the potential for further dynamic growth, primarily stimulate economic growth in
39,8
Poland, the banks' credit activity and changes in the
37,0
banking sector, also the development of non-bank lending segment
06.2012
12.2012
Source : InfoDług report ,
06.2013
12.2013
06.2014
12.2014
2015 P
P – DTP's forecast
7
Market growth to be driven by changes in banking sector 952 996
1 000 000
100 000
900 000
CAGR 2009-2015
6,23%
CAGR 2009-2015
10,94%
800 000 700 000
75 370 80 000
600 000 60 000 500 000
40 341
CAGR 2009-2015 13,26%
400 000
40 000
300 000 200 000
20 000
100 000
Kredyty ogółem (lewa oś)
Kredyty zagrożone (prawa oś)
Detaliczne kredyty zagrożone (prawa oś)
wrz-15
lip-15
maj-15
mar-15
sty-15
lis-14
wrz-14
lip-14
maj-14
mar-14
sty-14
lis-13
wrz-13
lip-13
maj-13
mar-13
sty-13
lis-12
wrz-12
lip-12
maj-12
mar-12
sty-12
lis-11
wrz-11
lip-11
maj-11
mar-11
sty-11
lis-10
wrz-10
lip-10
maj-10
mar-10
sty-10
lis-09
wrz-09
lip-09
maj-09
0 mar-09
0
Data in PLNm Source: National Bank of Poland
Changes in the banking sector may become an additional impulse for an increase in the debt market in Poland Key growth drivers:
• •
New burden for the banking sector (tax on assets, initiatives related to foreign currency loans), accelerating the processes of ordering banks' balance sheets, Market consolidation (organize the acquired portfolios of banks). 8
Agenda Financial results for Q3 2015
9
Next quarter ended with a record result Przychody (mln PLN)
18
17,4 16,5
17
•
16
was the next in succession, historically the best period
15
13,7
14
in terms of result from core operations adjusted for
13 13
The third quarter of 2015 in performed by DTP Group
12,5
one-off events.
40%
12 11 10 Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
8
•
Revenue growth in the second quarter of 2015 stemmed from high repayments of own receivables
Zysk netto (mln zł)
8,5
Q3 2015
8,2
confirmed that the investments were made rightly and
7,6
the accuracy of valuation methodology.
7,5 7
6,5
6,3
6,1
6,2
6
•
5,5
30%
Record recurring profit was generated thanks to efficient operating model and also the effectiveness
5
4,5
and involvement of qualified staff.
4 Q3 2014
Q4 2014
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Q3 2015
10
Dynamic earnings growth Value of purchased debt portfolios (in PLNm)
Q3 2015
Recovery of purchased portfolios (in PLNm)
Q3 2015
514
2 741
15,79
54,8%
32,9%
Q3 2014
Q3 2014
2 430
Portfele nabyte przez DTP
10,20
Wpływ współpracy z Altus TFI
In PLNm
Q3'14
Q3'15
change %
Q1-Q3'14
Q1-Q3'15
change %
Revenue
12,47
17,43
40%
36,61
47,64
30%
EBIT
7,25
8,78
21%
19,70
23,77
21%
EBITDA
7,32
8,88
21%
19,83
24,03
21%
Cash EBITDA*
5,37
8,68
62%
11,67
19,68
69%
Net profit
6,30
8,17
30%
18,49
22,00
19%
* Cash EBITDA = EBITDA + proceeds from debts – revenue from debts
11
Repayment of debt as the main source of revenue Revenue in Q3 2014 (PLNm)
Revenue in Q3 2015 (PLNm)
1,7
0,2
0,2
12,5
Aktualizacja portfela
Inkaso
Pozostałe
Przychody
16,0
0
Spłaty skorygowane o amortyzację ceny nabycia
Aktualizacja portfela
1,3
0,1
17,4
Inkaso
Pozostałe
Przychody
10,4
Spłaty skorygowane o amortyzację ceny nabycia
• •
Record recovery from own portfolios was key to revenue record growth in Q3 2015, confirm the accuracy of investment decisions In Q3 2015, DTP group did not recognise any revenue from portfolio re-measurement. Throughout 2015, revenues from portfolio re-measurement is 1.26 million zł
•
Thanks to cooperation with Altus TFI, DTP Group is systematically growing revenue from collection operations*
* collection operations and management of third-party funds
12
DTP Group is the most profitable debt collector listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange 600
50,00% 46%
556 45,00%
511 500
40% 40,00%
37%
35,00%
31%
400
30,00% 26% 300
25,00% 20% 20,00%
200 159
15,00%
150 105
10,00%
100
76 39
61
42
28
15
1% 4
3% 36
5,00%
27 1
10
0
0,00%
Kruk
BEST
Kredyt Inkaso
EGB Investments Przychody
Zysk netto
DTP
Pragma Inkaso
P.R.E.S.C.O.
