VIETNAM
Market Profile $0.5bn
In 2012, Vietnam was Australia’s 25th largest inbound market for visitor arrivals and 17th for total expenditure and visitor nights.
total spend
Total spend from Vietnam in 2012 (up 9 per cent on 2011)2
37,400
arrivals
Vietnamese visitor arrivals in 2012 (up 11 per cent on 2011)3
4.1m
Key airlines and share of passengers in 20121
total nights
Vietnamese visitor nights spent in Australia in 2012 (up 19 per cent on 2011)2
Vietnam Airlines
13%
Singapore Airlines
0.9m
3% 4% 4%
Jetstar
dispersed nights4
AirAsia X
Vietnamese visitor nights spent outside gateway cities in 2012 (up 66 per cent on 2011)2
13%
Other
67%
Australia ranks
Note: Table includes direct and indirect capacity
6th
among all out of region outbound destinations for Vietnamese travellers5
Visitor profile in 2012 61% repeat visitors2 57% of total arrivals are for leisure3 45-59 years largest demographic3 $13,360 average spend2 116 nights average stay2 Jul-Nov peak booking period Nov-Jan peak travel period
In this Market Profile • Market Performance • Aviation Landscape • Distribution • Find More Information
Note: International Visitor Survey data for Vietnam should be used with caution as sample errors are larger than the weighted IVS markets. Sources: 1. Department of Immigration and Citizenship (Aviation) 2. International Visitor Survey (Tourism Research Australia) 3. Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals & Departures
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
4. D ispersed nights refer to nights spent outside gateway cities of Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth 5. Tourism Economics, Tourism Decision Metrics
VIETNAM
Market Performance 1.1 Arrivals trends
History of Visitors from Vietnam into Australia Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals & Departures
45,000
Total Arrivals per Year
40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Dec80
Dec84
Dec88
Dec92
Dec96
Dec00
Dec04
>> In 2012, Vietnam was Australia’s 25th largest inbound market for visitor arrivals. >> Arrivals from Vietnam have seen a compound annual growth rate of 15 per cent between 2002 and 2012. >> Arrivals to Australia from Vietnam saw declines following the after effects of the Global Financial Crisis.
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
Dec08
Dec12
VIETNAM
Market Performance 1.2 Australia’s market share6 Australia’s market share of Vietnamese outbound travel >> Outbound travel from Vietnam increased to 1.68 million trips in 2012, up from 1.56 million trips in 2011. >> Australia’s share of total outbound travel from Vietnam has decreased from 2.6 per cent in 2002 to 2 per cent in 2012.
Vietnam: Total Outbound & Australia's Market Share Source: Tourism Economics (Tourism Decision Metrics)
271 3.14%
322 2.62%
320 2.70%
487 2.19%
618 2.14%
798 2.19%
809 3.00%
1,063 2.86%
1,108 2.89%
1,371 2.49%
1,556 1.97%
1,680 2.03%
1,000
2.0%
0
0.0% 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Total Outbound (000s)
2008
2009
2010
2011
Australia's Share of Total Outbound (%) Note: 2012 is a forecast value
Top five outbound destinations from Vietnam >> In 2012, the top five outbound destinations from Vietnam were Cambodia, Thailand, Laos, China and Singapore. >> Australia ranked 12th among all outbound destinations in 2012, moving up a place from 2011. Trend of Top 5 Outbound Destinations from Vietnam Source: Tourism Economics (Tourism Decision Metrics)
700
Outbound Travellers (000s)
600
500
400
300
200
100
0 Cambodia
Laos
Thailand 2001
China 2012
Note: 2012 is a forecast value
6. Figures for 2012 in this section are based on forecast data, last updated 14 February 2013
3
4.0%
VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
Singapore
Australia
2012 (f)
Market Share (%)
Outbound Travellers (000s)
2,000
VIETNAM
Market Performance Australia’s market share of out of region travel >> Out of region travel from Vietnam excludes travel to South and South East Asia and China. >> Out of region travel from Vietnam increased from 154,000 trips in 2002 to 448,000 trips in 2012. >> Australia’s share of Vietnam’s total out of region outbound travel has increased from 5.5 per cent in 2002 to 7.6 per cent in 2012.
