COMMODITIES AT A GLANCE March 2011
INTRODUCTION This “Commodities at a Glance” has been prepared by the Special Unit on Commodities (SUC) of UNCTAD. This quarterly publication aims to collect, present and disseminate accurate and relevant statistical information linked to international primary commodity markets in a clear and concise format. The first edition of “Commodities at a Glance” aims to give an overview of the following issues: (a) Historical and recent trends in primary commodity prices and price indices both in nominal and real terms; (b) The distribution of primary commodity production among the main producing countries for a set of selected primary commodities; and (c) An overview of primary commodity import and export dependence in developing countries. For further information about this publication, please contact the Special Unit on Commodities (SUC), UNCTAD, Palais des Nations, CH-1211 Genève 10, Switzerland, telephone +41 22 917 5676 e-mail:
[email protected].
STATISTICAL DATA SOURCES
Statistical data sources for this publication are: (a) UNCTAD, UNCTADstat (for all primary commodity prices, except iron ore, as well as all data involving primary commodity trade statistics and GDP for their computation); (b) IMF, International Financial Statistics (for iron ore prices); (c) UNSD (for the deflator used in all current/constant computations); and (d) For all computations regarding production as well as stock-to-use ratio, the source is indicated below each specific graph.
Data on constant prices are available until September 2010 (included) as the United Nations deflator used in these computations is not available after this date.
NOTES
In this publication, each graph displays both prices or price indices in constant and current terms.
Prices and price indices are presented with an orange line when expressed in constant terms and using a green line when in current terms.
In this document, the term “primary commodities” refers to the following SITC group: 0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 667 + 68 + 971.
The “Net Food Importing Countries” group refers to the group as defined by the World Trade Organization (WTO).
COPYRIGHT Material in this publication may be freely quoted or reprinted, but full acknowledgement is requested (UNCTAD, Special Unit on Commodities, Commodities at a Glance). A copy of the publication containing the quotation or reprint should be sent to the UNCTAD secretariat at: Palais des Nations, CH-1211 Geneva 10, Switzerland or by e-mail to:
[email protected].
FREE SUBSCRIPTION The current publication is intended to be published on a quarterly basis. If you are interested in receiving its updated versions by e-mail on a regular basis, please send an e-mail to:
[email protected] and we would be pleased to send it to you as soon as issued.
UNCTAD/SUC/2011/2
1
HISTORICAL EVOLUTION OF PRIMARY COMMODITY PRICES AND PRICE INDICES
3 50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Indice de l'ensemble en dollars courants Indice de l'ensemble en DTS Indice de l'ensemble en dollars constants
Price index – All groups in current and constant US$ terms and SDR terms 01/1960 – 01/2011 (Base 100 = 2000)
01/1960 01/1961 01/1962 01/1963 01/1964 01/1965 01/1966 01/1967 01/1968 01/1969 01/1970 01/1971 01/1972 01/1973 01/1974 01/1975 01/1976 01/1977 01/1978 01/1979 01/1980 01/1981 01/1982 01/1983 01/1984 01/1985 01/1986 01/1987 01/1988 01/1989 01/1990 01/1991 01/1992 01/1993 01/1994 01/1995 01/1996 01/1997 01/1998 01/1999 01/2000 01/2001 01/2002 01/2003 01/2004 01/2005 01/2006 01/2007 01/2008 01/2009 01/2010 01/2011
