CURRENT CONSUMER TRENDS: SWEETENERS AUGUST 2015 MATT WILSON GLOBAL TRENDS GENERAL MILLS
Current Consumer Landscape
Wellness trends in food dominating consumer conversation
Awareness and concern of sugar consumption growing with consumers
Interest in natural sweeteners with inherent benefits increasing
However, indulgence not decreasing, but overlapping with wellness cues
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Wellness trends in food dominating • The Rise of “Real Food” • Natural Nutrition • “Free Froms” • GMO Awareness, Avoidance
Growing • Market Reaction
The Rise of “Real Food” Real food is key to being naturally functional – not explicit health benefits Trending: Cues of “Real” • Fresh • Whole (minimally processed) • Recognizable ingredients • Natural nutrition (not fortified) • Transparency
Source: CNN, Twitter, Nielsen Global Health & Wellness Survey
Trending: Detractors from “Real” • Artificial anything (colors, flavors,
preservatives, sweeteners) • Added sugars (especially fructose, HFCS) • Simple (“bad”) carbs • “Low fat” and “Low calorie” claims
“Natural Nutrition” • Naturally functional spans food/beverage landscape • Consumers looking to foods with inherent benefits
Almonds
Coconuts
Heart healthy & nutrient rich
Rich in potassium & minerals; Natural energy
• Naturally functional is a key ante,
especially for new products, but not a platform itself • NOT about clean label, “all natural” or “organic” claims, or even specific health claims – the inherent benefits speak for themselves • Taste and convenience remain essential! Source: New Nutrition Business – 10 Key Trends 2015
“Natural Nutrition” • Naturally functional spans food/beverage landscape • Consumers looking to foods with inherent benefits
“Let food be thy medicine and medicine be thy food.” Hippocrates
Source: New Nutrition Business – 10 Key Trends 2015
Almonds
Coconuts
Heart healthy & nutrient rich
Rich in potassium & minerals; Natural energy
• Naturally functional is a key ante,
especially for new products, but not a platform itself • NOT about clean label, “all natural” or “organic” claims, or even specific health claims – the inherent benefits speak for themselves • Taste and convenience remain essential!
“Free Froms” Cueing fresh: Demands of “free from” artificial colors, flavors, preservatives, and unnecessary ingredients rising Major Effort to Avoid At Least Conscious Effort to Avoid
• “From Froms” = The new table stakes
Artificial Sweeteners
• Real food = Nothing artificial HFCS
GMO's
Processed Foods
Sugar
Source: Hartman, Crimson Hexagon, Mintel
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“Free Froms” Cueing fresh: Demands of “free from” artificial colors, flavors, preservatives, and unnecessary ingredients rising Major Effort to Avoid At Least Conscious Effort to Avoid
• “From Froms” = The new table stakes
Artificial Sweeteners
• Real food = Nothing artificial HFCS
GMO's
Processed Foods
Sugar
Source: Hartman, Crimson Hexagon, Mintel
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GMO Awareness, Avoidance Growing Awareness Growing Faster
GMO in Top Ingredients to Avoid
Consumer concerns over GMOs • Unnatural • Prioritizes profit over consumer health • Unknown impact to environment
Source: Nielsen Headwinds Study, Total Respondents (n=31375), Aug/Sept 2014 . “Please select the statement that best describes how you and others in your household are seeking or avoiding the following things from your/your family’s diet.”. (2) Hartman Organic Study, 2014. (3) The NPD Group Food Safety Monitor, January 21, 2015 version (data collected monthly)
Market Reaction Brands moving closer to “Real Food” accelerating Examples: • Issuing a comprehensive “No No” ingredient list • Introducing store brands with a banned ingredient promise • Removing artificial colors, flavors, & preservatives • Removing HFCS • Going non-GMO
Pre-2010
2010
2011
2012
2010 through 2014
2013
2014
Jan '15 Feb '15 Mar '15 Apr '15May-June '15Future
Market Reaction Brands moving closer to “Real Food” accelerating Examples: • Issuing a comprehensive “No No” ingredient list • Introducing store brands with a banned ingredient promise • Removing artificial colors, flavors, & preservatives • Removing HFCS • Going non-GMO
Pre-2010
2010
2011
2012
2010 through 2014
2013
2014
Jan '15 Feb '15 Mar '15 Apr '15May-June '15Future
Market Reaction Brands moving closer to “Real Food” accelerating Examples: • Issuing a comprehensive “No No” ingredient list • Introducing store brands with a banned ingredient promise • Removing artificial colors, flavors, & preservatives • Removing HFCS • Going non-GMO
Pre-2010
2010
2011
2012
2010 through 2014
2013
2014
Jan '15 Feb '15 Mar '15 Apr '15May-June '15Future
Market Reaction Brands moving closer to “Real Food” accelerating Examples: • Issuing a comprehensive “No No” ingredient list • Introducing store brands with a banned ingredient promise • Removing artificial colors, flavors, & preservatives • Removing HFCS • Going non-GMO
Pre-2010
2010
2011
2012
2010 through 2014
2013
2014
Jan '15 Feb '15 Mar '15 Apr '15May-June '15Future
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Awareness and concern sugar • Headlines Driving Consumer Concern • Avoidance of Artificial Sugars Growing • Consumers Subjectivity With Sugar Varies
