Dispelling the Myths of the Three-Tier Distribution System

Product Suppliers FA L L 2 0 0 8 Wholesale-Distributors Dispelling the Myths of the Three-Tier Distribution System Product Retailers Prepared by: ...
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Product Suppliers

FA L L 2 0 0 8

Wholesale-Distributors

Dispelling the Myths of the Three-Tier Distribution System

Product Retailers Prepared by: PROFESSOR DAVID S. SIBLEY* John Michael Stuart Centennial Professor of Economics, University of Texas at Austin PA DMA NAB HAN SRIN AGESH ** Principal, ERS Group

Contents

Executive Summary I. Introduction II. Distribution Overview: The Three-Tier System - Benefits, Value and Choice A. The Purchasing Environment of Wine and Spirits: Variations in Product Characteristics and Individual Taste Create Marketing Challenges B. The Third Tier: Wine and Spirits Retailing C. The Second Tier: Wine and Spirits Wholesalers 1. Wholesaler Logistics Promote Efficient Delivery 2. Beyond Logistics: Marketing Savvy i. Value Added: Specialized Knowledge and Understanding of Local Markets ii. Wholesaler Investments in Brand Equity D. The First Tier: Wine and Spirits Suppliers

III. Economic Analysis A. Economic Efficiency and the Three-Tier Industry Structure 1. Three-Tier Systems are Widely Used, Implying Efficiency 2. Three-Tier Systems Economize on the Volume of Transactions Required 3. Investments in Electronic Transactions 4. The FTC Staff Report and the Efficiency of the Three-Tier System B. The Effects of Allowing Direct Purchases by Retailers 1. Current Alcohol Distribution Structure: The Use of Exclusive Territories 2. Direct Sales to Large Retailers: Free Riders and Inefficiency 3. Bypass of the Three-Tier System: Loss of Economies of Scale,

4 6

9

10 12 14 14 16 18 18 22 25 25 26 26 27 28 28 31 34

Scope and Density 4. Effects of Allowing Bypass: Lower Prices for Limited Products, Higher

36

Prices for Others, Loss of Innovation and Decrease in Business Entities 5. Channel Conflict and the Stability of the Three-Tier System

38 40

IV. Conclusions

42

Executive Summary

Executive Summary

4

Wholesale distribution serves an important and integral function in every major segment of the U.S.

economy. Wholesaler-distributors are key contributors to the efficiency and effectiveness of productsupply chains. In the wine and spirits trade, wholesalers play an important role in marketing established and new products in addition to providing an efficient infrastructure for distributing the products.

In the U.S., most states regulate alcohol distribution to consumers through a three-tier

system requiring producers to sell to wholesaler-distributors who then sell to retailers. These states

use this system to collect state-imposed taxes and for the accountability necessary to ensure that

alcoholic beverages are legally sold to consumers in their states. More generally, states use the three-tier system for the efficient oversight of the distribution of a socially-sensitive product.

Some smaller domestic wineries, wine retailers and large chain stores (also known as big-

box stores) have asked state regulators and courts to create yet another distribution channel, one that bypasses wholesale distribution, arguing that wholesalers are no more than an unneeded layer

in the sale of wine and spirits. That position, however, (i) belies a lack of understanding of the

distribution system for wine and spirits—which encourages product development and competition—

and (ii) ignores the likely negative consequences that would result from its removal.

The analysis here demonstrates that the wholesale tier is an integral part of an economically efficient distribution system that provides:

I Incentives to suppliers, wholesalers and retailers to serve the vast majority of consumer demands for wine and spirits at low cost; I Wide product variety at reasonable prices; and I New products that are designed to satisfy changing consumer preferences.

The analysis also demonstrates that the creation of the new direct channel that bypasses the three-tier system is likely to have negative effects. We find that:

I Wholesalers market the brands they represent, helping suppliers develop “brand equity.” If big-box stores are permitted to purchase directly from suppliers, incentives to invest in marketing—the development and maintenance of brand equity— will be reduced, and incentives to “free ride” on the marketing investments of others will increase. I If laws limiting direct purchases of wine and spirits by big-box stores from suppliers are overturned, the traditional three-tier distribution channel will compete with a new direct supplier-retail channel. Fundamental differences between the business models and incentives of the traditional wholesale channel and a direct supplier-retail channel (i.e., “channel conflict”) will likely result in market failure and economically inefficient outcomes.

* John Michael Stuart Centennial Professor of Economics, University of Texas at Austin. Professor Sibley holds a Ph.D. in economics from Yale University and a B.A. in economics from Stanford University. He recently completed an 18-month term as Deputy Assistant Attorney General for Economic Analysis in the Antitrust Division of the U.S. Department of Justice. Previous public service includes serving as adviser to the Chairman of the Civil Aeronautics Board, and as senior staff economist in the Council of Economic Advisers. Professor Sibley

I A correct interpretation of the FTC Staff Report referred to above is that online direct sales are more expensive than conventional outlets for all but a tiny percentage of wines. I Customers who continue to rely on traditional retailers for products not available at big-box stores will likely pay higher prices for many products. Consumers purchasing wines and spirits from big-box stores will pay lower prices for a limited number of products. Losers may easily outnumber winners. I Some suppliers, wholesalers and retailers will go out of business as big-box stores undercut and free-ride on wholesalers’ marketing efforts. I Ultimately, innovation and product variety will be reduced. I Investments once made by wholesalers in the local economy will decrease as free riding increases.

has taught at Princeton University and at the University of Pennsylvania. He held the position of research manager at Bellcore and Member of Technical Staff at Bell Laboratories. The authors gratefully acknowledge financial assistance from the Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America, Inc. ** Principal, ERS Group. Dr. Srinagesh holds a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Rochester, and a B.A. in economics from St. Stephen’s College, Delhi, India. He previously taught at the University of Illinois at Chicago and

at Williams College, and was later a Member of Technical Staff at Bellcore. 1

Costco Wholesale Corp. v. Maleng, No. 06-35542, 2008 WL 852396 (9th Cir. Jan. 29, 2008).

2

See Report from the Staff of the Fed. Trade Comm’n, Possible Anticompetitive Barriers to E- Commerce: Wine (2003), available at http://www.ftc.gov/os/2003/07/winereport2.pdf (hereinafter “FTC Staff Report”).

Executive Summary

I Assertions that the three-tier distribution system is inefficient betray a poor understanding of the economic function of wholesalers in the wine and spirits trade. In part, these assertions draw unwarranted conclusions from a widely-cited staff report by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) that studied online direct sales in 2003 (FTC Staff Report).

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I. Introduction

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I.

Introduction

A recent economic study states that there are approximately 503,000 jobs in the wine and spirits industry as a whole in 2008, and the industry contributes $137 billion to the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).3 The wine and spirits industry consists of three general parts: (1) product suppliers,

(2) wholesale-distributors and (3) product retailers. In most parts of the U.S., wine and spirits are

distributed through these three segments, and this method of distribution is collectively referred to as the three-tier system. Most states created a three-tier distribution system after the enactment of

the Twenty-First Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which granted broad authority to each state to regulate the importation and transportation of intoxicating liquors within its borders.

The first tier consists of suppliers: wineries and distilleries that produce wine and spirits.

The second tier consists of wholesalers or distributors: intermediaries that purchase wine and spirits from suppliers in the first tier for distribution to retailers in the third tier. The third tier, retailers, includes package stores, grocery stores and other outlets that sell wine and spirits to consumers for

off-premises consumption, as well as restaurants, bars and hotels that sell wine and spirits for on-

premises consumption.

All three tiers of the wine and spirits industry are subject to state regulations in each state

where they operate. States have adopted a variety of regulatory structures, and their rules governing business practices vary. Although specific regulations affecting wine and spirits differ from state to

state, states generally create legal separation between the tiers to limit the ability of firms in one tier

to control firms in another tier, as has occurred in the past, to the public’s detriment.4 Furthermore,

state regulations typically share several policy goals in common, including but not limited to (1)

efficiently collecting taxes, (2) preventing the sale of alcohol to minors, (3) fostering and overseeing

responsible competition in a regulated environment, (4) ensuring product safety and (5) preventing the sale of counterfeit products.

Certain interest groups seeking to change the traditional three-tier structure have alleged

inefficiencies of the wholesale tier. For example, the Wine Institute has alleged that the distribution

(or wholesaling) layer of the three-tier system would be effectively and profitably eliminated but for

its legally-protected status.5 The Free the Grapes Foundation also suggests that the elimination of

the distribution layer would result in consumer benefits including greater variety for consumers.6

Neither the Wine Institute nor the Free the Grapes Foundation supports its position with a

coherent economic analysis of the wine and spirits trade.7 Indeed, a balanced economic analysis of

the three-tier system shows that those criticisms are one-sided and inaccurate. These views neglect the need for any distribution system, including a system using the three-tier hierarchy, to solve key

externality problems such as free-riding, which can result in reduced product innovation, diminished product choice, and less investment in local economies.

In this paper, we describe the three-tier system and the benefits that the wholesaler tier

provides. We explain why using wholesalers is economically efficient and examine criticisms to the Specifically, we examine whether allowing retailers to purchase products directly from suppliers—

by allowing either the retailer or supplier to also act as a wholesaler—will undermine business

arrangements where suppliers grant an independent wholesaler an exclusive territory within which the wholesaler markets specific brands to all retailers on a non-discriminatory basis. In other words,

we analyze the effects of opening a new supplier-retailer channel that can bypass the existing

supplier-wholesaler channel.

As this analysis demonstrates, opening a direct supplier-retail channel (that will effectively

be used only by large-chain (or big-box stores) encourages free-riding, which will likely result in cheaper prices on the limited items that the big-box stores will sell, but will also (1) likely cause

rising prices for wine and spirits sold elsewhere, (2) result in less local investment, (3) reduce brand

development, (4) reduce product innovation and consumer choice for wine and spirits overall and (5) force some local suppliers, wholesalers and retailers out of business. 3

See The Economic Impact of the Wine and Spirits Industry in the United States, prepared by John Dunham and Associates for the Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America, Inc., 2008, available at http://wswa.org/userfiles/Economic%20Impact. pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

4

See Carole L. Jurkiewicz & Murphy J. Painter, Why We Control Alcohol the Way We Do, in SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC CONTROL OF ALCOHOL: THE 21ST AMENDMENT IN THE 21ST CENTURY 6-7 (Carole L. Jurkiewicz & Murphy J. Painter eds., 2008).

5

See Background on Anti-Direct Shipment Laws — What Constitutional Law & Prohibition May Have in Common, http://www.wineinstitute.org/ initiatives/stateshippinglaws/backgrounder (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). (“In any other business, if you’ve found a way to effectively and profitably eliminate the middle distribution level, you’d be considered a business wizard. In the alcoholic beverage industry, you’d be considered a criminal.”)

6

See Free the Grapes Research! — Issue Summary, http://www.freethegrapes.com/ research.html (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (“The U.S. Supreme Court, Federal Trade Commission, state alcohol regulators, and state legislators have joined consumers to help update archaic laws many of which are merely designed to entrench state-sanctioned monopolies in wine distribution.”); see also Free the Grapes! — Our Mission: To Ensure Consumer Choice in Fine Wine., http://www.freethegrapes.org/ mission.html (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (“[W]holesaler middlemen are aggressively supporting state-sanctioned monopolies in wine distribution.”)