Vietnam: Out of Region Outbound & Australia's Out of Region Market Share Source: Tourism Economics (Tourism Decision Metrics)
98 8.70%
154 5.50%
154 5.62%
225 4.76%
237 5.59%
248 7.03%
299 8.12%
411 7.38%
340 9.40%
383 8.89%
366 8.39%
448 7.61%
500
12.0%
6.0%
0
Market Share (%)
Outbound Out of Region Travellers (000s)
1,000
0.0% 2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Total Outbound (000s)
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012 (f)
Australia's Share of Total Outbound (%) Note: 2012 is a forecast value
Australia’s competitor destinations from Vietnam >> In 2012, the top five destinations for Vietnamese travellers outside of South and South East Asia and China were Korea, France, Russia, Japan and the USA. >> Australia’s ranking among out of region destinations remained unchanged at 6th. Trend of Top 5 Out of Region Outbound Destinations from Vietnam Source: Tourism Economics (Tourism Decision Metrics)
Outbound Out of Region Travellers (000s)
200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Korea
2012
2001 Note: 2012 is a forecast value
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
Japan
Russia
France
United States
Australia
VIETNAM
Market Performance 1.3 Visitor arrivals by age and purpose of visit Analysis of visitors from Vietnam in 2012 >> In 2012, the majority of arrivals from Vietnam visited Australia for Leisure purposes, with Visiting Friends and Relatives (VFR) representing 37 per cent of total arrivals, and Holiday representing 20 per cent. >> The largest age demographic was 45 to 59 years, representing 32 per cent of total visitors.
Visitors from Vietnam by Age and Purpose of Visit for 2012 Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals & Departures
Holiday 7,560 (20%)
Visit Friend/ Relatives 13,860 (37%)
Business 4,610 (12%)
Education 7,140 (19%)
Employment 1,190 (3%)
Other 2,920 (8%)
14,000
Total Vietnam 37,280 (100%) 12,000
+ -
Total Number of Visitors
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0 Under 15yrs 2,310 (6%)
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
15 to 29yrs 10,040 (27%)
30 to 44yrs 8,880 (24%)
45 to 59yrs 11,800 (32%)
60yrs & over 4,250 (11%)
VIETNAM
Market Performance Age demographic of visitors from Vietnam for 2002-2012 >> In 2012, the 45 to 59 year old demographic became the largest visitor segment out of Vietnam, achieving an annual compound growth rate of 17 per cent for the past decade. >> Following declines in 2011, the 15 to 29 years segment and the 30 to 44 years segment experienced growth in 2012. Vietnam: Visitor Arrivals by Age for 2002-2012 Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals and Departures
14,000
Under 15 yrs
Total number of visitors
12,000 15 to 29 yrs 10,000 30 to 44 yrs
8,000 6,000
45 to 59 yrs
4,000
60 yrs & over
2,000 2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Visitor segments from Vietnam for 2002-2012 >> The VFR segment has remained the largest visitor segment out of Vietnam over the past decade, despite declines between 2007 and 2011. The VFR segment has achieved annual compound growth of 17 per cent between 2002 and 2012. >> The Holiday segment, which has seen fluctuations over recent years, experienced growth in 2012.
Vietnam: Visitor Arrivals by Purpose of Visit for 2002-2012 Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals and Departures
16,000 Holiday
Total number of visitors
14,000 Visit Friends/Relatives
12,000 10,000
Business
8,000 Education
6,000 4,000
Employment
2,000 Others
2002
6
2003
2004
VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
VIETNAM
Market Performance 1.4 Spend by age and purpose of visit Breakdown of spend by visitors from Vietnam for 2008-2012 >> On average from 2008 to 2012, the largest spending segment was Education visitors, representing 62 per cent of total spend. >> The largest spending age group was 15 to 29 year olds, representing 65 per cent of total spend by Vietnamese visitors.