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
-
Sugar prices in US¢ per pound (01/1960 - 01/2011)
130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 -
4
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-2010
45
01-2010
50 01-2005
Bananas prices in US¢ per pound (01/1960 - 01/2011)
01-2005
01-2000
200
01-1995
50
01-1990
400
01-1985
100
01-1980
150
01-1975
200
01-1975
250
01-1970
1'600
01-1970
300
01-1965
Maize prices in US$ per ton 01/1986 - 01/2011
01-1965
01-2008
01-2004
01-2000
01-1996
01-1992
01-1988
01-1984
01-1980
01-1976
01-1972
01-1968
01-1964
01-1960
US$ current terms
01-1960
01/2010
01/2005
01/2000
01/1995
01/1990
01/1985
01/1980
01/1975 US$ constant terms
01-1960
07-2010
07-2008
07-2006
07-2004
07-2002
07-2000
07-1998
07-1996
07-1994
01/1970
01/1965
01/1960
500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 -
01-1980
01-1975
07-1992
07-1990
07-1988
07-1986
350
01-1970
01-1965
01-1960
Food Price Index (Base 2000 = 100) 01/1960 - 01/2011 Wheat prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 -
Rice prices in US$ per ton 01/1960 - 01/2011
1'400
1'200
1'000
800
600
Coffee composite price 1976 in US¢ per pound (01/1960 - 01/2011)
Tropical Beverages Price Index Base 2000 = 100 01/1960 - 01/2011
Cocoa beans prices in US¢ per pound (01/1960 - 01/2011)
01-2010
01-2005
01-2011
01-2009
01-2007
01-2008
Vegetable oilseeds and oils Price Index, Base 2000 = 100 01/1960 - 01/2011
01-2005
01-2003
-
01-2001
50 01-1999
50
01-1997
100
01-1993
100
01-2004
150
01-2000
150
01-1996
200
01-1992
200
01-1988
250
01-1984
250
01-1980
300
01-1976
300
01-1972
350
01-1968
350
01-1964
400
01-1995
Tea prices in US¢ per kilo (01/1993 - 01/2011)
400
01-1960
01-2000
01/2010
01/2005
01/2000
01/1995
01/1990
01/1985
01/1980
01/1975
01/1970
01/1965
01/1960
-
01-1995
100
01-1990
200
01-1985
300
01-1980
400
01-1975
500
01-1970
600
01-1965
700
650 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 01-1960
800
Soybeans prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011) 1'400
550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 -
1'200 1'000 800 600 400
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
5
01-1965
01-1960
01/2010
01/2005
01/2000
01/1995
01/1990
01/1985
01/1980
01/1975
01/1970
01/1965
01/1960
200
Soybean oil prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
Palm oil prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011) 2'000
2'400
1'800
2'100
1'600
1'800
1'400
1'500
1'200
1'200
1'000
900
800 600
600
Rubber prices in US$ per ton (01/1986 - 01/2011)
01-2005
01-2010 01-2010
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1980
01-1975
01-1985
01-2004
01-2001
01-1998
01-1995
01-1992
01/2010
01/2005
01/2000
01/1995
01/1990
01/1985
01/1980
01/1975
-
01-1989
50
01-1986
100
01-1983
150
01-1980
200
01-1977
250
01-1974
240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 -
300
01/1970
01-1970
Cotton prices in US¢ per pound (01/1974 - 01/2011)
350
01/1965
01-2007
Agricultural Raw Materials Price Index Base 2000 = 100 01/1960 - 01/2011
01/1960
01-1960
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
-
01-1965
01-1960
200 01-1965
400
300
Non-coniferous wood price, in US$ per ton (01/1991 - 01/2011) 180
6'000 5'500 5'000 4'500 4'000 3'500 3'000 2'500 2'000 1'500 1'000 500 -
160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 01-2011
01-2009
01-2007
01-2005
01-2003
01-2001
01-1999
01-1997
01-1995
01-1993
6
01-1991
01-2010
01-2008
01-2006
01-2004
01-2002
01-2000
01-1998
01-1996
01-1994
01-1992
01-1990
01-1988
01-1986
-
Iron Ore Prices (Brazil) in US¢/DMTU (01/1960 - 12/2010)
Minerals, Ores and Metals Price Index Base 2000 = 100 01/1960 - 01/2011