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This is not altogether surprising. Recently, three Nobel laureates in economics (and their coauthors) noted that “[t]he U.S. wine market has been subject to relatively little systematic empirical or econometric analysis.” Brief of George A. Akerlof, Daniel L. McFadden, Vernon

L. Smith, Donald J. Boudreaux, Robert W. Hahn, John M. Letiche, and Robert E. Litan as Amici Curiae in Support of Respondents Eleanor Heald et al., Granholm v. Heald, 544 U.S. 460 (filed Sept. 23, 2004), available at 2004 WL 2190368, at *4, reprinted as George A. Akerlof et al., Brief 0402, Regulation of Interstate Wine Shipments, AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies Paper (Sept. 2004) (hereinafter “Akerlof et al.”). Akerlof et al. analyze removal of the prohibition of direct interstate sales of wine by suppliers to consumers. In this paper, we analyze a somewhat different problem: the effect of vertical integration by big-box stores into the wholesale layer for wine and spirits. The economics of wine and spirits wholesaling, the central topic of this paper, is perhaps the least understood aspect of the three-tier system.

I. Introduction

contrary. We then analyze the effects of weakening the traditional prohibition on vertical integration.

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Distribution Overview:

The Three-Tier System - Benefits, Value and Choice To comprehend the economic effects of altering the current distribution

system of wine and spirits, one must understand how the current marketplace

functions, as well as each tier’s role in the marketing and sale of products,

especially the lesser-known role of the wholesaler. This section provides an overview of each tier’s activities and explains how wholesalers interact with the two other tiers providing value-added benefits that are passed on to

consumers. We begin with a discussion of the wine and spirits purchasing

environment and consumer preferences, which shape how each tier conducts

business and the business arrangements among the tiers.

II. Distribution Overview

II.

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A. The Purchasing

Environment of Wine and Spirits: Variations in Product Characteristics and Individual Taste Create Marketing Challenges

II. Distribution Overview

10

Wine and spirits are constantly evolving as

well. Green’s, a retail chain with six outlets in

Georgia and South Carolina, introduces two new

brands or line extensions (i.e., a new flavor of an existing brand) to its customers each week.11

Central Distributors, Inc. (Central Distributors), an Arkansas wholesaler, carries about 1,800

brands of wine and liquor, of which more than

half are less than ten years old. Central

Distributors introduces about 500 new brands per year to retailers, of which about half fail within one year of product launch and 95

Consumers can select from wine and spirits that

differ widely across many dimensions, including

taste, alcohol content, quality, image, geographic origin and price. For example, Wine Spectator

percent fail within ten years.12 These figures

demonstrate a rapid rate of innovation, which reflects a supply-side response to consumers’

lack of brand loyalty, especially among younger consumers who are more likely to experiment

allows members to research more than 199,000

with new products.13 This innovation is also in

the Wine Business Monthly, 65 percent of sales

extremely heterogeneous. A product that is

wine ratings on-line.8 According to an article in

response to consumer tastes, which are

of case wines to grocery, liquor and mass

popular with one consumer group may be flatly

per bottle, and just two percent are priced above

create new products for consumer groups that

merchandise stores are priced below six dollars

$15 per

bottle.9

Consumers looking for

relatively inexpensive wines can choose from among several tens of thousands of products.

Even consumers looking for relatively expensive wines (i.e., those that cost more than $15 per

bottle) face a daunting prospect; while there are

far fewer wines in this category, the price can range from $15 to $2,000 or more per bottle. Spirits, like wine, are also available in an

increasingly wide range of varieties and prices.

One source on popular brands of tequila, for

example, lists 55 different tequila products to choose from.10

rejected by another, giving firms the incentive to are not well-served by the current array of products.

Consumer choice is far more difficult in

Adding to this complexity, most wine and

this environment than is the case with more

spirits are classic experience goods, meaning a

of information regarding available products

or spirit, or compare it to another wine or spirit,

Therefore, merely offering a high-quality new

spirits are experience goods, consumers respond

in commercial success. When faced with large

them to test products they have not experienced

marketplace, consumers are likely to use

tasting at a retail outlet. At these events, a

homogeneous products. The sheer amount

is too voluminous for consumers to process.

wine or spirit at a low price is unlikely to result amounts of information in a rapidly changing

quality”) to narrow their search. The filters

employed by consumers may help to expedite their decision-making, but these techniques

also prevent them from assessing each product choice

individually.14

In this environment,

without first tasting it.15 Because wine and

especially well to marketing activities that allow

previously. One such activity is a wine or spirits consumer has the opportunity to taste new

beverages and engage in discussions with a

knowledgeable professional. Free or discounted samples at sporting events, concerts or other events can help expose a consumer to wines

or spirits that he might not otherwise try. Sales

marketing and brand management are

by the glass or drink, and half-size or smaller

that can help a product break through the clutter

in some settings.

particularly important and influential activities

of information and competing products flooding

bottles also reduce the cost of experimentation All three tiers of the wine and spirits

the marketplace. In fact, marketing strategies

industry attempt to help the consumer make

consumers who prefer those products over

wholesalers are integral to assisting consumers

play a key role in matching products to

others, a task that is complicated by the constant flow of new products to the market.

choices in the marketplace. While less visible, navigate this complex purchasing environment

as wholesalers play an important role in creating, organizing and executing these marketing opportunities in the locations they serve.

8

See Wine Spectator online — Wine Ratings, http://www.winespectator.com/Wine/Free/WS_ Wine_Ratings/ (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

9

See Mary-Colleen Tinney, Wine Sales: All Price Points $6 and Above Experiencing Robust Growth Overall Wine Sales Up 11.3 Percent in March, WINE BUSINESS MONTHLY, May 15, 2006, available at http://www.winebusiness.com/html/MonthlyArticle .cfm?dataId=43171 (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

10

See Colleen Graham¸ A Guide to Popular Brands of Tequila, http://cocktails.about.com/od/spirits/p/ tequila_brands.htm (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (emphasis added).

11

Interview with Suzie Riga, Owner, Green’s, in Columbia, SC. (Sept. 20, 2007).

12

Interview with Stan Hastings, President, Central Distributors, in Little Rock, Ark. (Sept. 20, 2007).

13

See All Business – Millennial Consumers Seek New Tastes, Willing to Pay a Premium for Alcoholic Beverages, November 26, 2007, http://www.allbusiness.com/consumerproducts/food-beverage-products-alcoholics/ 5316539-1.html (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

14

See, e.g., Maria L. Cronley et al., A Selective Hypothesis Testing Perspective on Price-Quality Inference and Inference-Based Choice, 15 JOURNAL OF CONSUMER PSYCHOLOGY 159-169 (2005).

15

Experience goods are those that “users learn about through experience.” Carl Shapiro, Optimal Pricing of Experience Goods, 14 BELL JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS 497-507 (1983).

II. Distribution Overview

heuristics (such as “low price equals low

consumer cannot appreciate or evaluate a wine

11

B. The Third Tier:

one time, and approximately half of the labels

change every year.22 Costco and other big-box

Wine and Spirits

stores provide significantly less choice than do traditional off-premise retailers even though

Retailing

there is considerable variation in size among

traditional retailers. For many customers, retail outlets are not just a

also advertise and act as a primary location for

also a principal source of information about, and

tastings.23 At these outlets, consumers purchase

convenient source for wine and spirits, they are II. Distribution Overview

12

Retail outlets not only sell products; many

a place to sample, new products. In 2004, there were approximately 206,000 full service

promotional activities such as free or paid wine familiar products, learn about unfamiliar

products from knowledgeable employees (often

restaurants and approximately 48,000 bars in the

educated by wholesalers) and promotional

approximately 29,400 beer, wine and liquor

with the growth of wine and spirits tastings

United

States.16

stores.17

In the same year, there were

In 2005, there were about 369,000 jobs

in the retail tier of the wine and spirits industry, which contributed about $18 billion toward the U.S.

GDP.18

Table One (at right) displays the percentage

of total sales in each category of retail outlets for the period 1990 to 2005. As the table shows, the percentage of sales flowing through each

category of retail outlet appears to have been

displays (often supplied by wholesalers) and, (often organized, staffed and paid for by

wholesalers), experience a larger number of new wines at low or zero cost. In turn, retailers and wholesalers gain a deeper understanding and intimate knowledge of the role of product attributes and promotional strategies that

attract customers from different locations and demographic groups.

Because wholesalers serve a wide cross-

relatively stable over this period.

section of retailers, they are uniquely positioned

and spirits they carry. A typical bar- or full-

differences among the retailers they serve and

Retail outlets vary in the number of wine

service restaurant offers consumers a few dozen wines and spirits. Larger traditional retailers

such as Knightsbridge Wines in Illinois and the

Wine Club in California stock about 8,000 SKUs

(Stock Keeping Units, or distinct

items).19

In

the state of Washington, state-operated retail stores stock about 1720 SKUs.20 In South

Carolina, Green’s stocks upwards of 5,000

SKUs in its stores.21 By contrast, a typical

Costco Wholesale Corp. (Costco) outlet sells

120 wine labels and 30 to 35 spirits labels at any

to observe closely any common trends or

to convey their understanding of the marketplace to the suppliers they represent. This valuable

information efficiently flows in both directions helping retailers and suppliers respond more

effectively to varied and changing consumer tastes.

TA B L E 1 : Proportion of Alcoholic Beverages Sold Through Different Channels, 1990 – 2005 (Percent) 1990 1995 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Packaged Alcoholic Beverages

52

52

50

50

49

48

48

48

Liquor Stores

26

24

23

23

23

22

22

22

23

Food Stores

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

15

All Other

12

13

14

12

11

12

11

11

11

48

48

48

50

50

51

52

52

52

37

38

38

40

40

41

42

42

42

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

6

6

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Alcoholic Drinks Eating & Drinking Places Hotels and Motels All Other

II. Distribution Overview

52

13

Total

16

See U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, STATISTICAL ABSTRACT OF THE UNITED STATES: 2008, Table 1247. In a full service restaurant, customers are seated at a table, order their food to be brought to the table, and pay at the end of the meal. Not all full service restaurants serve alcohol.

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17

See U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, STATISTICAL ABSTRACT OF THE UNITED STATES: 2008, Table 1014.

20

18

Economic Contribution of Wine and Spirits Industry, 2005: Retailer Tier, prepared by John Dunham and Associates, Guerilla Economics, LLC (New York, New York), available by request.

See H. Lee Murphy, Costco’s Challenge, MARKETWATCH, 25, 33 (July/Aug. 2006); Microsoft Business Solutions Customer Solution Case Study — Wine Chain Uncorks New Sales and Smashes Business Bottlenecks (June 2004), available at http://www.adctech.com/documents%5CCaseStudy _WineClub.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). Washington State Retail Liquor Sales Task Force Final Report, at 3-24 (Roundtable Assocs. Dec. 2000), available at http://www.roundtable associates.com/PDF/WA%20Liquor%20Sales%20R eport.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

21

Interview with Suzie Riga, Owner, Green’s, in Columbia, SC. (Sept. 20, 2007).

