CORPORATE
PRESENTATION November 2015
InRetail Overview
Multi-format retailer with exclusive focus in Peru Leading positions in its 3 segments
#2 supermarket chain #1 pharmacy chain #1 shopping center operator Controlled by Intercorp Peru, one of Peru’s largest business groups
2
InRetail is part of the retail arm of one of Peru’s leading business groups
100.0%
77.6%
Education Float1/ 28.8%
BVL: INRETC1
1/ Includes 6.3% of Nexus
3
InRetail at a Glance
Supermarkets
Pharmacies
Shopping Malls
1,303
734
138
33.8%
6.4%
LTM Q3 2015 (US$ millions) Revenues % of Revenues
59.9%
2,160
Adjusted EBITDA
80
64
86
228
Adj. EBITDA Margin1/
6.2%
8.7%
82.4%
10.6%
% of Adj. EBITDA
34.9%
27.9%
37.2%
102
874
18
273,594 m2
N/A
581,226 m2
13,967
10,370
369
# Stores / S.Centers Sales area / GLA # Employees
Note: FX of 3.087 (average LTM Q3’15, BCRP) 1/ For Shopping Malls is calculated over the Net Rental Income
4
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
1 FAST GROWING
SECTOR
WITH SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL
2 MARKET
LEADERSHIP
WITH A CONSISTENT GROWTH STRATEGY
3 STRONG FINANCIAL RESULTS
4 KEY INDICATORS
1
FAST GROWING SECTOR
WITH SIGNIFICANT UPSIDE POTENTIAL
Fastest growing economy boosts emerging middle class
Real GDP Growth
Population by Socio-Economic Category
(2008-2014 CAGR)
5.6% ~1.8x
SEC 3.1%
Annual Income
2005
2014
% of total population
A Perú
$ 45,962 5.1%
Latin America 1/
1/ Average Real GDP growth of Colombia, Brazil, Chile, Mexico Source: Peruvian Central Bank and IMF
GDP per Capita
12.5% +17.8 p.p.
B
$ 22,852
C
$ 14,455
14.3%
24.7%
D
$ 8,777
25.9%
24.6%
(2014, US$ 000) 14.9 12.8
11.1
Average: US$ 10.8
10.8 8.4
6.6
-17.8 p.p.
E
$ 6,163
54.7%
38.2%
Source: APOYO Consultoría 2015
Chile
Argentina
Mexico
Brazil
Colombia
Peru
Source: IMF
7
Significant upside potential for modern retail
Supermarkets
Pharmacies
Penetration as a % of Total Sales - 2014
Sales of Retail Pharma per capita US$ - 2014
59% 55% 51%
226
Mean ex-Peru: 139.8
~2.0x
4.8
130
4.4
Mean ex-Peru: 3.9
113
4.0
~2.6x
40%
90
~1.7x 2.3
25%
Peru
Malls per million people - 2014
Formal Pharmacies per 10’000 people: Peru 66 vs Chile 161
Sales area per capita: Peru 0.23 sqm vs Chile 0.67sqm
Mean ex-Peru: 51.2%
Shopping Malls
2.5
54
Colombia
Source: Euromonitor
Brazil
Mexico
Chile
Peru
Colombia Mexico
Source: Euromonitor
Brazil
Chile
Peru
Brazil
Colombia
Chile
Mexico
Source: International Council of Shopping Centers - 2015
8
2
MARKET LEADERSHIP
WITH A CONSISTENT GROWTH STRATEGY
Leading positions and highly recognized brands in all business segments Supermarkets
Pharmacies
Shopping Malls
2nd
1st
1st
Others 6.0%
18.2%
5.9% Others 34.2%
27.6% 37.1%
12.2% 14.2%
52.4%
23.5% 35.3%
8.8%
13.4% 11.1%
Plaza Vea is the most remembered brand among supermarkets
InkaFarma is the brand that more Peruvians aspire to consume
Real Plaza is the shopping center with more sales in 2014
Note: Market share based on sales LTM Q2’15 Source: Company filings as of LTM Q2’15 Brand awareness - IPSOS 2013
Note: Market figures refer to modern channel estimated sales LTM Q2 2015 Source: IMS, InkaFarma estimates. Brand awareness Arellano Marketing 2011
Note: Market share based on mall sales 2014 Source: Asociación de los Centros Comerciales del Perú (ACCEP) - 2015
10