Copper prices in US$ per Ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
Aluminium prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
01-2005
01-2010
01-2010
01-2002
7
01-1998
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
-
01-1994
500
01-1990
1'000
01-1986
1'500
01-1982
2'000
01-1978
2'500
01-1974
3'000
01-1970
55'000 50'000 45'000 40'000 35'000 30'000 25'000 20'000 15'000 10'000 5'000 -
3'500
01-1965
01-2006
Nickel prices in US$ per Ton (01/1970 - 01/2011)
Lead prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
01-1960
01-2000
01-2008
01-2004
01-2000
01-1996
01-1992
01-1988
01-1984
01-1980
01-1976
01-1972
01-1968
01-1964
01-1960
-
01-1995
500
01-1990
1'000
01-1985
1'500
01-1980
2'000
01-1975
2'500
01-1970
3'000
01-1965
3'500
01-1960
11'000 10'000 9'000 8'000 7'000 6'000 5'000 4'000 3'000 2'000 1'000 -
4'000
4'000
01-2010
01/2010
01/2005
01/2000
01/1995
01/1990
01/1985
01/1980
01/1975
01/1970
01/1965
01/1960
-
01-2005
50
01-2000
100
01-1995
150
01-1990
200
01-1985
250
01-1980
300
01-1975
350
01-1970
400
01-1965
450
01-1960
240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 -
Zinc prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011)
Tin prices in US$ per ton (01/1960 - 01/2011) 30'000
5'000 4'500
25'000
4'000 3'500
20'000
3'000 2'500
15'000
2'000
10'000
1'500 1'000
5'000
500 -
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
01-1965
01-1960
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
01-1965
01-1960
0
Silver prices in US¢ per troy ounce (01/1970 - 01/2011)
Gold prices in US$ per troy ounce (01/1970 - 01/2011)
5'500
1'500 1'400 1'300 1'200 1'100 1'000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 -
5'000 4'500 4'000 3'500 3'000 2'500 2'000 1'500 1'000 500
Crude petroleum prices in US$ per barrel (01/1960 - 01/2011)
01-2010
01-2006
01-2002
01-1998
01-1994
01-1990
01-1986
01-1982
01-1978
01-1974
01-1970
01-2010
01-2006
01-2002
01-1998
01-1994
01-1990
01-1986
01-1982
01-1978
01-1974
01-1970
-
Euro per US dollar exchange rate (01/1999 - 01/2011)
160
1.60
140
1.40
120
1.20
100
1.00
80
0.80
60
0.60
40
0.40
20
0.20
-
01-2011
01-2010
01-2009
01-2008
01-2007
01-2006
01-2005
01-2004
01-2003
01-2002
01-2001
01-2000
8
01-1999
01-2010
01-2005
01-2000
01-1995
01-1990
01-1985
01-1980
01-1975
01-1970
01-1965
01-1960
-
9
Overview of the historical evolution of primary commodity prices, in US$per ton (except when mentioned)
PRIMARY COMMODITY PRODUCTION
PRODUCTION OF AGRICULTURAL PRIMARY COMMODITIES Banana production (2007-2009) in million tons
210
35
180
30
150
25
120
20
90
15 10
60
5
30 Others
EU 27
China
India
Source: International Grains Council
Maize production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Rice production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons 160
350
140
World production: 807.6 million tons
120
250
World production: 445.6 million tons
100
200
80
150
60 40
100
20
50
Others
China
India
Others
United States
China
EU 27
Brazil
Mexico
Source: International Grains Council
Indonesia
Vietnam
-
-
Source: International Grains Council
Cocoa production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Coffee production (2008/09-2010/11) in million 60kg bags 50
1.4 World production: 3,7 million tons
45 40
1.0
World production: 128,8 million 60kg bags
35 30
0.8
25
0.6
20
0.4
15 10
0.2
5
Source: International Cocoa Organization
11
Source: International Coffee Organization
Others
Brazil
Vietnam
Ethiopia
Others
Côte d'Ivoire
Ghana
Indonesia
Nigeria
Cameroon
-
Indonesia
1.2
United States
Others
India
Philippines
China
Brazil
Ecuador
Source: FAO
Russian Fed.