22

See H. Lee Murphy, Costco’s Challenge, MARKETWATCH, 25, 30 (July/Aug. 2006).

23

See Microsoft Dynamics — Top Trade Secrets of a Wine Store Retailer, http://www.microsoft.com/ dynamics/rms/product/liquorretailerstradesecrets. mspx (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

C. The Second Tier: Wine and Spirits

Wholesaler Logistics Promote Efficient Delivery

Wholesalers

Economies of scale28 are the primary source of

wholesaler efficiencies. It is estimated that

Wine and spirits wholesalers purchase goods from suppliers for resale to

retailers.24

Distributors come in all sizes, and as of August II. Distribution Overview

14

1.

2008, there were approximately 16,000

wholesaler licenses in the U.S.25 In 2002, the

four largest firms accounted for 24.6 percent of sales, the top eight for 35.9 percent, the top 20

wholesaler activities reduce retailers’ costs by almost $52.00 for every $1,000.00 in retailer sales, for a national savings in retailer

operating costs of $7.2 billion per year,

contributing to lower prices for consumers.29

The sources of these efficiencies are discussed in greater detail below.

The efficient delivery of wine and spirits

for 53.6 percent, and the top 50 for 72.4

“entails much more than driving fast and finding

employed by wine and spirits wholesalers. Total

supplier produces relatively large volumes of a

dollar spent on wholesaling is estimated to

typically demands several bottles each of a large

percent.26

In 2008, 88,500 people were directly

wages paid amounted to $3.7 billion. Every

generate $1.41 of economic activity, $0.20 in

federal tax revenue, and about $0.22 in state and local tax revenues. Total economic activity generated by this sector amounted to $6

billion.27

the shortest distance between two points.”30 Each

limited number of brands, while each retail outlet selection of brands. Wholesalers match these

very different needs of suppliers and retailers by maintaining inventories in their warehouses and

operating transportation fleets to deliver wine and spirits to retail outlets in a timely manner.31 For

example, wholesalers routinely deliver individual bottles or split cases (cases customized with

“In the overwhelming majority of cases,

wholesalers provide the cheapest method

of transporting these specialized goods to market versus transport through common carriers or individual suppliers.”

various individual bottles) to stores, bars and

restaurants, frequently within a less-than-24-hour turnaround period.32 This is a custom service provided by wholesalers for the benefit of

suppliers, retailers and ultimately, consumers. Using wholesalers, suppliers can sell large

volumes of products in a relatively small number

of transactions, and retailers can customize orders

to their specific needs. Retailers can then maintain smaller inventories and save on storage space and working capital.33

Improved technology augments wholesaler

efficiencies. Nowadays, wholesalers increasingly rely on sophisticated computer-based

information systems to extend their logistic

ship each order for timely delivery in accordance

to the heavily-regulated beverage alcohol

obligations to collect and pay applicable taxes.

capabilities, solve logistical challenges specific industry and better service their retailers and

with applicable regulations and in compliance with The efficiency of wine and spirits

suppliers clients. Central Distributors, for

wholesalers in performing the “Shipping and

sales representatives have wireless laptops that

of circumstances has been acknowledged in

example, has a paperless warehouse, and all its can be used for remote order

entry.34

These

information systems help ensure that complex shipments, payments and taxes are accurately are met. Computer- and communications-

technologies not only increase the efficiency of product ordering, handling, delivery and

reporting, but also provide a streamlined and

timely method of collecting information, which is used to better respond to consumers. The information gathered can further be used to create effective brand sales plans, which is valuable to all segments of the industry.

Most suppliers and retailers do not have

the logistical and technological capabilities, and specialized storage and transport infrastructure that wholesalers have developed and installed.

Suppliers would find it prohibitively expensive

to assemble orders for individual retailers and to

24

See Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau, Importers/Wholesalers, Information By Topic Frequently Requested Listings: Alcohol Wholesalers (Excel Spreadsheets), http://www.ttb.gov/ importers/index.shtml (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (menu of permit data as of Aug. 2008).

26

See U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco Products: 2002, www.census.gov/prod/ec02 /ec0242i01t.pdf (July 2004), at Tables 1 and 4. The FTC Staff Report relies on a Wall Street Journal article and Pacific Research Institute study to assert that the number of wholesalers fell from “several thousand in the 1950s to a few hundred today.” FTC Staff Report, supra note 2, at 6. Other researchers assert that there were 600

Staff Report establishes that timely delivery using UPS can be considerably more expensive than

delivery through traditional wholesalers for the

vast majority of wines. Even Nobel economists have conceded that, “since transportation costs

constitute a larger proportion of total cost for lowvolume shipments, on-line purchases are not a winning proposition for the connoisseur’s

sampling purposes.”35 In Section III of this

paper (Economic Analysis), we review evidence

showing that, in most cases, the logistical

operations of wholesalers are more efficient than other readily-available alternatives available to

consumers and suppliers. In the overwhelming majority of cases, wholesalers provide the

cheapest method of transporting these specialized

goods to market versus transport through common carriers or individual suppliers.

wholesalers in 2002. See Gina M. Riekhoff & Michael E. Sykuta, Regulating Wine by Mail, REGULATION 30, 31 (Fall 2004), available at http://www.cato.org/pubs/ regulation/regv27n3/v27n3-3.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). These statistics do not appear to be based on official data. The Barsby Report explains why the number of wholesalers is hard to estimate with precision. See also Steve L. Barsby & Associates, Inc., The Regulatory and Economic Basis of Wine and Spirits Wholesaling in the Alcohol Beverage Industry 27-28 (2nd ed. Undated) (A study prepared for the Wine and Spirits Wholesalers of America, Inc.) (Hereinafter, “Barsby Report”).

Unlike brokers or agents who work on a commission basis, wine and spirits wholesalers are merchant wholesalers who purchase goods on their own account for resale. Merchant wholesalers earn profits on commercially successful products and incur losses on failed products.

25

independent analyses. For example, the FTC

27

See John Dunham, The Economic Value of Wine and Spirits Wholesalers (2008), http://wswa.org/userfiles/ Economic%20Value.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

28

With economies of scale, unit costs fall as output increases. When fixed costs are a significant portion of a firm’s expenses, economies of scale are likely to be important.

29

See John Dunham, The Economic Value of Wine and

Spirits Wholesalers (2008), http://wswa.org/userfiles/ Economic%20Value.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). 30

Barsby Report, supra note 26, at 18.

31

For example, National Wine & Spirits, Inc. (“NWS”) operates three master warehouses, three hyperterminals and seven cross-docking facilities in Indiana and Michigan, and owns approximately 319 delivery vehicles. See National Wine & Spirits, Inc., Form 10-K, Annual Report for the Fiscal Year ended March 31, 2006, at 10, available at http://www.secinfo.com/d14D5a.v44g2.htm#2zc5 (last visited on Sept. 8, 2008) (hereinafter “NWS 2006 Form 10-K”).

32

For many products, refrigerated storage and transport are necessary.

33

Interview with Suzie Riga, Owner, Green’s, in Columbia, SC. (Sept. 20, 2007).

34

Interview with Stan Hastings, President, Central Distributors, Inc., in Little Rock, Ark. (Sept. 20, 2007).

35

Akerlof et al., supra note 7, at 7.

II. Distribution Overview

tracked and that state and federal regulations

Handling” or logistical function in a wide range

15

2.

Beyond Logistics: Marketing Savvy

The U.S. Census Bureau notes that wholesalers perform several marketing functions:

orders are either vendor-initiated or client-

initiated, generally based on previous sales, and typically exhibit strong ties between sellers and

II. Distribution Overview

16

The broad description of wholesaling employed by the U.S. Census Bureau masks significant

differences across industries. In the wine and spirits industry, wholesalers are integral

contributors of the “marketing services” that

are generically described by the Census Bureau.

The long-term relationships that wholesalers

develop with suppliers and retailers are critical as these relationships uniquely position

wholesalers to effectively conduct the marketing

buyers. In fact, transactions are often conducted

functions they perform. In this section, we

longstanding business relationships . . . . Goods

undertaken by wholesalers.

between wholesalers and clients that have

are generally sold without transformation, but

may include integral functions, such as sorting, packaging, labeling and other marketing services.36

review the range of marketing activities

In general, the supplier creates the consumer

image, while the distributor communicates that

image to a number of retailers, who then help

communicate that image to consumers. Together, these efforts create the value in a product. For example, Bacardi U.S.A., Inc. (Bacardi)

communicates their strategy to their wholesalers, and the wholesalers are responsible for the

execution of that strategy. In fact, wholesalers

perform up to 90 percent of marketing and promotional activities targeting retailers.

These include some or all of the following: 37

I Spending a certain percentage of gross profit on building brand equity; I Funding expenditures by the supplier that build brand equity in the

distributor’s territory; I Creating internal divisions that exclusively represent certain suppliers;

I Placing competing brands in different divisions to ensure that these

brands are managed and marketed independently of one another; I Creating and executing new promotions and events in local areas; and I Sponsoring certain brands at specified local events.

36

See U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, Annual Benchmark Report for Wholesale Trade: 1992-2005 (Mar. 2005), at Appendix B B-1.

37

Interview with John Esposito, President and CEO, Bacardi U.S.A., Inc., in Miami, Fla. (Sept. 21, 2007).

II. Distribution Overview

I Hiring employees solely dedicated to the marketing of certain brands;

17

i. Value Added: Specialized Knowledge and Understanding of Local Markets

Wholesalers are especially well-situated to

and primarily relies on distributors to educate and convince retailers (such as bartenders) to

recommend Sazerac’s products to consumers.41

perform marketing functions because they

Even Ernest and Julio Gallo noted the

intimate knowledge about the buying habits and

industry, describing wholesalers as “vital to

possess important marketing tools and have

demographic characteristics of the customers in

each of the retail outlets and every neighborhood

they service.38 They interact with all their local II. Distribution Overview

18

retailers with special, customized promotions

importance of the distributor’s role in the wine [their] business” because of the work they do with the local retailers.42

Diageo PLC (Diageo), one of the largest

retailer clients, some a few times per week, and

supplier of spirits, explains that the “successful

are selling well on an individual retailer basis at

distributors have helped increase [their] share of

they have detailed knowledge of what products

business relationships [they have] with [their]

any given time. Because wine and spirits are

U.S. spirits for 30 months now.”43 An example

marketing activities, distributors’ knowledge of

Sunbelt Group (CSG) helped Diageo test-market

experience goods and highly influenced by

consumers’ purchasing habits can be critical to the whole industry. Armed with such

of this collaboration is when the Charmer

Chocolate Mint and Crème Caramel variants of Bailey’s Irish Cream in the Arizona market.

knowledge, wholesalers can convey consumer

Relying on CSG’s detailed knowledge of retail

promotional activity to the retail outlets where

Diageo selected the accounts (i.e., retailers) at

purchasing habits to suppliers, as well as target

outlets in Arizona and their respective clientele,

the desired audiences are most likely to be

which the new products were introduced, and it

some of these functions, they are not as efficient

consumers to the brand. Following this

found. While certain third parties can perform as

wholesalers.39

Third parties marketers do not

have the depth or breadth of relationships with

facilitated promotional activities that exposed

introduction, the products tested well and were rolled out nationally. Diageo, in turn, selected

local retailers that wholesalers do.