Headlines Driving Consumer Concern After calories, sugar is
the most-checked nutrition fact for all label readers 1 GMI gets 10X+ sugar B
A
Healthy sugar
Daily sugar intake
* A + B, WHO announcement dates
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contacts as sodium, preservatives, colors 2 Interest in managing
sugar spikes in response to WHO announcement and other press 3
Sources: 1 Gallup Clean Label Survey 2013, 32 F15 GMI Consumer Contacts 5/14-3/15 3 Who.int Press Release March 2015
Headlines Driving Consumer Concern After calories, sugar is
the most-checked nutrition fact for all label readers 1 GMI gets 10X+ sugar B
4
A
contacts as sodium, preservatives, colors 2 Interest in managing
Healthy sugar Red 40 HFCS Daily sugar intake
* A + B, WHO announcement dates
sugar spikes in response to WHO announcement and other press 3
Sources: 1 Gallup Clean Label Survey 2013, 32 F15 GMI Consumer Contacts 5/14-3/15 3 Who.int Press Release March 2015
Avoidance of Artificial Sugars Growing Major Effort to Avoid
At Least Conscious Effort to Avoid
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Artificial Sweeteners
51
24
HFCS
58
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GMO's Processed Foods Saturated Fat Artificial Flavors & Colors Preservatives Sodium Sugar Source: Nielsen GMI Headwinds Study Survey n=31,982
While there is an effort
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to avoid sugar by many households, it ranks lower on “major effort to avoid,” similar to Sodium Sugar a matter of moderation rather than a deal breaker
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Low sugar options may
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13 55
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need to deliver on other priority free-from claims: gluten, soy, sodium, GMOs, and artificial ingredients.
Consumers Subjectivity With Sugar Varies Honey Coconut sugar Agave
Good for Health (Moderate)
Monk fruit Stevia
Neutral Granulated sugar
Erythritol
Saccharin Aspartame HFCS
concerned about the overall amount of sugar in their foods, but also differentiate between healthfulness of different types of sweetener. HFCS and Aspartame are
Sucralose
Xylitol
Consumers are
Bad for Health (Avoid)
Source: Mintel Sugar and Sweeteners US September 2014
perceived as artificial and unhealthy. Honey associated with health benefits
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Interest in natural sweeteners with • Consumer’s View of the Sweetener
Landscape • The Evolving Evaluation of Sweeteners
Consumer’s View of the Sweetener Landscape
Falling from Favor
Currently Trending
Rising Stars
Caloric sweeteners High Fructose Corn Syrup Corn Syrup Refined Sugar Agave
Honey Raw sugarcane juice Brown Rice Syrup Barley Malt Maple syrup
Coconut or Palm Sugar Sorghum Syrup Yacon Syrup Raw Unpasteurized Honey Sucanat
Down the Road
Date Sugar Lucuma fruit
Low or Noncaloric sweeteners Protein sweeteners: Brazzein, Monatin Sucralose Truvia blend
Stevia Xylitol Erythritol*
Monk fruit Organic Stevia Leaf
Rare sugars: Allulose Miracle berry
Sources: Hartman Consumer POV on Sugar 2013, Crimson Hexagon 2015
*Associated with Truvia backlash
Consumers Evolving Evaluation of Sweeteners
Natural
Low Calorie/ Trace Benefits Glycemic
Emerging sweeteners are judged on three facets: naturalness, GI or
calorie count, and any positive nutrition they may bring 1 While natural sweeteners carry a positive halo, FDA-proposed “added
sugar” labels may lower subjective differences Positioning, processing play a big role in judging ‘naturalness’. Sources: 1 Crimson Hexagon,
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Indulgence not decreasing, but • Sweets + Real Food • Justified Indulgence
Sweets + Real Food It’s not about the perfect balance of nutrients in every snack; it’s about real food.
• Organic • Made with organic blueberries, sugar, honey • 22g sugar • 7g protein
Source: Consumers Approach to Energy in Food & Beverage (2015), Hartman; State of the Snack Food Industry (2015), IRi
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Sweets + Real Food It’s not about the perfect balance of nutrients in every snack; it’s about real food.
• Organic • Made with organic blueberries, sugar, honey • 22g sugar • 7g protein
Source: Consumers Approach to Energy in Food & Beverage (2015), Hartman; State of the Snack Food Industry (2015), IRi
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Justified Indulgence
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But, having a few indulgence snacks throughout the week is part of a happy life.
• Made with sugar, high fructose corn syrup, palm oil • 14g sugar/ serving (3 cookies) • 1g protein
Source: Consumers Approach to Energy in Food & Beverage (2015), Hartman; State of the Snack Food Industry (2015), IRi
Summary
Wellness trends in food dominating consumer conversation
Awareness and concern sugar consumption growing with consumers
Interest in natural sweeteners with inherent benefits increasing
However, indulgence not decreasing, but overlapping with wellness cues
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