Fast Finance
Rentowność netto
PLNm
For DTP - 12-month period ended 30 September 2015, for others - 12-month period ended 30 June 2015
13
Attractive cash flows from operating activities Cash Flow (mln zł) 40
1,861
-29,327
21,996
35
30
25
20
15
12,287 1,143
-0,514
1,836
10
-2,120 -0,858
6,304
5
0
Cash 1 January 2015
Net profit
Finance income recognised in profit or loss
Change in debt portfolio investment
Change in other investments
Other cash flows from operating activities
Cash flows from investing activities
Interest on bonds, credit and loans
Other cash flows from financing activities
Cash at 30 September 2015 (closing balance)
14
Debt Debt
Net debt / cash EBITDA 40 35
1,56
33,77
31,04
29,38
30 25
1,43
1,44
0,5 0,4
24,62
22,23
0,3
0,26
0,25
20 15
36,53
33,62
0,19
0,18
0,24
0,23
0,21
0,2
10
0,1
5 0
0,0 Q1
2013
2014
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
2014
Q3 2015
Q3
2015
Zadłużenie netto
Dług netto / kapitały własne
DTP with the least debt among WSE-listed debt collectors - comparison*
•
GPM Vindexus
DTP
P.R.E.S.C.O.
BEST
Fast Finance
EGB
KRUK
Kredyt Inkaso
Pragma Inkaso
Consolidated equity
121 260
150 942
113 076
237 628
56 627
65 698
679 662
238 285
55 994
Net interest debt**
17 000
33 153
43 057
201 884
44 931
73 108
760 482
292 676
96 556
0,14
0,22
0,38
0,85
0,79
1,11
1,12
1,23
1,72
The Group's debt remains at a low level in relation to equity and cash EBITDA.
•
The Group has strong potential to leverage its business if appropriate
opportunities
materialise , inter alia, open credit line.
Net interest debt** / equity
*for DTP - 12-month period ended 30 September 2015, for others - 12-month period ended 30 June 2015 ** Net interest debt = financial liabilities - found
15
Growing debt portfolio Value of purchased debt portfolios (PLNm)
Value of debt portfolios as at 30 September 2015 (PLNk)
3 000
Non - retail 1 561 163 57%
2 741 2 541
2 456
2 500
1 978
2 000
Teleco m 218 711 8%
1 320
1 500
1 090
CAGR 21,4%
1 000
Utilities 85 921 3%
Bank 2 435 897 89%
500
Retail 1 179 367 43%
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
3 kwartały 2015
Expenditure on portfolios, and average price (PLNm)
Number of debt portfolios as at 30 September 2015
45,0 40,0
8,60% 8,35%
35,0 23,7
8,40% 8,20%
8,09%
30,0 25,0
38,3 7,91% 25,0
28,2
25,2
20,0
8,00% 7,80% 7,60%
7,48%
15,0
7,40% 7,24%
7,00%
5,0
6,80%
0,0
6,60% 2012
2013
2014
Utilities 72 931 30%
Bank 82 922 34%
7,20%
10,0
2011
Non - retail 42 781 17%
3 kwartały 2015
Wydatki na portfele
Telecom 89 704 37% Retail 202 776 83%
Średnia cena dla portfeli kupionych od początku 2010 roku
16
Conservative valuation of own portfolios Comparison of forecasts DTP and actually made recovery
The cost recovery (as a percentage of the profits) The increase in the cost of recovery due to the increase incurred legal fees, fees for a lawsuit and a greater number of cases referred for bailiff
63 893
PLNk
\
55,3%
44,3%
40 249
40 202
38 020 30 815
30 261
40,7%
30,8%
23,7%
22 822 17 110
10 633 4 563
2011
2012
2013
2014
9M 2015
2011
2012
2013
2014
9M 2015
Prognozowany odzysk na portfelach własnych (część kapitałowa i odsetkowa) Zrealizowany odzysk (część kapitałowa i odsetkowa)
17
Recovery of purchased portfolios By year of recovery (PLNk)
By year of purchase (PLNk)
70 000
45 000
80 000
40 000
70 000
45 000
38 296 60 000 35 000
68 495
38 296
40 000
35 000 60 000
50 000 50 000
25 850
25 161
40 000
23 735
25 161
24 980
24 980
23 735
25 000
25 000 40 000
30 000
30 000
28 206
30 000
28 206
18 780
18 780
32 472
31 783
20 000
20 000 30 000
19 889
15 000
15 000 20 000
40 202
38 020 63 893
16 095
20 000
9 989
10 000
10 000
27 430 10 000
22 822
10 000
5 000
5 000
10 633 0
2 391 0
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
Odzysk (lewa oś)
2014
3 kwartały 3 kwartały 2014 2015
Wydatki (prawa oś)
Wpływ z jednej wierzytelności
0 2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
odzysk 2010
odzysk 2011
odzysk 2012
odzysk 2013
odzysk 2014
odzysk 2015
2015
Wydatki na portfele (prawa oś)
18
Thank you for your attention We welcome your questions
19
Agenda Attachments
20
Financial results Consolidated balance sheet and statement of profit and loss PLNm Non-current assets Current assets: Debt portfolios Cash Equity Non-current liabilities: Financial liabilities Current liabilities
Q3 2015
Q3 2014
22,495
22,295
0,90%
171,285
155,761
9,97%
162,289
135,202
20,04%
% change
6,304
15,006
-57,99%
150,942
129,276
16,76%
27,494
30,159
-8,84%
27,110
29,574
-8,33%
15,344
18,621
-17,60%
1,887
1,416
12,347
The Group's main source of revenue and net margin is management of own debt portfolios. Since the beginning of the DTP steadily increasing this income due to the rapidly expanding recovery of debts. DTP Group maintains a low interest debt, financing the purchase of portfolios in the vast majority from own resources.