CSG distributors to be exclusive distributors of

specialized knowledge of the local market that

recoup its investments in the Bailey’s brand.44

Suppliers recognize the value in the

wholesalers have and their important role in

marketing products. As previously noted,

these products in several states, helping CSG

Bacardi relies on wholesalers to perform

ii. Wholesaler Investments in Brand Equity

retailers. Bacardi develops the marketing

investments undertaken by wholesalers may

marketing and promotional activities targeting strategy, and wholesalers help implement it.40 Another supplier, Sazerac Company, Inc.

(Sazerac), hires only a few salespeople to help

Depending on state rules, specific marketing include:

I Performing category management by ensuring that a product designed for a particular consumer segment reaches that segment. I Organizing tastings for retailers (and sometimes consumers) to familiarize them with products and create demand for the products.

I Creating, organizing and/or sponsoring special local events, contests or festivals that feature particular brands or products. For example, Southern Wine & Spirits of America, Inc. (SWS), a wholesaler, created and hosts the Food Network South Beach Wine & Food Festival, a four-day event showcasing wines, spirits, chefs, and culinary personalities.45 I For new wines available in limited quantities, promoting through wordof-mouth, which may be the most effective marketing tool for that product.46

38

Interview with Arlyn Miller, Vice President and Assistant General Counsel; Joe Davolio, Executive Vice President, Sales & Marketing; and Ashley Wilkinson, Corporate Marketing & Communications Manager, The Charmer Sunbelt Group, in New York, N.Y. (May 14, 2007) (hereinafter “Interview with CSG Executives”).

39

Interview with John Esposito, President and CEO, Bacardi U.S.A., Inc., in Miami, Fla. (Sept. 21, 2007).

40

Id.

41

I Teaching the retailer to place the product in a preferred location in the store – i.e., a gin should be placed in the gin section, or near other gins, not with whiskies. Wholesaler intervention is often necessary to ensure appropriate placement. I Producing and/or distributing the displays at retail outlets, otherwise known as point-of-sale materials, including table tents, shelf-talkers, or brand-related merchandise. I Printing indoor and outdoor signs for retailers (e.g., a sign with the retailer’s name and the picture of a sponsor’s product for display above the main entrance). Central Distributors and many other wholesalers have invested hundreds of thousands of dollars in sign-making equipment to help them perform this function. The cost of providing signs that feature a specific brand is often shared by the supplier of that brand. I Providing laptops with marketing presentations to sales representatives for use on their visits to retail outlets.

Interview with Mark Brown, President and CEO, Buffalo Trace Distillery, in Franklin County, Kentucky (July 10, 2007).

42

See Ernest and Julio Gallo with Bruce B. Henderson, ERNEST AND JULIO OUR STORY, 203, 270 (Times Books 1994).

43

Diageo, 2007 Investor Conference – Thursday 26 April 2007, available at http://www.diageo.com/ NR/rdonlyres/ABFE8A43-A30F-4A1C-81DC92EBDC2E2CD2/0/IntroductionTranscript.pdf. (Last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

44

Interview with CSG Executives, supra note 38.

45

2007 Food Network South Beach Wine & Food Festival, About: What We Do, http://www.sobewine andfoodfest.com/2007/about.php (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

46

Interview with Stan Hastings, President, Central Distributors, Inc., in Little Rock, Ark. (Sept. 20, 2007).

II. Distribution Overview

I Determining the appropriate means by which to introduce a new product or new campaign, increasing the likelihood of commercial success.

I Creating sample wine lists, winefood pairings, and specialty cocktails.

19

These marketing activities are also

examples of how wholesalers contribute to

SWS, the nation’s largest wholesaler, employs

market—an increasingly important activity in

Educators and seven award-winning mixologists

efforts to introduce new products to the

the wine and spirits industry. In five years, 20

nine Master Sommeliers, seven Certified Wine to help educate its employees and customers

percent of Bacardi’s profits will come from

(on- and off-premise retailers) about the brands

products generate little profit early in their life

Alvarado “offers a series of courses that cover

products that are not on the market today. New cycles and require greater effort and cost to

distribute. Shelf management is harder: a sales II. Distribution Overview

20

Investments also extend to education.

clerk who sees an empty spot on the shelf may fill the spot with a traditional product simply

because he is unfamiliar with the new brand that belongs in that spot. Exclusivity in representing

it sells.48 SWS Master Sommelier Serafin

an extensive range of subjects that vary from

wine and service fundamentals to regional or

varietal focus.”49 Such courses can be used to showcase brands represented by SWS and

expand the market for wine and spirits generally. With this expertise, SWS earns the professional

brands is especially important to ensure that the

regard of suppliers and retailers, and increases

and assure that newer products are in front of the

to retailers. The more knowledge a retailer has,

wholesaler can effectively manage marketing

targeted consumer segments. The value of this service can be significant since the inventory

holding costs associated with new brand introduction can exceed $1

million.47

the effectiveness of selling brands it represents

the more knowledge that the consumer will gain, which benefits the purchasing experience.

Wholesalers are incentivized to perform

these varied marketing functions to the

satisfaction of the supplier in order to earn

higher profits and to avoid being replaced by

another wholesaler. Even in “franchise states” where a supplier may only terminate a

wholesaler for cause, wholesalers have financial incentives to promote the brands they distribute.

Central Distributors, for example, does not fully

the NWS Annual Report for the 2005-2006

retail price is constrained by the prices retailers

million for the year ended March 31, 2006 as

are determined in negotiations with suppliers.

to the product sales segment which increased

control the margin it earns on its products – the

pay for competing brands, and wholesale prices When a wholesaler fails to sell a product at a

profitable price, the unsold inventory is deeply discounted and may be sold at a loss by the

wholesaler. As such, wholesalers often find that their most profitable strategy is to undertake efforts that increase their

sales.50

These

investments help build brand equity, while

interbrand competition keeps prices in check, ensuring that comparable brands sell at competitive prices.

National Wine and Spirits, Inc. (“NWS”),

another large wholesaler with operations in Indiana and Michigan, exemplifies the

compared to the prior fiscal year, primarily due personnel and related wages and commissions

by approximately $9.3 million, brand promotion costs of approximately $4.8 million, and greater auto expenses of $0.8 million. The increased

costs were the result of supporting the additional brands that are represented in the product sales segment that were not distributed by the

Company in the prior fiscal year.”52 CGS, SWS and NWS provide concrete examples of the marketing functions performed by many

wholesalers. Together, these three distributors

illustrate the crucial role played by wholesalers in developing and maintaining brand equity.

magnitude of the investments made by

wholesalers in promoting the brands they

21

represent. For the year ending March 31, 2006, NWS incurred approximately $66 million in

selling expenses, amounting to 9.2 percent of total revenues or 11.9 percent of its cost of

goods sold.51 Disaggregated information on

these selling expenses is not available, but their

purpose is clear from the following statement in

47

Id.

48

See Southern Wine & Spirits, Southern Wine & Spirits of America, Inc. Strengthens its Historic Commitment to Professional Excellence in Wine Education and Wine Service, http://www.southern wine.com/News/tabid/109/mid/ 521/newsid521/ 343/Default.aspx (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

49

II. Distribution Overview

investments in marketing and promotional

fiscal year: “Selling expenses increased $15.6

“...the inventory holding costs associated with new brand introduction can exceed $1 million.”

Southern Wine & Spirits of Illinois, SWS School of Wine & Beverage Service, http://www.southern wine.com/OfficesNationwide/Illinois/ILHome/tabid/ 147/Default.aspx (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

50

Interview with Stan Hastings, President, Central Distributors, Inc., in Little Rock, Ark. (Sept. 20, 2007).

51

NWS 2006 Form 10-K, supra note 31, at 39.

52

Id. at 23 (emphasis added).

D. The First Tier:

The four largest wineries collectively

account for two-thirds of all wine production but

Wine and Spirits

only about half of wine revenues in the United States.58 These figures imply that smaller

Suppliers

wineries tend to focus on the production of more expensive wines. Table Two displays data on

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, there were 1,551 firms in the winery sector in

2005.53

In 2002, more than half of these firms were in II. Distribution Overview

22

California (i.e., 666 out of

1126). 54

In 2005,

nationally, 795 winery firms had no more than

four employees, although seven had more than 2,500 employees, indicating a highly-skewed

size distribution.55 In 2005, there were about 32,100 jobs in the winemaking industry, and

wineries contributed $11.6 billion to the U.S. economy.56

According to the Wine Business Monthly

there were only 4,740 wineries in the United States in 2004. In 2005, there were 5,364

the size distribution of wineries.

As is shown in Table Two, the 1,398 wineries

selling fewer than 10,000 gallons of wine per year (or approximately 56 percent of the total of 2,481

wineries) together produce only about four million gallons of wine, or about 0.7 percent of the

industry output. For some of these wineries,

marketing will be prohibitively expensive, and

organic growth will be difficult. Wholesalers can provide valuable marketing support to smaller wineries in need of such support.

In addition to the output of domestic

wineries, consumers purchase imports from

Europe, Australia, Central and South America,

and, now, Africa and Asia.59 As of August 2008,

wineries operating in the United States, of which

there were approximately 9,097 permits issued

“virtual” wineries.57 The number of wineries

more than one permit, there are fewer importing

2004 to 2005. The increase in the total number

clear that a significant number of importers

3,606 were bonded wineries and 1,758 were

thus grew at an annual rate of 13.2 percent from of wineries, moreover, occurred during a period of consolidation within the industry that saw

to authorized importers.60 Since a firm can own

firms than there are permits. Nevertheless, it is compete with domestic producers.

Although spirits suppliers have not grown

acquisitions such as Beringer Blass Wine Estates

at the same rate as wineries, the number of

Beam Wine Estates by Constellation Brands; and

increased as producers have become more

by Foster’s Wine Estates; Robert Mondavi and

conglomerate United States Tobacco acquiring

Stag’s Leap wine. The growth in the number of

wineries is one indication of the rapid pace of

innovation, product development and brand

development in the wine and spirits industry.

different types of spirits has significantly

innovative. Sazerac, a diversified producer of

spirits, introduces five to ten new products per year.61 As noted previously, in five years, 20 percent of Bacardi’s profits will come from

products that are not on the market today. The

increasingly wide range of products available to U.S. consumers is evidence of rapid innovation in this industry.

TA B L E 2 : Size Distribution of Wineries, Fiscal Year 2004

Gallons Produced

Wineries (%)

Gallons

Production (%)

1,121

45.00%

1,975,555

0.40%

5,000 - 10,000 gal.

277

11.30%

2,005,951

0.30%

10,000 - 25,000 gal.