Largest nationwide footprint of premier retail locations
Supermarkets
Pharmacies
102 Stores
874 Stores
18 Malls
(7) Sullana (2)
Talara Piura (2)
(29) (5)
(48)
Paita
Piura (2)
Cajamarca
Chiclayo
(40)
Cajamarca
(28)
Chiclayo
(21)
Trujillo (5)
Trujillo
(58) Huanuco
Chimbote (3)
Chimbote
(30) (15) Pucallpa
Huacho
(5)
Huancayo (2)
(42)
Lima (7) (4)
Cusco(2) (3)
Juliaca (38) Ica
Huancayo Cusco
(2) Chincha Pisco
Huánuco
(16)
(381)
Lima (71)
Shopping Malls
(17) (16)
(10)
Juliaca
Arequipa (2)
16 secured locations
Puno
Only modern supermarket
Tacna
Arequipa
(40) (8)
First mover in 16 out of the 21 cities outside of Lima Total sales area (m2): 273,594 59% of stores are owned1/
Only modern shopping mall
(11)
Note: As of September 2015 1/ Owned by Supermercados Peruanos or through a related party
Present in all of Peru’s 25 Regions 100% of stores are rented
First mover in 5 out of the 11 cities Total GLA (m2): 581,226
11
Supermarkets Segment Formats • • • •
Attractive price positioning through High/Low strategy Fastest growing chain with largest presence across Peru
Brand
Revenues (LTM) S/.3,952 mm
Sales area range (m2)
# of Stores Total / Provinces
2,000 – 5,000
62 / 25
Compact Hypermarkets 79%
500 – 2,000
29 / 6
Supermarkets 14%
900 – 1,200
8/0
High-end 7%
Compact sized formats provide flexibility to grow First to enter 16 out of the 21 cities outside Lima where there is a modern supermarket present
• 16 additional locations secured • Ranked 8th among the best places to work in Peru
Market Share Evolution 52.0% 40.4% 30.0% 18.0%
2008
41.0%
40.2%
32.9%
33.6%
35.3% 24.3%
2011
38.1%
37.1% 35.3%
34.7% 26.1%
26.2%
27.3%
2012
2013
2014
Cencosud
SPSA
Tottus
27.6%
LTM Q2’15
Figures as of September 2015 Note: 3 legacy stores not included
Source: Company Filings, Nielsen
12
Pharmacies Segment Pharmaceutical Retail Market Sustainable “Every Day Low Price” strategy… High market-share
Modern Market US$1.3bn
Total Market US$2.2bn
Player
# of Stores
Annual sales per store
Mom & Pops
~7,000
~ US$ 0.1mm
Other chains
1,552
~ US$ 0.5mm
48%
29%
874
US$ 0.9mm
52%
32%
Strong bargaining power with suppliers High penetration of profitable private labels Operational efficiencies
39%
…with fast store growth Small, standardized formats (~120 sqm) Limited Capex of US $60,000 per store
100% leased stores with proven renewal track record Assisted Sales Model
Note: Figures LTM Q3 2015 Source: IMS
13
Shopping Malls Segment Shopping Malls Sales Sales (US$ millions) 2014
Nationwide premium portfolio of 18 locations
1,229.0
581k sqm of GLA
957.0
GLA has expanded 73.1% over the last 24 months, including: LTM Q3’15 Real Plaza Sullana Expansions Total
Date
GLA
May 2015
14k
LTM
25k 39k
906.5 750.0 595.0
Source: ACCEP 2015
Occupancy Rates Preferred partner for local and international tenants:
94%
92%
93%
94%
96%
2011
2012
2013
2014
Q3’15
High tenant renewal rates and low concentration of renewal per year High occupancy levels despite recent important additions in GLA Secured access to landbank to sustain growth
14
Profitable Growth Initiatives
Value proposition to client • Develop customer identification and loyalty programs • Optimize promotions and discounts • Enhance product portfolio (including private labels) and tenant mix • Launch digital and e-commerce strategies • Increase penetration of Tarjeta Oh!