-
-
300
World production: 670.6 million tons
Bangladesh
40
240
World production: 92.8 million tons
Colombia
45
Wheat production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
AGRICULTURAL PRIMARY COMMODITIES (cont.) Soybeans production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Tea production (2007-2009) in million tons
100
1.6 1.4
World production: 3,9 Million tons
90 80
1.2
World production: 242,7 Million tons
70
1.0
60
0.8
50
0.6
40 30
0.4
20
0.2
10
9 8
Source: FAO
Source: USDA
Soybean oil production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Palm oil production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Others
United States
Brazil
Argentina
China
Others
China
India
Kenya
Sri Lanka
Turkey 10
India
-
-
30 World production: 38,8 Million tons
27 24
7
21
6 5
18 15
4
12
3
9
2
6
World production: 45,9 Million tons
3
1
Source: USDA
Others
Indonesia
Malaysia
Thailand
Source: USDA
Cotton production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons
Rubber production (2007-2009) in million tons 4.0
8 World production: 23,3 Million tons
3.5
6
3.0
5
2.5
4
2.0
3
1.5
2
1.0
1
0.5
World production: 10,4 Million tons
Source: International Cotton Advisory Committee
Source: FAO
12
Others
Thailand
Indonesia
Malaysia
Others
China
India
United States
Pakistan
Brazil
Vietnam
-
-
India
7
Nigeria
Others
China
United States
Argentina
Brazil
EU 27
Colombia
-
-
PRODUCTION OF PRIMARY AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES (cont.)
PRODUCTION OF MINERALS, ORES AND METALS Iron ore production (2007-2009) in million tons
Sugar production (2008/09-2010/11) in million tons 80 70
450
World production: 168.9 Million tons
400 350
60
World production: 1'663 Million tons
300
50
250
40
200
30
150
20
100
10
50
Source: International Sugar Organization
6
Others
Australia
Brazil
China
Source: UNCTAD, Trust Fund on Iron Ore Information
Nickel mine production (2008-2010) in million tons
Copper mine production (2008-2010) in million tons 7
India
Others
Brazil
India
EU 27
China
Thailand
Russian Fed.
-
-
0.5
World production: 15,8 Million tons
0.4
World production: 1,4 Million tons
5 0.3
4
0.2
3 2
0.1
1
Source: International Copper Study Group
1.8 1.6
Others
Russian Fed.
Indonesia
Canada
Australia
Source: World Bureau of Metal Statistics
Zinc mine production (2008-2010) in million tons
Lead mine production (2008-2010) in million tons 2.0
New Caledonia
Others
Chile
Peru
United States
China
Australia
Philippines
-
-
6
World production: 3,9 Million tons
5
1.4
World production: 11,8 Million tons
4
1.2 3
1.0 0.8
2
0.6 0.4
1
0.2
Source: International Lead and Zinc Study Group
13
Others
China
Peru
Canada
India
Others
China
United States
Peru
Mexico
Bolivia
Mexico
-
-
Source: International Lead and Zinc Study Group
PRODUCTION OF MINERALS, ORES AND METALS (cont.) Gold mine production (2008-2010) in tons
3'500 3'000
1'000
2'500
800
2'000
600
1'500
400
1'000
200
500
Source: World Bureau of Metal Statistics
Others
Russian Fed.
South Africa
Others
China
United States
Australia
South Africa
Russia
-
Source: Johnson Matthey
Diamonds mine production (2007-2009) in million carats
Platinum supply (2008-2010) in thousand ounces
50
5'000 4'000
World production: 7'183 thousand ounces
North America
1'200
4'000
World production: 2'405 tons
Zimbabwe
1'400
Palladium supply (2008-2010) in thousand ounces
World production: 5'992 thousands ounce
40
World production: 151,9 Million carats
30
3'000
20
2'000
10
1'000
Others
Russia Fed.
Botswana
D.R.C
Australia
South Africa
Others
South Africa
Russian Fed.
North America
Zimbabwe
Canada
-
* DRC: Democratic Republic of C ongo
Source: Johnson Matthey
Source: Kimberley Process
PRODUCTION OF ENERGY Natural Gas production (2007-2009) in million tons oil equivalent
Crude oil production (2007-2009) in million barrels 50
1'400
World production: 2'709 Million tons oil equivalent
1'200
35 30
1'000
25
800
20
600
15
400
10
200
5
14
Source: BP
Others
United States
Russian Fed.
Others
Saudi Arabia
Russian Fed.