403

16.20%

6,382,083

1.20%

25,000 - 50,000 gal.

200

8.10%

7,023,206

1.30%

50,000 - 100,000 gal.

155

6.20%

10,946,218

2.00%

100,000 - 150,000 gal.

166

6.70%

19,108,508

3.50%

150,000 - 250,000 gal.

55

2.20%

10,167,182

1.80%

250,000 - 1,200,000 gal.

55

2.20%

29,016,675

5.20%

Over 1,200,000 gal.

49

1.98%

466,966,975

84.35%

2,481

100.00%

553,592,353

100.00%

Up to 5,000 gal.

Total

Source: WineAmerica, Wine Industry Data, http://www.wineamerica.org/newsroom/data.htm

53

See U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics of U.S. Business: 2005, http://www.census.gov/epcd/susb/ 2005/us/US31213.HTM (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

54

See U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. Department of Commerce, Wineries: 2002, at Tables 1, 2 and 4 (Dec. 2004), available at www.census.gov/prod/ ec02/ec0231i312130.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

55

56

See U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics of U.S. Business: 2005, http://www.census.gov/epcd/susb/ 2005/us/US31213.HTM (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). Economic Contribution of Wine and Spirits Industry, 2005: Winery Sector, prepared by John Dunham and Associates, Guerilla Economics, LLC (New York, New York), available by request.

57

58

Number of U.S. Wineries Tops 5,300, WINE BUSINESS MONTHLY (Feb. 15, 2006), available at http://winebusiness.com/html/MonthlyArticle.cfm? dataid=42349 (last visited Sept. 8, 2008). A virtual winery has its own management and winemaker but uses an outside bonded facility to make and bottle its wine. We note that the proprietary data reports a significantly larger number of wineries than does the U.S. Census Bureau. The Top 30 U.S. Wine Companies of 2005, Wine Business Monthly (Feb. 15, 2006), http://wine business.com/html/MonthlyArticle.cfm?dataid=423 48 (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

59

See, e.g., Volubilis Imports, Inc., Products, http://www.volubilis2000.com/products.html (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (identifying wines from China, Morocco, Lebanon, France, and Canada).

60

See Alcohol and Tobacco Tax and Trade Bureau, Importers/Wholesalers, Information By Topic Frequently Requested Listings: Alcohol Importers (Excel Spreadsheets), http://www.ttb.gov/ importers/index.shtml (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (menu of permit data as of Aug. 2008).

61

Interview with Mark Brown, President and CEO, Buffalo Trace Distillery, in Franklin County, Kentucky (July 10, 2007).

II. Distribution Overview

Number of Wineries

23

24

Economic Analysis

III. Economic Analysis

III.

25

A. Economic Efficiency Through

the Three-Tier Industry Structure

It has been noted that the wine and spirits industry has an “hourglass shape” – i.e., hundreds of

thousands of wines and spirits travel through approximately 3,600 wholesalers to reach approximately 206,000 full service restaurants, 48,000 bars and 29,400 wine and spirits retailers in

the United States. As quoted above, interest groups seeking to change regulations governing the

direct shipment of wine allege that this hourglass shape creates “an increasingly narrow gauntlet”

that inefficiently restricts the flow of goods from small wineries to the retail tier.62 For example, the

Wine Institute has implied that the “middle layer” can be profitably eliminated, and the Free the

Grapes Foundation has claimed that the rules shaping the three-tier hierarchy are “merely designed

to entrench state-sanctioned monopolies in wine distribution.” Some economists even characterize the distributor network as a “bottleneck.”63 As we show below, a careful economic analysis of the

three-tier system uncovers no basis for these views. 62

Brief for WineAmerica, Coalition for Free Trade, Family Winemakers of California, State Vintners Associations and Grape Growing Associations as

Amici Curiae in Support Of Respondents, Granholm v. Heald, 544 U.S. 460 (filed September 23, 2004), available at 2004 WL 2190369, at *16.

63

Akerlof et al., supra note 7, at 6.

1. Three-Tier Systems

2. Three-Tier Systems

Are Widely Used, Implying Efficiency

Economize on the Volume of Transactions Required

Three-tier systems are not unique to wine and

The key to the efficiency of the hourglass shape

industries in which their use has not been

necessary to convey products from the producer

spirits; rather, they have arisen in many

mandated by regulators. For example, a three-

tier system consisting of publishers, wholesalers III. Economic Analysis

26

and retailers is utilized to distribute books. Soft drinks such as Coca-Cola are also distributed

is its ability to reduce the number of transactions to the consumer. An example serves to illustrate this argument. Suppose the market consisted of eight suppliers and 16 retailers, and that each

supplier sold its product to each retailer. Suppose

through a three-tier system consisting of syrup

further that each supplier makes one sales call to

use of three-tier systems in these varied

The total number of transactions in any period

manufacturers, bottlers and retail outlets. The industries suggests that such systems often

provide broad economic benefits to market

participants. Even proponents of direct shipping of wine acknowledge the efficiency of three-tier systems. For example, economists writing for

wineries state as follows: “A three-tier market structure is efficient in many settings. That is

why it exists in many unregulated commodity markets, and why it continues to exist with respect to wine sales in states that do not mandate a three-tier structure (such as

California) and in states that permit direct sales subject to some restrictions (such as

Illinois).”64

each retailer and follows up with one delivery. would thus be 8x16 sales calls and 8x16

deliveries, for a total of 256 transactions. Now

suppose that two wholesalers entered the market,

with each wholesaler representing four suppliers, and that each wholesaler sold to every retailer,

replicating the retailer-supplier transactions that

occurred when no wholesalers were present. The number of wholesaler-supplier transactions will

consist of 2x4 sales calls and 2x4 deliveries, for a total of 16 transactions.65 The number of

wholesale-retail transactions would consist of

2x16 sales calls and 2x16 deliveries, for a total

of 64 transactions. The total transactions in the

three-tier system, end-to-end, would thus be 16+ 64 = 80, or about 31 percent of the 256 transactions required in the absence of

wholesalers. The reduction in the number of

transactions is accomplished without altering the number of supplier-retailer links that existed in

the absence of wholesalers.66 That is, retailers

stock the same number of products but with fewer transactions. The resulting savings can be high

when transactions costs are fixed and do not vary appreciably with the size of the transaction.

information systems used in the wine and spirits

3. Investments in

industry and further reducing the costs of distribution while increasing the range of

Electronic Transactions The hourglass business structure also promotes innovation in the area of information

services provided.

When the distribution system is shaped like

an hourglass with a relatively narrow waist, the

transmission by allowing for a more rapid

three-tier structure can increase the number

and delivery systems. As part of managing the

transactions with greater ease, thus resulting

transition to interoperable electronic inventory flow of products from suppliers to retailers,

wholesalers manage information exchanges with regulators and tax authorities. Alcohol

distribution requires the individual tracking of

thousands of types of products, including their

various sizes and weights, their prices, and their origins. The methods of identifying products and tracking them have been disparate as different companies have used their own

systems to code and track inventory. This has resulted in inefficient flows of information.

One way to improve data synchronization is

to create industry-wide standards that business

entities can adopt. An important consideration in the development of standards is backward

compatibility, i.e., the ability to accommodate the diverse installed base of hardware and software already in use. By reducing the

in gains in transactional efficiency. Because

wholesalers link the supplier to the retailer, they are uniquely positioned to maximize the

effectiveness of data synchronization. Not

surprisingly, wholesalers are active participants in developing standards-based approaches to

computerizing transactions among suppliers,

wholesalers and retailers in three-tier systems.

For example, they collaborate with suppliers and state regulators in developing open e-commerce

standards through the Alcohol Beverage Industry E-Commerce Council, an industry group

consisting of alcohol beverage industry members who work together to promote the adoption of

efficient standards and practices. Wholesalers are collaborating with their supplier partners and

retailer clients on pilot programs to assess which

information systems will best serve the industry.67 In our discussion of the FTC Staff Report

number of parties that need to transact directly

below, we show that the advantages of the

above), the hourglass business structure reduces

not only in economic theory, but also in practice,

with one another (as was shown in the example the number of different computer systems that

need to communicate directly with one another, permitting greater interoperability of 64

Id. at 12-13.

65

We note that the size of the average transaction when one wholesaler representing four suppliers visits a retailer is larger than the transaction size when one supplier visits a retailer.

66

The efficiency of hourglass architectures for wine and spirits was recognized in the Barsby Report; supra note 26, pages 17-21. The efficiency of

hourglass-shaped three-tier system are realized rebutting the allegations by certain interested

groups that the three-tier system is inefficient.

hourglass architectures for telecommunications infrastructure was recognized by the National Research Council in its analysis of the emerging information age. See Renaissance Committee, National Research Council, and National Academy of Sciences, REALIZING THE INFORMATION FUTURE: THE INTERNET AND BEYOND 53 (National Academy Press) (1994).

67

See generally Alcoholic Beverage Industry Electronic Commerce Council, Welcome to the ABI EC Council™ Website!, http://www.abiec.org (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

III. Economic Analysis

suppliers and retailers, and maintain records for

and types of computer- and network-based

27

4. The FTC Staff Report

wineries, placed great importance on “the

and the Efficiency of the Three-Tier System

allowing the direct shipment of wine would

In 2003, the FTC issued a staff report that

compared the prices of Wine and Spirits “Top

50” wines at retail stores in McLean, Virginia, to

enhance consumer welfare.”72 However, a more

careful reading of the FTC Staff Report shows that such a conclusion is unwarranted.

First, the authors of the FTC Staff Report

recognized that savings from on-line shopping

the cost of having wine shipped directly from an

are not uniform. For bottles with a price lower

of the report summarized their findings as

percent to 83 percent more per bottle than the

on-line retailer to the

III. Economic Analysis

28

Federal Trade Commission’s opinion that

consumer.68

The authors

follows: “McLean consumers may face higher prices and have access to less product variety

than they would in the absence of the direct sales ban.”69

The authors also stated that, “[o]n

than $20.00, the average on-line costs were eight corresponding off-line costs. Since 98 percent of all wines sold by the case cost less than

$15.00 per bottle, consumer savings from on-

line sales will apply to a very small proportion

average, consumers could save money on the

of wines. But, according to the authors, even

from out-of-state vendors, purchase six or 12

49 percent more when purchased on-line than

wines in [the] sample if they could acquire them bottles, and have them delivered via standard UPS ground

service.”70

The Wine Institute and the Free the Grapes

wines with prices above $20.00 can cost up to when purchased off-line, even when using the least expensive shipping method.73

Second, the study noted that, since wine is

Foundation have used this report to support the

perishable, most consumers would prefer using a

system could be profitably removed and that

cost, thus reducing the relative attractiveness of

claim that the middle layer of the three-tier

direct sales from suppliers to consumers would improve customer choice and allow consumers to save

money.71

Indeed, statements from the

faster shipping service, which comes at a higher on-line sales. The authors considered three

alternatives for shipping – UPS Ground Service, UPS 3rd Day Air, and UPS 2nd Day Air. They

FTC Staff Report, taken in isolation or out of

did not consider UPS’s Same Day or Next

on-line transactions that eliminate the wholesale

alternatives that are more closely comparable to

context, can appear to support the inference that

layer lead to greater choice and lower prices.