Q3 2015
Q3 2014
Sales margin
49,90%
52,50%
33,26%
ROE**
22,00%
20,00%
16,428
-24,84%
ROA**
17,10%
15,10%
17,431
12,468
39,81%
C/I
53,50%
52,60%
EBIT
8,776
7,247
21,10%
EBITDA*
8,876
7,322
21,22%
EBITDA (PLNk)
8 876
7 322
Net profit
8,172
6,297
29,78%
EV/EBITDA**
6,31
10,21
Trade payables Financial liabilities Revenue from sales
* EBITDA = gross profit + depreciation and amortisation + interest
** annualised ratios
21
Financial results Selected data from the consolidated statement of profit and loss
2014
PLNm QI Total revenue from sales
Q2
2015 Q3
Q4.
Q1
Q2
Q3
10,13
14,01
12,47
12,98
13,73
16,48
17,43
9,73
13,71
12,15
12,01
12,86
15,71
15,98
5,06
4,50
1,79
1,40
1,26
0,00
0,00
Revenue from collection operations
0,03
0,03
0,09
0,37
0,83
1,12
1,27
Other revenue
0,37
0,28
0,23
0,60
0,04
-0,34
0,18
EBIT
5,05
7,40
7,25
6,69
6,79
8,20
8,78
EBITDA
5,08
7,43
7,32
6,93
6,86
8,29
8,88
Net profit
5,44
6,74
6,30
6,10
6,21
7,62
8,17
Value of collections
8,14
9,09
10,05
10,74
9,67
14,74
15,79
Expenditure on own portfolios
4,02
12,54
9,29
2,35
4,64
8,61
11,73
Cash EBITDA
3,49
2,81
5,37
5,66
3,68
7,33
8,68
Revenue from debt portfolios Revenue from portfolio re-measurement
22
Financial results Selected balance sheet data
2014
PLNm Q1 Non-current assets
Q2
2015 Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
21,42
21,48
22,30
22,63
22,57
22,34
22,50
124,12
134,94
155,76
149,65
155,65
167,22
171,29
107,31
124,27
135,20
132,96
140,79
150,37
162,29
7,07
2,40
15,01
12,29
7,26
10,31
6,30
116,24
122,98
129,28
135,37
141,58
145,63
150,94
29,30
33,44
48,78
36,91
36,63
43,93
42,84
0,43
0,40
0,36
3,34
3,29
7,42
13,09
25,83
26,00
45,64
30,66
30,76
29,81
26,36
22,23
31,04
33,77
24,62
29,38
33,62
36,53
Debt to equity
0,19
0,25
0,26
0,18
0,21
0,30
0,28
Net debt / cash EBITDA 12M
1,52
2,25
2,13
1,43
1,69
1,55
1,44
Current assets Debt portfolios Cash
Equity Total liabilities Credit, loans and leasing Bonds
Net debt
23
DTP Group - business model DTP Group's business is focused in three key areas: •
Purchase and management of debt portfolios on own account,
•
Servicing of debt portfolios at the direction of outside entities,
•
Purchase and management of debt portfolios for financial investors.
From 2015, the Group's operational model is supplemented by e-collections online tools and services for debt recovery.