Operational efficiencies and cost reduction • Capture in-store and supply chain efficiencies • Continue capturing synergies across formats
Expansion • Leverage in-house landbank team to secure growth • Open new stores and malls to capture untapped demand
15
3 STRONG FINANCIAL RESULTS
Consolidated Financial Results Million Soles (S/. mm)
Highlights Q3’15
Revenues 11.8%
Growth in Revenues, Adj. EBITDA and Net Income
4,930 4,408
• Revenues: +8.4% vs. Q3’14 8.4%
• Adj. EBITDA: +10.6% vs. Q3’14 • Adj. EBITDA Margin: 10.2% vs.10.0% • Net Income: +968.2% vs Q3’14. Excluding FX and mark to market, net income increased 15.7%
1,544
1,674
Q3’14
Q3’15
Adj. EBITDA
YTD’14
YTD’15
Net Income 25.1%
-50.6% 503
92
402
10.6% 154
45
968.2%
170
19 2
Q3’14
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
Margin 10.0%
10.2%
9.1%
10.2%
Margin
Q3’14
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
0.1%
1.2%
2.1%
0.9%
17
Financial Results by Segment Million Soles (S/. mm)
Revenues
Adj. EBITDA 10.6%
10.6% 4,647
4,200
311
Supermarkets
281
37%
37%
InRetail Consumer
Pharmacies
8.0%
5.9%
1,460
1,578
38%
38%
62%
62%
Q3’14
Q3’15
63%
63%
YTD’14
YTD’15 Margin:
99
105
52%
49%
48%
51%
Q3’14 6.8%
52%
52%
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
6.7%
6.7%
6.7%
32.3%
46.2%
317
196
240
InRetail Shopping Malls
134 21.0%
14.4%
95
Q3’14
48%
48%
108
Q3’15
55
YTD’14
YTD’15
Net Rental Margin:
67
Q3’14
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
81.2%
83.3%
79.2%
82.5%
18
InRetail Consumer Financial Results Million Soles (S/. mm)
Revenues
Adj. EBITDA
12.9%
10.0%
3,757
232
210
3,329 2,925
162
7.8%
Supermarkets
12.5%
912
983
Q3’14
Q3’15
2013
2014
YTD’15 Margin:
48
54
Q3’14
Q3’15
2013
2014
YTD’15
5.0%
5.4%
6.3%
6.2%
5.6%
19.5%
14.4%
185
2,086 1,824
Pharmacies
155
1,722
149
-0.3%
8.5%
548
595
Q3’14
Q3’15
2013
2014
YTD’15 Margin:
51
51
Q3’14
Q3’15
2013
2014
YTD’15
8.9%
9.2%
8.5%
8.9%
8.7%
19
Consolidated Net Income Million Soles (S/. mm)
Excluding FX and mark-to-market, Net Income increased 15.7% vs Q2’14 Net Income
• EBITDA growth of 10.6%
-50.6% 92
• +20.3% increase in depreciation expenses due to new supermarkets and pharmacy stores 45
+968.2% 19 2
Net Margin
Q3’14
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
0.1%
1.2%
2.1%
0.9%
• +14.8% increase in financial expenses mainly explained by one-time expense of S/.9.3 mm from bond repurchases • Forex:
• Q3’15: Loss of S/.35 mm • Q3’14: Loss S/.58 mm
Net Income excluding after-tax FX and mark-to-market gains: +24.1%
127
• YTD’15: Loss of S/.132 mm • YTD’14: Loss of S/.57 mm
103
• Mark-to-market:
+15.7%
Net Margin
• Q3’15: Gain of S/.4 mm • Q3’14: Gain of S/.10 mm
36
41
Q3’14
Q3’15
YTD’14
YTD’15
2.3%
2.5%
2.3%
2.6%
• YTD’15: Gain of S/.15 mm • YTD’14: Gain of S/.42 mm 20
Consolidated Capex and Financial Debt Million Soles (S/. mm)
Consolidated Financial Debt
Consolidated CAPEX 2014: S/. 792 mm
4.0x
4.0x
3.8x 3.6x
3.6x
3.6x
YTD 2015: S/.314 mm
3.7x
3.4x
333
3.4x
2.9x
3.2x 242
134 114
2012
105
104
1.3x
74
2013
2014
Net debt / EBITDA