Even the Supreme Court in Granholm v. Heald,

Business Day services – more timely

a visit to a nearby retail outlet. These more

comparable shipping alternatives cost more than

a case ruling that state regulation on the direct

the shipping alternatives considered by the

discriminate between in-state and out-of state

comparison in favor of on-line shopping.

shipping of wine to consumers can not

authors, and their exclusion can bias the

Third, in calculating the total cost of on-line

purchases, the authors did not include the cost of

Finally, the report did not consider certain

required to ship wine, nor the cost of insurance.

purchasing. These include, for example:

the box and EPS foam or other packing material

other factors that work to favor off-line

They also did not factor in the costs of

compliance incurred by the shipper, such as

authenticating the age of the recipient to prevent

sales to underage persons, costs that are peculiar to selling alcoholic beverages over the Internet.

I

purchases; I

In fact, UPS requires that “[a]ll wine shipments

UPS alcoholic beverages shipping label . . .

The additional charge for the UPS Delivery

.”74

Confirmation Adult Signature Required service is $5.25, a significant increase when compared to the $6.23 cost of ground shipment for one bottle of

wine.75

sometimes available at retail outlets; and I

The inconvenience of having an adult wait at home to sign for the package.76

Also, we note that the FTC Staff Report does not consider whether or to what extent any negative

effects of direct shipment to consumers that rely primarily on the three-tier system for wine

purchases outweigh any positive benefits to

consumers that choose to purchase wine directly from suppliers.

68

See Alan E. Weisman & Jerry Ellig (Federal Trade Commission Bureau of Economics), “How Many Bottles Make a Case Against Prohibition? On-line Wine and Virginia’s Direct Shipping Ban,” Working Paper 258, available at www.ftc.gov/be/work papers/wp258.pdf (March 2003) (last visited Sept. 8, 2008) (hereinafter “Weisman and Ellig”). This source is attached also as Appendix A to FTC Staff Report, supra note 2.

69

See id.

70

See id.

71

See The Wine Institute, Wine Institute Applauds FTC Report On Direct Shipping (July 3, 2003), http://web.archive.org/web/20040620043157/winei

nstitute.org/communications/statistics/ftc_online.h tm (last visited on Sept. 8, 2008); Free the Grapes Research!, supra note 6. 72

Granholm v. Heald, 544 U.S. 460, 527 (2005) (dissenting opinion of Justice Thomas).

73

See Weisman and Ellig, supra note 68, at 40; see also FTC Staff Report, supra note 2, at Appendix A, Table 4b.

74

UPS, Shipping Wine: UPS Wine Program (under UPS Requirements), http://www.ups.com/wine (last visited Sept. 8, 2008); see also FTC Staff Report, supra note 2, at 37.

75

See UPS Rate and Service Guide: 2008 Retail Rates 112, available at http://www.ups.com/content/ us/en/shipping/cost/zones/retail_rates.html (last visited Sept. 8, 2008); see also Weisman and Ellig, supra note 68, at 36; FTC Staff Report, supra note 2, at Appendix A.

76

In their amici curiae brief, three Nobel laureates and their co-authors correctly observed that the consumers most likely to benefit from direct sales (i.e., the ones who buy very expensive wines by the case) “confront very high costs in the form of lost income or foregone leisure.” Akerlof et al., supra note 7, at 10.

III. Economic Analysis

and “must be labeled by the shipper with a special

The inability to taste a wine prior to an on-line purchase, an option that is

[ ] be shipped using the UPS Delivery

Confirmation Adult Signature Required service”

The delayed gratification from on-line

29

In the three-tier system, costs of

coordination and delivery are incurred by

support the position shared by the Free the

costs are built into the prices. Indeed, a major

abolition of the wholesale layer would make

suppliers, distributors and retailers, and these virtue of the three-tier system is that it

Grapes Foundation and the Wine Institute that most consumers better off. In contrast, it

economizes on these costs. The comparison

provides evidence that the wholesale layer is an

include all pertinent costs of delivery, and is

that any benefits from bypassing that system will

undertaken in the FTC Staff Report does not therefore not an apples-to-apples comparison.

Once all relevant economic costs are taken into account for online sales, it is clear that direct III. Economic Analysis

30

The FTC Staff Report does not actually

on-line purchases of wines are more costly than

off-line purchases for nearly all wines purchased by nearly all

consumers.77

This conclusion that

on-line sales of wine are not more efficient than

off-line sales is consistent with similar results

observed in the retail book industry. A study for the U.S. Small Business Administration with

essential part of an efficient market structure and be obtained by only a very few consumers

buying multiple bottles of very expensive wine. While the entry of big-box stores into

wholesaling is characterized by issues somewhat different from those arising in the case of direct shipments, sufficient similarities exist to cast

doubt that big-box entry into the wholesale tier of the wine and spirits industry will increase overall efficiency.

regard to books found, for example, that “Internet retailers enjoy a 15% to 20%

advantage in reduced operating costs from not

having a traditional storefront. Shipping costs largely negate these savings, averaging about 15%.”78

“Internet retailers enjoy a 15% to 20% advantage in reduced operating costs from not having a traditional storefront. Shipping costs largely negate these savings, averaging about 15%.”

B. The Effects of

1. Current Alcohol

Allowing Direct Purchases by Retailers This section presents an analysis of the economic effects of proposed changes in regulations that would permit big-box retailers to buy directly from suppliers, bypassing the wholesale tier

Distribution Structure: The Use of Exclusive Territories Consider a wholesaler who invests in building a brand, expecting that the initial marketing investment will be recouped through higher prices and increased sales volumes over the product’s life cycle. If the brand becomes

commercially successful, rival wholesalers who

are likely to result if big-box stores are permitted

an incentive to sell the now-successful product

current industry structure with the outcomes that to purchase directly from suppliers. Specifically, our analysis focuses on the two key drivers of efficient wholesaling: (1) marketing

arrangements and (2) efficiency in distribution.

made no investments in the brand would have at the now-higher prices, earning profits and reducing the return earned by the original investor. The investor’s lower return is a

negative externality. In other words, brand development poses a looming “free-rider”

problem. Initial investors need some assurance

that rivals who do not initially invest in the brand

will not later obtain a “free ride” at their expense. With no such assurances, the incentives for the original investment are reduced, causing additional economic side effects.

The economics literature on free-riding in

distribution emphasizes vertical arrangements79 that solve this type of free-rider problem.

Among such arrangements are resale price maintenance agreements80 and exclusive

territories, a practice in which one wholesaler

has exclusive rights to distribute a brand or

product within a given service area. The use of exclusive territories is widespread in the three-

77

78

The FTC Staff Report, supra note 2, does not compare online and offline costs of purchasing spirits, but there does not appear to be any reason for believing that a comparison of online and offline purchases of spirits would yield a result meaningfully different from that reached in the case of wine. Jack Faucett, Radesh Ganeshkumar & Laurence O’Rourke, Small Business Survival in Competition with Large Retail Multi-Unit Retail Firms, Part I:

Market Analysis of the Retail Book Industry, SMALL BUSINESS RESEARCH SUMMARY 27 (submitted to the Office of Advocacy, U.S. Small Business Administration) (Jan. 18, 2000). 79

Vertical arrangements are agreements between different firms operating in different tiers in a supply chain as opposed to horizontal agreements between firms operating in the same tier.

80

Resale price maintenance agreements obligate a retailer to sell the product at no less than a prespecified minimum price. Exclusive territories limit a firm to supplying the product within a prespecified territory. In both cases, the wholesaler or retailer agrees, for a consideration, to forego profitable transactions – at prices above cost but below the minimum price in the former case, or with purchases located outside the defined territory in the latter case.

III. Economic Analysis

entirely. We compare economic outcomes in the

31

tier system and may be considered part of it even when it is not required by state law. Exclusive

recognized the procompetitive effects of vertical

to limit free-riding and encourage marketing

minimum retail prices.83 Both vertical

territories typically are contractually created

arrangements such as exclusive territories and

activities aimed at developing new brands and

arrangements reduce intrabrand competition

Accordingly, an economic analysis of proposed

marketing efforts. With exclusive territories,

increasing the value of existing brands.

changes to the use of exclusive territories in the

long-established three-tier system must take into account the effects of the proposed changes on incentives to free-ride. III. Economic Analysis

32

The U.S. Supreme Court recently

Economists have studied the efficiency

properties of such “exclusive territory”

arrangements in a range of circumstances and

have identified the conditions which favor the

based on price and can stimulate retailer’s

a distributor of a particular brand does not

compete with any other provider of that brand

in its territory, but it does have an incentive to invest in its brand in order to compete

vigorously against distributors of competing brands. In situations of resale price

maintenance, the minimum price helps control the free-riding incentive and each distributor

use of exclusive territories to solve fundamental

competes with other distributors by adding value

marketing requires a distributor to undertake

seeks to restrict intrabrand competition while

business problems. For example, when

certain activities that are difficult to specify,

monitor and measure, contractual penalties for

to its product. In both cases, the manufacturer

stimulating interbrand competition by providing to its distributors incentives to make its brand

failing to perform the services may not be

more attractive relative to others. The Supreme

performed.81

as follows:

enforceable and the services may not be

By giving the distributor an

exclusive territory and some protection from

intrabrand competition, however, the supplier

creates a financial incentive for the distributor to undertake the required marketing investments

necessary to compete against brands represented by other wholesalers (interbrand competition).82

Court has recognized this logic, commenting

When a wholesaler of wine organizes

The justifications for vertical price

tasting events at multiple outlets within its

maintenance can stimulate interbrand

wholesaler attempts to identify demographic

different brands of the same type of product

for its wine and to create demand among

retailers selling the same brand. . . . A

product(s). The tastings then create a pool of

restraints tends to eliminate intrabrand

more of that product in the future and who are

retailers to invest in services or

they would have absent the tasting. Since it is a

manufacturer’s position as against rival

distributor pays a fixed price per case of wine

restraints, retail services that enhance

territory will keep any additional profits from

underprovided because discounting

event such as the wine tastings. By the same

furnish services and then capture some of

wholesaler if its marketing efforts prove

vertical restraints. Minimum resale price

territory for brand(s) it represents, the

competition among manufacturers selling

groups and neighborhoods with a preference

by reducing intrabrand competition among

consumers otherwise unfamiliar with the

single manufacturer’s use of vertical price

interested customers who are likely to purchase

price competition; this in turn encourages

willing to pay higher prices for the product than

promotional efforts that aid the

common arrangement in the industry that a

manufacturers. . . . Absent vertical price

to the supplier, a distributor serving an exclusive

interbrand competition might be

the increased demand stimulated by a marketing

retailers can free ride on retailers who

token, however, the losses are borne by the

the demand those services generate.84

unsuccessful. Granted an exclusive territory,

An example of the U.S. Supreme Court’s

incentive to draw on its superior knowledge of

determination is illustrated in the sale of wine

and spirits. As previously explained, wholesalers often perform the local marketing for suppliers. Specifically, they build brand awareness and

consumer demand by creating promotions in

their local areas. Because they possess detailed

knowledge of the consumption habits and trends of their service areas, they are best suited to

the wholesaler is presented with a financial

the local market and risk investing in activities intended to bring to consumers the wines and

spirits that best match their tastes. In practice, this alignment of incentives is effective, as is evidenced by wholesalers’ significant

investments in marketing activities and the wide

variety of products available to consumers.85

fulfill this marketing role. These efforts are

crucial, especially given the number of new

products flooding the market and consumers’ increasing willingness to try new brands.