United States
Iran
China Source: BP
Norway
-
-
Canada
40
1'600
World production: 81,13 Million barrels
Iran
45
PRIMARY COMMODITY EXPORT DEPENDENCE
Primary commodity dependence in developing countries (Change between 2002/03 and 2008/09) Number of developing countries that derive at least 50 per cent of their export values from commodities 2002/03
2008/09
Number of countries
in %
Number of countries
in %
All commodities
96
67%
96
67%
Non-fuel commodities
62
43%
58
41%
Fuel
22
15%
26
18%
Ores and Metals
12
8%
14
10%
Agricultural Raw Materials
5
3%
1
1%
29
20%
25
17%
All food
Note: Data computed over a total of 143 developing countries Number of developing countries that derive between 20 and 49.9 per cent of their export values from commodities 2002/03
2008/09
Number of countries
in %
Number of countries
in %
All commodities
27
19%
33
23%
Non-fuel commodities
39
27%
43
30%
Fuel
15
10%
15
10%
Ores and Metals
20
14%
19
13%
Agricultural Raw Materials
6
4%
6
4%
46
32%
40
28%
All food
Note: Data computed over a total of 143 developing countries Number of developing countries that derive less than 20 per cent of their export values from commodities 2002/03
2008/09
Number of countries
in %
Number of countries
in %
All commodities
20
14%
14
10%
Non-fuel commodities
42
29%
42
29%
Fuel
106
74%
102
71%
Ores and Metals
111
78%
110
77%
Agricultural Raw Materials
132
92%
136
95%
68
48%
78
55%
All food
Note: Data computed over a total of 143 developing countries
16
Comparison of Primary commodity Primary commodity dependence throughout the dependence in developing countries world (breakdown by continent, 2008-2009 average) (2008-2009 average) 100%
90%
90%
80%
80%
70%
70%
60%
60%
50%
50%
40%
40%
30%
30%
20%
20%
10%
10%
0%
0% Primary commodity exports as % of merchandise exports
3 main primary commodity exports as % of merchandise exports
Primary commodity exports as % of merchandise exports
3 main primary commodity exports as % of commodity exports
Developed economies
Developing economies
Transition economies
LDC s
Africa
3 main primary 3 main primary commodities as commodities as % of % of commodity merchandise exports exports
America
Asia
Oceania
Main Primary commodity exported by continent and by primary commodity groups (2008-2009 average ) AFRICA
Agricultural raw materials All food 2% 9%
Ores and metals 14%
ASIA
Agricultural raw materials 3%
Ores and metals 13%
All food 15% Fuels 76%
AMERICA
Fuels 68%
OCEANIA
Agricultural Raw Material 4%
Agricultural raw materials 18%
Ores and metals 24%
Fuels 26% Fuels 37%
All food 15%
All food 35%
17
Ores and metals 14%
PRIMARY COMMODITY IMPORT DEPENDENCE
Fuel import bill of non-fuel exporting LDC and Sub-Saharan countries* compared to their total merchandise exports and their GDP over the 2000s The ratio has improved between the two periods
The ratio has deteriorated between the two periods
The ratio remained unchanged (change between the two periods ranges between -0.5 percentage point and +0.5 percentage point)
Afghanistana Bangladesha Botswanab Burkina Fasoa,b Burundia,b Cambodiaa Central African Republica,b Comorosa,b Djiboutia,b Eritreaa,b Ethiopiaa,b Gambiaa,b Ghanab Guinea-Bissaua,b Haitia Kenyab Kiribatia Lao People's Dem. Rep.a Lesothoa,b Madagascara,b Malawia,b Maldivesa Malia,b Mauritiusb Namibiab Nepala Nigera,b Rwandaa,b Samoaa Seychellesb Sierra Leonea Solomon Islandsa Somaliaa Swazilandb Timor-Lestea Togoa,b Tuvalua Ugandaa,b United Republic of Tanzaniaa,b Vanuatua Zambiaa,b Zimbabweb
Fuel imports-To-All merchandise exports ratio 2000-2002 2007-2009 102.6% 110.8% 9.6% 14.6% 5.3% 11.3% 74.6% 44.6% 46.4% 34.4% 19.6% 20.4% 4.7% 20.5% 19.5% 54.8% 8.4% 104.8% 16.5% 115.9% 59.0% 89.9% 184.4% 179.4% 28.2% 26.1% 7.0% 29.1% 12.7% 21.0% 44.3% 53.8% 22.3% 119.7% 20.4% 24.3% 22.0% 0.6% 21.3% 35.3% 21.1% 21.0% 58.5% 227.1% 26.5% 33.1% 13.7% 35.3% 9.0% 8.6% 34.1% 91.2% 21.0% 34.8% 48.6% 28.9% 32.0% 74.4% 21.2% 52.0% 166.6% 88.2% 40.0% 40.5% 2.3% 1.1% 12.4% 11.3% n.a. 536.0% 22.1% 42.9% 8.4% 1064.6% 38.0% 47.3% 30.8% 68.3% 56.2% 75.1% 9.0% 13.0% 22.1% 20.4%
Fuel imports-To-GDP ratio
n.a.