24
Experienced management team Michał Handzlik President of DTP's Management Board Michał Handzlik has know-how and experience in finance and banking, particularly in the areas of investor relations, strategy development, planning and coordinating, as well as managing operational processes. His past roles include Head of the Planning and Controlling Department at PKO BP S.A., Managing Director at the Management and Controlling Department of Bank BPH S.A., Vice-President and subsequently President of the Management Board at Getin Bank S.A. He obtained an Executive MBA at the Warsaw University of Technology in 2007.
Paweł Czechowski Member of the Management Board Paweł Czechowski has been in charge of the investments and sales area, as well as a management board member at Debt Trading Partners Sp. z o.o., since 2011. He has completed post-graduate studies in management at the Warsaw School of Economics. He has spent many years in the debt recovery industry - first as sales director in the international firm Intrum Justitia Sp. z o.o., and later as sales director at Ultimo Sp. z o.o. He is also a member of the Supervisory Board of DTLEX Kancelaria Radców Prawnych Rosiński i Wspólnicy S.K.A.
Jacek Pytliński Member of the Management Board Jacek Pytliński is a graduate of the University of Silesia with a masters in IT, focus on IT in experimental science. In 2005, he began working as designer with Asseco Poland S.A., where he was responsible for developing bank transaction systems and, subsequently, external interfaces for bank systems to facilitate working with commercial banks' online banking systems. Since 2007, running his own business, Jacek Pytliński had been developing software for transaction systems dealing with insurance policies and bank systems for credit processing. From 2012, he has been Head of the IT and Analysis Department at Debt Trading Partners Sp. z o.o. S.K.A., which is a subsidiary of the Issuer.
25
Shareholding structure As at 6 November2015
No. of shares
Paged Capital Sp. z o.o.
JAMICO Sp. z o.o. Spółka Komandytowo-Akcyjna
16 988 566
% stake
47,57% 27,01%
5 740 000
16,07% 47,57%
Pioneer Pekao Investment Management SA
3 340 320
Other
9 645 114
27,01%
35 714 000
100,00%
Total
9,35% 9,35%
16,07%
26
Debt portfolios – repayment curve 51%
54% 50%
50%
42%
40%
45%
36% 28%
39%
36%
24%
30%
33% 30%
31% 23% 20%
27% 27%
21%
26%
25%
21%
19%
22%
17% 16%
8Y - DTP - krzywa dla porteli nabytych w latach 2009-2015 (IRR 39%, ∑ 270%)
8Y - Konkurent 2 - krzywa dla portfeli nabytych w latach 2005-2014 (∑ 254%)
8Y - Konkurent 1 - krzywa dla portfeli nabytych w latach 2005-2014 (∑ 270%) 92%
50% 37%
53%
51% 48% 42%
35%
31%
31%
29%
31%
29% 25%
24% 21%
23% 19%
DTP - krzywa dla portfeli bankowych nabytych w latach 2009-2015 (IRR 37%, ∑ 273%)
22% 20% 16%
19% 18% 13%
DTP - krzywa dla portfeli telekom nabytych w latach 2009-2015 (IRR 59%, 33% ∑ 241%)
52% ∑ 265%) DTP - krzywa dla portfeli utilities nabytych w latach 2009-2015 (IRR 58%,
27
DTP - accounting practices Example calculation of repayments and revenue for a purchased debt portfolio •
Acquired debt portfolios are recognised as current investments because the portfolios being purchased contain almost exclusively debts that are overdue and are initially recognised at purchase price increased by PCC, which corresponds to fair value.
•
The value of purchased debt portfolios is measured at least once at the end of each calendar quarter. Valuation is determined using reasonable estimates of fair value, calculated using an estimation model based on estimates of discounted expected cash flows.
•
Estimated proceeds from debt portfolios include the principal and interest, calculated using a discount rate. Principal received is recognised as a decrease in the value of a portfolio, while interest received is recognised as current-period revenue. Differences between actual and forecast payments adjust interest income for the given period.
•
Current-period profit may also include (if applicable) remeasurement of purchased debt portfolios, which is defined as a change in fair value resulting from changes in estimates relating to expected future cash flows for the given portfolio and changes in discount rates.
•
Proceeds from financial assets measured at fair value through profit or loss are presented in operating revenue as revenue from collection operations relating to purchased debt portfolios.
PERIOD 0 purchase price
1
2
3
4
5
total
50
50
50
50
50
250%
100
planned proceeds
-100
IRR
41%
% of proceeds vs purchase price
discount rate
ACCOUNTING measurement at the beginning of period
proceeds interest income depreciation measurement at the end of period
100
50 41 9 91
91
50 37 13 78
78
50 32 18 61
61
50 25 25 35
35
50 15 35 0
250
total proceeds
150
assets at the beginning of period * IRR
100
difference between proceeds and revenue assets at the beginning of period, less depreciation and amortisation
28