81

See Dennis W. Carlton & Jeffrey M. Perloff, MODERN INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION 418-424 (Pearson Addison Wesley, 4th ed. 2005) (hereinafter “Carlton & Perloff”).

82

See id. at 421.

83

Leegin Creative Leather Products, Inc. v. PSKS, Inc., 127 S. Ct. 2705 (U.S. June 28, 2007).

84

Id. at 2708.

85

See the examples of National Wine & Spirits, Inc., the Charmer Sunbelt Group, and Southern Wine & Spirits of America, Inc. above, supra notes 31, 38, 44, 45, 48 & 49.

III. Economic Analysis

restraints are similar to those for other

33

2. Direct Sales to Large Suppliers obtain additional benefit

from exclusive territories including: I

Greater accountability – If two distributors of the same products supply the same retailer, then each can blame the other for any problems that arise (such as stock-outs, or a failure to replace defective shelf-talkers). Greater efficiency is obtained when only

III. Economic Analysis

one party is responsible for inventory management, delivery, credit, and other wholesaling functions. I

Ease in implementing marketing strategy – It is easier to teach one distributor (rather than many) about marketing strategy, and the coordinated execution of the strategy in a market is easier when only one distributor is involved.

34 I

Avoiding “free riding” problems – Distributors will not invest as much in marketing and sales if they are not offered a sufficiently high probability of recouping their investment.

Retailers: Free Riders and Inefficiency When regulations permit large retailers to

bypass the three-tier system, wholesalers will no longer have exclusive territories because

suppliers will also be able to sell direct to big-

box retailers, whose business models do not

emphasize marketing investments in the specific brands they carry. Unwilling to shoulder the marketing alone, wholesale competitors are

likely to refrain from brand-specific marketing

activities, waiting instead for another wholesaler to invest in marketing and to undertake the

efforts necessary to create or maintain customer demand for the product. Once another

wholesaler performs these activities, the

competitors who did not make comparable

investments (including any big-box retailers)

will benefit from the increased brand awareness and demand stimulated by others’ marketing efforts, despite not having performed the

activities themselves. Competitors who did not engage in marketing activities for the product

can undersell the investors, essentially “freeriding” on the investment of their rivals.

Wholesalers who helped market a product—say, by setting up tastings at retail outlets or sporting events, educating retailers, conducting

promotional events or selling the product at a

low promotional price—may find that they are

undersold in their territories by free-riding bigbox retailers that did not make comparable

investments. The ability of big-box stores to free-ride on wholesalers’ marketing and

innovation will, of course, reduce the traditional

wholesaler’s returns from such activities and

therefore also reduce its incentives to invest in brand building and

maintenance.86

This

disincentive, in turn, will have repercussions for

the industry and consumers, as will be discussed

As they have observed, “[s]uch arrangements

are not necessarily anti-competitive. In some situations, they may well lower price and improve quality.”89

LaFontaine and Slade (2005) review a

in the next section.

number of empirical studies focusing on vertical

incentives to free ride are greatly reduced, and

studies of exclusive territories, in addition to a

With the use of exclusive territories,

interbrand competition keeps prices at

arrangements. Their review includes five

number of studies of other arrangements that are

reasonable levels. In other words, exclusive

economically similar to exclusive territories. Of

investments in a brand, but they will not

by the authors, LaFontaine and Slade found

territories allow distributors to recover their

of return given the interbrand competition they face.87

The distinction between interbrand and

intrabrand competition is important here. When

consumer welfare to be higher with exclusive territories in three instances. Perhaps more relevant to an inquiry into wine and spirits, however, is the fact that three of the five

regulations do not permit large retailers of wine

exclusive territory studies involved the

will be intense competition among wholesalers

were found to have benefited from the use of

and spirits to buy directly from suppliers, there

who have invested in competing brands. When regulations permit direct purchases by large

retailers from suppliers, however, competition

is likely to be between investors in a particular brand (wholesalers) and the free riders (the big-box retailers) selling the same brand.

Economists have analyzed the relative

merits of both kinds of competition and have concluded that exclusive territories can have procompetitive

effects.88

Even economists who

favor direct shipping acknowledge that the

three-tier system can be socially beneficial.

86

The possibility of free-riding is not merely theoretical. As William Terlato, president of the Terlato Wine Group, has recognized, the “big-box stores aren’t brand builders. They don’t have the sales floor expertise for that.” Mr. Terlato’s 2005 Santa Margherita Pinot Grigio sells well at Costco, but he points out that that is the result of 25 years of brand building that occurred before Costco started stocking the wine. See H. Lee Murphy, Costco’s Challenge, MARKETWATCH, 25, 33 (July/Aug. 2006).

87

88

distribution of beer; of these three, consumers exclusive territories in two cases.90 These

findings are consistent with those of Sass & Saurmann (1996), who found that a ban on

exclusive territories for beer sales resulted in

a six percent decrease in beer purchases.91

To summarize, we note that surveys of

empirical research in the economics literature find that exclusive arrangements are often

efficient in practice. In such cases, allowing

direct purchases by large retailers, which undermine exclusive arrangements, will reduce overall economic efficiency.

Interbrand competition refers to competition between two firms selling different brands to consumers who consider the products to be reasonably close substitutes for one another. “There is a need for more empirical studies to identify both desirable and undesirable vertical arrangements. Although many theoretical papers show how vertical restrictions can be either harmful or helpful, the evidence from U.S. antitrust case law provides at best weak support that the effects are harmful.” Carlton & Perloff, supra note 81, at 437.

89

Akerlof et al., supra note 7, at 5.

90

See Francine LaFontaine & Margaret Slade, Exclusive Contracts and Vertical Restraints: Empirical Evidence and Public Policy, forthcoming in HANDBOOK OF ANTITRUST ECONOMICS 2, at Table 2 (Paola Buccirossi ed., 2005), available at http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/staf f/faculty/slade/wp/ecsept2005.pdf (last visited Sept. 8, 2008).

91

See Tim R. Sass & David S. Saurman, Efficiency Effects of Exclusive Territories: Evidence from the Indiana Beer Market, in 34 ECON. INQUIRY 597, at 614 (1996).

III. Economic Analysis

consistently earn more than the competitive rate

the five studies of exclusive territories reviewed

35

3. Bypass of the Three-Tier System: Loss of Economies of Scale, Scope and Density Wholesalers achieve their efficiencies in large

served, economies of scope and scale will be

lost, and unit costs will increase. In either case, wholesalers will increase the prices charged to

their customers (retailers), who are likely to pass on their cost increases to consumers by charging

part because their warehouses and transportation

higher retail prices. As other economists have

facilities, giving rise to economies of scale,

charges retailers) are dependent on its ability to

fleets are shared by all the brands that use those scope and density.92 By efficiently filling

warehouses and trucks to capacity, wholesalers

III. Economic Analysis

36

If the wholesaler does not increase the area

achieve the benefits of a large-scale operation. And since the same warehouses and fleets can

noted, the wholesaler’s margin (and the prices it keep unit costs low by maximizing its

economies of scale and other sources of cost reduction.93

The costs incurred by wholesalers in

be shared by many brands of wine and spirits,

acquiring local information and building long-

across the brands they distribute. Furthermore,

are “fixed costs” in the sense that they do not

wholesalers can obtain economies of scope

term relationships with retailers and suppliers

because the unit costs of serving four retailers on

vary with the number of units sold in the near

the unit costs of serving four similar retailers on

such as the next year). Consequently, the

a five-mile stretch of a highway are lower than a 50-mile stretch, for example, wholesalers

achieve economies of density by serving all retail outlets within a given area.

If a big-box store displaces retail outlets on

a wholesaler’s delivery route, the wholesaler will have to expand its delivery footprint to

maintain its economies of scale and scope. To

fill its trucks and take advantage of economies

of scale, the wholesaler may choose to increase

the area served by a truck. Customer density in the new delivery footprint will decrease.

term (i.e., over a relatively short period of time recovery of these costs requires that wholesalers

earn revenues in excess of their variable costs of production. By increasing the volume of sales, wholesalers can reduce the fixed cost of

operation per unit of output and thus increase the likelihood of cost recovery. Conversely, when a

wholesaler loses sales to a big-box store or other

intrabrand competitor, economies of scale, scope and density are lost, and the wholesaler’s unit

costs increase. The primary effect on the market

from regulations permitting big-box retailers to purchase directly from suppliers would thus be to divert some products from the three-tier

hierarchy, reducing the scale of that system, and

increasing unit costs to retailers that continued to rely on the three-tier system, as well as their consumers.

If changes in regulations were to permit a

large retailer to purchase directly from a supplier, the retailer would, in essence, self-supply

wholesale services to itself, performing many functions (such as pick-up and delivery) that

were previously performed for it by a wholesaler. Thus, regulations permitting direct purchases by big-box firms are economically similar to entry by these firms into the wholesaling tier.

However, such entry through regulation is

significantly different from actual entry by a new services only to other firms. The most important

prices or better service. Such suspicions are neither uncommon nor unjustified. Several

suppliers, including Joseph E. Seagram & Sons,

Inc., National Distilling, Schenley Distilling Co., Publiker, and Hiram Walker & Sons Distillery

established wholesale operations only to close them after a short period. The manufacturers

found that they could not operate profitably by

carrying only their own brands. To be efficient, they needed to take advantage of economies of scope. Not surprisingly, competing

manufacturers were unwilling to use their rivals’

difference is that a traditional wholesaler does

wholesale services. In all cases, the

wholesaler’s territory, while a big-box store that

operations.94 Just as suppliers were unwilling to

not compete with retailers located in that

integrates into wholesaling will compete with other retailers in its service area. For this

reason, a traditional stand-alone wholesaler’s incentives are different from those of a large

manufacturers abandoned their wholesale use wholesale services provided by rival suppliers, retail outlets will similarly be

unwilling to use wholesale services offered by a big-box retailer. Any benefits of big-box entry

retailer with a wholesale division or affiliate.

into wholesaling will flow to the big-box’s retail

wary of purchasing from a big-box retailer’s

retailers, or more generally, to their consumers

Competing retailers will understandably be

wholesale division. A stand-alone wholesaler has no economic incentive to discriminate

operations and not to the operations of other or the economy.