Spending by Visitors from Vietnam by Age and Purpose of Visit for 2008-2012 Source: International Visitor Survey (Tourism Research Australia)
Holiday $16,507 (9%)
Visit Friend/ Relatives $33,665 (17%)
Business $15,597 (8%)
Employment $5,303 (3%)
Education $120,051 (62%)
Other $1,822 (1%)
$140,000
$120,000
Total Vietnam $192,944 (100%) + -
Total Spend by Visitors (A$ 000s)
$100,000
$80,000
$60,000
$40,000
$20,000
$0 Under 15yrs Not covered by the IVS
15 to 29yrs $125,264 (65%)
Note: Data in graph refers to an average of 2008-2012
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
30 to 44yrs $32,373 (17%)
45 to 59yrs $31,604 (16%)
60yrs & over $3,704 (2%)
VIETNAM
Market Performance 1.5 Visitor profiles for spend and nights Average visitor
Spend per trip $11,543 Stay 99.3 nights Spend per night $116
Purpose of visit
Holiday
Spend per trip $3,683 Stay 25.3 nights Spend per night $146
Visiting Friends and Relatives
Business
Spend per trip $2,631 Stay 28.8 nights Spend per night $91
Spend per trip $3,348 Stay 14.9 nights Spend per night $225
Other (including education and employment)
Spend per trip $31,794 Stay 275.9 nights Spend per night $115
Age groups
15 to 29 years
30 to 44 years
45 to 59 years
60 years & over
Spend per trip $17,242 Stay 147.4 nights Spend per night $117
Spend per trip $4,273 Stay 40.8 nights Spend per night $105
Spend per trip $3,506 Stay 23.3 nights Spend per night $150
Spend per trip $3,158 Stay 38 nights Spend per night $83
International Visitor Survey (Tourism Research Australia) Note: Data refers to an average of 2008-2012
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
VIETNAM
Aviation Landscape 2.1 Summary >> Direct capacity to Australia declined 4 per cent, following years of strong growth. >> Two thirds of all Vietnamese visitors entering Australia in 2012 travelled on Vietnam Airlines.
Hanoi
Vietnam Ho Chi Minh City
>> Vietnam Airlines increased its stake in Jetstar Pacific in January 2012. Jetstar Pacific announced that it is looking to increase its network (to Singapore and Jakarta) and upgrade its fleet.
Singapore
Sydney Melbourne
Operating Airlines
Flights per week
Route
Vietnam Airlines
7
Hanoi-Ho Chi Minh City-Melbourne
7
Hanoi-Ho Chi Minh City-Sydney
Source: Innovata, Northern Summer Scheduling Season (31 March 2013 to 26 October 2013) Note: Table includes direct services to Australia only
Key airlines and share of passengers
13% 3% 4% 4% 13% 67%
Airline Vietnam Airlines Singapore Airlines Jetstar AirAsia X Other Table includes direct and indirect capacity
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
2008 54% 15% 9% 0% 21%
2009 59% 12% 7% 2% 20%
2010 60% 13% 7% 2% 19%
2011 63% 14% 5% 1% 16%
2012 67% 13% 4% 3% 13%
VIETNAM
Aviation Landscape 2.2 Trends Capacity >> In 2012 capacity from Vietnam to Australia decreased 4 per cent, following strong growth of 14 per cent in 2011. >> The declines were driven by Jetstar whilst Vietnam Airlines added 11 per cent capacity. >> Limited capacity growth of 5 per cent is expected to during 2013.
Capacity from Vietnam to Australia vs competitor destinations Source: Innovata; Department of Infrastructure and Transport Forecasts
l l
South Korea - Up 20.4%
l
Japan - Down 0.9%
l
Hong Kong - Down 12.4%
l
1.0
Australia - Down 3.5%
France - Up 9.8%
l
Seats per year ('000)
1.2
Russian Federation - Up 10.7%
0.8
0.6
l
0.4
l
l
0.2
0.0 Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Note: Chart includes direct capacity only and above percentages reflect change in direct capacity from 2011 to 2012
Average loads >> Load factors or seat utilisation is the ratio of passengers carried to the number of seats available, expressed as a percentage. >> As direct capacity declined in 2012, average load factors increased from 69 per cent in 2011 to 75 per cent in 2012. >> Despite overall loads increasing, the Vietnam market remains highly seasonal. Average loads remain low during March, June and December, and high during January/February and July.