LTM Q1’15 LTM Q2’15 LTM Q3’15
Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
Debt / EBITDA
Debt
1,668
1,722
2,446
2,499
2,467
2,599
Cash
1,125
324
285
302
242
190
Net Debt
542
1,398
2,160
2,197
2,225
2,410
Free Cash Flow YTD 2015: S/.106 mm
21
Debt by Segment Million Soles (S/. mm)
Total Consolidated Debt: S/.2,599 mm Debt / EBITDA: 3.7x Net Debt / EBITDA: 3.4x
3.2x 2.9x
3.0x
2.8x
3.2x 2.9x
3.3x
8.2x
3.1x 2.7x
2.4x
3.0x 5.4x
2.0x
5.5x 5.0x 4.5x
4.3x
4.1x
4.1x
4.9x 4.3x
4.7x
0.4x
2012
2013
2014
LTM Q1’15 LTM Q2’15 LTM Q3’15 Net Debt/EBITDA
2012
2013
2014
LTM Q1’15 LTM Q2’15 LTM Q3’15
Debt/EBITDA
Debt
976
1,095
1,347
1,374
1,339
1,456
691
624
1,111
1,139
1,128
1,144
Cash
306
215
168
148
144
127
656
81
124
161
93
66
Net Debt
670
880
1,179
1,226
1,195
1,329
35
543
967
977
1,035
1,078
22
Exposure to USD
1
2
3
Repurchased US$ 172.8 mm of our Bonds up to date •
US$ 122 mm Consumer and US$ 50.8 mm Shopping Malls
•
One-time expense of ~ US$ 5.8 mm
•
Funded US$ 100 mm with medium term loans in PEN at interest rates of ~ 6.7% and the difference with cash from operations
Purchased US$ 200 mm Call Spread for InRetail Shopping Malls •
Exchange rate fluctuations coverage between S/. 3.225 and S/. 3.75
•
Annual cost of 1.84%
Converted US$30 mm Principal-Only Swap to US$100 mm Call Spread for InRetail Consumer •
Exchange rate fluctuations coverage between S/. 3.22 and S/ .3.75
•
Annual cost of 1.56%
23% of Total Debt exposed to USD (vs. 72% in Dic-14)
38% 72% 23%
39% 28%
dic-14 Hedge
sep-15 USD
PEN 23
Outlook 2015-2017 Secured Growth 2015
US$700 MM for CAPEX 2015-2017 By Segment Supermarkets
Supermarkets
+16K sqm of sales area (+5.9% growth in 2015)
40.3% Shopping Malls
52.4%
Pharmacies
Pharmacies
7.3%
+100 new pharmacies (+11.9% growth in 2015)
By Type of Investment Logistics, IT, other
6.0% Refurbishing of stores, mall expansions
Shopping Malls
+27K sqm of GLA
21.6%
(+4.9% growth in 2015) New stores, malls, landbank
72.5%
24
4
KEY INDICATORS
Quarterly Openings and SSS by Segment Openings
Same Store Sales (SSS)
Supermarkets
Supermarkets
Sales Area (‘000 sqm) 249
253
261
270
273
273
274
4.8%
5.6%
5.2%
4.9% 4.1%
4.3%
Q2’15
Q3’15
2.6%
No Stores
Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
98
98
100
101
102
102
102
787
837
838
848
874
Pharmacies No Stores
Q1’14
754
731
Q2’14
SSS Averages
Q3’14
Q4’14
2013: 0.4%
Q1’15
2014: 4.4%
YTD’15: 4.7%
Pharmacies 10.8% Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
9.3% 8.2%
Shopping Malls GLA (‘000 sqm) 425
5.9%
499
542
553
558
572
6.4% 5.2%
581
2.1%
No Malls
Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
15
16
17
17
17
18
18
Q1’14
Q2’14
SSS Averages
Q3’14
Q4’14
2013: 2.7%
Q1’15
2014: 8.5%
Q2’15
Q3’15
YTD’15: 4.6% 26
Composition of Stores by Age Supermarkets
10% 9%
10% 9% 10%
7% 12%
4% 14%
9%
10%
72%
70%
72%
72%
72%
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
9%
12%
11%
11% 7%
14%
10% 6%
10% 4%
73%
72%
Q1’14
Q2’14
0-1 years
1-2 years
2-3 years
Mature
Pharmacies 18%
17%
16%
15%
15%
14%
12%
15%
25%