The primary effect on the market from

against any retail outlet it serves, but a big-box

regulations permitting such retailers to purchase

conditions, have the incentive to discriminate in

some products from the three-tier hierarchy,

wholesaling division would, under some

favor of its own outlets. Therefore, it would be

reasonable for traditional retailers to expect that a big-box wholesaler will give its affiliated

92

With economies of scale, a firm’s unit cost of production falls as its output increases. Economies of scale are common when fixed costs are high. Economies of scope arise when the costs of jointly producing more than one product (e.g., delivering wine and spirits to a retailer in one trip) is less costly than separately producing that product mix

directly from suppliers would thus be to divert

reducing the scale of that system, and increasing unit costs to firms and consumers that continued to rely on the three-tier system.

(e.g., delivering wine and spirits in two separate trips). Economies of density arise when the unit costs of production are lower in areas populated by a greater number of customers per square mile or (for delivery systems) where there is a greater density of customers per route mile.

93

Akerlof et al., supra note 7, at 13.

94

See Barsby Report, supra note 26, at 74-75.

III. Economic Analysis

stand-alone wholesaling firm that supplies its

retailer preferred treatment in the form of lower

37

4. Effects of Allowing Bypass: Lower Prices for Limited Products, Higher Prices for Others, Loss of Innovation and Decrease in Business Entities. Regulations that allow suppliers to sell directly III. Economic Analysis

38

The loss of popular brands to large retailers,

however, will have a negative multiplier effect on suppliers, wholesalers, retailers and

consumers. To see why, consider the following. All brands carried by a wholesaler are not

equally profitable. Some well-known and expensive brands generate relatively large

profits per case, while other brands generate

relatively small profits. Wholesalers use profits

made on brands that it helped develop in the past

to big-box retailers will likely provide

to finance investments in brands it develops for

stores. On the other hand, small to mid-sized

undertaken by wholesalers initially at a loss with

consumers with cheaper products in big-box

suppliers, wholesalers and retailers will likely

the future. Risky investments in a new brand are the expectation of future profits. However,

incur increased costs, eventually resulting in lost

when currently profitable brands are diverted to

local economy and less product choice for

in brand development is diminished. In

profits, failing businesses, less investment in the consumers. Retailers competing with big-box stores are likely to face two kinds of direct economic pressure. First, they will face

increased competition in the retail market from a

big-box stores, the wholesaler’s ability to invest addition, the expectation that successful new

brands will be “poached” by the big-box stores will reduce the incentives of the wholesaler to invest in marketing activities. A profit-

new, large store possessing the capacity to

maximizing wholesaler will therefore reduce its

suppliers – concessions that neither smaller

less innovation and investment in the local

negotiate significant concessions from its

retail stores nor their wholesalers are likely to

obtain. The big-box store is likely to focus on

selling wine and spirits to customers (members) that come to the store primarily to purchase

other items. By focusing almost entirely on

well-known brands, (i) the big-box store can free ride on the past and present marketing activities undertaken by others, (ii) use its superior

negotiating position to obtain favorable prices from suppliers and (iii) given its lower costs, charge lower prices than are offered by

traditional retail outlets. As a result, big-box

stores can offer consumers decreased prices for the items it carries.

investments in brand development, which means economy.

Diminished marketing efforts by

wholesalers will, in turn, affect suppliers who,

The diversion of the most high-volume and

high-profit brands from the three-tier system

for the most part, cannot afford to perform local

will result in a reduction in the number of

reduce the resources devoted to marketing,

wholesalers. Some suppliers that could

marketing initiatives. These suppliers will

which will likely reduce the supplier’s portfolio of brands, or they will market their brands less intensively, which can be expected to lead to increased brand failure, especially for new

brands. Retailers will suffer similar effects.

As retailers lose the sales of popular, profitable be able to sustain new, unknown products on their shelves with the hope the new products

will later flourish. Additionally, they will likely

previously find wholesalers to distribute their brands will no longer be able to find willing

distributors. The ability of smaller wine and

spirits suppliers to grow and compete with larger competitors will be reduced. Consequently,

innovation from smaller wineries and distilleries will also be reduced, which is where most

innovation occurs. Retailers will also reduce the number of new brands they carry as they, too,

lose their profitable items to big-box retailers.

increase their prices of the remaining brands

Consumers will likely have less choice overall,

lose the wide product variety that exists today

increase.

they carry. Ultimately, consumers will likely as innovation and product choice decrease.

and prices outside of the big-box stores may

III. Economic Analysis

brands to big-box retailers, they may no longer

profitable and unprofitable brands carried by

39

“Consumers will likely have less choice overall, and prices outside of the big-box stores may increase.”

5. Channel Conflict and the Stability of the Three-Tier System Our analysis thus far raises certain legitimate questions: If the three-tier system with

exclusive territories is economically efficient,

why does it need to be protected by regulations

that forbid suppliers from selling their products directly to retailers? Why would there not be a III. Economic Analysis

40

These questions implicitly ignore the

externality issues that we have raised. In the

parlance of marketing, the term “channel” refers to the chain of intermediaries linking a supplier

to the final consumer. The recent growth of

multichannel distribution systems, in which a

product can be delivered to a final consumer by

means of multiple channels (e.g., online sales of books and book sales in bookstores), has

increased the potential for “channel conflict:” conflicting incentives of the traditional

competitive equilibrium in which some suppliers

wholesale channel and a direct supplier-retail

others rely on distributors? Would not this

describes a supplier’s efforts to bypass channel

sell some products directly to retailers while

arrangement be superior to the regulated threetier structure in which distributors cannot be bypassed?

channel.95 A study of multichannel systems

participants, e.g., by engaging in direct on-line sales to consumers, as a “destructive act.”

According to the authors of the study, such

channel conflicts can rob a channel participant

of its investments in the product, which in turn plunges the relationships among the channel

participants “into a spiral of hostility and distrust that ultimately could lead to dissolution” of the

channel itself.96

Other destructive acts, as viewed by a

Any conflict between a wholesaler channel

wholesaler, include “[s]elling through a mass

and a direct supplier-retailer channel will, in the

the dealer’s territory.” These destructive acts

existing and new brands and the loss of share to

merchandiser” and “[a]dding another dealer in lead to an increase in the likelihood of

disengagement between the wholesaler and the supplier, possibly resulting in the termination

of the relationship with the supplier over some

long run, result in decreased investment in

competitive brands that continue to invest in

marketing. However, in the short run, suppliers that exercise the option to bypass the

wholesaling tier may benefit from the free ride –

period of time. Ultimately, the supplier may

i.e., their private gains over the short run may

wholesaler, and efficient channels might be

of their brands. Over the long term, channel

not be able to enter into arrangements with any

conflicts are likely to lead to economically

inefficient results that would not occur in the traditional three-tier hierarchy.

“A study of multichannel systems describes a

III. Economic Analysis

replaced with inefficient alternatives.

exceed the social losses from the long run failure

supplier’s efforts to bypass channel participants, e.g., by engaging in direct on-line sales to consumers, as a “destructive act.”

95

Jonathan D. Hibbard, Nirmalya Kumar & Louis W. Stern, Examining the Impact of Destructive Acts in Marketing Channel Relationships, 38 JOURNAL OF MARKETING RESEARCH 45, 45 (2001).

96

Id. at 46.

41

IV. I V. C o n c l u s i o n s

42

Conclusions Proponents of the direct purchase of wine and spirits by retailers assert that wholesalers are no more than an unneeded layer of bureaucracy in the sale of wines and spirits. A balanced analysis, however,

must take into account all the economic effects, including externalities, associated with the wholesalers’ role in brand development and brand maintenance. The three-tier system relies on exclusive-territory arrangements that correct these externalities. Doing away with wholesalers, or

even reducing their role in the three-tier system by allowing direct sales to big-box stores, could have substantial negative economic effects on all three tiers and many consumers.

In particular, wineries and suppliers of spirits that currently rely on wholesalers to perform

marketing activities will encounter a “free rider” problem that will reduce wholesalers’ investments in the building and maintenance of brands, investments unlikely to be absorbed by suppliers or

retailers. All suppliers, including new entrants and small suppliers, will find it more difficult to

introduce and grow their brands, with the effect that innovation will be diminished and the variety of products available to consumers will be reduced. Wholesalers will operate at a lower volume of

transactions, their unit costs will increase and marginally profitable wholesalers will likely go out of

business. All retailers in the three-tier system will experience an increase in costs, and marginal

retailers will be forced out of business. Consumers who preferred traditional outlets with large selections to big-box stores with a limited number of popular brands will have access to fewer and

more distant retail outlets in the areas in which they shop, and they will pay higher prices at these remaining and less convenient outlets. In addition, conflicts between the traditional wholesale channel

and a direct supplier-retail channel can lead to market failure and economically inefficient outcomes.

Against these negative effects, customers of big-box stores are likely to find lower prices

for the relatively small selection of wines and spirits typically sold at these stores. These benefits will last as long as the big-box stores maintain low prices.

If direct sales are allowed and exclusive territories vanish, it is possible that suppliers may

try to employ some other type of vertical restriction to correct the brand-building externalities that

we have identified here. However, such restrictions have economic costs analogous to those

characteristic of exclusive dealing. Resale price maintenance, for example, places a floor on retail prices that is intended to be sufficiently in excess of the distributor’s marginal cost that the distributor

retains the incentive to develop and market the brands it represents. Big-box stores, with their

growing purchasing power, however, will likely not accept such pricing limitations for the same

reasons they do not accept exclusive territories. Furthermore, exclusive territories allow for greater Thus, there is probably not an alternative vertical arrangement to the use of exclusive territories that

will correct the free-riding incentive at a lower cost to society.

The current reliance on exclusive territories for wholesalers is an economically efficient

arrangement for almost all wines and spirits purchased by the vast majority of consumers. The substantial economic arguments in favor of the current three-tier system are not considered or addressed by special interest groups who are proponents of large regulatory change.

Our analysis has focused on the wholesale segment of the wine and spirits industry, which

performs a range of functions beyond the efficient physical delivery of wines and spirits to retailers.

As intermediaries, wholesalers have a unique view of both sides of the market – suppliers and the

products they manufacture as well as retail outlets and the products consumers demand. With their

specialized knowledge of both sides of the market, wholesalers have a comparative advantage in matching specific products to specific consumer groups. Suppliers use this informational asset to

help market their products efficiently, and the economic arrangements linking suppliers to wholesalers transfers some of the risks and rewards of marketing to the wholesalers. Retailers and

ultimately consumers benefit from the better match between the products they stock and their

consumers’ demands; superior matching that relies on the wholesaler’s knowledge of both sides of the market.

Exclusive territories are an important part of the rewards that justify the risky investments

wholesalers make in the brands they represent. Direct purchasing by big-box stores reduces the

rewards to traditional wholesalers and reduces their incentives to invest in brand equity. A movement of products to the supplier-retailer channel will reduce the economies of scope, scale and density in

the traditional distribution system, increasing the costs of all the participants of the three-tier system,

and ultimately reducing the benefits of low prices and superior variety at nearby locations to customers who rely on the three-tier system.

I V. C o n c l u s i o n s

pricing flexibility than resale price maintenance, which can benefit all three tiers and the consumer.

43

Product Suppliers Wholesale-Distributors Product Retailers Wine & Spirits Wholesalers of America 805 15th Street, NW, Suite 430 . Washington, DC 20005 www.wswa.org

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