Loads and seasonality in 2012 Vietnam to Australia 100%
Jan
Feb
Mar
Source: Department of Infrastructure and Transport
Apr
95%
Monthly load factors
90%
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec Low seat availability
85% 80% 75%
Sustainable seat availability
70% 65% 60% 55% 50%
Note: Chart includes direct capacity only
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May
VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
High seat availability
VIETNAM
Distribution 3.1 Distribution system Whilst there are a number of channels available to Vietnamese consumers for planning and booking travel, most consumers book through traditional retail travel agencies. The internet is primarily used as a research tool, with many Vietnamese travellers not yet comfortable with booking online. Language remains a barrier for free independent travel (FIT). Wholesalers/ Large Agents >> Inbound Tour Operators (ITOs) are still responsible for the vast majority of holiday business into Australia, including Business Events bookings. >> Wholesalers have developed their own packages to promote Australia and work closely with airline partners.
Retail Agents >> The travel industry in Vietnam continues to operate under the traditional model, although the larger retail agents often take on the role of wholesalers. These retail agents market their own programs with links to Inbound Tour Operators (ITOs), on-selling to smaller agencies. >> Retail agents also book travel through wholesale agents.
Aussie Specialists >> The Aussie Specialist Program (ASP) is the primary platform for Tourism Australia to train and develop retail agents to sell Australia. >> As at July 2013, there were 12 qualified Aussie Specialists in Vietnam and a further 5 agents in training. Inbound Tour Operators >> ITOs are still responsible for the vast majority of holiday business into Australia, including Business Events incentive bookings from agents.
Brochures and rates
Brochure Validity
>> Due to price fluctuations throughout the year, agents generally do not publish prices in their annual brochures and only suggested itineraries are featured. The latest prices are published on a new flyer as and when available, and attached to the brochures accordingly.
Brochure Space Policy
>> Generally, agents do not ask for contributions.
Setting Rates
>> January and Christmas holiday peak period.
Standard Rate Validity Periods
>> April to September and October to March. Seasonality of Visitors from Vietnam Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics, Overseas Arrivals & Departures, 2008 to 2012
Variation from Monthly Average Arrivals
140% more than the average
70%
0%
-70% less than the average
-140% Jan
Feb
Mar All Purposes Avg: 14,707
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Leisure
Business
Other
Avg: 8,433
Avg: 1,990
Avg: 4,284
Dec
Seasonality >> The peak booking periods for travel to Australia are leading into Lunar New Year (TET) and Christmas holidays (July to November). >> The peak travel periods for travel to Australia are Lunar New Year (TET) and Christmas holidays (November to January).
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013
VIETNAM
Distribution 3.2 Trends
3.3 Planning a visit to market
Distribution >> When buying travel there are a number of distribution channels available to consumers. They may research and book their trip using a combination of traditional distribution partners.
Top tips for sales calls >> The best time for sales calls is March to May and September to November.
Planning and purchasing travel >> Consumers continue to book holidays via traditional retail agencies. >> The market provides a significant proportion of VFR arrivals due to the large Vietnamese community in Australia. These VFR visitors tend to book their flights through travel agents.
>> The key market centre to visit is Ho Chi Minh City. >> For more general information on sales calls and planning a visit to market, please see Tourism Australia’s Planning for Inbound Success at www.tourism.australia.com/inboundsuccess
Where to Find More Information Tourism Australia’s activities in Vietnam are managed from Tourism Australia’s Kuala Lumpur office. For more information visit Tourism Australia’s Corporate website at www.tourism.australia.com There are no Australian State and Territory Tourism Organisations operating in Vietnam. Also see: Vietnam Country Brief published by the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
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VIETNAM Market Profile July 2013