2000-2002 3.1% 1.1% 2.5% 4.6% 2.6% 7.9% 0.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.7% 3.2% 2.4% 9.6% 2.0% 1.1% 5.1% 6.2% 3.8% 9.9% 4.1% 3.4% 7.5% 6.1% 4.7% 3.4% 3.7% 2.9% 2.0% 6.5% 5.7% 4.4% 5.8% 0.3% 8.4% n.a. 5.9% 4.0% 2.6% 2.2% 4.8% 2.4% 6.7%
2007-2009 4.2% 2.8% 4.5% 2.9% 4.9% 8.0% 1.4% 1.2% 7.4% 1.0% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.7% 1.6% 8.2% 17.7% 4.9% 0.4% 5.8% 5.0% 18.4% 7.0% 8.9% 4.4% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 9.9% 19.1% 9.2% 11.0% 0.2% 3.2% 9.8% 11.8% 6.2% 5.1% 9.1% 7.2% 4.7% 9.7%
Note: (a) Least Developed Country (LDC), (b) Sub-Saharan African Country - All computations are based on trade statistics in value - when change in 2000/02-2007/09 ratio ranged between -0.5 percentage point and +0.5 percentage point, the change has been considered as not significant.
19
n.a.
Food import bill of Net-Food Importing Countries (NFIC) compared to their total merchandise exports and their GDP over the 2000s
All food imports-to-All merchandise exports ratio Afghanistana Angolaa,b Bangladesha Barbados Benina,b Bhutana Botswanab Burkina Fasoa,b Burundia,b Cambodiaa Cameroonb Cape Verdeb Central African Republica,b Chada,b Comorosa,b Congob Côte d'Ivoireb Cuba Dem. Rep. of the Congoa,b Djiboutia,b Dominican Republic Equatorial Guineaa,b Eritreaa,b Ethiopiaa,b Gabonb Gambiaa,b Ghanab Guineaa,b Guinea-Bissaua,b Haitia Honduras Jamaica Kenyab Kiribatia Lao People's Dem. Rep.a Lesothoa,b Liberiaa,b Madagascara,b Malawia,b Maldivesa Malia,b Mauritaniaa,b Mauritiusb Morocco Mozambiquea,b Myanmara Namibiab Nepala
2000-2002 605.8% 10.9% 24.5% 73.5% 34.2% 28.2% 13.5% 63.4% 60.1% 16.1% 16.6% 801.3% 24.0% 48.4% 81.3% 9.1% 12.7% 58.7% 27.0% 177.4% 18.5% 4.5% 463.9% 40.9% 6.6% 683.8% 26.7% 27.8% 25.0% 129.8% 16.6% 42.9% 29.3% 97.2% 25.7% 46.7% 2.3% 15.4% 23.3% 110.7% 21.0% 29.9% 19.6% 21.6% 40.3% 10.9% 15.2% 34.0%
2007-2009 136.6% 4.7% 25.5% 79.9% 55.5% 15.0% 9.9% 73.9% 26.7% 14.8% 26.1% 698.5% 63.1% 7.8% 392.5% 8.7% 15.4% 54.9% 23.3% 170.7% 27.7% 2.6% 1504.0% 56.0% 6.7% 325.3% 29.2% 22.9% 61.6% 181.0% 23.1% 47.0% 25.4% 227.1% 13.8% 12.3% 5.3% 26.6% 23.1% 190.7% 23.5% 30.9% 35.2% 25.7% 24.9% 6.8% 13.9% 48.6%
20
All food imports-to-GDP ratio 2000-2002 18.4% 8.4% 2.9% 7.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.3% 3.9% 3.4% 6.5% 3.0% 14.2% 1.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 4.7% 2.9% 4.8% 10.4% 4.2% 4.5% 19.0% 2.2% 3.4% 8.8% 9.1% 4.8% 7.3% 11.3% 7.7% 5.6% 3.4% 26.9% 4.8% 21.0% 0.9% 3.0% 3.8% 14.3% 4.8% 9.2% 6.7% 4.2% 6.0% 3.1% 5.7% 3.7%
2007-2009 5.2% 7.9% 4.9% 8.2% 9.5% 6.5% 3.9% 4.7% 3.8% 5.8% 4.7% 12.5% 4.4% 3.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.5% 3.3% 7.1% 12.1% 4.2% 2.1% 13.2% 3.4% 3.5% 10.7% 7.0% 5.9% 18.4% 13.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 33.6% 2.8% 8.1% 1.3% 4.3% 5.5% 15.4% 5.0% 14.3% 8.9% 5.0% 6.4% 1.9% 7.2% 3.3%
Food import bill of Net-Food Importing Countries (NFIC) compared to their total merchandise exports and their GDP over the 2000s (cont.)