18%
14%
23%
15%
24%
6%
8%
11%
18%
21%
20%
52%
51%
51%
48%
49%
51%
54%
Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Q4’14
Q1’15
Q2’15
Q3’15
0-1 years
1-2 years
2-3 years
20%
Mature
27
Cash Cycle Supermarkets 100 90
99
94
93
90
93
93
92
80 70 60 0
52
4
56
59
4
2
3
-32
-35
-10 -20 -30
-38
-39
52
59
2
-31
59
54
3
2
-31
-36
-40 Q1’14
Q2’14
Q3’14
Days Acc Receivables
Q4’14 Days Acc Payables
Q1’15
Q2’15
Inventory Turnover
Q3’15 Cycle
Pharmacies 130 120 110 100 90 80
126 116
103
3
0 -10 -20 -30 -40 Q1’14
-10
107 103
87
104 82
81
3
4
4
3
-18
-17
-19
Q2’14
Q3’14
Days Acc Receivables
112
Q4’14 Days Acc Payables
-27
Q1’15 Inventory Turnover
116
112
83
78
3
3
-32
-30
Q2’15
Q3’15 Cycle
28
This material does not constitute an offering document. This material was prepared solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Any offering of securities will be made solely by means of an offering memorandum, which will contain detailed information about the company and its business and financial results, as well as its financial statements. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States unless they are registered or exempt from registration under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended. This presentation includes forward-looking statements or statements about events or circumstances which have not yet occurred. We have based these forward-looking statements largely on our current beliefs and expectations about future events and financial trends affecting our businesses and our future financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to risk, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among other things, general economic, political and business conditions, both in Peru and in Latin America as a whole. The words “believes”, “may”, “will”, “estimates”, “continues”, “anticipates”, “intends”, “expects”, and similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligations to update or revise any forward-looking statements because of new information, future events or other factors. In light of these risks and uncertainties, the forward-looking events and circumstances discussed in this presentation might not occur. Therefore, our actual results could differ substantially from those anticipated in our forwardlooking statements. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment. We and our affiliates, agents, directors, employees and advisors accept no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of all or any part of this material.
This material does not give and should not be treated as giving investment advice. You should consult with your own legal, regulatory, tax, business, investment, financial and accounting advisers to the extent that you deem it necessary, and make your own investment, hedging and trading decision based upon your own judgment and advice from such advisers as you deem necessary and not upon any information in this material.
For more information contact:
[email protected] www.inretail.pe