All food imports-to-All merchandise exports ratio Nigera,b Nigeriab Pakistan Peru Rwandaa,b Saint Helenab Saint Lucia Samoaa Sao Tome and Principea,b Senegala,b Seychellesb Sierra Leonea,b Solomon Islandsa Somaliaa,b Sri Lanka Sudana,b Swazilandb Togoa,b Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Ugandaa,b United Republic of Tanzaniaa,b Vanuatua Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of) Yemena Zambiaa,b Zimbabweb
2000-2002 61.4% 8.9% 14.4% 13.3% 71.3% 60.7% 154.2% 64.0% 314.0% 62.4% 42.4% 142.0% 34.3% 80.2% 16.9% 20.8% 20.2% 27.7% 7.1% 12.8% 30.9% 31.4% 86.5% 6.5% 24.3% 11.1% 7.7%
2007-2009 57.7% 7.2% 20.6% 7.4% 68.9% 29.6% 87.1% 96.9% 356.3% 70.7% 53.0% 51.0% 38.1% 131.6% 19.9% 17.4% 20.7% 29.4% 5.1% 12.3% 34.3% 23.1% 90.7% 10.4% 36.2% 5.3% 27.2%
All food imports-to-GDP ratio 2000-2002 8.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% n.a. 11.0% 12.9% 13.4% 9.1% 11.5% 3.8% 5.0% 10.2% 5.0% 2.4% 13.6% 7.4% 3.6% 4.1% 2.1% 2.3% 7.5% 1.6% 7.9% 3.0% 2.3%
2007-2009 6.2% 2.5% 2.1% 1.7% 3.5% n.a. 12.6% 12.9% 18.8% 10.9% 19.5% 5.3% 10.4% 20.9% 4.0% 2.4% 5.9% 8.0% 3.2% 5.3% 3.7% 3.1% 8.7% 2.3% 8.6% 1.9% 12.9%
Note: - Food is defined by SITC codes: 0 + 1 + 22 + 4 - Data for Timor Leste, Tuvalu are not available. - NFIC list is based on the one defined by WTO - All computations are based on trade statistics in value - when change in 2000/02-2007/09 ratio ranged between -0.5 percentage point and +0.5 percentage point, the change has been considered as not significant. (a) Least Developed Country (LDC) (b) Sub-Saharan African Country
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45%
Deterioration
40%
76% have seen their situation deteriorated between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
35% 30% 25%
Improvement
20% 15%
5%
20.1% to 50%
0.5% to 20%
Depreciation exceeding 50%
- 20.1% to - 50%
0%
No significant change in the ratio
10%
Improvement exceeding 50%
21% have seen their situation improved between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
- 0.5% to - 20%
Percentage of countries within the group (of 33 LDCs)
Change in the situation of Non-Fuel Exporting LDCs regarding their fuel imports-to-all merchandise export ratio (Change in percentage point between 2000/2002 and 2007/2009 average)*
* All computations are based on trade statistics in value
35%
Deterioration
30%
76% have seen their situation deteriorated between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
25% 20% 15%
* All computations are based on trade statistics in value
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2.1% to 5%
0.5% to 2%
Depreciation exceeding 5%
- 2.1% to - 5%
0%
No significant change in
5%
6% have seen their situation improved between 20002002 and 2007-2009
Improvement exceeding 5%
Improvement
10%
- 0.5% to - 2%
Percentage of countries within the group (of 33 LDC countries)
Change in the situation of Non-Fuel Exporting LDCs regarding their fuel imports-to-GDP ratio (Change in percentage point between 2000/2002 and 2007/2009 average)*
Deterioration 40%
53% have seen their situation deteriorated between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
35% 30%
Improvement 41% have seen their situation improved between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
25% 20% 15% 10%
No significant change in the ratio
21% to 50%
0.5% to 20%
Depreciation exceeding 50%
- 20.1% to 50%
0%
Improvement exceeding 50%
5%
- 0.5% to 20%
Percentage of countries within the group (of 74 NFICs)
Change in the situation of Net-Food Importing Countries regarding their food imports-to–all merchandise exports ratio (Change in percentage point between 2000/2002 and 2007/2009 average)*
* All computations are based on trade statistics in value
45%
Deterioration
40%
57% have seen their situation deteriorated between 2000-2002 and 2007-2009
35% 30% 25% 20%
5%
* All computations are based on trade statistics in value
23
2.1% to 5%
0.5% to 2%
Depreciation exceeding 5%
- 2.1% to 5%
0%
No significant change in the ratio
10%
22% have seen their situation improved between 20002002 and 20072009
Improvement exceeding 5%
Improvement
15%
- 0.5% to 2%
Percentage of countries within the group (of 74 NFICs)
Change in the situation of Net-Food Importing Countries regarding their food imports-to–GDP ratio (Change in percentage point between 2000/2002 and 2007/2009 average)*
PRIMARY COMMODITY STOCKS
World Stock-to-use ratio for selected primary commodities
90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20%
Year 1
Year 2
Zinc
Lead
Nickel
Copper
Soybean oil
Soybeans
Coffee(b)
Coffee(a)
Cocoa
Rice
Maize
Wheat
0%
Cotton
10% Palm oil
Percentage of consumption covered by stocks
100%
Year 3
Source: Data sources are the same as for graphs related to production Note: Colors on this graph are attributed to « years » which are different from one primary commodity to another, as the reference period (calendar year / crop year) is different from one to another and given that the last available data are also different. For further information, please see below: Year 1
Means Means Means Means
2008/09 2007 for 2007 for 2007/08
for wheat, maize, rice, soybeans, soybean oil, palm oil and cocoa. copper, nickel, lead and zinc coffee in importing countries (a) for coffee in exporting countries (b)
Year 2
Means Means Means Means
2009/10 2008 for 2008 for 2008/09
for wheat, maize, rice, soybeans, soybean oil, palm oil and cocoa. copper, nickel, lead and zinc coffee in importing countries (a) for coffee in exporting countries (b)
Year 3
Means Means Means Means
2010/11 2009 for 2009 for 2009/10
for wheat, maize, rice, soybeans, soybean oil, palm oil and cocoa. copper, nickel, lead and zinc coffee in importing countries (a) for coffee in exporting countries (b)
(a) Stocks and consumption in importing countries (situation at the end of each year) (b) Stocks and consumption in exporting countries (situation for each crop season)
25